ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED (ORG)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Infrastructure & Utilities
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Utilities
Debt/EBITDA: 1.07
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Origin Energy is an Australian natural gas and exploration company. It was formed in 2000 as a result of a de-merger from Boral. The company has a large exploration portfolio in Australia and is a major shareholder in the Australia Pacific LNG joint venture.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$9.05

18 Mar
2024

-0.070

OPEN

$9.06

-0.77%

HIGH

$9.11

1,501,231

LOW

$9.02

TARGET
$9.293 2.7% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AGL . AIA . ALX . APA . CEN . DBI . DBI . GNP . MEZ . SRJ . TCL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
ORG: 1
Title FY22
Actual
FY23
Actual
FY24
Forecast
FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx N/A 72.5 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx N/A 61.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 12.5 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 6.7% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 84.2% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 7.95%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

4.03

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 05/03 - ex-div 27.5c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201820192020202120222023
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx61.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx36.5
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16,375.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx516.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,051.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.44 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201820192020202120222023
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.17 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8.43 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.91 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.17 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx19.66 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx111.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201820192020202120222023
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx192 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,066 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,258 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,964 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx930 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.63

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201820192020202120222023
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx475.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.90 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13,633 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx228 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8,172 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.5

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Morgan Stanley

16/02/2024

3

Downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight

$8.88

-1.88%

With risks now appearing more balanced to Morgan Stanley, the broker has lowered its rating on Origin Energy, as the company's earnings and deleveraging cycle peaks.

The company delivered a first half result and full guidance ahead of the broker's expectations, but the numbers do imply a moderating run rate into FY25.

Alongside peaking earnings and investment in Octopus Energy, Morgan Stanley expects Origin Energy can lift its distribution payout modestly over FY24 and FY25, but that gearing may be at the upper end by FY26.

The rating is downgraded to Equal-weight from Overweight and the target price of $8.88 is retained. Industry view: Cautious.

FORECAST
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 68.00 cents.
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 EPS of 80.00 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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ORG STOCK CHART