AGL ENERGY LIMITED (AGL)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

Enter the company code or Name for stock analysis:

AGL - AGL ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Infrastructure & Utilities
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Utilities
Debt/EBITDA: 1.92
Index: ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

AGL Energy owns and operates several power stations and is developing several renewable energy projects. The company also supplies gas for residential and commercial use. AGL was the second company to list on the Sydney stock exchange in 1871.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$8.78

18 Mar
2024

0.170

OPEN

$8.61

1.97%

HIGH

$8.79

1,636,205

LOW

$8.58

TARGET
$10.71 22.0% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 0%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
AIA . ALX . APA . CEN . DBI . DBI . GNP . MEZ . ORG . SRJ . TCL .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AGL: 1
Title FY22
Actual
FY23
Actual
FY24
Forecast
FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx N/A 109.5 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx N/A 54.8 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 8.2 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 6.1% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 50.1% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 3.21%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

3.46

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 21/02 - ex-div 26c (franking 0%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201820192020202120222023
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-187.9
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx31.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14,157.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx761.2
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx912.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-8.93 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201820192020202120222023
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-21.72 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-14.87 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-7.33 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-21.72 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.94 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx167.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201820192020202120222023
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx47 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,836 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,883 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3,073 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx376 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.42

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201820192020202120222023
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx624.0 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.41 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx13,008 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx458 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,035 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.4

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

Morgan Stanley

09/02/2024

3

Equal-weight

$9.99

13.78%

While AGL Energy's 1H result beat Morgan Stanley's forecasts, the broker reduces its EPS forecasts after marking-to-market for forward electricity and certificate prices as inferred from 2H FY24 run-rates.

The analysts also note increased customer margins in the 1H are partly offset by increasing retail discounting and churn over the forecast period.

The broker's bear-case scenario (partly applied to the overall valuation) is cut by -19% to reflect AGL's strong leverage to commodity prices, which are in backwardation.

The 1H dividend of 26cps compared to the consensus expectation for 23cps.

The Equal-weight rating is unchanged and the target falls to $9.99 from $11.68. Industry View: Cautious.

FORECAST
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 56.50 cents and EPS of 111.00 cents.
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 84.00 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

AGL STOCK CHART