Australian Broker Call

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August 23, 2018

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THIS REPORT WILL BE UPDATED SHORTLY

Last Updated: 01:43 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ABC - ADELAIDE BRIGHTON Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
ALU - ALTIUM Upgrade to Neutral from Sell UBS
CCL - COCA-COLA AMATIL Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight Morgan Stanley
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
Downgrade to Sell from Neutral UBS
CHC - CHARTER HALL Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
CTD - CORPORATE TRAVEL Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
CWY - CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
SBM - ST BARBARA Upgrade to Hold from Sell Deutsche Bank
Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
SPK - SPARK NEW ZEALAND Downgrade to Hold from Buy Deutsche Bank
TME - TRADE ME GROUP Upgrade to Outperform from Underperform Macquarie
WOR - WORLEYPARSONS Downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight Morgan Stanley
WSA - WESTERN AREAS Upgrade to Buy from Hold Ord Minnett
A2M  THE A2 MILK COMPANY LIMITED

Dairy

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Overnight Price: $10.65

Citi rates A2M as Sell (5) -

Citi expects concerns around excess inventory in daigou channels will be visible in the first half result. The broker reiterates a Sell rating.

Citi is increasingly convinced there is excess inventory in the daigou channels and sales are likely to slow. Target rises to $9.65 from $9.50.

Target price is $9.65 Current Price is $10.65 Difference: minus $1 (current price is over target).
If A2M meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $11.50, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 29.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.18 cents and EPS of 34.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates A2M as Neutral (3) -

Operating highlights in FY18 include revenue in infant formula, up 84%, and market share gains in China. Less helpful were losses in the US and UK. Credit Suisse notes break-even in the US is now expected in FY21 while scale in the UK remains elusive.

The broker believes more compelling value is required to compensate investors for the risks. Neutral rating maintained. Target rises to NZ$12.20 from NZ$11.90.

Current Price is $10.65. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $11.50, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 34.35 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 18.37 cents and EPS of 43.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates A2M as Buy (1) -

FY18 results were slightly ahead of estimates. Deutsche Bank continues to like the business model, track record and growth opportunities and reiterates a Buy rating.

Deutsche Bank suggests recent issues with daigou are clearing. Target price is unchanged at NZ$13.50.

Current Price is $10.65. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $11.50, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates A2M as Outperform (1) -

A2 Milk's FY18 result outpaced guidance by a nose, driven by 68% growth in infant formula sales and 13% growth in liquid milk sales. Other nutrition sales rose 89%.

Management guides to continued growth across all channels in FY19 and a step up in prices, which should boost margins. The US market is now firmly in managements sights.

The broker tweaks earnings forecasts and increases the target price to $12.50 from $12.40. Outperform rating retained.

Target price is $12.50 Current Price is $10.65 Difference: $1.85
If A2M meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $11.50, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 24.15 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 44.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 24.52 cents and EPS of 34.16 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates A2M as Add (1) -

FY18 results were slightly ahead of forecasts. A favourable product mix supported strong expansion in gross profit and earnings margins, Morgans observes. No formal FY19 guidance was provided but the broker notes the tone from the management team is upbeat.

Growth is expected to be underpinned by further market share gains across all markets and channels. Add rating maintained. Target rises to $12.35 from $11.85.

Target price is $12.35 Current Price is $10.65 Difference: $1.7
If A2M meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $11.50, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 33.14 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 42.24 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates A2M as Neutral (3) -

A2's 100% increase in earnings in the period beat the broker by 2% driven by stronger results in A&NZ and China. It was a transformative year, and the focus is now on FY19 given a sequential slowing in revenue trends.

UBS believes the 31% growth guidance for China is conservative as the new label launch has gone well. The outlook is positive in China and A&NZ should enjoy price rises. The broker retains Neutral on fair valuation. Target rises to NZ$11.80 from NZ$11.20.

Current Price is $10.65. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $11.50, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 18.37 cents and EPS of 33.61 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 48.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.4, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AAD  ARDENT LEISURE GROUP

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $1.89

Citi rates AAD as Buy (1) -

The net loss of -$91m was broadly in line with forecasts and the guidance provided in late July. Citi notes a strong start in FY19 for Main Event with sales growth improving to 2.2%.

The broker retains a Buy rating and believes a turnaround is on track. Target is $2.40.

Target price is $2.40 Current Price is $1.89 Difference: $0.51
If AAD meets the Citi target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.97, suggesting upside of 4.1% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates AAD as Hold (3) -

Deutsche Bank has reduced FY19/20 EBITDA estimates by -1% following the company's FY18 results.

The company's recent trading update indicated an improved second half at Main Event but sharply rising costs impacted earnings. The recovery at Dreamworld continues to be challenging but Deutsche Bank expects this will take some time.

Deutsche Bank maintains a Hold rating and $1.95 target.

Target price is $1.95 Current Price is $1.89 Difference: $0.06
If AAD meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.97, suggesting upside of 4.1% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates AAD as Lighten (4) -

FY18 operating earnings were in line with forecasts. As management has guided to modest expansion in Main Event in FY19 Ord Minnett raises EBITDA forecasts by 4%. However, like-for-like sales growth, a driver of sentiment in the broker's opinion, remains uncertain.

Ord Minnett considers consensus earnings forecasts overly ambitious and maintains a Lighten rating. Target rises to $1.65 from $1.52.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $1.65 Current Price is $1.89 Difference: minus $0.24 (current price is over target).
If AAD meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.97, suggesting upside of 4.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 47.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 47.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ABC  ADELAIDE BRIGHTON LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $6.25

Citi rates ABC as Sell (5) -

First half results met expectations, although guidance for 2018 overall has missed estimates. Given the rich valuation multiples, slowing growth outlook and imminent departures of both the CEO and CFO, Citi believes the stock is overvalued and maintains a Sell rating.

The company is bullish on market conditions but lacks a re-rating catalyst, in the broker's view. Target is raised to $5.50 from $5.20.

Target price is $5.50 Current Price is $6.25 Difference: minus $0.75 (current price is over target).
If ABC meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.04, suggesting downside of -3.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 30.50 cents and EPS of 31.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.0, implying annual growth of 14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 24.20 cents and EPS of 32.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.6, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates ABC as Neutral (3) -

First half results were below forecasts. Nevertheless, the company has reported above-CPI price outcomes across all products, which somewhat contradicts the softer guidance, Credit Suisse observes.

The broker suggests further upside is constrained as residential activity has peaked, and while infrastructure expenditure may be an offset the company has indicated it would be "bold" to predict further growth in NSW. Neutral rating and $6.60 target maintained.

Target price is $6.60 Current Price is $6.25 Difference: $0.35
If ABC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.04, suggesting downside of -3.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 21.50 cents and EPS of 31.95 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.0, implying annual growth of 14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.50 cents and EPS of 35.27 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.6, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates ABC as Hold (3) -

First half results were below Deutsche Bank's forecasts due to lower concrete products EBIT. The broker is less worried about lower lime margins as they should recover in the second half as contract prices reset.

Management provided 2018 NPAT guidance for $200-210m, at the lower end of consensus. The broker remains concerned around the issue of a failure at the Birkenhead cement mill which followed on from product quality issues in 2017.

Hold rating retained and target reduced to $5.80 from $5.85.

Target price is $5.80 Current Price is $6.25 Difference: minus $0.45 (current price is over target).
If ABC meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.04, suggesting downside of -3.3% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.0, implying annual growth of 14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.6, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates ABC as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Adelaide Brighton's first-half result fell short of the broker and guidance also disappointed. Macquarie notes the retirement of the CEO and CFO has left the company temporarily rudderless. The group declared a 4c special dividend as expected.

The broker eases FY18 and FY19 estimates -6% to reflect weaker contributions from joint ventures and property and weaker operational performance. On the upside the broker notes better price traction and an 8% jump in cement sales.

FY18/19 earnings estimates fall -6% and target price cut to $6.45 from $7. Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform reflecting the management uncertainty.

Target price is $6.45 Current Price is $6.25 Difference: $0.2
If ABC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.04, suggesting downside of -3.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 29.50 cents and EPS of 32.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.0, implying annual growth of 14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 29.50 cents and EPS of 34.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.6, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates ABC as Underweight (5) -

First half results were ahead of expectations although 2018 guidance is only in line. Morgan Stanley is also disappointed that both the CFO and CEO are leaving the company.

The broker believes the underlying market remains strong, particularly on the east coast. Underweight maintained. Target is $6.00. Industry view: Cautious.

Target price is $6.00 Current Price is $6.25 Difference: minus $0.25 (current price is over target).
If ABC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.04, suggesting downside of -3.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 33.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.0, implying annual growth of 14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.6, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ABC as Lighten (4) -

First half results were ahead of estimates. Net profit guidance for 2018 of $200-210m covers Ord Minnett's unchanged estimates.

The departures of the CFO and CEO, coupled with a lack of valuation support and fading macro economic tailwinds, means the broker maintains a Lighten rating. Target edges down to $5.90 from $6.00.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $5.90 Current Price is $6.25 Difference: minus $0.35 (current price is over target).
If ABC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.04, suggesting downside of -3.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.0, implying annual growth of 14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 35.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.6, implying annual growth of 8.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AIZ  AIR NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $3.03

Deutsche Bank rates AIZ as Sell (5) -

FY18 results were in line with guidance. The key issue for Deutsche Bank is higher fuel costs as hedging rolls off. The company has guided to a decline in FY19 pre-tax profit of -3-21%.

Sell rating.

Current Price is $3.03. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of -11.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.5.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALU  ALTIUM LIMITED

Hardware & Equipment

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Overnight Price: $29.38

UBS rates ALU as Upgrade to Neutral from Sell (3) -

Altium's underlying earnings result beat UBS by 3%, but drilling down finds a stronger picture than first impressions and incrementally positive outlook commentary suggest, the broker declares. FY19 margin growth is expected to be tempered by investment initiatives but current momentum is hard to ignore.

Altium is displacing its larger competitors faster than UBS expected, making the company's goal of 100,000 subs by 2025 look possible, although the broker does not forecast out that far. The broker increases earnings forecasts but notes a rising tax rate will temper profit.

Target rises to $22.00 from $18.50. Upgrade to Neutral from Sell.

Target price is $22.00 Current Price is $29.38 Difference: minus $7.38 (current price is over target).
If ALU meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $19.65, suggesting downside of -33.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 77.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.9, implying annual growth of 41.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 71.8.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 63.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.0, implying annual growth of 14.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 39.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 62.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APA  APA GROUP

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $9.40

Deutsche Bank rates APA as Buy (1) -

FY18 results were ahead of expectations. Deutsche Bank notes new projects have started to contribute to operating results. The broker observes the company has not been too distracted by the CKI bid and expects further concessions will be made.

Deutsche Bank would not be surprised if CKI offered to put the majority of its gas network assets under regulation to appease regulators. Buy rating maintained with the target at the bid level of $11.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $9.40 Difference: $1.6
If APA meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.37, suggesting upside of 10.3% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.0, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates APA as No Rating (-1) -

APA Group's FY18 earnings beat the broker by a nose, but Macquarie notes the beat was struck on weaker quality. Capitalised interest expense rose sharply.

FY19 guidance is for a 2-7% increase in earnings and an interest expense of $510m. The broker sees trading and currency headwinds for FY19. Balance sheet is sound, gearing sits at 65.4% with rates locked in at 5.65%.

Due to research restrictions Macquarie cannot provide a rating or target at this stage.

Current Price is $9.40. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $10.37, suggesting upside of 10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.50 cents and EPS of 25.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.0, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates APA as No Rating (-1) -

Ord Minnett updates its model to include the FY18 result and guidance for FY19 operating earnings. The broker is currently restricted on research and therefore cannot provide a rating or target.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Current Price is $9.40. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $10.37, suggesting upside of 10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.0, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates APA as Neutral (3) -

APA's 12% profit increase beat the broker by 4%. Operational earnings exceeded guidance. FY19 guidance suggests a slow ramp-up in earnings as growth projects come on line, but full benefits are not expected until FY20, the broker notes.

The CKI consortium bid still requires ACCC, FIRB and shareholder approval. The broker believes these will be granted, hence a target price increase to $10.00 from $8.45. Neutral retained.

Target price is $10.00 Current Price is $9.40 Difference: $0.6
If APA meets the UBS target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.37, suggesting upside of 10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.2.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 50.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.0, implying annual growth of 18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APE  AP EAGERS LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $7.89

Ord Minnett rates APE as Hold (3) -

First half results were in line with guidance provided in July. Ord Minnett notes mixed regional results from car retailing while margins showed some signs of a recovery and stemmed the decline that has continued since the second half of 2015.

The broker believes the company remains well-positioned to make accretive acquisitions over the medium term. Given the negative recent trends in new car sales a Hold rating is maintained. Target is reduced to $8.30 from $8.40.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $8.30 Current Price is $7.89 Difference: $0.41
If APE meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.63, suggesting upside of 9.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 52.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.7, implying annual growth of 0.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.6.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 51.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.7, implying annual growth of 3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APT  AFTERPAY TOUCH GROUP LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $18.55

Ord Minnett rates APT as Buy (1) -

FY18 results were either in line or slightly ahead of estimates. The company has announced the acquisition of 90% of ClearPay Finance, a UK-based business. Afterpay Touch is also raising $108.1m via an institutional placement.

Ord Minnett maintains a Buy rating and $18.50 target.

Target price is $18.50 Current Price is $18.55 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If APT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 5.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 314.41.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 16.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 111.08.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ARB  ARB CORPORATION LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $19.87

Ord Minnett rates ARB as Lighten (4) -

Underlying net profit in FY18 was broadly in line with forecasts. The broker notes, once again, the business delivered double-digit revenue growth. Despite this, the broker maintains a Lighten rating as there is little upside envisaged from a potential re-rating and an increasing earnings profile. Target is raised to $17.00 from $15.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $17.00 Current Price is $19.87 Difference: minus $2.87 (current price is over target).
If ARB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $20.58, suggesting upside of 3.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 76.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 83.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 83.0, implying annual growth of 5.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ATL  APOLLO TOURISM & LEISURE LTD

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $1.60

Morgans rates ATL as Add (1) -

FY18 results were in line with forecasts. FY19 guidance for net profit of $22-24m suggests 13-23% growth. Morgans re-models estimates but makes modest increases to forecasts.

The broker maintains an Add rating and reduces the target to $1.94 from $1.98.

Target price is $1.94 Current Price is $1.60 Difference: $0.34
If ATL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 6.10 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.31.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 6.70 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.43.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ATL as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were driven by strong contributions from the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian businesses. Ord Minnett expects conditions to remain favourable.

The broker maintains a Hold rating and reduces the target to $1.64 from $1.71. While the stock appears well-positioned for future growth opportunities the broker considers this adequately reflected in the share price.

Target price is $1.64 Current Price is $1.60 Difference: $0.04
If ATL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 6.90 cents and EPS of 12.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.80.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 7.50 cents and EPS of 13.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.76.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BAP  BAPCOR LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $6.89

Macquarie rates BAP as Outperform (1) -

Bapcor's FY18 result met the broker, buoyed by strong trading, price increases and network expansion. Margins rose 80 basis points to 14.4% due to strong operational traction. 

The company has reported a strong start to FY19 and Macquarie expects the upper end of guidance to be reached, noting strong opportunities for organic growth and economies of scale.

Target price jumps to $7.80 from $6.60 and Outperform rating retained.

Target price is $7.80 Current Price is $6.89 Difference: $0.91
If BAP meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.20, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 21.90 cents and EPS of 36.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 24.50 cents and EPS of 40.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.2, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates BAP as Overweight (1) -

Bapcor delivered on expectations in FY18. FY19 guidance is for earnings of $170m and net profit growth of 9-14%.

Overweight rating is reiterated. Target is $7.00. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $7.00 Current Price is $6.89 Difference: $0.11
If BAP meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.20, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 41.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.2, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates BAP as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were in line with estimates. Morgans considers the organic growth on offer robust and notes the likelihood of low double-digit growth over the next few years.? FY19 EBITDA guidance is $170m, up 13%.

Hold rating maintained. Target is raised to $6.90 from $6.86.

Target price is $6.90 Current Price is $6.89 Difference: $0.01
If BAP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.20, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 35.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 39.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.2, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates BAP as Neutral (3) -

The broker saw a strong result from Bapcor, but we only have commentary to go on to assume a "beat". Earnings growth across all divisions was solid, as was cash conversion at 92%.

The broker expects FY19 earnings growth in excess of 10% as the company continues to consolidate the Trade channel, increase private label penetration and roll out stores. The rollout pace has slowed but this does not bother the broker.

Neutral retained on valuation, target rises to $7.10 from $7.00.

Target price is $7.10 Current Price is $6.89 Difference: $0.21
If BAP meets the UBS target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.20, suggesting upside of 4.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 17.50 cents and EPS of 34.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 35.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 19.50 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.2, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BHP  BHP BILLITON LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $32.53

Deutsche Bank rates BHP as Buy (1) -

FY18 results slightly disappointed Deutsche Bank. Cost guidance for the Queensland coal unit was higher than expected. FY19 cost guidance across the major divisions is largely in line with estimates.

The broker removes the US onshore business from its estimates and increases coking coal cost assumptions. As a result FY19 and FY20 estimates for EBITDA are reduced by -9% and -6% respectively. Buy rating and $32 target.

Target price is $32.00 Current Price is $32.53 Difference: minus $0.53 (current price is over target).
If BHP meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $35.54, suggesting upside of 9.2% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 250.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 191.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 238.3, implying annual growth of -4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 163.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BIN  BINGO INDUSTRIES LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

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Overnight Price: $3.01

Macquarie rates BIN as Outperform (1) -

Bingo Industries' FY18 results were in line with adjusted prospectus estimates and the broker.

Macquarie lowers FY19 EPS estimates by -11% to reflect the DADI acquisition, initial dilution from a pre-emptive entitlement offer and margin pressure on redevelopments. FY20 and FY21 estimates rise 8% and 21% respectively.

Target price rises to $3.20 from $3.00. Outperform retained.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $3.01 Difference: $0.19
If BIN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.20 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.15.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 8.50 cents and EPS of 21.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.20.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CAR  CARSALES.COM LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $15.29

Citi rates CAR as Sell (5) -

FY18 results were in line and the broker upgrades estimates for FY19-20 by 2-3%. New management and a change in strategy meant Webmotors doubled its operating earnings in the second half.

Citi maintains a Sell rating and raises the target to $14 from $13.25.

Target price is $14.00 Current Price is $15.29 Difference: minus $1.29 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $15.15, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 50.40 cents and EPS of 59.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 54.50 cents and EPS of 64.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.9, implying annual growth of 10.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates CAR as Neutral (3) -

FY18 results were broadly in line with Credit Suisse. Latin American businesses grew strongly. The broker increases outer-year earnings forecasts because of the improved outlook for SK Encar and prolonged growth in dealer business.

Neutral maintained. Target is raised to $15.00 from $13.50.

Target price is $15.00 Current Price is $15.29 Difference: minus $0.29 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $15.15, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 48.00 cents and EPS of 60.94 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.50 cents and EPS of 67.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.9, implying annual growth of 10.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CAR as Neutral (3) -

Carsales' FY18 result pleased the broker with earnings rising 15.9%, following consolidation of SK Encar.

The company logged accelerated depth product penetration in Dealer and Private markets with momentum appearing solid into FY19. The broker notes room for expansion of top-tier products which are trading in the low single digit range.

Earnings per share forecasts rise 1.4% for FY19 and 3% for FY20. Target price rises to $15.25 from $14. Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $15.25 Current Price is $15.29 Difference: minus $0.04 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $15.15, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.40 cents and EPS of 61.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.20 cents and EPS of 68.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.9, implying annual growth of 10.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CAR as Overweight (1) -

FY18 results were in line with expectations. The company has indicated the start of first half trading has been positive. No specific guidance was provided. Morgan Stanley expects the shares to trade higher.

Overweight rating, Attractive industry view and $16.50 target maintained.

Target price is $16.50 Current Price is $15.29 Difference: $1.21
If CAR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.15, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 49.90 cents and EPS of 62.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 68.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.9, implying annual growth of 10.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CAR as Add (1) -

FY18 results were ahead of forecasts. Morgans incorporates slightly higher estimates for FY19, noting a strong pipeline of new products for launch which should help lift average yields per customer.

Add rating maintained. Target is raised to $17.05 from $16.76.

Target price is $17.05 Current Price is $15.29 Difference: $1.76
If CAR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.15, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 60.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 45.00 cents and EPS of 64.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.9, implying annual growth of 10.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CAR as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were in line with Ord Minnett estimates. The broker is encouraged by the momentum in the international business, particularly as growth in key metrics is strong.

More is expected in FY19 but the broker considers the stock fully priced and maintains a Hold rating. Target rises to $15.77 from $14.15.

Target price is $15.77 Current Price is $15.29 Difference: $0.48
If CAR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.15, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 49.40 cents and EPS of 60.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 56.00 cents and EPS of 68.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.9, implying annual growth of 10.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CAR as Neutral (3) -

Carsales' in-line result was solid, the broker suggests. Management's guidance commentary was for a solid outlook for the core domestic business and solid earnings growth in Korea. Brazil stands out with a "strong" outlook.

All is as the broker expected. Neutral and $14.00 target retained.

Target price is $14.00 Current Price is $15.29 Difference: minus $1.29 (current price is over target).
If CAR meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $15.15, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 61.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.1.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 56.00 cents and EPS of 68.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.9, implying annual growth of 10.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CCL  COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $9.81

Citi rates CCL as Neutral (3) -

First half earnings were slightly softer than expected. Nevertheless, Citi finds the improvement in Australia encouraging although visibility beyond 2018 is unclear.

The broker believes, while economic factors are partly to blame, the business needs to gain traction in categories other than soft drinks. Neutral rating and $9.50 target maintained.

Target price is $9.50 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $0.31 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates CCL as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

First half result was soft, as expected. Credit Suisse believes the stock is now priced correctly for what is is on offer, which is low single-digit growth in earnings per share.

Rating is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform. Target is $9.80. Credit Suisse upgrades expectations for PNG and downgrades Indonesia, concerned that the company has not ignited the top-line in the latter.

Target price is $9.80 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 54.53 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 56.56 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates CCL as Sell (5) -

First half results were mixed, in the broker's view, with signs of volume stabilisation in the Australian business and benign impact from the container deposit scheme.

New products are helping but there seems to be a requirement for heavy price investment. With earnings still declining and the path to sustainable growth unclear Deutsche Bank sees downside risk with the stock trading on an 18x PE multiple.

While the dividend yield is reasonable the broker does not believe there is sufficient free cash flow to cover it this year. Sell rating and $8.50 target retained.

Target price is $8.50 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $1.31 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CCL as Underperform (5) -

Coca-Cola Amatil's first-half top-line result beat the broker by 3.5%, thanks to strong performances in Australia, NZ and Fiji, although net profit was a slight miss. The beat was struck on low quality drivers, and lower net interest and minorities, Macquarie notes.

The broker expects earnings to be constrained by a higher reinvestment of cost savings, noting the return on operating expenditure is unknown. EPS forecasts across FY18/19/20 rise 1%.

Macquarie expects continued strength in A/NZ will offset weakness in Indonesia and the Corporate/Food markets. Price target rises 1.5% to $9. Underperform rating retained.

Target price is $9.00 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $0.81 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 42.20 cents and EPS of 53.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 44.60 cents and EPS of 55.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CCL as Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight (3) -

First half earnings for Australian beverages were better than Morgan Stanley expected. The broker believes the valuation relative to the ASX industrials remains reasonable albeit expensive on an absolute basis.

The broker believes the company's brand leadership and new products have enabled the business to navigate the container deposit scheme impact better than previously expected. The broker upgrades to Equal-weight from Underweight. Target is raised to $9.60 from $8.00. Cautious industry view.

Target price is $9.60 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $0.21 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 45.60 cents and EPS of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.90 cents and EPS of 57.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CCL as Hold (3) -

First half results were soft but in line with expectations. No specific 2018 guidance was provided but the company remains cautious about the outlook for Australian beverages. A strategic review has commenced on the options for SPC.

Morgans wants further evidence that the headwinds facing Australian beverages are easing, although acknowledges modest top-line growth evident in the report could be an early sign of improvement. Hold rating and $8.96 target maintained.

Target price is $8.96 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $0.85 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 54.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 55.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CCL as Lighten (4) -

First half net profit was ahead of forecasts. Australian beverages exceeded Ord Minnett's estimates while earnings from Indonesia and PNG fell short.

While volume trends are improving in Australian beverages, Ord Minnett notes margin investment remains significant. The broker maintains a Lighten rating and raises the target to $8.75 from $8.25.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $8.75 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $1.06 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 49.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 53.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CCL as Downgrade to Sell from Neutral (5) -

Corporate costs, losses for SPC and weakness in Indonesia meant Coca-Cola Amatil's result fell short of UBS. The Australian division beat the broker by 3% but was still down -9% year on year due to heightened investment, which will continue to year's end.

Investment will then moderate in 2019, but which time structural headwinds in fizzy drink popularity will accelerate, UBS believes, while Indonesia is expected to continue weighing. Given year to date outperformance of the index, the broker moves to Sell from Neutral. Target falls to $8.30 from $8.40.

Target price is $8.30 Current Price is $9.81 Difference: minus $1.51 (current price is over target).
If CCL meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.05, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 52.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.2, implying annual growth of -11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 45.00 cents and EPS of 54.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.1, implying annual growth of 3.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CHC  CHARTER HALL GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $6.78

Citi rates CHC as Buy (1) -

FY18 results beat upgraded guidance. For FY19 management expects growth of 5-7% and Citi retains forecasts at the upper end of the range. The broker reiterates a Buy rating. The broker envisages upside risk to forecasts from acquisitions and performance fees.

The target is raised to $7.68 from $7.63.

Target price is $7.68 Current Price is $6.78 Difference: $0.9
If CHC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.69, suggesting downside of -1.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 34.40 cents and EPS of 40.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 36.60 cents and EPS of 43.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.6, implying annual growth of 40.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CHC as Outperform (1) -

Charter Hall Group's FY18 result and FY19 guidance outpaced the broker.

The broker notes strong conditions for the Office market, and likely scale benefits from the Folkstone ((FLK)) purchase, which will be funded by cash and debt. FY19 to FY21 EPS forecasts rise 2% to reflect higher active fees.

Price target rises to $7.27 from $7. Outperform rating retained.

Target price is $7.27 Current Price is $6.78 Difference: $0.49
If CHC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.69, suggesting downside of -1.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 35.40 cents and EPS of 39.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 47.30 cents and EPS of 52.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.6, implying annual growth of 40.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CHC as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Higher corporate costs have caused Charter Hall's FY18 operating result to miss Ord Minnett's expectation by some -3%. Guidance is for 5-7% growth in FY19, but the analysts point out including the proposed acquisition of Folkestone ((FLK)) this could turn into 8-10% growth for the year.

The analysts note the shares have significantly outperformed over the year past as investors switched their preference to office and industrial assets, which represent 60% of Assets under Management at Charter Hall.

Post share price outperformance, Ord Minnett downgrades to Hold from Accumulate. Target price unchanged at $6.90.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $6.90 Current Price is $6.78 Difference: $0.12
If CHC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.69, suggesting downside of -1.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 41.00 cents and EPS of 78.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.6, implying annual growth of 40.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CHC as Neutral (3) -

Charter Hall's 5% earnings growth was in line with the broker and FY19 guidance of 5-7% meets consensus, improving to 8-10% if the Folkestone acquisition goes ahead. The broker sees the logic in the acquisition but finds it unnecessary given complexity and small size.

It also contributes to a more limited balance sheet. The group continues to deliver stand-out sector growth, the broker suggests, but it's all priced in. Neutral retained, target rises to $6.70 from $6.10.

Target price is $6.70 Current Price is $6.78 Difference: minus $0.08 (current price is over target).
If CHC meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.69, suggesting downside of -1.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 34.30 cents and EPS of 40.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 37.30 cents and EPS of 48.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.6, implying annual growth of 40.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CTD  CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $29.71

Macquarie rates CTD as Neutral (3) -

Corporate Travel Management's FY18 result was broadly in line, reporting a net profit marginally ahead of the broker.

The company posted strong revenue growth across Australia, New Zealand, Europe and the US, and a mixed/flat performance in Asia. Macquarie increases EPS forecasts by 6% and 8% for FY19 and FY20.

Target raised to $30 from $26. Neutral rating retained, the stock trading at a 70% premium to emerging industrials.

Target price is $30.00 Current Price is $29.71 Difference: $0.29
If CTD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.10, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 57.90 cents and EPS of 96.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 63.20 cents and EPS of 105.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.0, implying annual growth of 16.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CTD as Overweight (1) -

FY18 results were in line with Morgan Stanley. The broker notes cash conversion was strong. FY19 guidance of $144-150m is up 15-20% and  the broker's estimates are at the mid point.

Morgan Stanley reiterates an Overweight rating, In-Line industry view and $31 target.

Target price is $31.00 Current Price is $29.71 Difference: $1.29
If CTD meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.10, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 99.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 118.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.0, implying annual growth of 16.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CTD as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Morgans was impressed with FY18 earnings, noting second half growth of 21% is significant for a company of this size. All regions were largely in line with forecasts. FY19 guidance is for EBITDA of $144-150m, up 15-20%.

Morgans downgrades to Hold from Add because of the strong appreciation in the share price. Catalysts include further accretive acquisitions. Target is reduced to $32.00 from $32.25.

Target price is $32.00 Current Price is $29.71 Difference: $2.29
If CTD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.10, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 45.00 cents and EPS of 94.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 53.00 cents and EPS of 110.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.0, implying annual growth of 16.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CTD as Downgrade to Hold from Buy (3) -

FY18 results were broadly in line and provide further evidence for Ord Minnett of the success of the business model. The challenge the broker perceives is that the company is now of sufficient size it could be competing with large global travel management companies on a more frequent basis.

The broker believes the market will be all about scale in coming years, as the industry moves towards a new distribution system. Earnings estimates are upgraded by 5% for FY19. Rating is downgraded to Hold from Buy on valuation grounds. Target rises to $30.30 from $24.36.

Target price is $30.30 Current Price is $29.71 Difference: $0.59
If CTD meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.10, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 40.80 cents and EPS of 90.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 49.30 cents and EPS of 109.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.0, implying annual growth of 16.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CTD as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Corporate Travel's result was hard to fault, UBS suggests, featuring impressive organic growth of 19%. The only blip was that margin growth contributed more than expected versus revenue growth.

FY19 guidance is for 15-20% growth, both organic and the Lotus acquisition. More acquisitions are expected and technology rollouts in the US and Asia and a new SME product in Australia should help maintain momentum, the broker believes.

But it's all in the price. Target rises to $32.20 from $27.50. Downgrade to Neutral from Buy.

Target price is $32.20 Current Price is $29.71 Difference: $2.49
If CTD meets the UBS target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.10, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.20 cents and EPS of 94.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.3.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 48.10 cents and EPS of 107.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.0, implying annual growth of 16.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CWP  CEDAR WOODS PROPERTIES LIMITED

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $6.22

Morgans rates CWP as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were slightly ahead of recent guidance. While formal guidance was not provided for FY19, Morgans notes an earnings step up is supported by very strong pre-sales and commercial sites sales.

The broker observes a visible level of earnings being delivered out to FY21 and maintains a Hold rating on valuation. Target is reduced to $6.60 from $6.70.

Target price is $6.60 Current Price is $6.22 Difference: $0.38
If CWP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 35.00 cents and EPS of 69.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.01.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 76.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.18.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CWY  CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

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Overnight Price: $1.97

Deutsche Bank rates CWY as Buy (1) -

FY18 earnings were ahead of forecasts. The dividend was stronger than Deutsche Bank expected, as was the contribution from Toxfree.

Deutsche Bank acknowledges the stock appears relatively expensive but, given a defensive business, growth opportunities and the multiples being paid for arguably inferior business models, maintains a Buy rating. Target is $1.70.

Target price is $1.70 Current Price is $1.97 Difference: minus $0.27 (current price is over target).
If CWY meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.90, suggesting downside of -3.5% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.8, implying annual growth of 21.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CWY as Outperform (1) -

Cleanaway Waste Management's FY18 results were slightly ahead of the broker's estimates. Macquarie eases EPS estimates across FY19 and FY20 by -7% and -3% respectively, reflecting depreciation guidance.

Target price rises to $2.40 from $2. Outperform rating retained, the broker appreciating the thematics underpinning the company's business.

Target price is $2.40 Current Price is $1.97 Difference: $0.43
If CWY meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.90, suggesting downside of -3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.20 cents and EPS of 6.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.20 cents and EPS of 8.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.8, implying annual growth of 21.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CWY as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were ahead of expectations. Morgans downgrades FY19 earnings forecasts by -3% to align with management indications but strengthens longer-term forecasts to reflect impairment assumptions.

Hold rating maintained, as the share price exceeds estimates of fair value. Target is raised to $1.86 from $1.78.

Target price is $1.86 Current Price is $1.97 Difference: minus $0.11 (current price is over target).
If CWY meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.90, suggesting downside of -3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.20 cents and EPS of 5.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.10 cents and EPS of 7.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.8, implying annual growth of 21.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CWY as Hold (3) -

FY18 earnings were ahead of forecasts. Ord Minnett appreciates the near-term tailwinds for earnings but believes the stock has re-rated significantly while meaningful free cash flow is still a couple of years away.

Management remains confident that the impact of the changes to China's contamination standards for importation of recycled materials will subside through FY19. Hold rating maintained. Target rises to $1.85 from $1.62.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $1.85 Current Price is $1.97 Difference: minus $0.12 (current price is over target).
If CWY meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.90, suggesting downside of -3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.8, implying annual growth of 21.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CWY as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Cleanaway posted an impressive result, UBS suggests, with revenue growth beating forecasts. This despite the costs involved in new contract mobilisation amid the China recycling crisis.

With all divisions back to growth and upside from the Toxfree acquisition, the broker is positive on earnings growth and sees a sound strategy. The stock's valuation does not look overly expensive compared to US peers and UBS sees only marginal share price upside form here and thus downgrades to Neutral from Buy.

Target rises to $2.15 from $1.90.

Target price is $2.15 Current Price is $1.97 Difference: $0.18
If CWY meets the UBS target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.90, suggesting downside of -3.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.8.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.8, implying annual growth of 21.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DTL  DATA#3 LIMITED

IT & Support

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Overnight Price: $1.63

Morgans rates DTL as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were in line with guidance. Morgans increases FY19 forecasts by 3%. The broker expects the company to return to EPS growth in FY19. Risks relate to strength in customer demand.

The broker retains a Hold rating on valuation. Target is steady at $1.67.

Target price is $1.67 Current Price is $1.63 Difference: $0.04
If DTL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.30.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.82.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FBU  FLETCHER BUILDING LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $5.84

Citi rates FBU as Neutral (3) -

FY18 targets were met although Citi notes margin pressures have emerged. Still, with a return to profit and divestment plans well underway the broker believes capital management initiatives are the key catalyst.

The broker estimates FY19 guidance implies a -4% fall in underlying EBIT. The broker maintains a Neutral rating. Target is reduced to NZ$6.30 from NZ$6.50.

Current Price is $5.84. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $6.36, suggesting upside of 8.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 28.01 cents and EPS of 41.33 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.47 cents and EPS of 41.69 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.8, implying annual growth of 1.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates FBU as Hold (3) -

The company's FY18 loss of -NZ$710 was at the upper end of the guidance range. Guidance for FY19 is for flat EBIT after adjusting for the abnormally strong housing development gains.

Due to improved medium-term earnings expectations the target price is raised to NZ$6.37 from NZ$5.66. Hold retained.

Current Price is $5.84. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $6.36, suggesting upside of 8.9% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.8, implying annual growth of 1.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Macquarie rates FBU as No Rating (-1) -

Fletcher Building's FY18 result met guidance and consensus. Revenue, as expected, was down across the board but the company expects to reinstate the dividend in FY19.

The broker increases EPS estimates for FY19/20/21 by 3%, 3% and 8% respectively, reflecting higher Australia, Construction and Residential contributions.

Macquarie cannot provide a target price or recommendation due to research restrictions.

Current Price is $5.84. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $6.36, suggesting upside of 8.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.88 cents and EPS of 46.38 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 24.80 cents and EPS of 44.36 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.8, implying annual growth of 1.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates FBU as Equal-weight (3) -

FY18 results were in line but disappointed Morgan Stanley in terms of the composition and quality. A positive outcome on divestments may be a catalyst.

With the last few years hampered by construction losses, FY19 is shaping up as a transition year, in the broker's opinion.

Equal-weight rating maintained. Target is reduced to $6.36 from $6.60. Cautious industry view.

Target price is $6.36 Current Price is $5.84 Difference: $0.52
If FBU meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.36, suggesting upside of 8.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 11.02 cents and EPS of 42.24 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 25.71 cents and EPS of 46.84 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.8, implying annual growth of 1.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

UBS rates FBU as Neutral (3) -

Fletcher's result was in line with the broker. While cash conversion was strong in FY18 it is expected to be poor in FY19 on inability to pass through cost increases.

This concerns the broker, given guidance for margin expansion across most divisions. The broker now believes the NZ housing construction market will peak in FY20-21, rather than in FY19 as previously assumed. But a guided turnaround in Australia needs to show up in the numbers.

The broker sees longer term value but retains Neutral. Target rises to NZ$6.60 from NZ$6.30.

Current Price is $5.84. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $6.36, suggesting upside of 8.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 27.55 cents and EPS of 49.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 27.55 cents and EPS of 47.48 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 44.8, implying annual growth of 1.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FLT  FLIGHT CENTRE LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $61.84

UPDATED

Macquarie rates FLT as Underperform (5) -

At first glance, it appears today's FY18 release beat Macquarie's numbers on many metrics but missed by some -4.5%-4.9% on the numbers that count for many short term market watchers: net profits and earnings per share.

Macquarie analysts do point out the result itself is still positioned near the top of management's guidance, and the dividend is also better than expected. The analysts do not believe today's result will meaningfully impact on consensus forecasts, while suggesting this was needed to support the elevated share price. Underperform. Target $47.50.

Target price is $47.50 Current Price is $61.84 Difference: minus $14.34 (current price is over target).
If FLT meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $57.69, suggesting downside of -6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 162.40 cents and EPS of 272.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 275.3, implying annual growth of 20.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 167.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 175.90 cents and EPS of 295.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 307.9, implying annual growth of 11.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 187.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FXL  FLEXIGROUP LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $2.19

UBS rates FXL as Neutral (3) -

FlexiGroup's result was slightly ahead of the broker but within the guidance range. There were lots of moving parts, but they were moving in the right direction, the broker suggests.

Management has delivered on its announced initiatives to date and further momentum is expected from digitalisation initiatives in FY19. While valuation is not demanding, the broker wants more clarity on brand investment across FY19-20 in order to be more positive.

Neutral retained, target rises to $2.20 from $1.85.

Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $2.19 Difference: $0.01
If FXL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.49, suggesting upside of 13.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 10.30 cents and EPS of 25.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.3.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 14.20 cents and EPS of 28.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.9, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HSO  HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $2.21

ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates HSO as Equal-weight (3) -

The company will establish a property trust for hospitals, which Morgan Stanley expects will unlock value and dilute the focus on the challenging industry fundamentals. FY18 results were slightly ahead of expectations.

While the near-term outlook is challenging the broker notes the company is confident regarding forecasts for 10% growth in operating earnings in FY19. Equal-weight rating maintained. Target is raised to $2.37 from $2.15. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $2.37 Current Price is $2.21 Difference: $0.16
If HSO meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.25, suggesting upside of 2.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 6.60 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.2, implying annual growth of -2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IDR  INDUSTRIA REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.68

Morgans rates IDR as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were in line with guidance. FY19 guidance comprises distributions of 17c per share. Morgans believes the portfolio metrics are solid and potential catalysts include corporate activity and positive news flow on leasing deals.

Hold rating and $2.67 target maintained.

Target price is $2.67 Current Price is $2.68 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If IDR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.62, suggesting downside of -2.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 19.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 17.50 cents and EPS of 19.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.8, implying annual growth of 8.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates IDR as Neutral (3) -

It was a good result from Industria, in line with the broker, featuring strong cash flow in excess of distribution. FY19 guidance was also pleasing.

The REIT offers a steady 6.5% yield, growing at 3%, and is trading close to net tangible asset value, the broker notes. The broker likes the space (suburban offices and business parks) and notes Growthpoint's ((GOZ)) presence on the register limits downside.

Neutral retained, target rises to $2.67 from $2.57.

Target price is $2.67 Current Price is $2.68 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If IDR meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.62, suggesting downside of -2.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 17.30 cents and EPS of 19.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 17.80 cents and EPS of 19.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.8, implying annual growth of 8.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IEL  IDP EDUCATION LIMITED

Education & Tuition

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Overnight Price: $9.72

Macquarie rates IEL as Outperform (1) -

In initial response to the released FY18 report, Macquarie analysts believe the numbers are solid, largely in line with expectations, and the outlook remains positive.

The analysts remind investors their FY19 estimates already factor in additional growth investment as the company expands its global network and capabilities. Outperform. Target $9.75.

Target price is $9.75 Current Price is $9.72 Difference: $0.03
If IEL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.68, suggesting downside of -10.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 15.90 cents and EPS of 22.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.3, implying annual growth of 28.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 45.6.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 19.20 cents and EPS of 25.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.5, implying annual growth of 15.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ING  INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $3.78

Citi rates ING as Neutral (3) -

FY18 results were slightly weaker than expected. Citi notes the main issue facing the company is the extent to which prices will need to rise in order to offset increases in feed costs.

Australian prices declined in FY18 and, while the company has cited an adverse mix as the cause, Citi remains uncertain about the extent to which price rises can be passed through.

The broker maintains a Neutral rating and raises the target to $3.85 from $3.70.

Target price is $3.85 Current Price is $3.78 Difference: $0.07
If ING meets the Citi target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.75, suggesting downside of -0.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 21.10 cents and EPS of 28.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 22.10 cents and EPS of 30.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates ING as Neutral (3) -

FY18 results were solid although Credit Suisse notes signs of challenges in FY19 because of higher input costs.

The company has increased prices through all channels in Australia and the broker believes these can be passed through and, along with efficiency gains, will offset most of the impact of higher costs.

Neutral rating maintained. Target is reduced to $3.90 from $4.10.

Target price is $3.90 Current Price is $3.78 Difference: $0.12
If ING meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.75, suggesting downside of -0.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 18.17 cents and EPS of 28.77 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 19.96 cents and EPS of 31.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates ING as Neutral (3) -

Inghams Group's FY18 full-year profit fell just shy of the broker.

Growth and margins improved and the broker says the company is handling cost pressures well and net debt and cash conversion continues apace. The company's net debt fell nearly $50 million in the second half, well below gearing targets.

The broker expects high cash conversion augurs well for capital returns, the stock's 11.6 cents per share fully franked dividend outpacing the broker's forecast 10c per share. The company will return $125 million (33c per share) to shareholders. ING will proceed with an on-market buyback of up to 5% of issued capital post the Mitavite sale.

Broker cuts earnings per share forecast -5.8% and -5.7% for FY19 and FY29. Target price steady. Neutral rating retained, the broker noting an attractive valuation, despite headwinds, at 12.8x FY19 earnings and the capital return and buyback.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.78 Difference: $0.22
If ING meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.75, suggesting downside of -0.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 19.90 cents and EPS of 29.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.10 cents and EPS of 31.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates ING as Equal-weight (3) -

FY18 results were below expectations. Given the healthy balance sheet the company has announced a share buyback of up to 5% of the shares and Morgan Stanley estimates this to be 3-4% accretive over FY19-20.

Equal-weight. Target is $3.60. Industry view: Cautious.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $3.78 Difference: minus $0.18 (current price is over target).
If ING meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.75, suggesting downside of -0.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 21.60 cents and EPS of 30.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 32.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates ING as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were largely in line with expectations. Given the prospect of declining earnings in FY19 and potential for challenging operating conditions to persist Morgans believes a cautious view is justified.

No guidance was provided but an oversupplied NZ market and rising electricity, gas, insurance and feed costs suggest to the broker a number of headwinds are looming. Hold maintained. Target is reduced to $3.75 from $4.20.

Target price is $3.75 Current Price is $3.78 Difference: minus $0.03 (current price is over target).
If ING meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.75, suggesting downside of -0.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ING as Sell (5) -

Inghams' underlying result fell -2% short of the broker. Australia was stronger but NZ was -13% lower on oversupply issues which aren't expected to improve until the second half 19. The company announced a 33c special dividend and off market buyback, subject to the sale of Mitavite.

With that out of the way, Inghams is a good business, the broker believes, but cost-outs will not keep up with cost pressures (feed and utilities) in FY19 and management uncertainty remains post the departure of the CEO.

While valuation is not demanding, the broker retains Sell. Target falls to $3.30 from $3.40.

Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $3.78 Difference: minus $0.38 (current price is over target).
If ING meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.75, suggesting downside of -0.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IOF  INVESTA OFFICE FUND

REITs

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Overnight Price: $5.08

ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates IOF as Underweight (5) -

The company has received a notice from Blackstone stating it is prepared to increase the consideration payable per security to $5.45 a share under the scheme to acquire the company.

The revised offer is 8% above Morgan Stanley's target but the broker envisages better value elsewhere, given the limited visibility on whether Blackstone's conditions could be met.

Morgan Stanley rates the stock Underweight with an Industry view of Cautious. Target price is steady at $4.95.

Target price is $4.95 Current Price is $5.08 Difference: minus $0.13 (current price is over target).
If IOF meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.73, suggesting downside of -6.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.8, implying annual growth of -67.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.9, implying annual growth of -10.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ISD  ISENTIA GROUP LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $0.48

Macquarie rates ISD as Underperform (5) -

Long time troubled iSentia has come out with a shockingly bad FY18 report, in initial response by Macquarie analysts described as "materially lower" than what they had been expecting.

On a rough calculation, combining FY18 and FY19 guidance, Macquarie analysts estimate today's market release is worth some -31% in terms of to be expected reduction in market consensus forecasts post the event.

Macquarie analysts continue to expect the company will have to ramp up investment to save this company's bacon, implying the bottom is not yet behind it. Underperform. Target 88c.

Target price is $0.88 Current Price is $0.48 Difference: $0.4
If ISD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 83% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.99, suggesting upside of 106.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 4.30 cents and EPS of 7.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.1.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.40 cents and EPS of 8.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.3, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LLC  LEND LEASE CORPORATION LIMITED

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $20.06

Citi rates LLC as Buy (1) -

FY18 was slightly ahead of expectations. Citi believes increased numbers of urban regeneration projects support the earnings visibility of the business.

The broker estimates the number of these projects contributing to earnings has the potential to increase to 15 by FY21, ensuring the company is less reliant on prevailing market conditions.

Buy rating and $22.36 target maintained.

Target price is $22.36 Current Price is $20.06 Difference: $2.3
If LLC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $21.20, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 74.80 cents and EPS of 149.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 147.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 74.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 80.50 cents and EPS of 161.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 154.8, implying annual growth of 4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates LLC as Outperform (1) -

Lend Lease Group's FY18 full-year result beat the broker by 3%, thanks to a lower tax rate.

The broker tips 8% growth in FY19 driven by residential settlements and, despite a slip in provisions, the broker retains an Outperform rating, noting a growing market and the respectable 14x price-earnings multiple.

FY19 to FY21  earnings per share forecasts rise 1%-2%. Target price falls -3% to to $21.36 from $22, to reflect a sharper than expected rise in net debt.

Target price is $21.36 Current Price is $20.06 Difference: $1.3
If LLC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $21.20, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 72.90 cents and EPS of 146.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 147.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 74.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 75.40 cents and EPS of 151.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 154.8, implying annual growth of 4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates LLC as Overweight (1) -

FY18 results were ahead of estimates. Morgan Stanley found the construction result in Australia underwhelming but the absence of additional losses from engineering projects was a positive.

The broker believes attention is likely to focus on the momentum in real assets, development, investment and management.

Overweight. Target is $23.05. Industry view is Cautious.

Target price is $23.05 Current Price is $20.06 Difference: $2.99
If LLC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $21.20, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 72.90 cents and EPS of 145.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 147.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 74.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 80.20 cents and EPS of 160.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 154.8, implying annual growth of 4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates LLC as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were slightly ahead of forecasts. Ord Minnett notes, the main news, is the establishment of a residential build-for-rent JV with First State Super in the US. This will be capitalised with US$1bn in equity, US $500m from each partner.

The vehicle has acquired the company's US apartment buildings under construction which will add to realised profits in FY19. Ord Minnett maintains a Hold rating as the stock is trading above the target, which is raised to $19.75 from $19.60.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $19.75 Current Price is $20.06 Difference: minus $0.31 (current price is over target).
If LLC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $21.20, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 150.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 147.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 74.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 79.00 cents and EPS of 157.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 154.8, implying annual growth of 4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates LLC as Neutral (3) -

Second half profit growth of 5% was consistent with the first half, but quality was poor, the broker suggests. While The result actually exceed the broker's forecast, it took higher investment management revaluations to offset a "very poor" construction result.

This is a concern, given a backlog hinting at growth. Offshore businesses and new asset classes offer upside, but volatility in local construction keeps the broker on Neutral and an unchanged $19.50 target.

Target price is $19.50 Current Price is $20.06 Difference: minus $0.56 (current price is over target).
If LLC meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $21.20, suggesting upside of 5.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 73.40 cents and EPS of 147.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 147.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 74.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 71.70 cents and EPS of 144.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 154.8, implying annual growth of 4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LOV  LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

Luxury

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Overnight Price: $10.63

Citi rates LOV as Buy (1) -

International expansion is progressing faster than Citi expected, partially offset by a slowdown in like-for-like sales growth. Sales growth slowed to 4% in the fourth quarter and has continued to slow in the early weeks of FY19.

The company has indicated that operating leverage will be constrained in the short term as investment is required for new markets. Citi reiterates a Buy rating and reduces the target to $12.30 from $13.45.

Target price is $12.30 Current Price is $10.63 Difference: $1.67
If LOV meets the Citi target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.38, suggesting downside of -2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 39.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 49.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of 18.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates LOV as Outperform (1) -

Lovisa Holding's FY18 full-year result pleased the broker, thanks to strong product execution and strength in all territories.

Macquarie tips a 130 basis point rise in margin to 22.2% and seven or more store openings in each market in US, Spain and France.

The broker reduces FY19 earnings per share forecasts  -3% and FY20 is steady, as rollout accelerates. Target price rises to $11.50 from $8.80 to reflect a risk-adjusted pilot market rollout (adding $1.50 cents per share).

Outperform rating retained, the broker noting the globally proven retail concept and rollout potential of 2000+ stores.

Target price is $8.80 Current Price is $10.63 Difference: minus $1.83 (current price is over target).
If LOV meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $10.38, suggesting downside of -2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 31.50 cents and EPS of 38.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 35.30 cents and EPS of 43.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of 18.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates LOV as Underweight (5) -

FY18 results were strong but Morgan Stanley notes a much softer start to FY19. Particularly strong comparables will make FY19 even more challenging, in the broker's opinion.

Reiterate Underweight. Target is $9.50. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $9.50 Current Price is $10.63 Difference: minus $1.13 (current price is over target).
If LOV meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $10.38, suggesting downside of -2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 24.80 cents and EPS of 37.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 43.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of 18.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates LOV as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were in line with expectations. Management expects to accelerate its store roll-out in FY19. Morgans notes commentary, to date, indicates FY19 like-for-like sales are tracking below the target growth rate of 3-5%.

The broker remains attracted to the business model and believes a premium is warranted in the stock for the significant offshore opportunity. Hold rating maintained on valuation grounds. Target is raised to $10.93 from $10.74.

Target price is $10.93 Current Price is $10.63 Difference: $0.3
If LOV meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.38, suggesting downside of -2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 42.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.9.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 50.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.6, implying annual growth of 18.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MMS  MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE LIMITED

Vehicle Leasing & Salary Packaging

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Overnight Price: $15.35

Macquarie rates MMS as Neutral (3) -

McMillan Shakespeare's FY18 full-year result met the broker. The company flags increased capital and operational expenditure of $27.6 million between FY19-FY21, yielding a benefit of $20 million to $25 million.

Macquarie's earnings-per-share forecasts rise 1.3% for FY19 and 9.1% for FY20. Target price eases to $16.54 from $16.94.

Neutral rating retained, the broker citing the pay-off from the additional capital and operational expenditure.

Target price is $16.54 Current Price is $15.35 Difference: $1.19
If MMS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $16.89, suggesting upside of 10.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 79.60 cents and EPS of 122.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 112.7, implying annual growth of 7.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 72.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 92.20 cents and EPS of 141.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 124.2, implying annual growth of 10.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 82.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MND  MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $14.77

Credit Suisse rates MND as Neutral (3) -

FY18 results were in line with Credit Suisse estimates. The broker is cautious about FY19, given the company's commentary.

Trends in margins are also a headwind for the bottom line and a greater contribution from maintenance work is not expected to change the outlook. Neutral rating and $15.10 target entertained.

Target price is $15.10 Current Price is $14.77 Difference: $0.33
If MND meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $14.16, suggesting downside of -4.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 65.03 cents and EPS of 76.51 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 68.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 78.80 cents and EPS of 92.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 83.0, implying annual growth of 21.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MOE  MOELIS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $5.96

Ord Minnett rates MOE as Accumulate (2) -

First half earnings were in line with Ord Minnett estimates and up strongly. The broker expects the second half will be a busy period for the company as it looks to divest Redcape and use the recently-obtained credit license to grow personnel in the advisory business.

Accumulate maintained. Target is raised to $6.67 from $6.18.

Target price is $6.67 Current Price is $5.96 Difference: $0.71
If MOE meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 8.30 cents and EPS of 22.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.37.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 8.70 cents and EPS of 23.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.04.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MP1  MEGAPORT LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $4.03

Deutsche Bank rates MP1 as Buy (1) -

FY18 results were in line with expectations. Deutsche Bank observes the company continues to lead the global SDN market, with installations in over 221 data centres globally. Buy rating maintained. Target is $5.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.03 Difference: $0.97
If MP1 meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.91, suggesting upside of 21.8% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is -22.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is -12.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates MP1 as Buy (1) -

Megaport's earnings loss was in line with the broker but revenues fell short by -5%. The structural thematic of accelerated growth momentum in the public cloud should nevertheless continue to drive revenue growth,the broker notes, with the US expected to reach profitability by late FY20.

US customers are taking up new services faster than has been in evidence in Australia. With the company's data centres all at various stages of maturity, the broker sees increasing operating leverage as the portfolio matures. Buy retained, target rises to $5.25 from $5.20.

Target price is $5.20 Current Price is $4.03 Difference: $1.17
If MP1 meets the UBS target it will return approximately 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.91, suggesting upside of 21.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 22.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 18.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -22.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 12.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 32.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -12.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MQG  MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $123.94

Ord Minnett rates MQG as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett updates estimates following the sale of Quadrant Energy to Santos ((STO)) for US$2.5bn. Macquarie has a 21.8% stake in Quadrant. The broker estimates Macquarie could recognise a pre-tax, pre-bonus gain on sale of around $220m.

Contingent payments are not factored in at this point. Hold rating and $117 target maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $117.00 Current Price is $123.94 Difference: minus $6.94 (current price is over target).
If MQG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $117.83, suggesting downside of -4.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 565.00 cents and EPS of 810.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 802.5, implying annual growth of 5.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 561.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 585.00 cents and EPS of 837.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 844.9, implying annual growth of 5.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 589.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NCM  NEWCREST MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $20.08

Citi rates NCM as Buy (1) -

Underlying profit in FY18 was up 16% and Citi expects higher and more stable production and FY19 which should generate 35% growth in earnings per share. The broker maintains a Buy rating and reduces the target to $26.20 from $26.70.

Target price is $26.20 Current Price is $20.08 Difference: $6.12
If NCM meets the Citi target it will return approximately 30% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $21.32, suggesting upside of 6.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 31.23 cents and EPS of 105.27 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 116.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 41.64 cents and EPS of 136.89 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 122.5, implying annual growth of 5.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates NCM as Underperform (5) -

Newcrest Mining's FY18 earnings outpaced the broker by 10%, although production and cost guidance disappointed. Cash flow met guidance.

Macquarie downgrades FY19 gold and copper production forecasts by -2% and -5% and raises AISC forecast 7%. Updated guidance on grades at Cadia and Telfer triggered a -5% cut to the FY20 gold and copper forecasts.

The broker reduces FY19 and FY20 earnings forecasts by -14% and -26%, while FY21 and FY22 fall -2% and -27%.

Price target falls to $18 from $20 and Underperform rating retained.

Target price is $18.00 Current Price is $20.08 Difference: minus $2.08 (current price is over target).
If NCM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $21.32, suggesting upside of 6.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 31.23 cents and EPS of 103.45 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.56%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 116.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.63 cents and EPS of 97.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 122.5, implying annual growth of 5.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NEA  NEARMAP LTD

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $1.71

ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates NEA as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley notes the company expects FY19 to be breaking even on cash flow, which is a clear positive and a point of inflection versus the cash losses in recent periods.

The broker envisages lower churn and double-digit growth in subscribers. Overweight reiterated. Target is $1.80. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.71 Difference: $0.09
If NEA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 171.00.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 85.50.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates NEA as Overweight (1) -

The FY18 report had been pre-guided so no surprises there, explain the analysts. The outlook suggest Nearmap will reach cash flow break-even in FY19 and that is positive enough for Morgan Stanley.

Overweight rating not simply retained, but reiterated. Industry view In-Line. Price target $1.80. Earnings estimates have been pushed higher on the back of FY19 guidance.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.71 Difference: $0.09
If NEA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 171.00.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 85.50.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NSR  NATIONAL STORAGE REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.78

Macquarie rates NSR as Underperform (5) -

National Storage REIT's full-year operating earnings per share outpaced the broker by 1% but the outlook for FY19 disappointed, given the dilution from a recapitalisation announced with the result.

The recapitalisation changes the platform gearing from 38% to 30%.

Earnings-per-share forecasts fall -5.4% in FY19, -4.4% in FY20 and -5.7% in FY21, to reflect the equity-raising dilution and weak underlying growth. Target price rises 4% to $1.29 to reflect a higher net tangible asset backing.

Underperform rating retained, the broker perceiving limited growth in the portfolio and expecting a capital injection may be necessary to fund further growth.

Target price is $1.29 Current Price is $1.78 Difference: minus $0.49 (current price is over target).
If NSR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.55, suggesting downside of -12.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 10.40 cents and EPS of 10.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.0, implying annual growth of -3.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates NSR as Lighten (4) -

FY18 results were within guidance and FY19 guidance suggests to Ord Minnett underlying growth in earnings per share of 0-3%. The company has outlined a $175m capital raising which will reduce pro forma gearing to 30% from 40%.

Ord Minnett maintains a Lighten rating and raises the target to $1.55 from $1.42.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $1.55 Current Price is $1.78 Difference: minus $0.23 (current price is over target).
If NSR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.55, suggesting downside of -12.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.0, implying annual growth of -3.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OTW  OVER THE WIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $4.34

Morgans rates OTW as Add (1) -

FY18 results impressed Morgans, being 10-20% ahead of forecasts. The broker upgrades FY19 and FY20 forecasts by around 15%.

The broker retains an Add rating on the back of strong cash flow and an undemanding trading multiple. Target is raised to $4.64 from $4.03.

Target price is $4.64 Current Price is $4.34 Difference: $0.3
If OTW meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.73.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 3.50 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.69.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PLS  PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $0.83

Ord Minnett rates PLS as Hold (3) -

FY18 net loss was in line with forecasts. First DSO sales have occurred and first concentrate shipments are expected by the end of this month. Ord Minnett forecasts FY19 EBITDA of $89m.

The broker considers there may be an upside risk to volumes if commissioning goes well but is also aware of the potential downside risk to concentrate pricing over the next 12 months. Hold rating maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Current Price is $0.83. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $1.13, suggesting upside of 36.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.0, implying annual growth of 42.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

QAN  QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $6.45

Macquarie rates QAN as Outperform (1) -

On initial assessment, Macquarie analysts find Qantas has decided to launch a share buyback much quicker than anticipated, while paying out a higher than expected dividend; 10c versus 7c anticipated.

The result itself represents the top of management's guidance for FY18. The analysts continue to view the shares as "cheap". Outperform. Target $7.42.

Target price is $7.42 Current Price is $6.45 Difference: $0.97
If QAN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.72, suggesting upside of 4.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 64.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.4, implying annual growth of 35.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 67.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.9, implying annual growth of 5.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RHC  RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $57.48

Deutsche Bank rates RHC as Buy (1) -

Capio has proposed to sell its French business to Vivalto Sante for EUR425m. Ramsay Health Care's 51% owned subsidiary made an offer of EUR1bn to acquire 100% of Capio.

Ramsay is mostly interested in Capio's Nordic assets and Deutsche Bank is not ruling out another offer for the company as success would prevent a stronger competitor emerging in France. Buy. Target $64.20.

Target price is $64.20 Current Price is $57.48 Difference: $6.72
If RHC meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $59.56, suggesting upside of 3.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 269.9, implying annual growth of 3.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.3.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.3, implying annual growth of 10.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 157.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates RHC as Hold (3) -

The company's takeover target, Swedish-listed Capio, has sold its French assets to a rival, Vivalto Sante, for EUR425m. Ord Minnett suggests this latest development may stymie Ramsay's ambitions for Capio. The deal with Vivalto is not expected to close until the end of the year, so there remains time for Ramsay to lift its offer.

Hold rating and $60 target maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $60.00 Current Price is $57.48 Difference: $2.52
If RHC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $59.56, suggesting upside of 3.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 145.00 cents and EPS of 202.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 269.9, implying annual growth of 3.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.3.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 151.00 cents and EPS of 297.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 297.3, implying annual growth of 10.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 157.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RIC  RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED

Agriculture

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Overnight Price: $1.35

Credit Suisse rates RIC as Neutral (3) -

FY18 results were in line with estimates at the headline level. In FY19 the broker expects the company will need to produce strong growth in the core agricultural business just to offset the residual Maroota rendering impact and the loss of Inghams ((ING)) poultry volumes.

Neutral rating and $1.35 target maintained.

Target price is $1.35 Current Price is $1.35 Difference: $0
If RIC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.30 cents and EPS of 8.69 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.54.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.31 cents and EPS of 7.68 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.58.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

S32  SOUTH32 LIMITED

Mining

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Overnight Price: $3.45

Macquarie rates S32 as Outperform (1) -

On initial assessment, Macquarie finds the solid FY18 numbers reported by South32 were better than expected, while net cash has grown to US$2bn and management did not announce any fresh capital management initiatives.

Given challenges like rising costs, Macquarie finds the FY18 performance "impressive". Outperform. Target $4.

Target price is $4.10 Current Price is $3.45 Difference: $0.65
If S32 meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.89, suggesting upside of 12.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 21.86 cents and EPS of 30.97 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.2, implying annual growth of 10.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SAR  SARACEN MINERAL HOLDINGS LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.92

Citi rates SAR as Sell (5) -

FY18 was a year of higher gold production at lower costs but Citi questions whether output is sustainable. Net profit was a record, up 166%.

The broker notes producing 350-400,000 ounces per annum in the medium term will require growth in the ore inventory. An exploration budget of $60m in FY19 has been committed for this purpose. Sell rating maintained. Target is raised to $1.65 from $1.60.

Target price is $1.65 Current Price is $1.92 Difference: minus $0.27 (current price is over target).
If SAR meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 9.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.10.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 13.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.66.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SAR as Outperform (1) -

Saracen Minerals's FY2018 full-year result met the broker. 

Saracen plans to spend $60 million in exploration in FY19 and $80 million capital expenditure growth. The broker perceives returns from extensions at Karari and Whirling Dervish and commencement from underground drilling at Thunderbox.

Target price steady at $2.20. Outperform rating retained, the broker noting a strong trajectory and pipeline.

Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $1.92 Difference: $0.28
If SAR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 17.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.10.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 24.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.80.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SBM  ST BARBARA LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $4.17

Citi rates SBM as Sell (5) -

Operating earnings were slightly below expectations in FY18. Citi notes cost pressures in the industry are growing and operating expenditure is expected to be higher in FY19.

The broker retains a Sell rating on valuation. Target is reduced to $3.70 from $3.80.

Target price is $3.70 Current Price is $4.17 Difference: minus $0.47 (current price is over target).
If SBM meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.27, suggesting upside of 2.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.7, implying annual growth of -0.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates SBM as Neutral (3) -

FY18 results were in line with expectations. Given a record FY18 outcome, guidance for FY19 is softer with production of 350-370,000 ounces at all-in sustaining costs of  $1030-1100/oz.

Catalysts include positive deep extension drilling at Gwalia and sulphides exploration at Simberi that may support expansion. Neutral and $3.85 target retained.

Target price is $3.85 Current Price is $4.17 Difference: minus $0.32 (current price is over target).
If SBM meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.27, suggesting upside of 2.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.11 cents and EPS of 30.37 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.22 cents and EPS of 30.74 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.7, implying annual growth of -0.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates SBM as Upgrade to Hold from Sell (3) -

FY18 results were in line with expectations. Deutsche Bank notes the healthy sustainable dividend which is supported by a growing cash balance.

The company has highlighted an update to be forthcoming for Gwalia on delivery of the GMX project. Exploration at Simberi continues with an aim to increase reserves. Deutsche Bank upgrades to Hold from Sell. Target is $4.20.

Target price is $4.20 Current Price is $4.17 Difference: $0.03
If SBM meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.27, suggesting upside of 2.4% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.7, implying annual growth of -0.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SBM as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

St Barbara's 2018 full-year result broadly met the broker, and the 8c per share final dividend outpaced.

Guidance strengthened for Simberi sulphides and the broker believes its fruition is likely.

The stock reported Operating cash flow of $315 million which translated to free cash of $232 million and cash at bank plus term deposits of $344 million. The company will announce a resource and reserve update next week.

Target price steady. Broker upgrades to Outperform from Neutral citing and outstanding turnaround and growth story and delivery over the past four years. It also notes the company is financially well positioned for growth.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.17 Difference: $0.83
If SBM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.27, suggesting upside of 2.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 33.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 32.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.7, implying annual growth of -0.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SBM as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

St Barbara's FY18 result missed both Ord Minnett's and market consensus forecasts by -10% and -4% respectively. The analysts point at both misses in revenues and on costs. Higher-than-expected depreciation and amortisation (D&A) charges led to net profit of $202m versus the broker's forecast of $252m.

The good news is, the analysts declare the miss does not have a major impact on their forecasts. They are watching the pile of cash with lots of anticipation. Post a sharp share price fall, Ord Minnett raises its recommendation to Accumulate from Hold. Target price is $4.60.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.60 Current Price is $4.17 Difference: $0.43
If SBM meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.27, suggesting upside of 2.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.7, implying annual growth of -0.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SCG  SCENTRE GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $4.13

Credit Suisse rates SCG as Outperform (1) -

First half results were in line with forecasts. Credit Suisse notes that, while the company's leasing spreads a weaker than peers, maintenance expenditure is much lower versus comparable periods which suggests the company has traded off initial rent for capital.

Credit Suisse maintains an Outperform rating and lowers the target to $4.70 from $4.73.

Target price is $4.70 Current Price is $4.13 Difference: $0.57
If SCG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.46, suggesting upside of 8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.6, implying annual growth of 1050.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.5, implying annual growth of -7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SIQ  SMARTGROUP CORPORATION LTD

Vehicle Leasing & Salary Packaging

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Overnight Price: $13.24

Citi rates SIQ as Buy (1) -

First half revenue was ahead of forecasts. Citi reiterates a Buy rating and increases its profit estimates for 2018 and 20 19 by 1% and 6% respectively. Target is raised to $13.06 from $12.22.

Target price is $13.06 Current Price is $13.24 Difference: minus $0.18 (current price is over target).
If SIQ meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.08, suggesting downside of -8.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 41.00 cents and EPS of 49.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.2, implying annual growth of 68.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.7.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 45.00 cents and EPS of 57.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.8, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SIQ as Outperform (1) -

Smartgroup's CY18 half-year result met the broker, the company posting strong growth across most metrics, underpinned by organic growth in salary packages and novated leases. Cash conversion was 98%.

Broker raises earnings-per-share forecasts 1.5% in FY18, 1.2% in FY19 and 2.3% in FY20. Target price rises to $12.66 from $11.53.

Outperform rating retained, reflecting superior organic growth and operating efficiency.

Target price is $12.66 Current Price is $13.24 Difference: minus $0.58 (current price is over target).
If SIQ meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.08, suggesting downside of -8.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 43.60 cents and EPS of 61.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.2, implying annual growth of 68.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.7.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.60 cents and EPS of 66.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.8, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 45.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SLK  SEALINK TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $4.30

Ord Minnett rates SLK as Buy (1) -

FY18 results were slightly ahead of Ord Minnett estimates, although adversely affected by trading losses on the new ferry routes. The company suggests the Kingfisher acquisition is on target to deliver around $8m in EBITDA in FY19.

Ord Minnett upgrades estimates by 5% for FY19 and FY20. Target rises to $4.96 from $4.69. Buy rating maintained, as the broker considers the company well-placed for improved earnings growth in FY19.

Target price is $4.96 Current Price is $4.30 Difference: $0.66
If SLK meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 15.80 cents and EPS of 26.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.35.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 17.20 cents and EPS of 28.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.98.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SOM  SOMNOMED LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $1.99

Morgans rates SOM as Hold (3) -

FY18 results revealed a net loss of -$9.7m versus a -$4.9m loss in the prior year. The main point of the commentary was the planned closure of eight grossly underperforming RSS centres which Morgans considers a step in the right direction.

FY19 guidance is for revenue growth of 16-18% and EBITDA break-even, in line with the broker's expectations. Hold maintained. Target is reduced to $2.23 from $2.51.

Target price is $2.23 Current Price is $1.99 Difference: $0.24
If SOM meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 66.33.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 99.50.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SPK  SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $3.58

Credit Suisse rates SPK as Underperform (5) -

FY18 results were in line with forecasts. Credit Suisse highlights the importance of cost reductions to maintain the modest growth the company is pursuing, with the fixed business offsetting all gains being made in mobile and IT services.

The broker maintains an Underperform rating and raises the target to NZ$3.28 from NZ$3.21.

Current Price is $3.58. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.96 cents and EPS of 21.49 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 22.96 cents and EPS of 22.22 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of 3.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates SPK as Downgrade to Hold from Buy (3) -

FY18 results were in line with Deutsche Bank's expectations. The broker considers operations are now stable with customer numbers and digital interactions lifting.

This company is executing well and on track to cover its dividend by FY20 but the broker believes these features are captured in the price and downgrades to Hold from Buy. Target is raised to NZ$3.80 from NZ$3.75.

Current Price is $3.58. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of 3.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SPK as Neutral (3) -

Spark New Zealand's FY2018 full-year result met the broker and most metrics were steady as she goes.

Macquarie raises earnings-per-share estimates 1.2% for FY19. 0.3% for FY20 and cuts -0.3% for FY21 as higher costs are largely offset by depreciation.

Target price rises 2.8% to $NZ$3.70. Neutral rating retained.

Current Price is $3.58. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.96 cents and EPS of 21.49 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 20.20 cents and EPS of 21.95 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of 3.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates SPK as Overweight (1) -

The analysts find the FY18 performance proved in-line, with management now for the first time ever providing guidance for another 25c dividend. This increased certainty is welcomed by the analysts, who retain this stock as their most favoured yield play.

Overweight rating retained. Industry view is In-Line. Price target NZ$4.

Current Price is $3.58. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.96 cents and EPS of 22.04 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 22.96 cents and EPS of 22.96 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of 3.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SPK as Neutral (3) -

Spark NZ's result was in line and provided indications that the company's multi-brand strategy and cost-out program are working, the broker suggests.

The broker lifts earnings forecasts despite slightly lower revenue growth expected for IT services, having been too bearish on cost reduction expectations. Neutral retained, target rises to NZ$3.70 from NZ$3.50.

Current Price is $3.58. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.96 cents and EPS of 21.03 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.7.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 22.96 cents and EPS of 22.22 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of 3.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SRV  SERVCORP LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

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Overnight Price: $4.04

UBS rates SRV as Neutral (3) -

While Servcorp's result was a little softer than expected, the broker saw overall quality and solid cash flow. FY19 guidance was a little weaker than the update in May.

The ket catalyst remains reducing losses in the US, and here the broker found the company's plan of attack incrementally positive. FY19 looks achievable and risk is to the upside. The broker retains Neutral, supported by the buyback, but drops its target to $4.25 from $4.35.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $4.04 Difference: $0.21
If SRV meets the UBS target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.63.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 35.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.54.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $6.85

ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates STO as Overweight (1) -

Santos has announced the acquisition of Quadrant for US$2.15bn plus contingent payments and Morgan Stanley analysts draw a parallel with Beach Energy's ((BPT)) purchase of the Lattice operations from Origin Energy; using high leverage to buy CPI-linked gas cash flows.

The deal looks "solid" on first impression, suggest the analysts. Firstly, it reduces the company's free-cash-flow break-even point to US$32/bbl, and no additional equity is required (all debt). The expectation is that delevering of Santos' balance sheet will be quick.

Overweight rating retained. Industry view Attractive. Price target $7.

Target price is $7.00 Current Price is $6.85 Difference: $0.15
If STO meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.98, suggesting downside of -12.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 11.71 cents and EPS of 41.64 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 13.01 cents and EPS of 44.24 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.2, implying annual growth of 12.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates STO as Sell (5) -

Santos will acquire Quadrant Energy, which will boost WA production by 32%. The deal will be 60/40 debt/cash funded.

It's a low risk deal, the broker suggests, because Santos is already partnered in two of Quadrant's five operating assets, representing 60% of Quadrant's 2017 production and 70% of reserves. Synergy estimates are thus more reliable.

The broker retains Sell and a $5.55 target, not yet incorporating the deal.

Target price is $5.55 Current Price is $6.85 Difference: minus $1.3 (current price is over target).
If STO meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.98, suggesting downside of -12.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 14.31 cents and EPS of 36.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.9.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 11.71 cents and EPS of 39.04 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.2, implying annual growth of 12.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SVW  SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $21.60

Deutsche Bank rates SVW as Buy (1) -

FY18 operating earnings beat Deutsche Bank's estimates. The broker increases FY19 forecasts for earnings per share by 15% because of lower interest expense, depreciation and higher associates income.

Product support continues to build sustainable revenue which is improving earnings quality, the broker suggests. Buy rating maintained. Target is raised to $23.70 from $21.60.

Target price is $23.70 Current Price is $21.60 Difference: $2.1
If SVW meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $23.27, suggesting upside of 7.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 122.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 153.0, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SVW as Accumulate (2) -

FY18 earnings were slightly below forecasts. Growth at Coates accelerated in the second half and Ord Minnett notes WesTrac is poised for a significant uplift in new equipment sales. which suggests further upside for the stock.

The broker believes the stock is relatively inexpensive, given forecasts for 24% annual growth in earnings per share over FY18-20. Accumulate maintained. Target rises to $24.07 from $20.58.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $24.07 Current Price is $21.60 Difference: $2.47
If SVW meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $23.27, suggesting upside of 7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 45.00 cents and EPS of 130.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 122.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 147.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 153.0, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SVW as Buy (1) -

Seven Group's result beat both the broker and the midpoint of guidance, upgraded in May, by 7%. WesTrac earnings growth of 23% was a highlight, driven by record parts volumes as mine maintenance normalises. Coates Hire's 21% growth was a standout, the broker suggests.

Seven has guided to FY19 earnings growth of 25%. The broker is forecasting 31%. With mine maintenance returning to normal and infrastructure investment growing on the east coast, the broker retains Buy. Target rises to $25.00 from $23.25.

Target price is $25.00 Current Price is $21.60 Difference: $3.4
If SVW meets the UBS target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $23.27, suggesting upside of 7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 44.00 cents and EPS of 126.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 122.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 159.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 153.0, implying annual growth of 24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 47.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SYD  SYDNEY AIRPORT HOLDINGS LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $7.31

Citi rates SYD as Buy (1) -

First half earnings were slightly weaker than Citi expected. 2018 distribution guidance has been maintained.

The broker believes the near to medium-term growth story is intact, driven by ongoing passenger and retail revenue growth. Buy rating maintained.

Current Price is $7.31. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $7.48, suggesting upside of 2.3% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

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Credit Suisse rates SYD as Underperform (5) -

First half results were in line with expectations. While Credit Suisse envisages potential to benefit from operating improvements and opportunities to engage with passengers there is greater uncertainty ahead.

The broker considers there is significant risk from the Productivity Commission's review of the very favourable regulatory structure the business enjoys. Underperform rating maintained. Target rises to $6.80 from $6.75.

Target price is $6.80 Current Price is $7.31 Difference: minus $0.51 (current price is over target).
If SYD meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.48, suggesting upside of 2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 37.50 cents and EPS of 17.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 39.50 cents and EPS of 19.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates SYD as Buy (1) -

Deutsche Bank believes there is upside risk to international traffic because of solid demand in Asia and changing aircraft technology. In the short term the focus is on the pending Productivity Commission submission.

The broker believes the stock is well-placed to deliver solid cash flow and distribution growth. Buy rating maintained. Target rises to $8.00 from $7.50.

Target price is $8.00 Current Price is $7.31 Difference: $0.69
If SYD meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.48, suggesting upside of 2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 41.50 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Morgan Stanley rates SYD as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley finds the interim result was within expectations. The analysts see ongoing upside risk and see their conviction supported by management's guidance for FY19.

The broker suggests this high quality yield story will remain attractive, also because next year's regulatory review is expected to be "benign". Price target moves to $7.47 from $7.27. Equal-weight rating retained. Industry view Cautious.

Target price is $7.47 Current Price is $7.31 Difference: $0.16
If SYD meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.48, suggesting upside of 2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

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Morgans rates SYD as Hold (3) -

First half results were in line with expectations. International seat capacity growth expectations for the northern hemisphere winter are running at 4-6%. The capex budget for 2018-21 is unchanged.

Morgans envisages insufficient upside in the share price to justify a more aggressive stance and maintains a Hold rating. Target is reduced to $7.24 from $7.30.

Target price is $7.24 Current Price is $7.31 Difference: minus $0.07 (current price is over target).
If SYD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.48, suggesting upside of 2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 37.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.13%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 38.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.27%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates SYD as Buy (1) -

First half earnings were slightly below forecasts. Full year distribution guidance of 37.5 cents per share has been reaffirmed. International passenger growth accelerated to finish up 5.2% for the first half.

Ord Minnett maintains a Buy rating, with a target of $8.45.

Target price is $8.45 Current Price is $7.31 Difference: $1.14
If SYD meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.48, suggesting upside of 2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SYD as Neutral (3) -

It is unclear how Sydney's Airport's 8% first half earnings growth fared against the broker's forecast, other than "performing well". FY guidance for 9% growth is reaffirmed. Growth was achieved on flat aircraft movements, the broker notes, which is helpful to the longer term capacity outlook.

Growth is expected to moderate over the next few years and risks include greater government intervention, a potentially weaker aeronautical agreement on renewal in 2020, and pending debt maturities that are 60% unhedged on the broker's calculation.

Neutral and $7.30 target retained.

Target price is $7.30 Current Price is $7.31 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If SYD meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.48, suggesting upside of 2.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.2.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 41.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TME  TRADE ME GROUP LIMITED

Online media & mobile platforms

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Overnight Price: $4.66

Citi rates TME as Buy (1) -

FY18 results were broadly in line with expectations. Citi was pleasantly surprised by the special dividend of NZ$0.22 and estimates the company could conduct further capital returns in FY19.

The stock is trading at a discount to Australian peers with increasing exposure to the higher-growth classifieds and the broker retains a Buy rating.

Target price is $5.20 Current Price is $4.66 Difference: $0.54
If TME meets the Citi target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.20, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.1, implying annual growth of 5.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

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Deutsche Bank rates TME as Sell (5) -

FY18 results held no surprises for Deutsche Bank. Earnings growth is expected to accelerate modestly into next year on lower cost growth.

The special dividend of 22c is seen as a one-off by the broker and not the start of a series of specials, which makes the 6% jump in the share price yesterday look like over reaction.

Target rises to NZ$4.55 from NZ$4.30. Sell maintained.

Current Price is $4.66. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $5.20, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.1, implying annual growth of 5.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates TME as Upgrade to Outperform from Underperform (1) -

Trade Me Group's FY18 full-year result beat the broker and fell just shy of consensus, declaring a final dividend of 10.5c per share and a fully imputed special dividend of 22 cents per share.

Classified posted strong growth and costs were less than forecast. Gearing fell to 0.4x, well below the target of 1.0x, hence the special dividend.

Broker raises FY19/20  forecasts 3% and increases the target price to $NZ4.91 from $NZ4.25, reflecting a shift to a price-earning ratio valuation rather than a discounted cash flow valuation.

The broker upgrades to Neutral from Underperform believing operational expenditure has caught up and noticing capital management options.

Current Price is $4.66. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $5.20, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 18.83 cents and EPS of 23.69 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 22.10 cents and EPS of 27.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.1, implying annual growth of 5.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

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Morgan Stanley rates TME as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley saw an in-line FY18 result with guidance slightly above market consensus. Plus there is a special cash dividend of 22c. Overweight rating retained.

The analysts note Trade Me has become a rather rare beast in the Australian share market, offering investors an attractive dividend yield plus decent EPS growth. Industry view is Attractive. Price target NZ$5.40.

Current Price is $4.66. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $5.20, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 EPS of 24.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 25.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.1, implying annual growth of 5.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates TME as Neutral (3) -

Good cost controls led Trade Me to a beat but the big surprise was the 22c special dividend. The broker lifts its target to NZ$4.85 from NZ$4.75 given the value of the special which the broker did not foresee until FY23.

Otherwise the broker retains Neutral on lower forecast comparable earnings in FY19. While Depth revenue growth in Motors is encouraging, low car dealer profitability will constrain growth from FY20, the broker believes.

Current Price is $4.66. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $5.20, suggesting upside of 11.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 19.75 cents and EPS of 23.23 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 22.22 cents and EPS of 24.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.1, implying annual growth of 5.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TRS  THE REJECT SHOP LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $5.46

Macquarie rates TRS as Neutral (3) -

The Reject Shop's strong FY18 full-year result missed the broker. Margins rose primarily due to distribution efficiencies and a foreign exchange boost but the underlying sales performance disappointed and administration expenses rose.

Net cash was $14.8 million and the company pronounced debt covenants comfortably cleared. Capital expenditure fell.

Target price falls to $5.45 from $6.45, to reflect changes in earnings and the risk that same store sales fail to improve during November/December. Neutral rating retained, pending the pre-Christmas performance.

Target price is $5.45 Current Price is $5.46 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If TRS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.35, suggesting upside of 16.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 25.60 cents and EPS of 56.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.1, implying annual growth of 38.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 26.60 cents and EPS of 59.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.7, implying annual growth of 9.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates TRS as Equal-weight (3) -

The released FY18 hits the lower end of management's guidance, but the outlook looks "softer", in the words of the analysts, noting the first seven weeks delivered sales growth of 1% and same stores sales growth of -0.5%.

Competition remains the big bogeyman for this attempted turnaround story, suggest the analysts. They prefer to remain cautious. Price target does move to $6.10 from $5.35. Equal-weight rating retained, alongside In-Line industry view.

Target price is $6.10 Current Price is $5.46 Difference: $0.64
If TRS meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.35, suggesting upside of 16.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 60.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.1, implying annual growth of 38.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 66.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.7, implying annual growth of 9.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

VOC  VOCUS GROUP LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $2.74

Citi rates VOC as Buy (1) -

Citi reduces operating earnings by -8-10% for FY19-20. While earnings will step down in FY19 the broker considers this a re-basing for growth, and as debt levels are now under control there is scope for a return to growth in FY20.

Buy rating maintained. Target is reduced to $3.40 from $3.50.

Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.66
If VOC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.75, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.90 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates VOC as Underperform (5) -

Vocus Group delivered a FY18 full-year result at the bottom of guidance and shy of consensus.

On the upside, the broker notes a reset outlook, an improvement in cash conversion and lower capital expenditure spend, which resulted in lower net debt.

Macquarie says FY19 guidance disappoints but sees this period as a stepping stone to longer-term improvement.The broker says that while earnings growth is gaining traction and the operational improvements to do this are underway, it may take time. 

FY19 earnings estimates fall -4/9%, FY20 -5%, and FY21 -3.2%. Target price is steady at $2.50. Underperform rating retained.

Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: minus $0.24 (current price is over target).
If VOC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.75, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 19.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 22.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates VOC as Equal-weight (3) -

While the FY18 results are considered to be in-line, Morgan Stanley points out FY19 guidance is "negative", implying consensus forecasts need to have another reset lower.

As the company needs to make additional investments, the analysts believe the impact on market consensus is in the order of -5%. Equal-weight rating retained. Industry view is In-Line. Target $2.60.

Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: minus $0.14 (current price is over target).
If VOC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.75, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates VOC as Hold (3) -

FY18 results were in line with guidance. Operating cash flow was better than Morgans expected. FY19 guidance is for underlying EBITDA of $350-370m.

The broker believes the stock is a medium-term turnaround story and envisages little to move the price in the year ahead. Hold maintained. Target is raised to $2.51 from $2.44.

Target price is $2.51 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: minus $0.23 (current price is over target).
If VOC meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.75, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates VOC as Accumulate (2) -

FY18 results in FY19 guidance both fell slightly short of Ord Minnett estimates. The broker is encouraged by the new CEO's enthusiasm for the business, with upside envisaged from better top-line growth.

The broker also likes the fact that management has not shied away from the $90m in cost savings from the previous CEO's guidance. Accumulate rating and $3.30 target maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.30 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.56
If VOC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.75, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates VOC as Neutral (3) -

Vocus' FY18 result met low expectations, but FY19 guidance is disappointing due to a step-up in D&A. The broker suggests a positive share price reaction reflects cash earnings, rather than accounting earnings.

Here the numbers look good, with free cash flow conversion hitting 88%, up from 52% in FY17. It's the best result since "the merger" (presumably with M2, given Amcom was the year before) the broker notes. Neutral and $2.60 target retained.

Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: minus $0.14 (current price is over target).
If VOC meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.75, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.1, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WES  WESFARMERS LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $50.80

Deutsche Bank rates WES as Hold (3) -

Wesfarmers has agreed to sell its 13.2% stake in Quadrant Energy to Santos ((STO)) for US$170m. The deal is expected to close in the second or third quarter of FY19 but is subject to ACCC approval.

Hold rating. Target is $48.

Target price is $48.00 Current Price is $50.80 Difference: minus $2.8 (current price is over target).
If WES meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $47.41, suggesting downside of -6.7% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 273.3, implying annual growth of 158.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 228.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 273.8, implying annual growth of 0.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 235.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WGN  WAGNERS HOLDING COMPANY LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $4.00

Credit Suisse rates WGN as Outperform (1) -

FY18 results were below expectations albeit in line with prospectus. Credit Suisse re-bases earnings lower to reflect FY18 results.

The broker believes the company has a substantial opportunity which means earnings could be materially higher than forecast on a three-year view. LNG projects could be in the order of $100m in revenue per annum.

Outperform rating reiterated. Target is $4.20.

Target price is $4.20 Current Price is $4.00 Difference: $0.2
If WGN meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.99, suggesting downside of -0.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 9.80 cents and EPS of 16.41 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 9.40 cents and EPS of 15.62 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.1, implying annual growth of -4.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates WGN as Underperform (5) -

Wagners Holding's FY2018 full-year result met prospectus forecasts, thanks to strong volume. However, working capital management yielded a weak cash position undermining the result.

The broker expects structural changes to the market could compromise the strong volume position, which needs to gain more traction.

Macquarie raises FY19 and FY20 earnings-per-share estimates 2% and 4% respectively, driven largely by lower interest charges. Target price inches up to 3.35 from $3.25.

Underperform rating retained, the broker concerned about market headwinds throughout FY19 given the company's reliance on a narrow revenue stream.

Target price is $3.35 Current Price is $4.00 Difference: minus $0.65 (current price is over target).
If WGN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.99, suggesting downside of -0.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 17.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 8.20 cents and EPS of 13.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.1, implying annual growth of -4.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates WGN as Add (1) -

Despite wet weather in March and the timing of a resource project, the company was still able to achieve prospectus forecasts for FY18. Morgans assumes a slower rate of rolling out of fixed plants and marginally lowers cement and concrete volumes.

At this stage no work is assumed from offshore. Morgans maintains an Add rating and reduces the target to $4.43 from $4.64.

Target price is $4.43 Current Price is $4.00 Difference: $0.43
If WGN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.99, suggesting downside of -0.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.1, implying annual growth of -4.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WOR  WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED

Energy Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $19.85

Citi rates WOR as Buy (1) -

FY18 results were weaker than expected. While the stock price has re-rated over the past year Citi reiterates a Buy rating given an improving environment for demand and a pick up in the contract win rate.

The broker believes the recent cost reduction program has increased the operating leverage to a recovery in end markets. Target is raised to $21.45 from $18.50.

Target price is $21.45 Current Price is $19.85 Difference: $1.6
If WOR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.44, suggesting downside of -7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 46.50 cents and EPS of 82.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 65.00 cents and EPS of 104.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.1, implying annual growth of 20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates WOR as Hold (3) -

The company's FY18 results revealed some concerns for Deutsche Bank despite showing signs of improvement in market conditions.

Revenue growth was only achieved through acquisitions. Hydrocarbons organic revenue growth was down -9% in the second half and backlog growth was driven by the MMC sector. The company is benefiting from recovering conditions but the broker believes this is largely reflected in the share price.

Target raised to $18.22 from $18.10 and Hold rating maintained.

Target price is $18.22 Current Price is $19.85 Difference: minus $1.63 (current price is over target).
If WOR meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $18.44, suggesting downside of -7.1% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.1, implying annual growth of 20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates WOR as Outperform (1) -

Worley Parson's FY2018 full-year result fell a tad shy of the broker.

Macquarie cites strong lead indicators: a 7% increase in backlog, 21 material contract wins over the past year, and a 2% rise in staff; and expects this will yield revenue traction in FY19.

The broker also cites the company's margin leverage in relation to overhead reduction. Cash and net debt ouperformed. Full year cash conversion of 95% (143% in second half) was the best in years.

Broker increases FY20, FY21 and FY22 earnings per share forecasts 2.7%, 3.2% and 4.4% respectively to reflect the pipeline and margin leverage, lower tax and lower $A forecasts. FY19 estimates are steady.

Target price rises to $20.05 from $17.70 to reflect earnings upgrades. Outperform rating retained.

Target price is $20.05 Current Price is $19.85 Difference: $0.2
If WOR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.44, suggesting downside of -7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 38.10 cents and EPS of 83.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 45.80 cents and EPS of 99.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.1, implying annual growth of 20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates WOR as Downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight (3) -

Reported FY18 financials were in line with expectations, comment the analysts. Morgan Stanley observes the stock has regained its sector premium in recent times and thinks it's now most appropriate to downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight.

WorleyParsons is performing well, conclude the analysts, adding the cycle looks good, but it will take time for earnings to grow significantly. Price target lifts to $20.13 from $18.70.

Target price is $20.13 Current Price is $19.85 Difference: $0.28
If WOR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $18.44, suggesting downside of -7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 77.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 52.00 cents and EPS of 86.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.1, implying annual growth of 20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WOR as Buy (1) -

FY18 underlying net profit was below forecasts. Ord Minnett notes earnings growth was entirely driven by the Amec Foster Wheeler acquisition and not by cyclical improvement.

Nevertheless, the broker has a positive view on the stock as key indicators continue to firm. Buy rating maintained. Target rises to $19.40 from $19.30.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $19.40 Current Price is $19.85 Difference: minus $0.45 (current price is over target).
If WOR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $18.44, suggesting downside of -7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 81.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 54.00 cents and EPS of 92.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.1, implying annual growth of 20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates WOR as Neutral (3) -

WorleyParsons reported slightly below the broker. Earnings growth of 16% was supported by the acquisition of UKIS, with underlying growth closer to 8%. Cash flow stood out, the broker notes, leading to debt reduction and a beat on the dividend.

No FY19 guidance was provided but commentary was "predictably" upbeat. The broker believes the share price adequately captures the gradual recovery in global oil & gas capex spend anticipated. Neutral retained, target rises to $19.30 from $19.00.

Target price is $19.30 Current Price is $19.85 Difference: minus $0.55 (current price is over target).
If WOR meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $18.44, suggesting downside of -7.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 76.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 49.00 cents and EPS of 89.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 94.1, implying annual growth of 20.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WSA  WESTERN AREAS NL

Nickel

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Overnight Price: $2.74

Citi rates WSA as Neutral (3) -

FY18 results were below expectations. Citi maintains a Neutral rating and $3.20 target in the expectation of higher nickel prices in the medium term.

FY19 guidance is disappointing, with flat production of 20,500-22,000t at higher costs.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.46
If WSA meets the Citi target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting upside of 19.9% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates WSA as Outperform (1) -

FY18 results were in line with expectations although FY19 guidance disappointed Credit Suisse. The company is forecasting 20,500-22,000t of nickel at $2.80-3.20/lb.

Outperform rating and target reduced to $3.00 from $3.40.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.26
If WSA meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting upside of 19.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 17.42 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 23.98 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Deutsche Bank rates WSA as Buy (1) -

FY18 net profit was below estimates because of higher costs associated with employee benefits and D&A.

Deutsche Bank notes higher costs have become a trend in Western Australia's mining sector and the company has also pointed to higher contractor rates and the rolling over of the discounts negotiated during a low nickel price environment.

Nevertheless, the broker has a positive medium term outlook for nickel and a Buy rating is maintained. Target is reduced to $3.80 from $4.00.

Target price is $3.80 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $1.06
If WSA meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately 39% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting upside of 19.9% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates WSA as Outperform (1) -

Western Areas' FY18 full-year result and dividend met the broker, but FY19 production and cost guidance was weak reflecting rising industry cost pressures, and exploration costs were likely to rise.

Macquarie cuts FY19 earnings-per-share forecasts -21% and rolls forward higher costs to the medium term, to result in a cut to FY20 and FY21 estimates of 11% and 10% respectively.

Target price falls to $3.80 from $4.10 to reflect the softer earnings outlook.

Outperform rating retained, the broker citing a solid cash flow result and says the company is strongly leveraged to Macquarie's forecast rise in the nickel price.

Target price is $3.80 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $1.06
If WSA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 39% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting upside of 19.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 29.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 35.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates WSA as Underweight (5) -

There was a lot not to like in the released FY18 report, because there are "misses" everywhere, but it appears Morgan Stanley is most disappointed by FY19 guidance, which is also a "miss".

In general terms, the broker likes this company, thinks of it as a quality company, yet its share price is seen as too high. Underweight. Industry view In-Line. Target $2.75.

Target price is $2.75 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.01
If WSA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting upside of 19.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WSA as Upgrade to Buy from Hold (1) -

Underlying, Western Areas' FY18 result fell short by some -4% on lower than expected revenues. On reported numbers, net profits came out well short; $12m versus $17 expected. FY19 guidance is a disappointment too.

Ord Minnett analysts make a trip through memory lane, surmising how management has a long track record for meeting and beating guidance, but the 20% increase in costs did come as a shock.

Can the Odysseus definitive feasibility study (DFS) to be released in September, turn things around for the share price? Ord Minnett remains hopeful, and has on this premise upgraded to Speculative Buy from Hold. Target price lost -5% to $3.60.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.86
If WSA meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting upside of 19.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates WSA as Neutral (3) -

Western Area's FY18 result was in line but guidance to higher costs in FY19 has the broker downgrading its profit forecast by -36%. The broker nevertheless likes the EV thematic and the miner's leverage to the nickel price, which it sees as rising.

The next catalyst is the Odysseus project feasibility study due next month. The risk is capex is higher than assumed given aforementioned rising costs, the broker notes. Neutral retained, target falls to $2.85 from $3.50.

Target price is $2.85 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $0.11
If WSA meets the UBS target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting upside of 19.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.3, implying annual growth of 29.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WTC  WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $22.69

Citi rates WTC as Neutral (3) -

FY19 revenue guidance is robust and, while Citi maintains forecasts, the target price is increased $20.83 from $16.21. The broker maintains a Neutral rating.

The company has guided to FY19 revenue of $315-325m, up 42-47%.

Target price is $20.83 Current Price is $22.69 Difference: minus $1.86 (current price is over target).
If WTC meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $14.74, suggesting downside of -35.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.10 cents and EPS of 19.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 117.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 123.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.50 cents and EPS of 26.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 86.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.3, implying annual growth of 42.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 86.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Morgan Stanley rates WTC as Overweight (1) -

WiseTech Global's FY18 report marked a small beat of forecasts, comment the analysts. They anticipate a "meaningful" increase in consensus expectations regarding company revenues following management's first time forward guidance.

Overweight rating retained, alongside $17 price target (but we have the impression this might change upon further updating the model). The final sentence on page one of today's report seems some serious understatement in light of share price action yesterday and today: "We expect the market to respond positively." Industry view is Attractive.

Target price is $17.00 Current Price is $22.69 Difference: minus $5.69 (current price is over target).
If WTC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $14.74, suggesting downside of -35.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.70 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 133.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 123.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 94.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.3, implying annual growth of 42.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 86.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WTC as Hold (3) -

FY18 earnings were ahead of expectations. FY19 revenue guidance implies a 15-20% organic growth. FY19 EBITDA guidance suggests slightly softer margins, largely because of dilution from acquisitions, which Ord Minnett believes should not come as a major surprise.

The broker is surprised, however, by the share price reaction, up 27%. Hold rating maintained. Target rises to $17.00 from $14.96.

Target price is $17.00 Current Price is $22.69 Difference: minus $5.69 (current price is over target).
If WTC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $14.74, suggesting downside of -35.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 3.90 cents and EPS of 19.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 118.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 123.3.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.50 cents and EPS of 28.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 79.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.3, implying annual growth of 42.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 86.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Summaries
A2M A2 MILK Sell - Citi Overnight Price $10.65
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $10.65
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $10.65
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $10.65
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $10.65
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $10.65
AAD ARDENT LEISURE Buy - Citi Overnight Price $1.89
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $1.89
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.89
ABC ADELAIDE BRIGHTON Sell - Citi Overnight Price $6.25
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $6.25
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $6.25
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.25
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $6.25
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.25
AIZ AIR NEW ZEALAND Sell - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $3.03
ALU ALTIUM Upgrade to Neutral from Sell - UBS Overnight Price $29.38
APA APA Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $9.40
No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.40
No Rating - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.40
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $9.40
APE AP EAGERS Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $7.89
APT AFTERPAY TOUCH Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $18.55
ARB ARB CORP Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $19.87
ATL APOLLO TOURISM & LEISURE Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.60
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.60
BAP BAPCOR LIMITED Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.89
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $6.89
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $6.89
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $6.89
BHP BHP BILLITON Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $32.53
BIN BINGO INDUSTRIES Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.01
CAR CARSALES.COM Sell - Citi Overnight Price $15.29
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $15.29
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $15.29
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $15.29
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $15.29
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $15.29
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $15.29
CCL COCA-COLA AMATIL Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $9.81
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $9.81
Sell - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $9.81
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.81
Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.81
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $9.81
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.81
Downgrade to Sell from Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $9.81
CHC CHARTER HALL Buy - Citi Overnight Price $6.78
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.78
Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.78
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $6.78
CTD CORPORATE TRAVEL Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $29.71
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $29.71
Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $29.71
Downgrade to Hold from Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $29.71
Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - UBS Overnight Price $29.71
CWP CEDAR WOODS PROPERTIES Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $6.22
CWY CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $1.97
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.97
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.97
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.97
Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - UBS Overnight Price $1.97
DTL DATA#3 Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.63
FBU FLETCHER BUILDING Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $5.84
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $5.84
No Rating - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.84
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $5.84
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $5.84
FLT FLIGHT CENTRE Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $61.84
FXL FLEXIGROUP Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.19
HSO HEALTHSCOPE Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.21
IDR INDUSTRIA REIT Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $2.68
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.68
IEL IDP EDUCATION Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.72
ING INGHAMS GROUP Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.78
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.78
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.78
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $3.78
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $3.78
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $3.78
IOF INVESTA OFFICE Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $5.08
ISD ISENTIA Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.48
LLC LEND LEASE CORP Buy - Citi Overnight Price $20.06
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $20.06
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $20.06
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $20.06
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $20.06
LOV LOVISA Buy - Citi Overnight Price $10.63
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $10.63
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $10.63
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $10.63
MMS MCMILLAN SHAKESPEARE Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $15.35
MND MONADELPHOUS GROUP Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $14.77
MOE MOELIS AUSTRALIA Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.96
MP1 MEGAPORT Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.03
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $4.03
MQG MACQUARIE GROUP Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $123.94
NCM NEWCREST MINING Buy - Citi Overnight Price $20.08
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $20.08
NEA NEARMAP Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.71
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.71
NSR NATIONAL STORAGE Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.78
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.78
OTW OVER THE WIRE HOLDINGS Ltd Add - Morgans Overnight Price $4.34
PLS PILBARA MINERALS Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.83
QAN QANTAS AIRWAYS Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $6.45
RHC RAMSAY HEALTH CARE Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $57.48
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $57.48
RIC RIDLEY CORP Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $1.35
S32 SOUTH32 Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.45
SAR SARACEN MINERAL Sell - Citi Overnight Price $1.92
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.92
SBM ST BARBARA Sell - Citi Overnight Price $4.17
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $4.17
Upgrade to Hold from Sell - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.17
Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.17
Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.17
SCG SCENTRE GROUP Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $4.13
SIQ SMARTGROUP Buy - Citi Overnight Price $13.24
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $13.24
SLK SEALINK TRAVEL Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.30
SOM SOMNOMED Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.99
SPK SPARK NEW ZEALAND Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.58
Downgrade to Hold from Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $3.58
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.58
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $3.58
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $3.58
SRV SERVCORP Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $4.04
STO SANTOS Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $6.85
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $6.85
SVW SEVEN GROUP Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $21.60
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $21.60
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $21.60
SYD SYDNEY AIRPORT Buy - Citi Overnight Price $7.31
Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $7.31
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $7.31
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $7.31
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $7.31
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $7.31
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $7.31
TME TRADE ME GROUP Buy - Citi Overnight Price $4.66
Sell - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $4.66
Upgrade to Outperform from Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.66
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $4.66
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $4.66
TRS THE REJECT SHOP Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.46
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $5.46
VOC VOCUS GROUP Buy - Citi Overnight Price $2.74
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.74
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.74
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $2.74
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.74
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.74
WES WESFARMERS Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $50.80
WGN WAGNERS HOLDING Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $4.00
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.00
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $4.00
WOR WORLEYPARSONS Buy - Citi Overnight Price $19.85
Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $19.85
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $19.85
Downgrade to Equal-weight from Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $19.85
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $19.85
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $19.85
WSA WESTERN AREAS Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $2.74
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.74
Buy - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $2.74
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.74
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.74
Upgrade to Buy from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.74
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.74
WTC WISETECH GLOBAL Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $22.69
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $22.69
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $22.69
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

60

2. Accumulate

4

3. Hold

77

4. Reduce

5

5. Sell

24

Thursday 23 August 2018

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.