Australian Broker Call

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July 12, 2018

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1)

THIS REPORT WILL BE UPDATED SHORTLY

Last Updated: 10:55 AM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
CLW - CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
FPH - FISHER & PAYKEL HEALTHCARE Downgrade to Sell from Neutral Citi
IVC - INVOCARE Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
LOV - LOVISA Downgrade to Underweight from Equal-weight Morgan Stanley
SHL - SONIC HEALTHCARE Upgrade to Neutral from Sell Citi
SKI - SPARK INFRASTRUCTURE Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral Credit Suisse
SYD - SYDNEY AIRPORT Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral Credit Suisse
AGL  AGL ENERGY LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $21.41

Macquarie rates AGL as Neutral (3) -

The broker estimates the ACCC's electricity price recommendations, which imply -$37-62MWh lower prices, would cost AGL -$0.47-1.09 in value. The broker had already factored in such a scenario and as a result retains a $22.50 target and Neutral rating.

The broker believes the lower end of the value decrease is more likely and thus suggests yesterday's price reaction was overdone.

Target price is $22.50 Current Price is $21.41 Difference: $1.09
If AGL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $23.86, suggesting upside of 11.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 114.00 cents and EPS of 151.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 153.7, implying annual growth of 90.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 112.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 121.00 cents and EPS of 161.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 163.7, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 121.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates AGL as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley is surprised at the share price falls after the ACCC's electricity inquiry report. The broker believes the moves in the share price imply a -30% weighting to the downside case, which is considered too high.

Implementing the recommendations would not be straightforward, the broker acknowledges, and prefers Origin Energy ((ORG)) where, if the proposed reduction in wholesale costs occurs, the effect would be at least neutral, as Origin is a net purchaser of energy.

Equal-weight rating. Target is $22.88. Industry view: Cautious.

Target price is $22.88 Current Price is $21.41 Difference: $1.47
If AGL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $23.86, suggesting upside of 11.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 114.00 cents and EPS of 152.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 153.7, implying annual growth of 90.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 112.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 124.00 cents and EPS of 165.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 163.7, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 121.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Ord Minnett rates AGL as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett believes the ACCC report into electricity retailing has caught investors by surprise because of the notion of price re-regulation at a federal level. The broker retains a view that this would only serve to reduce market competition and any decrease in unit retail margins would be offset by market share gains by the incumbents.

The broker considers a reaction to the recommendations overdone and reiterates an Accumulate rating. Target is $24.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $24.50 Current Price is $21.41 Difference: $3.09
If AGL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $23.86, suggesting upside of 11.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 113.00 cents and EPS of 173.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 153.7, implying annual growth of 90.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 112.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 128.00 cents and EPS of 171.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 163.7, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 121.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANN  ANSELL LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

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Overnight Price: $27.55

Citi rates ANN as Neutral (3) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

Ansell retains its Neutral rating, while the price target improves to $27 from $24.25.

Target price is $27.00 Current Price is $27.55 Difference: minus $0.55 (current price is over target).
If ANN meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $26.66, suggesting downside of -3.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 56.80 cents and EPS of 130.91 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 141.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 58.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 60.03 cents and EPS of 151.43 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 160.0, implying annual growth of 12.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AQG  ALACER GOLD CORP

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $2.58

Credit Suisse rates AQG as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse notes the June quarter was strong and 2018 oxide guidance has been upgraded to 110-130,000 ounces while cost guidance is lowered. Sulphide expectations are unchanged and on schedule for commissioning in the September quarter.

Outperform rating and $5.30 target maintained.

Target price is $5.30 Current Price is $2.58 Difference: $2.72
If AQG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 105% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.00, suggesting upside of 55.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 5.68 cents and EPS of 21.64 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 51.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.9, implying annual growth of 450.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates AQG as Outperform (1) -

Successful exploration has led Alacer to increase 2018 Copler production guidance. The company's sulphide project remains on track, the broker notes, with first gold expected this quarter.

First gold will be a key catalyst for the stock, the broker suggests. Outperform and $3.00 target retained.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.58 Difference: $0.42
If AQG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.00, suggesting upside of 55.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.29 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 199.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.16 cents and EPS of 16.14 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.9, implying annual growth of 450.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AST  AUSNET SERVICES

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $1.57

Credit Suisse rates AST as Neutral (3) -

Draft rate of return guidelines have been released by the Australian Energy Regulator to determine the next five-year periods from 2020. The reduction to allowed equity risk premium is worse than Credit Suisse expected.

A clear agenda to reduce the network outperformance versus allowances has emerged as a response to high energy prices, in the broker's view. AusNet is already on a cash tax-paying position and should be in a better position than Spark Infrastructure ((SKI)), in the broker's opinion.

Neutral rating maintained. Target is reduced to $1.55 from $1.80.

Target price is $1.55 Current Price is $1.57 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If AST meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.74, suggesting upside of 10.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of -19.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.2.

Forecast for FY20:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.4, implying annual growth of -1.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BRG  BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $11.59

Ord Minnett rates BRG as Buy (1) -

The latest US trade tariffs are an incremental negative for Breville, Ord Minnett suggests, not because there is a specific impact but because it represents an escalation of the US/China trade conflict into consumer goods.

The tariffs now include items such as cooking stoves, ranges and ovens for domestic purposes. Coffee and juice makers remain off the list for now but the broker awaits a Chinese response.

Buy rating and $15.60 target maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $15.60 Current Price is $11.59 Difference: $4.01
If BRG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.56, suggesting upside of 17.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.6, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 54.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.5, implying annual growth of 15.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CBA  COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks

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Overnight Price: $74.63

Morgan Stanley rates CBA as Underweight (5) -

Commonwealth Bank has re-rated recently and Morgan Stanley observes the PE multiple is back in keeping with the long-run average.

Nevertheless, the broker believes the stock remains in a downgrade cycle and benefits of home loan re-pricing are already factored in.

Underweight. Price target is $64. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $64.00 Current Price is $74.63 Difference: minus $10.63 (current price is over target).
If CBA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $73.63, suggesting downside of -1.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 430.00 cents and EPS of 507.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 537.0, implying annual growth of -7.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 428.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 430.00 cents and EPS of 535.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 562.5, implying annual growth of 4.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 437.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CLW  CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $4.29

UBS rates CLW as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

UBS downgrades to Neutral from Buy on the back of a strong performance in the share price. The broker expects the asset mix to remain in demand but this is incorporated in the price, while there is increased uncertainty around acquisitions.

Security holders are being asked to approve the sale of the ATO building in Adelaide. After taking into account the divestment of Grace Logistics, WW Dandenong's final payment and this building sale, UBS expects the company to swiftly deploy proceeds to maintain a growing distribution profile. Target is unchanged at $4.25.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $4.29 Difference: minus $0.04 (current price is over target).
If CLW meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.11, suggesting downside of -4.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 26.30 cents and EPS of 26.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.1, implying annual growth of 14.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 27.60 cents and EPS of 27.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.1, implying annual growth of 3.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

COH  COCHLEAR LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $201.94

Citi rates COH as Neutral (3) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

Ironically, and this notwithstanding current valuations, Citi sees greatest potential for positive news in August with CSL, Cochlear, and ResMed. Target price for Cochlear has jumped to $196.50 from $175. Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $196.50 Current Price is $201.94 Difference: minus $5.44 (current price is over target).
If COH meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $172.64, suggesting downside of -14.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 308.00 cents and EPS of 440.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 432.6, implying annual growth of 11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 307.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.7.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 362.00 cents and EPS of 501.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 496.3, implying annual growth of 14.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 348.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $198.19

Citi rates CSL as Buy (1) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a litle bit of caution seems justified. Key pick is CSL, with earnings risk still considered to the upside.

Ironically, and this notwithstanding current valuations, Citi sees greatest potential for positive news in August with CSL, Cochlear, and ResMed. Target price for CSL has jumped to $232 from $215. Buy rating retained.

Target price is $232.00 Current Price is $198.19 Difference: $33.81
If CSL meets the Citi target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $192.38, suggesting downside of -2.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 211.72 cents and EPS of 494.58 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 515.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 224.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 264.65 cents and EPS of 567.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 581.1, implying annual growth of 12.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 257.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.1.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CTD  CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $27.50

Macquarie rates CTD as Neutral (3) -

Corporate Travel has announced a $40m capital raising to cover all of the cost of acquiring 75.1% of Lotus Travel, which would make the company the biggest player in Hong Kong. The broker sees multiple synergy levers that can be pulled across cost, suppliers and systems.

More M&A is required to drive scale and offshore growth, the broker suggests, and given a strong balance sheet, the broker assumes the raising is to provide near term acquisition flexibility. Target rises to $26.00 from $24.10. Neutral retained on valuation.

Target price is $26.00 Current Price is $27.50 Difference: minus $1.5 (current price is over target).
If CTD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $26.67, suggesting downside of -3.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 39.40 cents and EPS of 78.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 80.7, implying annual growth of 50.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.1.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 54.70 cents and EPS of 91.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.3, implying annual growth of 18.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CTD as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley considers the acquisition of Lotus offers marginal near-term accretion, albeit with significant longer-term upside from improved margins and synergies.

The deal underpins the contribution from Asia to the 22% earnings growth factored into the broker's FY20 estimates.

Morgan Stanley reiterates an Overweight rating, In-Line industry view and $31 target.

Target price is $31.00 Current Price is $27.50 Difference: $3.5
If CTD meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.67, suggesting downside of -3.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 80.7, implying annual growth of 50.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.1.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 47.00 cents and EPS of 99.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.3, implying annual growth of 18.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CTD as Buy (1) -

Corporate Travel is expected to generate around $2.5bn in transaction value from Asia after the Lotus acquisition. UBS believes Europe and North America are the next areas the company is likely to focus on.

Momentum within the broader business is strong and market share gains are expected to accelerate in the second half. The broker envisages strong growth opportunities from the roll-out of the technology in Asia and North America in the short to medium term. Buy rating and $27.50 target maintained.

Target price is $27.50 Current Price is $27.50 Difference: $0
If CTD meets the UBS target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.67, suggesting downside of -3.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 32.20 cents and EPS of 79.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 80.7, implying annual growth of 50.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.1.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 37.60 cents and EPS of 92.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.3, implying annual growth of 18.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DCN  DACIAN GOLD LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $3.01

Macquarie rates DCN as Outperform (1) -

Dacian has announced a capital raising via placement and SPP, looking to secure $45m at $2.70 per share. The money will be used to extinguish the production royalty on the Jupiter mine, the broker notes, and to accelerate exploration at Cameron Well.

The broker is surprised at the raising given a solid cash balance, but sees merit in the royalty buyout. Outperform retained, target falls to $3.60 from $3.70.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $3.01 Difference: $0.59
If DCN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 7.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 40.13.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 25.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.71.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FPH  FISHER & PAYKEL HEALTHCARE CORPORATION LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $13.53

Citi rates FPH as Downgrade to Sell from Neutral (5) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

Rating is downgraded to Sell from Neutral following share price rally. Price target falls to NZ$12.50 from NZ$13.40.

Current Price is $13.53. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 35.12 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.7.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 24.86 cents and EPS of 39.75 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.7, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.1.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HSO  HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $2.21

Citi rates HSO as Neutral (3) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

Healthscope remains on Neutral with a lower price target; $2.20 instead of $2.40.

Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $2.21 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If HSO meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.30, suggesting upside of 4.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 6.70 cents and EPS of 9.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.6, implying annual growth of 2.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.0.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 6.70 cents and EPS of 10.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.2, implying annual growth of 6.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IVC  INVOCARE LIMITED

Consumer Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $13.82

Citi rates IVC as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

Ironically, InvoCare is part of the healthcare sector at Citi. Rating downgraded to Neutral from Buy following share price appreciation. Price target improves to $14.25 from $14.

Target price is $14.25 Current Price is $13.82 Difference: $0.43
If IVC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.39, suggesting downside of -10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 46.70 cents and EPS of 55.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.3, implying annual growth of -36.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 49.60 cents and EPS of 59.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of 8.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KLA  KIRKLAND LAKE GOLD LTD

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $28.21

Macquarie rates KLA as Outperform (1) -

Kirkland's June Q gold production was up 12% quarter on quarter, beating the broker's forecast by 10%. The miner is on track to exceed 2018 production guidance, the broker notes.

Kirkland is trading at a premium to peers but the broker sees this as justified given its growth profile, low costs and strong balance sheet. Target rises to $33 from $30, Outperform and "a top pick" retained.

Target price is $33.00 Current Price is $28.21 Difference: $4.79
If KLA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 12.91 cents and EPS of 152.34 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.52.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 12.91 cents and EPS of 200.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.10.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LLC  LEND LEASE CORPORATION LIMITED

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $19.95

Ord Minnett rates LLC as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett continues to believe Lend Lease is well-positioned and has a favourable industry backdrop for competing and winning new projects. The broker continues to forecast relatively strong earnings growth for FY19 and FY20.

Barangaroo South and Docklands apartment projects are considered the key earnings drivers for the next 3-5 years. Hold rating maintained. Target is lowered to $19.60 from $20.00.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $19.60 Current Price is $19.95 Difference: minus $0.35 (current price is over target).
If LLC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $18.75, suggesting downside of -6.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 66.00 cents and EPS of 132.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 131.5, implying annual growth of 1.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 65.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 150.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 146.8, implying annual growth of 11.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 73.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LOV  LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

Luxury

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Overnight Price: $10.10

Morgan Stanley rates LOV as Downgrade to Underweight from Equal-weight (5) -

Morgan Stanley believes Lovisa is an expensive stock. While acknowledging the options in a global roll-out the broker suggests that maintaining the multiple is crucial to the steeper and longer-dated growth profile.

Regardless of the potential, the broker envisages the stock has elevated execution risks and lower terminal multiple than others which have engaged in such a roll-out. Rating is downgraded to Underweight from Equal-weight. Target is raised to $9.50 from $5.05. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $9.50 Current Price is $10.10 Difference: minus $0.6 (current price is over target).
If LOV meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.68, suggesting downside of -4.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 23.60 cents and EPS of 33.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.8, implying annual growth of 22.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 24.80 cents and EPS of 37.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.0, implying annual growth of 15.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MND  MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $14.30

Citi rates MND as Sell (5) -

Citi believes Monadelphous is well-placed to capitalise on the anticipated increase in mining engineering and construction expenditure in Western Australia. However, potential contract wins in iron ore are only likely to contribute materially in the first half of FY20.

The company has benefited from the LNG construction cycle but, given Ichthys-related work is expected to be completed in early FY19, this division's revenue is likely to decline by around -10%, in Citi's view.

Sell rating maintained. Target is reduced to $13.25 from $13.40.

Target price is $13.25 Current Price is $14.30 Difference: minus $1.05 (current price is over target).
If MND meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $15.28, suggesting upside of 6.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 63.00 cents and EPS of 75.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 77.2, implying annual growth of 25.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 63.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 61.50 cents and EPS of 69.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.6, implying annual growth of -2.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 64.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NST  NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LTD

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $7.11

Credit Suisse rates NST as Underperform (5) -

Production expectations for FY19 have been increased as Credit Suisse calculates how the Jubilee plant may be utilised across available ore sources. The broker acknowledges the path to production is unclear but upgrades earnings assumptions as well.

Target is raised to $5.20 from $4.55. Underperform rating maintained.

Target price is $5.20 Current Price is $7.11 Difference: minus $1.91 (current price is over target).
If NST meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.91, suggesting downside of -16.9% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.2, implying annual growth of -7.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 47.9, implying annual growth of 44.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OGC  OCEANAGOLD CORPORATION

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $3.81

Credit Suisse rates OGC as Outperform (1) -

June quarter production was strong, up 14%. Credit Suisse observes Haile is consistently achieving gold recoveries while exploration results at Waihi are underpinning projected life extension.

The broker has retained an Outperform rating and $3.80 target.

Target price is $3.80 Current Price is $3.81 Difference: minus $0.01 (current price is over target).
If OGC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.60, suggesting upside of 20.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 2.58 cents and EPS of 31.89 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 2.58 cents and EPS of 20.08 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.3, implying annual growth of 11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ORG  ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $9.58

Morgan Stanley rates ORG as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley is surprised at the share price falls after the ACCC's electricity inquiry report. The broker believes the moves in the share price imply a -30% weighting to the downside case, which is considered too high.

Implementing the recommendations would not be straightforward, the broker acknowledges, and prefers Origin Energy over AGL ((AGL)) where, if the proposed reduction in wholesale costs occurs, the effect would be at least neutral, as Origin is a net purchaser of energy.

Overweight rating, $10.88 target and Cautious industry view maintained.

Target price is $10.88 Current Price is $9.58 Difference: $1.3
If ORG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.12, suggesting upside of 5.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 58.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 55.50 cents and EPS of 85.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 79.8, implying annual growth of 48.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Ord Minnett rates ORG as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett believes the ACCC report into electricity retailing has caught investors by surprise because of the notion of price re-regulation at a federal level.

The broker retains a view that this would only serve to reduce market competition and any decrease in unit retail margins would be offset by market share gains by the incumbents.

The broker considers a reaction to the recommendations overdone and reiterates an Accumulate rating. Target is $10.40.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $10.40 Current Price is $9.58 Difference: $0.82
If ORG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.12, suggesting upside of 5.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 53.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.8.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 102.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 79.8, implying annual growth of 48.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PRY  PRIMARY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $3.58

Citi rates PRY as Sell (5) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

Sell rating for Primary Health Care remains firmly in place. Price target nudges higher to $3.30 from $3.20.

Target price is $3.30 Current Price is $3.58 Difference: minus $0.28 (current price is over target).
If PRY meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.61, suggesting upside of 0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 10.90 cents and EPS of 18.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 19.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.8, implying annual growth of 9.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RHC  RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $54.38

UBS rates RHC as Neutral (3) -

UBS transfers coverage to another analyst and remodels the earnings drivers. Forecasts are reduced by -4-7% over the longer term.

The broker believes a combination of lower volume growth, adverse shift in mix and pricing pressures in Australian hospitals will negate the incremental benefits from procurement and brownfield additions.

Neutral rating maintained. Target is reduced to $54 from $64.

Target price is $54.00 Current Price is $54.38 Difference: minus $0.38 (current price is over target).
If RHC meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $62.65, suggesting upside of 15.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 144.00 cents and EPS of 284.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 281.0, implying annual growth of 7.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 146.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.4.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 147.00 cents and EPS of 294.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 299.5, implying annual growth of 6.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 157.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RHL  RURALCO HOLDINGS LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $2.91

Morgans rates RHL as Add (1) -

After Ruralco's trading update Morgans reduces FY18 estimates for underlying net profit by -8.5%, to the mid point of guidance. The broker also takes a more conservative stance in regards to FY19 and FY20 assumptions.

The company has highlighted the impact of challenging seasonal conditions and its exposure to adverse changes in commodity prices.

Encouragingly, recent rainfall across Western Australia and southern Australia is expected to positively affect rural supplies over the fourth quarter. Add rating maintained. Target is reduced to $3.40 from $3.60.

Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $2.91 Difference: $0.49
If RHL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.19.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.39.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RMD  RESMED INC

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $14.59

Citi rates RMD as Neutral (3) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a litle bit of caution seems justified.

Ironically, and this notwithstanding current valuations, Citi sees greatest potential for positive news in August with CSL, Cochlear, and ResMed. Target price for ResMed has jumped to $15 from $13.80. Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $15.00 Current Price is $14.59 Difference: $0.41
If RMD meets the Citi target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.59, suggesting downside of -6.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 18.46 cents and EPS of 46.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 20.01 cents and EPS of 48.98 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.1, implying annual growth of 8.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RRL  REGIS RESOURCES LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $5.08

Credit Suisse rates RRL as Neutral (3) -

June quarter production was strong and produced a record for FY18, achieving the high end of guidance.

Credit Suisse maintains a Neutral rating and $4.55 target.

Target price is $4.55 Current Price is $5.08 Difference: minus $0.53 (current price is over target).
If RRL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.23, suggesting downside of -16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 33.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.8, implying annual growth of 15.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 24.70 cents and EPS of 41.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.3, implying annual growth of 7.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RSG  RESOLUTE MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $1.33

Macquarie rates RSG as Outperform (1) -

Resolute's update for its Ravenswood mine includes an outlook for longer mine life, lower costs and lower upfront capex. The broker notes Resolute has received approval to go ahead with the expansion.

Reduced capital and operating expenditure offset the impact of lower near-term production. Outperform retained, target rises to $1.60 from $1.50.

Target price is $1.60 Current Price is $1.33 Difference: $0.27
If RSG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.70 cents and EPS of 8.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.22.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.70 cents and EPS of 13.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.57.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SCG  SCENTRE GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $4.47

Citi rates SCG as Neutral (3) -

The company has acquired 50% of Eastgardens for $720m and has flagged significant redevelopment potential for both retail and mixed use. Citi considers the acquisition strategically appealing, noting opportunities in a growing catchment. Pricing appears fair.

The broker envisages reduced capacity for the $700m buyback program and suspects Eastgardens may need to deliver strong sales growth or attract development returns to be more appealing than a buyback at the recent share price. Neutral rating and $4.19 target maintained.

Target price is $4.19 Current Price is $4.47 Difference: minus $0.28 (current price is over target).
If SCG meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.49, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 22.20 cents and EPS of 24.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.6, implying annual growth of 925.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.60 cents and EPS of 25.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.0, implying annual growth of 5.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates SCG as Outperform (1) -

Scentre Group has acquired a 50% stake in Westfield Eastgardens, which it currently manages. Earnings accretion is limited, the broker notes, given a 4.25% cap rate. The broker assumes Scentre will divest non-core assets to address a high gearing level.

The broker retains Outperform and a $4.43 target but suggests the value opportunity has diminished. Unibail ((URW)) is preferred.

Target price is $4.43 Current Price is $4.47 Difference: minus $0.04 (current price is over target).
If SCG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.49, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 22.20 cents and EPS of 24.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.6, implying annual growth of 925.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 22.70 cents and EPS of 25.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.0, implying annual growth of 5.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SCG as Buy (1) -

The company has acquired a 50% stake in Eastgardens for $720m. UBS was surprised by the acquisition, having expected the company would, instead, look to sell assets in order to fund its buyback. A capitalisation rate of 4.25% is in line with recent transactions.

The company envisages an opportunity to remix the apparel and upgrade the food offering, although the broker suggests the acquisition may start to raise questions about funding and asset sales over time. UBS retains a Buy rating, centred on continued momentum in specialty sales. Target is $4.58.

Target price is $4.58 Current Price is $4.47 Difference: $0.11
If SCG meets the UBS target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.49, suggesting upside of 0.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.6, implying annual growth of 925.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.2.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.0, implying annual growth of 5.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SHL  SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $26.46

Citi rates SHL as Upgrade to Neutral from Sell (3) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

The latter also applies for Sonic Healthcare, but more so because of ongoing risks and not because of valuation. Upgrade to Neutral from Sell. New price target $26 (was $21.75).

Target price is $26.00 Current Price is $26.46 Difference: minus $0.46 (current price is over target).
If SHL meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $25.78, suggesting downside of -2.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 80.00 cents and EPS of 109.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 111.9, implying annual growth of 9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 79.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 85.00 cents and EPS of 118.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.4, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SIG  SIGMA HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Health & Nutrition

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Overnight Price: $0.48

Citi rates SIG as Buy (1) -

Ahead of upcoming reporting season, Citi has transferred coverage of healthcare stocks to a new lead analyst, which has led to a general re-assessment of preferences, forecasts and valuations.

In a general sense, the new king in town remains most positive on those with international exposure, even with elevated valuations suggesting a little bit of caution seems justified.

Post share price shellacking following the loss of the Chemist Warehouse wholesale distribution contract, Citi analysts had upgraded to Buy. This has now been (slightly) amended to High Risk Buy (supported by asset backing). Price target remains 55c.

Target price is $0.55 Current Price is $0.48 Difference: $0.07
If SIG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.49, suggesting upside of 1.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in January.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 4.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.8, implying annual growth of -14.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.0.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.40 cents and EPS of 2.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.0, implying annual growth of -37.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SKI  SPARK INFRASTRUCTURE GROUP

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $2.20

Credit Suisse rates SKI as Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral (5) -

Draft rate of return guidelines have been released by the Australian Energy Regulator to determine the next five-year periods from 2020. The reduction to allowed equity risk premium is worse than Credit Suisse expected.

A clear agenda to reduce the network outperformance versus allowances has emerged as a response to high energy prices, in the broker's view.

Several factors are expected to constrain Spark Infrastructure's cash flow and the broker downgrades to Underperform from Neutral. Target is reduced to $2.20 from $2.45.

Target price is $2.20 Current Price is $2.20 Difference: $0
If SKI meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.53, suggesting upside of 14.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 EPS of 5.72 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.6, implying annual growth of 44.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.2, implying annual growth of 7.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SYD  SYDNEY AIRPORT HOLDINGS LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $6.99

Credit Suisse rates SYD as Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral (5) -

The company faces a period of higher regulatory and contracting risk, Credit Suisse observes. Dividend growth for the next five years is expected to be lower than the growth over the past five years.

Sydney Airport is expected to start paying tax in 2021 and the broker expects management to smooth dividend growth to avoid any decline post 2021. Dividend estimates are reduced by -5% and -3% for 2019 and 2020 respectively.

The broker lowers the rating to Underperform from Neutral and trims the target to $6.75 from $6.80.

Target price is $6.75 Current Price is $6.99 Difference: minus $0.24 (current price is over target).
If SYD meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.40, suggesting upside of 5.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 37.50 cents and EPS of 17.73 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.2, implying annual growth of 17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 37.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 EPS of 19.72 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.6, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TWE  TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $17.72

Citi rates TWE as Sell (5) -

Citi observes the company will benefit from a big 2016 vintage in Australia and this should contribute $82m to EBITS, which is 60% of the broker's FY19 growth estimates. Estimates for earnings per share are lifted by 2.5% for FY19 and 1.5% for FY20.

Still, paying a big multiple for a big harvest appears unwarranted to the broker and a Sell rating is maintained. Target is raised to $14.50 from $13.30.

Target price is $14.50 Current Price is $17.72 Difference: minus $3.22 (current price is over target).
If TWE meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $17.30, suggesting downside of -2.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 32.00 cents and EPS of 48.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.0, implying annual growth of 34.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 42.00 cents and EPS of 63.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.6, implying annual growth of 27.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Summaries
AGL AGL ENERGY Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $21.41
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $21.41
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $21.41
ANN ANSELL Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $27.55
AQG ALACER GOLD Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.58
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.58
AST AUSNET SERVICES Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $1.57
BRG BREVILLE GROUP Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $11.59
CBA COMMBANK Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $74.63
CLW CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - UBS Overnight Price $4.29
COH COCHLEAR Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $201.94
CSL CSL Buy - Citi Overnight Price $198.19
CTD CORPORATE TRAVEL Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $27.50
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $27.50
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $27.50
DCN DACIAN GOLD Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.01
FPH FISHER & PAYKEL HEALTHCARE Downgrade to Sell from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $13.53
HSO HEALTHSCOPE Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $2.21
IVC INVOCARE Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $13.82
KLA KIRKLAND LAKE GOLD Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $28.21
LLC LEND LEASE CORP Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $19.95
LOV LOVISA Downgrade to Underweight from Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $10.10
MND MONADELPHOUS GROUP Sell - Citi Overnight Price $14.30
NST NORTHERN STAR Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $7.11
OGC OCEANAGOLD Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.81
ORG ORIGIN ENERGY Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.58
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.58
PRY PRIMARY HEALTH CARE Sell - Citi Overnight Price $3.58
RHC RAMSAY HEALTH CARE Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $54.38
RHL RURALCO Add - Morgans Overnight Price $2.91
RMD RESMED Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $14.59
RRL REGIS RESOURCES Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $5.08
RSG RESOLUTE MINING Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.33
SCG SCENTRE GROUP Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $4.47
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.47
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $4.47
SHL SONIC HEALTHCARE Upgrade to Neutral from Sell - Citi Overnight Price $26.46
SIG SIGMA HEALTHCARE Buy - Citi Overnight Price $0.48
SKI SPARK INFRASTRUCTURE Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.20
SYD SYDNEY AIRPORT Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $6.99
TWE TREASURY WINE ESTATES Sell - Citi Overnight Price $17.72
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

15

2. Accumulate

2

3. Hold

15

5. Sell

9

Thursday 12 July 2018

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.