Australian Broker Call

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April 06, 2020

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ABP - ABACUS PROPERTY GROUP Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
ARF - ARENA REIT Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
CDP - CARINDALE PROPERTY Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
CLW - CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT Downgrade to Hold from Buy Ord Minnett
CQR - CHARTER HALL RETAIL Downgrade to Lighten from Hold Ord Minnett
DXS - DEXUS PROPERTY Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
GOZ - GROWTHPOINT PROP Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
GPT - GPT Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
LEP - ALE PROPERTY GROUP Upgrade to Hold from Lighten Ord Minnett
MGR - MIRVAC Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
NXT - NEXTDC Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
REH - REECE Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
SCG - SCENTRE GROUP Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate Ord Minnett
SGP - STOCKLAND Upgrade to Accumulate from Lighten Ord Minnett
SUN - SUNCORP Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
VCX - VICINITY CENTRES Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
WEB - WEBJET Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight Morgan Stanley
ABP  ABACUS PROPERTY GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.41

Ord Minnett rates ABP as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

Abacus Property is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold and the target is lowered to $2.70 from $3.30.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.70 Current Price is $2.41 Difference: $0.29
If ABP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.58, suggesting upside of 48.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.0, implying annual growth of -39.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.8, implying annual growth of 3.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APT  AFTERPAY LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $20.00

Morgan Stanley rates APT as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley envisages upside risk to March quarter revenue as merchants accelerate the transition to online sales to combat the lock-down.

The broker also suspects it is too early for credit concerns to emerge. This is likely to come to a head in June or even the September quarter.

Equal-weight. Target is $19.00. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $19.00 Current Price is $20.00 Difference: minus $1 (current price is over target).
If APT meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $28.77, suggesting upside of 43.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 250.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -19.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 222.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -13.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ARF  ARENA REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.10

Macquarie rates ARF as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Macquarie observes government policy has tilted to support the sector and the valuation is attractive. Childcare operators will receive a subsidy if services are kept open and not charged. The funding will apply from April 6.

While downside risks may exist for commercial leases in the broader sense, Macquarie believes any regulatory headwinds will be directed towards financially-distressed tenants.

Rating is upgraded to Outperform from Neutral. Target is reduced to $2.45 from $3.20.

Target price is $2.45 Current Price is $2.10 Difference: $0.35
If ARF meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.47, suggesting upside of 17.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 14.40 cents and EPS of 14.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.8, implying annual growth of -41.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.80 cents and EPS of 15.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.0, implying annual growth of -6.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BLD  BORAL LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $2.30

Credit Suisse rates BLD as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse assesses the key infrastructure & construction segments will experience a less brutal contraction compared with repairs and re-modelling. The broker expects a -10% revenue decline in FY20-21.

The main concern are US building products and ash. Falling electricity demand will affect ash supply and coal output is down -33% in the year to date.

While ratings are on negative outlook, free cash flow will remain positive and within covenants. The broker assesses gearing will remain below 40% even with the Headwaters write-down.

Credit Suisse expects Boral will avoid an equity raising although suspension of the dividend in FY21 is possible. Outperform. Target is reduced to $3.70 from $4.70.

Target price is $3.70 Current Price is $2.30 Difference: $1.4
If BLD meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 61% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.50, suggesting upside of 52.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 26.21 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 8.50 cents and EPS of 17.82 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.9, implying annual growth of 11.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CAR  CARSALES.COM LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $11.54

Morgan Stanley rates CAR as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley considers the risks are to the downside, although remains fundamentally positive on a 12-month view.

Assuming AP Eagers ((APE)) accounts for around 11% of dealer turnover it is reasonable, in the broker's view, to assume it accounts for 11% of Carsales.com dealer revenues.

AP Eagers has asked landlords for three months of free rent, assessing April-June will be critical months when income will be low.

Overweight rating, Attractive industry view and $15.50 target maintained.

Target price is $15.50 Current Price is $11.54 Difference: $3.96
If CAR meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 34% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $16.68, suggesting upside of 44.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 60.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.2, implying annual growth of 57.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 41.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 64.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 60.8, implying annual growth of 10.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 48.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CDP  CARINDALE PROPERTY TRUST

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.78

Ord Minnett rates CDP as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

Carindale Property is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold. Target is reduced to $3.60 from $5.20.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $2.78 Difference: $0.82
If CDP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 36.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 12.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.72.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 38.00 cents and EPS of 37.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.51.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CLW  CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $4.31

Ord Minnett rates CLW as Downgrade to Hold from Buy (3) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

The broker's analysis suggests impairments of around -5% are likely for neighbourhood centres, long WALE and industrial assets.

Rating is downgraded to Hold from Buy and the target lowered to $3.90 from $5.10.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.90 Current Price is $4.31 Difference: minus $0.41 (current price is over target).
If CLW meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.34, suggesting upside of 23.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.50%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.2, implying annual growth of 10.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.5, implying annual growth of 4.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CQR  CHARTER HALL RETAIL REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $3.15

Ord Minnett rates CQR as Downgrade to Lighten from Hold (4) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

The broker's analysis suggests impairments of around -5% are likely for neighbourhood centres, long WALE and industrial assets and up to -30% for retail malls.

The broker downgrades to Lighten from Hold and reduces the target to $2.60 from $4.00.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $3.15 Difference: minus $0.55 (current price is over target).
If CQR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.09, suggesting upside of 29.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of 139.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.2, implying annual growth of 1.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $319.19

Credit Suisse rates CSL as Outperform (1) -

Around 98% of the company's US plasma collection centres operate in states that have either a partial or full lock-down. Yet the collection centres remain open because of their classification as critical infrastructure.

While expecting some disruption, Credit Suisse also suspects the rise in unemployment may bring new donors. Still, lower collections over the next three-six-month will affect FY21 earnings to some extent.

The broker reduces the target to $329 from $350. Outperform maintained.

Target price is $329.00 Current Price is $319.19 Difference: $9.81
If CSL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $310.73, suggesting downside of -2.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 302.45 cents and EPS of 659.23 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 48.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 754.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 331.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 361.18 cents and EPS of 792.84 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 904.2, implying annual growth of 19.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 393.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DTL  DATA#3 LIMITED

IT & Support

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Overnight Price: $3.25

Morgans rates DTL as Hold (3) -

Data#3 has noted its primary objective at present is to keep staff and customers safe and serviced. Immediate demand for the company's remote working solutions is strong.

Data suggest to the broker Data#3 will achieve its full-year objective of delivering sustainable growth.

Yet economic uncertainty cannot be ignored, hence the broker lowers its forecasts and target to $3.45 from $4.31. Hold retained.

Target price is $3.45 Current Price is $3.25 Difference: $0.2
If DTL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.00.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.21.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DXS  DEXUS PROPERTY GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $9.00

Ord Minnett rates DXS as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

The broker's analysis suggests impairments of around -15-25% for office assets.

Rating is downgraded to Hold from Accumulate and the target lowered to $8.50 from $12.40.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $8.50 Current Price is $9.00 Difference: minus $0.5 (current price is over target).
If DXS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.10, suggesting upside of 34.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 53.00 cents and EPS of 65.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.9, implying annual growth of -45.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 54.00 cents and EPS of 66.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 70.6, implying annual growth of 4.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 54.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FBU  FLETCHER BUILDING LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $3.24

UBS rates FBU as Neutral (3) -

The company has withdrawn guidance for FY20 and cancelled the interim dividend to preserve liquidity.

UBS notes the vast majority of the company's operations are not considered essential services in New Zealand and will cease trading for at least the initial four-week shutdown.

The broker understands that Fletcher Building intends to reduce salaries by -20% during the initial level 4 period of the four weeks. Liquidity stress is not expected, if GDP recovers sharply in the fourth quarter in line with the broker's estimates.

Neutral maintained. Target is reduced to NZ$3.90 from NZ$5.05.

Current Price is $3.24. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $4.40, suggesting upside of 35.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.07 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.25 cents and EPS of 28.78 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.2, implying annual growth of 35.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.1.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FLT  FLIGHT CENTRE LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $9.91

Citi rates FLT as Buy (1) -

In a quick response to the latest market update by Flight Centre, Citi analysts welcome the various initiatives (including $960m capital raising) that take total available liquidity to $1.98bn, or twenty months of projected -$65m per month cash burn.

Lenders have provided covenant relief for the remainder of 2020, with Citi questioning what exactly this means for June next year as the international travel sector is still expected to be far from normal by then.

This year's covid-19 crisis is causing a permanent shift in the company's business model and cost base, point out the analysts, with Flight Centre intending to close down -50% of all bricks and mortar shops globally.

Citi analysts think Flight Centre will emerge as an industry winner when the covid-19 disruption ends, leading to an improved competitive position.

Current Price is $9.91. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $28.16, suggesting upside of 184.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of minus 50.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 19.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.1, implying annual growth of -77.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 58.70 cents and EPS of 97.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 154.6, implying annual growth of 161.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 97.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GOZ  GROWTHPOINT PROPERTIES AUSTRALIA

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $2.87

Ord Minnett rates GOZ as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

The broker upgrades to Accumulate from Hold and reduces the target to $3.00 from $3.65.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.87 Difference: $0.13
If GOZ meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.83, suggesting upside of 33.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.3, implying annual growth of -54.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GPT  GPT GROUP

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $3.73

Ord Minnett rates GPT as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

GPT is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold. Target is reduced to $4.30 from $5.80.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.30 Current Price is $3.73 Difference: $0.57
If GPT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.36, suggesting upside of 43.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 34.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.9, implying annual growth of -29.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 34.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.3, implying annual growth of 7.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IAG  INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $6.39

Ord Minnett rates IAG as Hold (3) -

The company has updated on the impact of the pandemic. Ord Minnett suspects Insurance Australia Group could benefit from reduced claims in motor vehicles and pricing increases in regulated classes, which should more than offset any pressure stemming from commercial business and interest rates.

Management has retained FY20 guidance. The main issue, Ord Minnett anticipates, is that clients may drop or reduce cover. Hold maintained. Target is raised to $7.00 from $6.94.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $7.00 Current Price is $6.39 Difference: $0.61
If IAG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.05, suggesting upside of 10.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.2, implying annual growth of -22.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.1, implying annual growth of 30.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IPL  INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED

Agriculture

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Overnight Price: $2.15

Macquarie rates IPL as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie lowers Australian dollar estimates which, while positive for earnings on translation, is also correlated with lower fertiliser prices.

Agriculture is considered relatively defensive and the Australian winter plantings have commenced, with seasonal conditions so far the best in four years.

Meanwhile, Incitec Pivot's balance sheet is considered manageable and there are no debt maturities until FY21. Outperform maintained. Target is reduced to $3.06 from $3.45.

Target price is $3.06 Current Price is $2.15 Difference: $0.91
If IPL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 42% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.40, suggesting upside of 58.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 16.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.72%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.8, implying annual growth of 66.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.90 cents and EPS of 21.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.4, implying annual growth of 29.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHX  JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES N.V.

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $19.69

Macquarie rates JHX as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie considers the investment case attractive, although the current crisis in the US still presents a clear risk in the short term.

Still, the business has low operating leverage and the broker considers this under-appreciated.

Any weakness is expected to present an opportunity to invest and an Outperform rating is retained. Target is reduced to $35.30 from $35.60.

Target price is $35.30 Current Price is $19.69 Difference: $15.61
If JHX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 79% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $34.00, suggesting upside of 72.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 58.73 cents and EPS of 116.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 131.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 60.20 cents and EPS of 99.99 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 143.0, implying annual growth of 9.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 88.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KMD  KATHMANDU HOLDINGS LIMITED

Sports & Recreation

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Overnight Price: $0.69

Macquarie rates KMD as Neutral (3) -

First half results exceeded expectations. The company has announced an NZ$207m equity raising by way of a placement and rights issue.

While this is a much-needed cash injection, and the business is managing its cash and working capital accordingly, Macquarie is cautious.

The broker is yet to become confident in the longer-term ability of Kathmandu to attain a sustainable and attractive sales profile offshore.

Target falls to $0.98 from $1.57. Neutral retained.

Target price is $0.98 Current Price is $0.69 Difference: $0.29
If KMD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 42% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 8.26 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 8.35.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 4.56 cents and EPS of 7.03 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.82.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LEP  ALE PROPERTY GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $3.95

Ord Minnett rates LEP as Upgrade to Hold from Lighten (3) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

Ord Minnett upgrades to Hold from Lighten and reduces the target to $4.00 from $4.10.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.95 Difference: $0.05
If LEP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.94.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.75.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MGR  MIRVAC GROUP

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $2.09

Ord Minnett rates MGR as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

Mirvac is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold. The target is reduced to $2.40 from $2.90.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.40 Current Price is $2.09 Difference: $0.31
If MGR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.85, suggesting upside of 36.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.0, implying annual growth of -38.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.1, implying annual growth of -5.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NAN  NANOSONICS LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $5.99

Morgans rates NAN as Add (1) -

Nanosonics has reported a strong March quarter and noted an unsurprisingly uncertain June quarter outlook. Management nonetheless highlighted a resilient consumables component, ongoing commitment to R&D, a review of expenses and a significant cash holding.

This crisis will not change the longer term importance of high level disinfection, the broker notes, while suggesting investors use volatility to add to positions. Add rating retained, target falls to $6.92 from $6.97.

Target price is $6.92 Current Price is $5.99 Difference: $0.93
If NAN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.27, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 149.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of -11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 149.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 85.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.0, implying annual growth of 100.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 74.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NSR  NATIONAL STORAGE REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.70

Ord Minnett rates NSR as Resume coverage with Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

The broker's analysis suggests impairments of around -15% are likely for self storage and childcare centres.

Ord Minnett resumes coverage of National Storage with a Hold rating and $1.50 target.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.70 Difference: minus $0.2 (current price is over target).
If NSR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.78, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.8, implying annual growth of -55.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.1, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NTO  NITRO SOFTWARE LIMITED

IT & Support

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Overnight Price: $1.18

Morgan Stanley rates NTO as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley notes the Nitro Software business is in the process of shifting to a software-as-a-service model, resulting in a disconnect between key metrics and revenue and considered an opportunity.

The broker envisages the digitisation of document workflow and e-signing is an inevitable structural trend. The current crisis is likely to accelerate the adoption of solutions that simplify, track and accelerate workflow and lower the cost.

Overweight rating, target is reduced to $1.80 from $2.40. In-Line industry view.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.18 Difference: $0.62
If NTO meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 53% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of minus 5.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 20.09.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of minus 7.34 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 16.07.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NXT  NEXTDC LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $8.78

Morgans rates NXT as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

NextDC has announced a $672 capital raising at $7.80 to accelerate current fit-outs for third generation data centres in Sydney and Melbourne. The raising will ensure the balance sheet is in good shape, Morgans notes.

Target is slightly reduced to $8.56 from $8.73 to account for a higher share-count but the raising significantly de-risks the stock and broker views the medium term outlook as positive. So does the market, hence following a strong share price run Morgans pulls back to Hold from Add.

Target price is $8.56 Current Price is $8.78 Difference: minus $0.22 (current price is over target).
If NXT meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.26, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 325.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -4.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 731.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ORA  ORORA LIMITED

Paper & Packaging

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Overnight Price: $2.52

Credit Suisse rates ORA as Outperform (1) -

The company expects to complete the sale of the fibre business by the end of the month. Credit Suisse now assumes $750m is distributed by way of a special dividend of $0.62. A $200m buyback is then expected in FY21.

The broker assumes the packaging distribution business suffers a -20% drop in earnings (EBIT) in FY21. The Australasian beverage packaging business is likely to gain from pantry stocking beer and soft drinks.

Outperform rating maintained. Target is reduced to $2.15 from $3.40.

Target price is $2.15 Current Price is $2.52 Difference: minus $0.37 (current price is over target).
If ORA meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.99, suggesting upside of 18.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 74.20 cents and EPS of 11.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 29.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.7, implying annual growth of 24.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 33.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 13.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 12.46 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.9, implying annual growth of -4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OSH  OIL SEARCH LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $2.73

Ord Minnett rates OSH as Hold (3) -

Similar to peers, Oil Search is addressing the weakness in oil prices, deferring capital expenditure. Still, debt metrics look stretched to Ord Minnett, more so at spot prices.

For those that are willing to take on balance sheet risk, the company's financial leverage means it is likely to outperform peers in a rising oil price environment, the broker adds.

Hold maintained. Target is reduced to $3.50 from $3.65.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.50 Current Price is $2.73 Difference: $0.77
If OSH meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.08, suggesting upside of 12.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 5.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 11.75 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.9, implying annual growth of 135.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RAP  RESAPP HEALTH LIMITED

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $0.19

Morgans rates RAP as Add (1) -

ResApp Health's share price has been on a rollercoaster ride, the broker notes, from the disappointing FDA setback to virus-inspired awareness of the company's telehealth applications, which are enjoying a sustained increase in demand.

The broker has made no change to forecasts at this stage. Add and 24c target retained, with upside risk offered by ResApp's new obstructive sleep apnea product.

Target price is $0.24 Current Price is $0.19 Difference: $0.05
If RAP meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 21.11.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

REA  REA GROUP LIMITED

Real Estate

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Overnight Price: $79.31

Morgan Stanley rates REA as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley suggests, while there are differences between the UK and Australian markets, the fact that UK real estate portal Zoopla has experienced a -60% drop in UK housing transactions has negative implications for the local operator.

If this is matched in Australia, it would be more severe than the -20-30% downside encapsulated in consensus expectations, the broker points out.

Overweight and $105 target retained. Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $105.00 Current Price is $79.31 Difference: $25.69
If REA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $94.12, suggesting upside of 18.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 221.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 209.7, implying annual growth of 163.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 112.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.8.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 260.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 244.5, implying annual growth of 16.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 123.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

REH  REECE LIMITED

Furniture & Renovation

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Overnight Price: $8.69

Morgans rates REH as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Shutdowns are likely to put significant pressure on underlying demand for Reece products and thus revenue generation over FY20-21, Morgans warns. This will likely lead to reduced growth plans. The company will keep its stores open for essential water and sanitation product supply.

Current uncertainty and high gearing see Morgans pull back to Hold from Add, while still highlighting the longer term potential of the business. Target falls to $10.16 from $12.84.

Target price is $10.16 Current Price is $8.69 Difference: $1.47
If REH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 51.12.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.50.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RHC  RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $60.31

Citi rates RHC as Buy (1) -

Citi finds it impossible to accurately forecast earnings for the short term but assesses the company's debt position remains strong and that, once the crisis has passed, the relative value of hospital infrastructure will be enhanced.

The broker assumes Australian and UK fourth quarter operating earnings (EBITDA) will be zero, as hospital infrastructure is made available for the government's pandemic preparations.

 FY21-22 estimates are unchanged. Buy retained. Target is reduced to $70 from $75.

Target price is $70.00 Current Price is $60.31 Difference: $9.69
If RHC meets the Citi target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $64.63, suggesting upside of 7.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 160.50 cents and EPS of 157.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 237.3, implying annual growth of -10.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 137.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 184.00 cents and EPS of 317.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 267.4, implying annual growth of 12.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 148.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SCG  SCENTRE GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.69

Ord Minnett rates SCG as Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate (3) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

The broker's analysis suggests impairments of around -30% are likely for retail malls.

Rating is downgraded to Hold from Accumulate. Target is lowered to $1.90 from $2.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $1.90 Current Price is $1.69 Difference: $0.21
If SCG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.49, suggesting upside of 47.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 25.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.3, implying annual growth of -9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 14.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 23.8, implying annual growth of 17.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SEK  SEEK LIMITED

Jobs & Skilled Labour Services

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Overnight Price: $14.28

Macquarie rates SEK as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie reviews forward estimates and now expects 2020 listing volumes to be down -40%.

The company appears well-positioned for the long term and the broker considers the stock more a play on yield growth than volume over time.

Still, significant earnings headwinds are expected over the next 12 months. Neutral retained. Target is reduced to $16.20 from $22.60.

Target price is $16.20 Current Price is $14.28 Difference: $1.92
If SEK meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.32, suggesting upside of 42.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 23.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 61.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.7, implying annual growth of -36.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 38.40 cents and EPS of 36.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.5, implying annual growth of 33.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates SEK as Overweight (1) -

In assessing the updates from global recruitment firms, Morgan Stanley believes it is too early to have a definitive view for Australia.

Yet the read-through is incrementally negative, even assuming the drop in revenues in Australia is less severe.

Overweight retained. Industry view: Attractive. Target is $20.

Target price is $20.00 Current Price is $14.28 Difference: $5.72
If SEK meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.32, suggesting upside of 42.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 37.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.7, implying annual growth of -36.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 48.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.5, implying annual growth of 33.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SGP  STOCKLAND

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $2.48

Ord Minnett rates SGP as Upgrade to Accumulate from Lighten (2) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

Stockland is upgraded to Accumulate from Lighten and the target reduced to $3.10 from $3.90.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.10 Current Price is $2.48 Difference: $0.62
If SGP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.60, suggesting upside of 45.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.1, implying annual growth of 177.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.9.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 36.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates SGP as Neutral (3) -

UBS revises estimates to reflect the uncertainty. Retail estimates are re-based by -6-10% to reflect rental abatements. Free cash flow forecasts are reduced by -10% in FY20 and -22% in FY21.

The broker assumes Stockland does not pay a second half distribution in order to preserve the gearing ratio. Gearing is higher than the sector average, but liquidity and covenant risk appear low.

UBS retains a Neutral rating and reduces the target to $3.00 from $4.80.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.48 Difference: $0.52
If SGP meets the UBS target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.60, suggesting upside of 45.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 13.50 cents and EPS of 33.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.1, implying annual growth of 177.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.9.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 20.70 cents and EPS of 29.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 36.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SHL  SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $22.52

Macquarie rates SHL as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie considers the risks in the short term from the coronavirus crisis are skewed to the downside. Moreover, reimbursements in the US and Germany present headwinds.

The broker incorporates more conservative growth assumptions and reduces estimates for earnings per share by -26% in FY20 and -23% in FY21.

Neutral maintained. Target is reduced to $24.50 from $26.50.

Target price is $24.50 Current Price is $22.52 Difference: $1.98
If SHL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $27.33, suggesting upside of 21.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 85.00 cents and EPS of 82.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.7, implying annual growth of -30.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 71.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 86.00 cents and EPS of 87.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 107.0, implying annual growth of 26.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 87.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SLC  SUPERLOOP LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $0.65

Morgan Stanley rates SLC as Equal-weight (3) -

The company's update has indicated the business is tracking in line with guidance. Higher connectivity revenue is expected in the current quarter, reflecting an increase in traffic across the networks.

There is a temporary reduction in revenue from guest wi-fi because of restrictions on university students and travel. A further trading update is anticipated in mid May.

Equal-weight rating maintained, as Morgan Stanley would prefer evidence of sustained sales growth before turning more positive. In-Line industry view. Target is $0.75.

Target price is $0.75 Current Price is $0.65 Difference: $0.1
If SLC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.02, suggesting upside of 56.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 5.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -10.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of minus 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 8.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -7.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SPK  SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $4.19

UBS rates SPK as Neutral (3) -

Spark New Zealand has been one of the better performing NZX50 stocks, UBS observes, given it sells essential services. The balance sheet is also relatively under-geared.

The broker expects the dividend can be maintained in FY20 and FY21 as long as control measures for the coronavirus do not last beyond December 2020.

Neutral maintained. Target is reduced to NZ$4.20 from NZ$4.55.

Current Price is $4.19. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 23.75 cents and EPS of 19.76 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.1.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 23.75 cents and EPS of 19.57 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.1, implying annual growth of 1.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.9.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SUN  SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $9.30

Ord Minnett rates SUN as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Ord Minnett expects the general insurance business could benefit from reduced claims in motor vehicles, offset partially by possible landlord insurance claims.

The broker expects the banking division will suffer from margin pressures and a rise in bad debts, although this will be less than for the major banks.

The broker reviews earnings forecasts and upgrades to Accumulate from Hold as a result. Target is reduced to $12.83 from $13.41.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $12.83 Current Price is $9.30 Difference: $3.53
If SUN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 38% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $11.66, suggesting upside of 25.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 46.00 cents and EPS of 52.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 68.5, implying annual growth of 405.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 67.00 cents and EPS of 71.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.9, implying annual growth of 12.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 65.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

VCX  VICINITY CENTRES

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.14

Ord Minnett rates VCX as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Ord Minnett notes, since the pandemic has affected markets, A-REITs have fallen -40% while the S&P ASX 200 index has declined -27%.

As a result, the broker makes changes to recommendations for around half of its coverage.

December 2019 book values are expected to be impaired for all property sectors over the next 12-18 months, from revised cash flow and growth assumptions and higher capitalisation rates.

The broker's analysis suggests impairments of around -30% are likely for retail malls.

Rating is upgraded to Accumulate from Hold and the target lowered to $1.50 from $1.85.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $1.50 Current Price is $1.14 Difference: $0.36
If VCX meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.76, suggesting upside of 54.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.5, implying annual growth of 71.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.9, implying annual growth of 2.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WEB  WEBJET LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $2.48

Morgan Stanley rates WEB as Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight (3) -

The company has recapitalised, raising around $346m, which results in a -150% dilution. Morgan Stanley notes unusual events and the lack of a buffer have led to significant value dilution.

Morgan Stanley reduces FY20 earnings estimates by -93% and FY21 by -84%. The broker does not have a conviction on earnings in order to maintain a strong view on the valuation.

Rating is upgraded to Equal-weight from Underweight, largely because of the improved liquidity and minimal visibility on earnings. The market is expected to look through the FY20 and FY21 results.

Target is reduced to $2.50 from $10.00. Industry View is In-Line.

Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $2.48 Difference: $0.02
If WEB meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.61, suggesting upside of 166.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 82.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.8, implying annual growth of -91.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 65.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.7, implying annual growth of 260.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates WEB as Buy (1) -

The company's capital raising has illustrated the devastating impact of the pandemic on the travel sector. Ord Minnett estimates Webjet will now have a cash balance of around $220m as of December 31, 2020, assuming zero revenue.

Furthermore, a decline to around $150m is calculated for June 30, 2021, also assuming no revenue.

Hence, the broker suspects the company can survive the crisis. Buy rating maintained. Target is reduced to $4.86 from $10.47.

Target price is $4.86 Current Price is $2.48 Difference: $2.38
If WEB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 96% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.61, suggesting upside of 166.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 6.50 cents and EPS of minus 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 3.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.8, implying annual growth of -91.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 65.3.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 28.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 8.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.7, implying annual growth of 260.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WGN  WAGNERS HOLDING COMPANY LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $0.93

Morgans rates WGN as Hold (3) -

Wagners has withdrawn full year guidance. The virus is disrupting international sales and domestic construction activity will slow likely in the next six months, albeit there has been minimal interruption to date.

Gearing is becoming elevated but the company does have significant headroom, the broker notes, under a $125m term facility. Target falls to $1.00 from $1.60, Hold retained.

Target price is $1.00 Current Price is $0.93 Difference: $0.07
If WGN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.25, suggesting upside of 34.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.8, implying annual growth of -77.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 51.7.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 6.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.1, implying annual growth of 238.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ABP ABACUS PROPERTY GROUP $2.41 Ord Minnett 2.70 3.80 -28.95%
ARF ARENA REIT $2.10 Macquarie 2.45 3.20 -23.44%
BLD BORAL $2.30 Credit Suisse 3.70 4.70 -21.28%
BWP BWP TRUST $3.32 Ord Minnett 3.00 3.85 -22.08%
CAR CARSALES.COM $11.54 Morgan Stanley 15.50 17.25 -10.14%
CDP CARINDALE PROPERTY $2.78 Ord Minnett 3.60 6.10 -40.98%
CHC CHARTER HALL $7.33 Ord Minnett 8.00 12.50 -36.00%
CIP CENTURIA INDUSTRIAL REIT $2.71 Ord Minnett 3.10 4.05 -23.46%
CLW CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT $4.31 Ord Minnett 3.90 5.90 -33.90%
CMW CROMWELL PROPERTY $0.75 Ord Minnett 0.50 1.10 -54.55%
CNI CENTURIA CAPITAL GROUP $1.42 Ord Minnett 1.80 2.75 -34.55%
COL COLES GROUP $16.08 Macquarie 17.80 17.20 3.49%
CQE CHARTER HALL SOC INFRA REIT $2.02 Ord Minnett 2.50 3.70 -32.43%
CQR CHARTER HALL RETAIL $3.15 Ord Minnett 2.60 4.60 -43.48%
CSL CSL $319.19 Credit Suisse 329.00 350.00 -6.00%
DTL DATA#3 $3.25 Morgans 3.45 4.31 -19.95%
DXS DEXUS PROPERTY $9.00 Ord Minnett 8.50 14.00 -39.29%
FLT FLIGHT CENTRE $9.91 Citi N/A 22.70 -100.00%
GMG GOODMAN GRP $12.74 Ord Minnett 12.00 16.10 -25.47%
GOZ GROWTHPOINT PROP $2.87 Ord Minnett 3.00 4.20 -28.57%
GPT GPT $3.73 Ord Minnett 4.30 6.40 -32.81%
HMC HOME CONSORTIUM LTD $2.25 Ord Minnett 2.40 3.70 -35.14%
HPI HOTEL PROPERTY INVESTMENTS $2.21 Ord Minnett 2.50 3.35 -25.37%
IAG INSURANCE AUSTRALIA $6.39 Ord Minnett 7.00 6.94 0.86%
IAP INVESTEC AUSTRALIA PROPERTY FUND $1.02 Ord Minnett 1.10 1.50 -26.67%
IPL INCITEC PIVOT $2.15 Macquarie 3.06 3.45 -11.30%
JHX JAMES HARDIE $19.69 Macquarie 35.30 35.60 -0.84%
KMD KATHMANDU $0.69 Macquarie 0.98 1.57 -37.58%
LEP ALE PROPERTY GROUP $3.95 Ord Minnett 4.00 4.70 -14.89%
MGR MIRVAC $2.09 Ord Minnett 2.40 3.30 -27.27%
MTS METCASH $2.95 Macquarie 2.80 2.65 5.66%
NAN NANOSONICS $5.99 Morgans 6.92 6.97 -0.72%
NSR NATIONAL STORAGE $1.70 Ord Minnett 1.50 N/A -
NTO NITRO SOFTWARE $1.18 Morgan Stanley 1.80 2.40 -25.00%
NXT NEXTDC $8.78 Morgans 8.56 8.73 -1.95%
ORA ORORA $2.52 Credit Suisse 2.15 3.40 -36.76%
OSH OIL SEARCH $2.73 Ord Minnett 3.50 3.65 -4.11%
REA REA GROUP $79.31 Morgan Stanley 105.00 120.00 -12.50%
REH REECE $8.69 Morgans 10.16 12.84 -20.87%
RHC RAMSAY HEALTH CARE $60.31 Citi 70.00 75.00 -6.67%
SCG SCENTRE GROUP $1.69 Ord Minnett 1.90 2.50 -24.00%
SCP SHOPPING CENTRES AUS $2.36 Ord Minnett 2.05 3.00 -31.67%
SEK SEEK $14.28 Macquarie 16.20 22.60 -28.32%
Morgan Stanley 20.00 21.00 -4.76%
SGP STOCKLAND $2.48 Ord Minnett 3.10 4.50 -31.11%
UBS 3.00 4.80 -37.50%
SHL SONIC HEALTHCARE $22.52 Macquarie 24.50 26.50 -7.55%
SUN SUNCORP $9.30 Ord Minnett 12.83 13.41 -4.33%
VCX VICINITY CENTRES $1.14 Ord Minnett 1.50 1.85 -18.92%
VVR VIVA ENERGY REIT $2.33 Ord Minnett 2.10 2.70 -22.22%
WEB WEBJET $2.48 Morgan Stanley 2.50 10.00 -75.00%
Ord Minnett 4.86 10.47 -53.58%
WGN WAGNERS HOLDING $0.93 Morgans 1.00 1.60 -37.50%
Summaries
ABP ABACUS PROPERTY GROUP Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.41
APT AFTERPAY Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $20.00
ARF ARENA REIT Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.10
BLD BORAL Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.30
CAR CARSALES.COM Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $11.54
CDP CARINDALE PROPERTY Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.78
CLW CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT Downgrade to Hold from Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.31
CQR CHARTER HALL RETAIL Downgrade to Lighten from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.15
CSL CSL Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $319.19
DTL DATA#3 Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $3.25
DXS DEXUS PROPERTY Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.00
FBU FLETCHER BUILDING Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $3.24
FLT FLIGHT CENTRE Buy - Citi Overnight Price $9.91
GOZ GROWTHPOINT PROP Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.87
GPT GPT Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.73
IAG INSURANCE AUSTRALIA Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $6.39
IPL INCITEC PIVOT Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.15
JHX JAMES HARDIE Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $19.69
KMD KATHMANDU Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.69
LEP ALE PROPERTY GROUP Upgrade to Hold from Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.95
MGR MIRVAC Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.09
NAN NANOSONICS Add - Morgans Overnight Price $5.99
NSR NATIONAL STORAGE Resume coverage with Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.70
NTO NITRO SOFTWARE Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.18
NXT NEXTDC Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $8.78
ORA ORORA Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.52
OSH OIL SEARCH Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.73
RAP RESAPP HEALTH Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.19
REA REA GROUP Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $79.31
REH REECE Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $8.69
RHC RAMSAY HEALTH CARE Buy - Citi Overnight Price $60.31
SCG SCENTRE GROUP Downgrade to Hold from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.69
SEK SEEK Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $14.28
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $14.28
SGP STOCKLAND Upgrade to Accumulate from Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.48
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.48
SHL SONIC HEALTHCARE Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $22.52
SLC SUPERLOOP Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $0.65
SPK SPARK NEW ZEALAND Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $4.19
SUN SUNCORP Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $9.30
VCX VICINITY CENTRES Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.14
WEB WEBJET Upgrade to Equal-weight from Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $2.48
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.48
WGN WAGNERS HOLDING Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $0.93
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

15

2. Accumulate

8

3. Hold

20

4. Reduce

1

Monday 06 April 2020

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