Australian Broker Call

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January 12, 2022

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
FMG - Fortescue Metals Downgrade to Sell from Neutral Citi
SHL - Sonic Healthcare Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
TPG - TPG Telecom Upgrade to Buy from Hold Ord Minnett
ALG  ARDENT LEISURE GROUP LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $1.30

Citi rates ALG as Buy (1) -

Citi has once again updated its views and thoughts on Main Event and has grabbed the opportunity to reiterate its Buy rating for Ardent Leisure.

The positive view is equally supported by increased visitor numbers for Dreamworld, the broker adds. Target remains $1.80.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.30 Difference: $0.5
If ALG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 38% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 6.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 21.31.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 46.43.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

APT  AFTERPAY LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $73.51

Citi rates APT as No Rating (-1) -

Today's update on the BNPL sector suggests Citi no longer has a rating or price target in place for Afterpay.

Current Price is $73.51. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $137.00, suggesting upside of 77.8% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY22:

Current consensus EPS estimate is -11.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 510.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates APT as Hold (3) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Morgans expects Afterpay will report between 50% and 100% revenue growth on the previous quarter, but will report a profit after tax for the first half. Earnings per share forecasts decrease by more than -10% on expense estimates attributed to global growth. 

The broker notes the buy now pay later sector is facing some negative investor sentiment and strong first half results are required to alleviate. The Hold rating is retained and the target price decreases to $92.00 from $132.00. 

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $92.00 Current Price is $73.51 Difference: $18.49
If APT meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $137.00, suggesting upside of 77.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 1837.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -11.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 29.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 245.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 510.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASX  ASX LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $90.36

Morgans rates ASX as Reduce (5) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

ASX's recent monthly trading statistics have driven Morgans to upgrade earnings per share forecasts 1-2% for FY22 and FY23.

The Reduce rating is retained and the target price increases to $68.95 from $67.30.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $68.95 Current Price is $90.36 Difference: minus $21.41 (current price is over target).
If ASX meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $80.70, suggesting downside of -12.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 230.20 cents and EPS of 255.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 256.8, implying annual growth of 3.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 230.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 239.50 cents and EPS of 266.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 267.7, implying annual growth of 4.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 240.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ASX as Hold (3) -

The ASX is scheduled to report interim financials on February 10th and Ord Minnett considers the shares fully valued when compared with foreign peers.

Having said so, the broker does acknowledge the shares still have appeal for those investors looking for financial stocks with strong infrastructure- or monopoly-like appeal.

Ord Minnett sees the ASX as an infrastructure-like stock, trading on rich multiples with cyclically strong cash market and listings trends. Rising interest rates could help futures volumes and margin income, but also could hurt relative valuation appeal, explains the broker.

Ord Minnett sticks with its Hold rating while lifting its price target to $86.24 from $82.50 on slightly improved forecasts.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $86.24 Current Price is $90.36 Difference: minus $4.12 (current price is over target).
If ASX meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $80.70, suggesting downside of -12.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 233.00 cents and EPS of 258.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 256.8, implying annual growth of 3.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 230.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 249.00 cents and EPS of 276.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 267.7, implying annual growth of 4.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 240.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CGF  CHALLENGER LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $6.47

Morgans rates CGF as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Following review Morgans has made slight updates of less than 1% to Challenger's earnings forecasts. 

The Add rating and target price of $7.30 are retained. 

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $7.30 Current Price is $6.47 Difference: $0.83
If CGF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.27, suggesting downside of -3.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 24.20 cents and EPS of 39.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.7, implying annual growth of -55.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 26.70 cents and EPS of 43.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 43.4, implying annual growth of 9.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CPU  COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $20.70

Morgans rates CPU as Hold (3) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker issued no changes to Computershare's earnings forecasts.

The Hold rating is retained and the target price increases to $18.82 from $17.52.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $18.82 Current Price is $20.70 Difference: minus $1.88 (current price is over target).
If CPU meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $19.14, suggesting downside of -7.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 58.67 cents and EPS of 70.68 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.9.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 66.68 cents and EPS of 80.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 86.1, implying annual growth of 15.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 61.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.1.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FMG  FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $21.12

Citi rates FMG as Downgrade to Sell from Neutral (5) -

Citi analysts have downgraded their recommendation for Fortescue Metals' shares to Sell from Neutral. While acknowledging the price of iron ore has surprised to the upside, they find the large valuation gap with peers creates too large a challenge -mathematically- to ultimately be justified.

Citi observes following a strong rally in the share price, Fortescue's valuation is now at a material premium to the broker's DCF-based Net Asset Value (NAV) calculation, as well as vis-a-vis competitors in the sector.

Price target $17.20 (unchanged).

Target price is $17.20 Current Price is $21.12 Difference: minus $3.92 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $16.79, suggesting downside of -19.6% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY22:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 237.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 204.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Current consensus EPS estimate is 180.5, implying annual growth of -23.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 153.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GDG  GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $1.40

Morgans rates GDG as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker issued no updates to Generation Development Group's earnings forecasts. The company is Morgans' third sector stock pick. 

The Add rating and target price of $1.73 are retained.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $1.73 Current Price is $1.40 Difference: $0.33
If GDG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.90 cents and EPS of 2.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 58.33.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.70 cents and EPS of 4.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.15.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HLS  HEALIUS LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $4.95

Credit Suisse rates HLS as Outperform (1) -

The rapid spread of omicron over the holiday season has wreaked havoc for Healius, the company battling staff shortages, a sharp rise in demand, and the resulting inability to pool test, which has resulted in lower capacity.

Credit Suisse expects the number of tests performed to fall from 10 tests per 1,000 people per day to two tests per 1,000 people (based on 50,000 daily tests) by FY23.

The broker expects the December half just past will represent peak earnings for Healius, as the testing boom gives way to the recent adoption of rapid antigen testing.

EPS forecasts edge up 1% to 2% for FY22.

Outperform rating retained, given the relatively undemanding valuation and strong balance sheet. Target price steady at $5.55.

Target price is $5.55 Current Price is $4.95 Difference: $0.6
If HLS meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.50, suggesting upside of 12.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 28.98 cents and EPS of 65.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.6, implying annual growth of 597.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 12.94 cents and EPS of 26.58 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.1, implying annual growth of -48.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IAG  INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $4.40

Morgan Stanley rates IAG as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley has reported home and motor new business slowed to almost zero in the December quarter.

While Insurance Australia Group appears to be pricing for margin more than its peers, the broker notes this makes negating market share losses difficult. It is Morgan Stanley's opinion pricing needs to rise to protect margins. 

The Underweight rating and target price of $3.75 are retained. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $3.75 Current Price is $4.40 Difference: minus $0.65 (current price is over target).
If IAG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.00, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of 40.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates IAG as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker upgrades Insurance Australia Group's earnings forecasts between -1% and 8%. The insurer has advised of weather impacts on first half results. 

The Add rating is retained and the target price increases to $5.32 from $5.31.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $5.32 Current Price is $4.40 Difference: $0.92
If IAG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.00, suggesting upside of 13.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 21.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 26.00 cents and EPS of 28.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of 40.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ING  INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $3.32

Citi rates ING as Buy (1) -

Post profit warning issued by Australia's number one poultry meat supplier, caused by covid-related disruptions, Citi analysts are not yet prepared to throw in the towel, instead highlighting industry volume growth has been strong in H1.

In addition, point out the analysts, Inghams Group has previously shown being quite adept in adjusting for covid-related challenges.

On Citi's updated assumptions, sales might only be impacted to the tune of -4% but the analysts concede the impact at the ebitda level would be higher.

Target price remains $4.55, as does the Buy rating.

Target price is $4.55 Current Price is $3.32 Difference: $1.23
If ING meets the Citi target it will return approximately 37% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.13, suggesting upside of 22.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.80 cents and EPS of 25.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 20.70 cents and EPS of 29.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of 15.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates ING as Outperform (1) -

Inghams Group has provided a trading update, providing insight into the conspicuous absence of chicken on supermarket shelves, and Credit Suisse has downgraded EPS estimates.

Production, distribution and sales in the eastern states have all suffered in omicron's wake, raising costs and causing supply chain havoc and operational inefficiency.

Visibility is poor but the broker estimates FY22 EPS will fall -12.2%. FY23-FY24 revisions are more modest at roughly 1.7%, assuming normalisation.

Inghams reports its December-half results on February 18.

Outperform rating retained, the broker expecting a short-term reversal will be followed by a strong recovery in FY23. Target price falls to $4.15 from $4.40.

Target price is $4.15 Current Price is $3.32 Difference: $0.83
If ING meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.13, suggesting upside of 22.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.68 cents and EPS of 23.12 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 19.69 cents and EPS of 27.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of 15.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates ING as Neutral (3) -

Inghams Group has provided a trading update, providing insight into the conspicuous absence of chicken on supermarket shelves recently, and Macquarie has downgraded earnings (EBITDA) estimates about -5%.

Production, distribution and sales in the eastern states have all suffered in omicron's wake, raising costs and resulting in the suspension of a number of products.

Management is unable to provide guidance on impact, trading results or the length of disruption, although Macquarie forecasts a shift away from higher margin Foodservice, QSR and value-enhanced products to lower margin wholesale products.

Inghams Group expects production will ramp up quickly when the situation normalises, but who knows when that will be.

EPS forecasts fall -8.2% in FY22, -2.6% in FY23 and -2.2% in FY24.

Neutral rating retained. Target price decreases to $3.46 from $3.70.

Target price is $3.46 Current Price is $3.32 Difference: $0.14
If ING meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.13, suggesting upside of 22.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 15.50 cents and EPS of 23.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.0, implying annual growth of 11.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 18.40 cents and EPS of 27.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.8, implying annual growth of 15.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KSL  KINA SECURITIES LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $0.87

Morgans rates KSL as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker issues no updates to Kina Securities' earnings forecasts. 

The Add rating and target price of $1.32 are retained.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $1.32 Current Price is $0.87 Difference: $0.45
If KSL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 52% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 33.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.61.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 40.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.16.

This company reports in PGK. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LNK  LINK ADMINISTRATION HOLDINGS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $5.54

Morgans rates LNK as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker issues no update to Link Administration Holdings' earnings forecasts.

The Add rating and target price of $5.51 are retained.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $5.51 Current Price is $5.54 Difference: minus $0.03 (current price is over target).
If LNK meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $5.58, suggesting upside of 0.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 11.40 cents and EPS of 20.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.1.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.90 cents and EPS of 25.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.9, implying annual growth of 31.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MME  MONEYME LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $2.08

Morgans rates MME as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker issues no updates to MoneyMe's earnings forecasts.

The Add rating and target price of $2.57 are retained. 

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $2.57 Current Price is $2.08 Difference: $0.49
If MME meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 56.22.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.06.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MPL  MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $3.55

Morgans rates MPL as Hold (3) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker upgrades Medibank Private's earnings per share forecasts around 2% for FY22 and FY23. It is Morgans' view that private health insurers currently have the most favourable environment in the sector, with covid tailwinds expected to persist into FY23.

The Hold rating is retained and the target price increases to $3.64 from $3.55. 

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $3.64 Current Price is $3.55 Difference: $0.09
If MPL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.56, suggesting upside of 1.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.70 cents and EPS of 15.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.8, implying annual growth of -1.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.30 cents and EPS of 16.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.2, implying annual growth of 2.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NHF  NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $7.01

Morgans rates NHF as Hold (3) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

The broker updates nib Holdings' earnings per share forecasts by between -1% and 3%. 

The Hold rating is retained and the target price decreases to $7.53 from $7.66.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $7.53 Current Price is $7.01 Difference: $0.52
If NHF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.93, suggesting downside of -0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 22.70 cents and EPS of 33.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.1, implying annual growth of -8.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 22.20 cents and EPS of 32.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.5, implying annual growth of 1.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PLS  PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $3.52

Citi rates PLS as Neutral (3) -

Citi analysts have updated their modeling which has resulted in quite the noticeable increase in their valuation/price target; to $3.60 from $2.50 in early December.

Neutral/High Risk rating retained as the broker opines "We think it's too early to sell". Citi sees price strength lasting for at least the coming six months.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $3.52 Difference: $0.08
If PLS meets the Citi target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.06, suggesting downside of -14.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 11.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.7, implying annual growth of 35.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

QBE  QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $12.02

Morgans rates QBE as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Stronger profit margin assumptions, driven by a favourable global insurance pricing environment, encourages Morgans to increase QBE Insurance Group's earnings per share forecasts 8-13% for 2021 and 2022. The broker expects strong attritional claim ratio improvement. 

QBE Insurance Group is Morgans' sector top sector pick. The Add rating is retained and the target price increases to $14.32 from $13.70.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $14.32 Current Price is $12.02 Difference: $2.3
If QBE meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $14.24, suggesting upside of 17.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 58.67 cents and EPS of 77.08 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 83.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 59.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 74.68 cents and EPS of 94.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 103.0, implying annual growth of 24.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 83.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SHL  SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $44.10

Credit Suisse rates SHL as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

The rapid spread of omicron over the holiday season has wreaked havoc for Sonic Healthcare, the company battling staff shortages, a sharp rise in demand, and the resulting inability to pool test, which has resulted in lower capacity.

Credit Suisse expects the number of tests performed to fall from 10 tests per 1,000 people per day to two tests per 1,000 people (based on 50,000 daily tests) by FY23.

The broker expects the past December half will represent peak earnings for the company, as covid testing gives way to rapid antigen testing. But all of this is inline with consensus forecasts.

The broker downgrades to Neutral from Outperform on valuation grounds. Target price steady at $46.50.

Target price is $46.50 Current Price is $44.10 Difference: $2.4
If SHL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $45.75, suggesting upside of 4.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 97.30 cents and EPS of 269.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 289.6, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 109.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.1.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 102.20 cents and EPS of 164.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 177.8, implying annual growth of -38.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 115.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SUN  SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $11.55

Morgan Stanley rates SUN as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley has reported home and motor new business slowed to almost zero in the December quarter.

The broker highlights Suncorp Group continues to price more competitively than peers, but notes unless pricing improves there is some margin risk from higher claims and costs as covid motor savings benefits slow.

The Equal-Weight rating and target price of $11.90 are retained. Industry view: In-Line. 

Target price is $11.90 Current Price is $11.55 Difference: $0.35
If SUN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.14, suggesting upside of 12.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 53.00 cents and EPS of 62.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of -16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 72.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.2, implying annual growth of 24.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 68.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates SUN as Hold (3) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Morgans lifts Suncorp Group's earnings per share forecasts 2% for FY22 and FY23, assuming improved bank loan growth and bad debt. The insurer has advised of weather impacts on first half results. 

The Hold rating is retained and the target price increases to $12.25 from $12.16.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $12.25 Current Price is $11.55 Difference: $0.7
If SUN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.14, suggesting upside of 12.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 48.70 cents and EPS of 63.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of -16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 66.50 cents and EPS of 88.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.2, implying annual growth of 24.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 68.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TLS  TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $4.10

Ord Minnett rates TLS as Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett reminds investors Telstra has guided for a strong operational result in the medium term with increased profitability and productivity gains in the fixed business underpinning guidance.

The broker sees further benefits from the monetisation of assets -think InfraCo- and capital inflows from asset sales could well complement good free cashflow in providing scope for further distributions to shareholders.

Ord Minnett retains its Buy rating, regardless of strong share price performance recently, and lifts its price target to $4.85 from $4.60 as the valuation modeling has been rolled forward.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $4.85 Current Price is $4.10 Difference: $0.75
If TLS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.46, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.6, implying annual growth of -13.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.2, implying annual growth of 19.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TPG  TPG TELECOM LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $5.85

Ord Minnett rates TPG as Upgrade to Buy from Hold (1) -

Ord Minnett has upgraded to Buy from Neutral with the TPG Telecom share price seen as too cheaply priced while the telco challenger is also considered a prime beneficiary from the (coming) post-pandemic recovery.

The broker's thesis is based upon growth in subscribers as well as improved mobile pricing. In addition, TPG is equally preparing for the sale of its tower assets in 2022.

Ord Minnett calculates the latter could ad $0.75 (up to) to its valuation for the stock. Target price lifts to $7.45 from $6.80.

Target price is $7.45 Current Price is $5.85 Difference: $1.6
If TPG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.74, suggesting upside of 26.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.9, implying annual growth of -76.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.7, implying annual growth of 32.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TYR  TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $2.64

Morgans rates TYR as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Morgans decreases Tyro Payments' earnings per share forecasts -1% and -5% for FY22 and FY23 respectively. The company's first quarter gross profit was softer than expected, and the broker looks to full first half results for further clarity on outlook. 

Tyro Payments is Morgans' second sector pick. The Add rating is retained and the target price decreases to $4.00 from $4.25.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $2.64 Difference: $1.36
If TYR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 52% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.13, suggesting upside of 55.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 97.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 440.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 295.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Z1P  ZIP CO LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $3.92

Citi rates Z1P as Neutral (3) -

Hidden towards the back of a general sector update on the BNPL sector sits Citi's updated price target for Zip Co; $5.85.

Apparently, the change was made in early December.

Neutral rating is still in place.

Target price is $5.85 Current Price is $3.92 Difference: $1.93
If Z1P meets the Citi target it will return approximately 49% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.76, suggesting upside of 69.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 37.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 10.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -21.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 25.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 15.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -6.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates Z1P as Add (1) -

Morgans has issued an update on its Insurance and Diversified Financials coverage following market updates at the end of the first half. The broker highlights Australian and major global equities indices rose 3-7%, with a majority of the increase in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Morgans expects Zip Co will report between 50% and 100% revenue growth on the previous quarter, but will report a profit after tax for the first half. Earnings per share forecasts decrease by more than -10% on expense estimates attributed to global growth. 

The broker notes the buy now pay later sector is facing some negative investor sentiment and strong first half results are required to alleviate. The Add rating is retained and the target price decreases to $7.54 from $8.56.

This report was published January 4, 2022. 

Target price is $7.54 Current Price is $3.92 Difference: $3.62
If Z1P meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 92% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.76, suggesting upside of 69.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 18.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 20.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -21.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 6.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 60.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -6.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
APT Afterpay $77.04 Citi N/A 125.00 -100.00%
Morgans 92.00 132.10 -30.36%
ASX ASX $92.03 Morgans 68.95 67.30 2.45%
Ord Minnett 86.24 82.50 4.53%
CGF Challenger $6.52 Morgans 7.30 7.28 0.27%
CPU Computershare $20.74 Morgans 18.82 17.52 7.42%
GDG Generation Development $1.40 Morgans 1.73 1.68 2.98%
IAG Insurance Australia Group $4.41 Morgans 5.32 5.31 0.19%
ING Inghams Group $3.37 Credit Suisse 4.15 4.40 -5.68%
Macquarie 3.46 3.70 -6.49%
KSL Kina Securities $0.88 Morgans 1.32 1.28 3.13%
LNK Link Administration $5.54 Morgans 5.51 5.50 0.18%
MPL Medibank Private $3.50 Morgans 3.64 3.55 2.54%
NHF nib Holdings $6.99 Morgans 7.53 7.66 -1.70%
PLS Pilbara Minerals $3.58 Citi 3.60 2.50 44.00%
QBE QBE Insurance $12.09 Morgans 14.32 13.70 4.53%
SUN Suncorp Group $11.68 Morgans 12.25 12.16 0.74%
TLS Telstra $4.18 Ord Minnett 4.85 4.60 5.43%
TPG TPG Telecom $6.14 Ord Minnett 7.45 6.80 9.56%
TYR Tyro Payments $2.66 Morgans 4.00 4.25 -5.88%
Z1P Zip Co $4.00 Citi 5.85 7.40 -20.95%
Morgans 7.54 8.56 -11.92%
Summaries
ALG Ardent Leisure Buy - Citi Overnight Price $1.30
APT Afterpay No Rating - Citi Overnight Price $73.51
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $73.51
ASX ASX Reduce - Morgans Overnight Price $90.36
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $90.36
CGF Challenger Add - Morgans Overnight Price $6.47
CPU Computershare Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $20.70
FMG Fortescue Metals Downgrade to Sell from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $21.12
GDG Generation Development Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.40
HLS Healius Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $4.95
IAG Insurance Australia Group Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $4.40
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $4.40
ING Inghams Group Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.32
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.32
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.32
KSL Kina Securities Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.87
LNK Link Administration Add - Morgans Overnight Price $5.54
MME MoneyMe Add - Morgans Overnight Price $2.08
MPL Medibank Private Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $3.55
NHF nib Holdings Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $7.01
PLS Pilbara Minerals Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.52
QBE QBE Insurance Add - Morgans Overnight Price $12.02
SHL Sonic Healthcare Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $44.10
SUN Suncorp Group Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $11.55
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $11.55
TLS Telstra Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.10
TPG TPG Telecom Upgrade to Buy from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $5.85
TYR Tyro Payments Add - Morgans Overnight Price $2.64
Z1P Zip Co Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.92
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $3.92
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

15

3. Hold

11

5. Sell

3

Wednesday 12 January 2022

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.