AUB GROUP LIMITED (AUB)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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AUB

AUB - AUB GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Insurance
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Insurance
Debt/EBITDA: 3.53
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

AUB Group provides broking, underwriting and risk management services to clients in Australia and New Zealand. Formed in 1985 as Austbrokers Holdings, it became a listed company in 2005.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$37.25

28 Nov
2025

0.120

OPEN

$37.08

0.32%

HIGH

$37.42

320,381

LOW

$36.90

TARGET
$40.018 7.4% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
CVW . FCL . GDG . HLI . IAG . MPL . NHF . NOL . QBE . SDF . SUN . TWR .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AUB: 1
Title FY24
Actual		 FY25
Actual		 FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 154.5 182.3 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 91.0 104.2 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 22.9% 18.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 15.2% 14.5% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 20.4 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 2.8% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 58.9% 57.2% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 3.94%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 2.44

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/09 - ex-div 59c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx154.5
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx91.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,128.2 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,451.1
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx386.5 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.96 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.24 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.44 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.10 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.24 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.38 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx284.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx26 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx932 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx958 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,006 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,344 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.45

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.41 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx226 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx727 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial

Ord Minnett

10/11/2025

1

Buy

$42.17

13.21%

Ord Minnett sees the risk-reward as favourable for AUB Group's share price at the current level on a reasonable likelihood of a takeover bid at $45 or above. Some caution is, however, warranted above $40 on a takeover-driven trade.

The broker notes EQT private equity has been granted an extension of the exclusivity period to November 20, continuing due diligence toward a potential $45 offer, though no deal is guaranteed.

AUB Group remains under no-talk/no-shop restrictions, except in the event of a superior unsolicited proposal. The company has not indicated an acceptable price, but the broker believes a final offer would likely need to be closer to $50/share.

The broker looks forward to the AGM on November 13 for any update on the process and likely a reaffirmation of FY26 underlying net profit guidance.

Buy. Target unchanged at $42.17.

FORECAST
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 105.50 cents and EPS of 156.20 cents.
Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 115.00 cents and EPS of 171.80 cents.

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
Login above or Get a Free Trial
Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

10/11/2025

2

Overweight

$40.20

7.92%

AUB Group has allowed Swedish private equity firm EQT to form a consortium with CVC Asia Pacific to jointly pursue its $45-a-share non-binding indicative offer.

Jarden describes the mid-process partnership as unconventional but consistent with ongoing consolidation trends across the insurance sector. CVC’s insurance track record is viewed positively, while the exclusivity period has been extended to December 4.

The analysts note an unchanged offer price and flag increased execution risk given dual counterparties, although funding risk may be reduced.

Jarden retains its $40.20 target and reiterates an Overweight rating.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 104.30 cents and EPS of 188.60 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 115.00 cents and EPS of 210.30 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

AUB STOCK CHART

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2
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