AUB GROUP LIMITED (AUB)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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AUB

AUB - AUB GROUP LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Insurance
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Insurance
Debt/EBITDA: 3.53
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

AUB Group provides broking, underwriting and risk management services to clients in Australia and New Zealand. Formed in 1985 as Austbrokers Holdings, it became a listed company in 2005.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$33.53

29 Aug
2025

0.130

OPEN

$33.40

0.39%

HIGH

$33.78

318,954

LOW

$33.15

TARGET
$37.268 11.1% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
CVW . FCL . GDG . HLI . IAG . MPL . NHF . NOL . QBE . SDF . SUN . TWR .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AUB: 1
Title FY24
Actual		 FY25
Actual		 FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 154.5 191.4 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 91.0 104.4 xxx
EPS Growth xxx 22.9% 23.9% xxx
DPS Growth xxx 15.2% 14.7% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 17.5 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.1% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 58.9% 54.5% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 4.10%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 2.71

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/09 - ex-div 59c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 202020212022202320242025
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx154.5
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx91.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,128.2 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,451.1
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx386.5 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.96 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 202020212022202320242025
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.24 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.44 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.10 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx11.24 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.38 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx284.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 202020212022202320242025
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx26 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx932 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx958 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,006 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1,344 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.45

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 202020212022202320242025
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.6 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.41 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx226 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx727 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx24 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

Broker commentary and detailed analysis is available for Full Members Only.
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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Login above or Get a Free Trial

Morgan Stanley

27/08/2025

1

Overweight

$39.00

16.31%

AUB Group’s FY25 profit came in 2% above Morgan Stanley’s estimate and 1% ahead of consensus, at the top end of guidance for 17% year-on-year growth.

Statutory profit was also about 35% above consensus from revaluation of associates, explains the broker. FY26 underlying profit guidance of $215-227m implies to Morgan Stanley around 10.5% growth at the midpoint.

Management provided investors with more confidence in Tysers, suggest the analysts, proving fee revenues can outgrow premiums, with further scope for earnings margin expansion.

FY26 guidance includes 8.5 percentage points from organic growth, 3% from acquisitions, and assumes a -25bps interest rate cut.

The broker sees scope for International/Tysers’ margin to lift to around 28% by FY28 from 26% in FY26.

The final dividend was -1% and -4% shy, versus respective forecasts by consensus and Morgan Stanley.

Overweight rating maintained. Target edges up to $39.00 from $38.70.  Industry view is In-Line.

FORECAST
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 112.00 cents and EPS of 191.70 cents.
Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 121.00 cents and EPS of 208.90 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >
EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

1

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Jarden

07/07/2025

2

Overweight

$38.25

14.08%

Jarden marked-to-market investment movements for insurance and wealth stocks for the June quarter, noting a fall in risk-free rates, a strong rebound in global equities, USD depreciation and credit spread compression.

The broker highlights scope for insurance brokers to grow earnings organically and via M&A, and sees the strongest appeal in AUB Group among brokers.

EPS forecast lifted by 0.1% for FY25 and by 0.4% for FY26.

Overweight. Target rises to $38.25 from $37.25.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 115.00 cents and EPS of 198.10 cents.
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

AUB STOCK CHART

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