KOGAN.COM LIMITED (KGN)
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KGN - KOGAN.COM LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Retailing
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Retailing
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS | ALL-TECH

Australia's number one online retailer, founded by Ruslan Kogan from his parents' Melbourne garage in 2006, at the age of 23. The company listed in mid-2016 and has shown a habit of propping up the share price with positive press releases prior to directors selling shares. CEO Kogan and CFO David Shafer have sold circa $350m worth in shares over the past four years (up until late 2020).

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$3.66

16 May
2022

-0.100

OPEN

$3.80

-2.66%

HIGH

$3.92

495,706

LOW

$3.63

TARGET
$4.025 10.0% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
KGN: 1
Title FY20
Actual
FY21
Actual
FY22
Forecast
FY23
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 3.3 - 2.6 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 16.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 88.3% N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx - 23.8% N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A N/A xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 479.0% N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 2.60%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

4.42

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 08/03 - ex-div 16c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2022 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201620172018201920202021
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx779.4 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx169.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-63.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.45 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201620172018201920202021
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.05 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.63 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.96 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.05 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx10.08 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-91.1 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

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EXPERT VIEWS
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Sentiment Indicator

-0.5

No. Of Recommendations

2
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Credit Suisse

02/05/2022

5

Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral

$3.75

2.46%

Credit Suisse downgrades Kogan.com to Underperform from Neutral and sharply cuts the target price to $3.75 from $5.53 after the company published a March-quarter loss.

Sales fell well short of forecasts and market averages, gross sales falling -7.2% year-on-year and Third-Party and Exclusive Brands falling -21.8% and -18.8% respectively.

Credit Suisse believes gross profit will struggle in the short term due to high direct sourcing costs and cautions the company's cost/profit problem could become a cash problem. Costs eased on the previous quarter but remained 16% above 2021, says the broker. Margins (EBITDA) have also tumbled.

FORECAST
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus -2.17 cents.
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus -3.71 cents.

KGN STOCK CHART