KOGAN.COM LIMITED (KGN)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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KGN - KOGAN.COM LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Retailing
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Retailing
Debt/EBITDA: -0.84
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Australia's number one online retailer, founded by Ruslan Kogan from his parents' Melbourne garage in 2006, at the age of 23. The company listed in mid-2016 and has shown a habit of propping up the share price with positive press releases prior to directors selling shares. CEO Kogan and CFO David Shafer have sold circa $350m worth in shares over the past four years (up until late 2020).

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$6.94

18 Apr
2024

-0.120

OPEN

$7.01

-1.70%

HIGH

$7.04

336,314

LOW

$6.90

TARGET
$7.733 11.4% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
LOV . TOY .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
KGN: 1
Title FY22
Actual		 FY23
Actual		 FY24
Forecast		 FY25
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx N/A 16.2 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx N/A 12.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 41.3 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 1.8% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 73.9% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 12/04 - ex-div 7.5c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2024 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201820192020202120222023
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-24.0
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx488.4 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx160.2
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx70.9 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-5.29 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201820192020202120222023
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-15.19 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-12.98 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-8.15 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-15.19 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-17.11 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx70.5 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201820192020202120222023
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx8 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx16 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx46 M
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx65 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.03

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201820192020202120222023
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx4.2 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.85 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx353 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx171 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

-0.2

No. Of Recommendations

3
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

2

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Citi

27/02/2024

5

Sell

$5.50

-20.75%

Further to the first half results for Kogan.com, Citi now envisages New Zealand as a source of sustainable earnings growth as Mighty Ape disrupts the market there.

The broker still expects the Kogan First fee hike will hinder growth, particularly when there are much cheaper alternatives.

Citi increases estimates for FY24 and FY25 EBIT by 11% and 24%, respectively, to reflect price-driven Kogan First revenue growth but is less constructive on the longer-term outlook. Target is raised to $5.50 from $4.30 and a Sell rating is maintained.

FORECAST
Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 16.50 cents and EPS of 17.40 cents.
Citi forecasts a full year FY25 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 24.70 cents.

UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Access Stockbroker Research History >

KGN STOCK CHART

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