KOGAN.COM LIMITED (KGN)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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KGN - KOGAN.COM LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Retailing
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Retailing
Index: ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS | ALL-TECH

Australia's number one online retailer, founded by Ruslan Kogan from his parents' Melbourne garage in 2006, at the age of 23. The company listed in mid-2016 and has shown a habit of propping up the share price with positive press releases prior to directors selling shares. CEO Kogan and CFO David Shafer have sold circa $350m worth in shares over the past four years (up until late 2020).

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$10.65

23 Sep
2021

0.640

OPEN

$10.13

6.39%

HIGH

$10.65

1,349,348

LOW

$10.09

TARGET
$14.06 32.0% upside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
MYD . CRW . ZBT . MYD . ZEL . TOY .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
KGN: 1
Title FY20
Actual
FY21
Actual
FY22
Forecast
FY23
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx 3.3 28.9 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx - 88.4% 100.0% xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 36.6 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx 0.0% 0.0% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 08/03 - 16c (100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2021 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201620172018201920202021
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx3.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx779.4 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx169.6
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-63.1 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.45 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201620172018201920202021
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.98 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2.05 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx6.85 %
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx55.7 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx7.15 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-91.1 M

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

This is work in progress. Bear with us. It'll be amazing.

EXPERT VIEWS
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Sentiment Indicator

1.0

No. Of Recommendations

1
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Credit Suisse

25/08/2021

1

Outperform

$14.06

32.02%

Kogan.com's temporary pause in dividends to conserve cash surprised the market and overshadowed an overall positive sales trading update for the first 7-weeks of FY22.

Credit Suisse continues to factor in a year-on-year decline in sales ex-Mighty Ape for the first half FY22 and has moderated previously forecast margin improvement resulting in earnings downgrades.

While there is some risk with respect to how quickly Kogan.com can normalise its cost base, the broker remains positive on the strong value proposition of private label product and on the medium-term growth opportunity for online retail.

Outperform rating is unchanged and the target is lowered to $14.06 from $15.21.

FORECAST
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 28.86 cents.
Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 20.33 cents and EPS of 40.66 cents.

KGN STOCK CHART