KOGAN.COM LIMITED (KGN)
Share Price Analysis and Chart

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KGN - KOGAN.COM LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Retailing
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Retailing
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS | ALL-TECH

Australia's number one online retailer, founded by Ruslan Kogan from his parents' Melbourne garage in 2006, at the age of 23. The company listed in mid-2016 and has shown a habit of propping up the share price with positive press releases prior to directors selling shares. CEO Kogan and CFO David Shafer have sold circa $350m worth in shares over the past four years (up until late 2020).

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$3.34

05 Dec
2022

-0.020

OPEN

$3.33

-0.60%

HIGH

$3.38

957,101

LOW

$3.24

TARGET
$3.165 -5.2% downside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 100%
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
KGN: 1
Title FY21
Actual
FY22
Actual
FY23
Forecast
FY24
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 33.2 - 8.2 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A N/A xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 08/03 - ex-div 16c (franking 100%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2022 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201720182019202020212022
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-33.2
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx717.6 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx161.5
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx61.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-4.94 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201720182019202020212022
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-20.07 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-14.41 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-8.69 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-20.07 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-16.60 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx60.3 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

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EXPERT VIEWS
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Sentiment Indicator

-0.5

No. Of Recommendations

2
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Credit Suisse

xx/xx/xxxx

5

xxxxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

28/10/2022

3

Upgrade to Neutral from Sell

$3.60

7.78%

It is UBS's view that Kogan's Q1 update still does not reflect a turning point in top line sales. The remainder of FY23 is seen as roughly EBITDA break-even while excess stock should be cleared by December.

UBS thinks margins remain at risk depending on what the competition does. Ultimately, however, the broker does see margins recovering, providing a more positive outlook from FY24 onwards.

As the share price is not far off from the $3.60 price target (up from $3.15), UBS has upgraded to Neutral from Sell.

FORECAST
UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of minus -0.50 cents.
UBS forecasts a full year FY24 EPS of 12.00 cents.

KGN STOCK CHART