Australian Broker Call

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May 28, 2020

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1). Stocks highlighted in RED have seen additional reporting since the prior update of this Report.

Last Updated: 05:19 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
BKL - Blackmores Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Macquarie
BKW - Brickworks Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
BPT - Beach Energy Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
CSL - CSL Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
NTD - National Tyre & Wheel Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
A2M  THE A2 MILK COMPANY LIMITED

Dairy

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Overnight Price: $17.55

UBS rates A2M as Buy (1) -

UBS is confident the company is on track to meet expectations in FY20. However, market share gains appear to have moderated in April although trends remain strong.

Both Danone and Bellamy's have recently launched A2 infant formula products in Australia but the broker believes this is unlikely to have a material impact on a2 Milk, given consumer brand loyalty.

Buy rating retained. Target is NZ$22.00.

Current Price is $17.55. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $19.36, suggesting upside of 10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 50.24 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.0.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 57.65 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 52.0, implying annual growth of 15.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.8.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALQ  ALS LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $7.33

Citi rates ALQ as Neutral (3) -

FY20 results beat Citi's estimates, attributable to strong pricing. Trading conditions in April have meant revenue was down -9% compared with the prior April but better than Citi's forecasts.

The trough in earnings appears to be shallower than the broker had previously expected. Citi upgrades estimates for FY21-22 by 16-18%.

The broker now expects a 30% pay-out ratio in FY21. Target is raised to $8.31 from $7.34. Neutral/High Risk retained.

Target price is $8.31 Current Price is $7.33 Difference: $0.98
If ALQ meets the Citi target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.68, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 9.90 cents and EPS of 32.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.1, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 45.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.9, implying annual growth of 28.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates ALQ as Outperform (1) -

Net profit in FY20 was in line with Credit Suisse estimates. The broker suspects the first half of FY21 will be challenged, although management appears cautiously optimistic.

Management has indicated that conditions became worse in April, with revenue down -9% and May is likely to be similarly weak. The bolt-on acquisition strategy has been reaffirmed.

The broker considers the balance sheet solid and believes management could be more aggressive in pursuing attractive consolidation opportunities. Outperform rating reiterated. Target is $8.

Target price is $8.00 Current Price is $7.33 Difference: $0.67
If ALQ meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.68, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 22.41 cents and EPS of 36.96 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.1, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 26.05 cents and EPS of 42.96 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.9, implying annual growth of 28.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates ALQ as Outperform (1) -

FY20 results were consistent with Macquarie's expectations. However, geochemical volumes in April were down -30% at the end of the month.

The broker notes the opportunity around the rolling out of coronavirus testing in the longer term as this becomes a regular part of life in terms of monitoring in offices, transport and at events.

Although difficult to quantify, the broker suggests this represents an attractive long-term prospect. Outperform rating maintained. Target is raised to $7.78 from $7.03.

Target price is $7.78 Current Price is $7.33 Difference: $0.45
If ALQ meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.68, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.30 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.95%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.28.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.1, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 19.80 cents and EPS of 33.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.9, implying annual growth of 28.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates ALQ as Add (1) -

ALS Ltd’s FY20 financials were in-line with the guidance despite covid-19 related headwinds during February-March. The company is cautious with respect to FY21 and has not issued any guidance finding it difficult to quantify the impact amidst so much uncertainty.

Morgans forecasts improvement from the second half with a rebound in earnings.

Add rating retained by Morgans on account of the company being an essential services provider with a comfortable liquidity position.

The target increased to $8.28 from $6.90.

Target price is $8.28 Current Price is $7.33 Difference: $0.95
If ALQ meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.68, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.1, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 37.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.9, implying annual growth of 28.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates ALQ as Hold (3) -

FY20 results were in line with Ord Minnett's expectations. Limited commentary on the outlook was provided, although the company noted April and May are likely to be the most affected months in terms of the coronavirus pandemic.

Ord Minnett notes the first quarter of the fiscal year is a key period for the northern hemisphere geochemistry segment and looks ahead to the AGM on July 29 for an update on the impact of the pandemic on the business.

Hold rating maintained. Target is reduced to $6.40 from $7.00.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $6.40 Current Price is $7.33 Difference: minus $0.93 (current price is over target).
If ALQ meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.68, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 31.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.1, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 40.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.9, implying annual growth of 28.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ALQ as Neutral (3) -

FY20 net profit was slightly ahead of UBS estimates. The company has reiterated recent commentary regarding trading and provided no formal FY21 guidance.

UBS notes the company has already reduced its global personnel by -15%, which indicates it is preparing for sharply lower activity levels, as witnessed in April and into May.

The broker still forecasts FY21 earnings (EBIT) to decline -26%. ALS Ltd has taken -$90m in goodwill impairments across the Latin American life sciences and industrial businesses, related to the pandemic and depressed oil markets.

Neutral rating maintained. Target rises to $7.30 from $6.70.

Target price is $7.30 Current Price is $7.33 Difference: minus $0.03 (current price is over target).
If ALQ meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $7.68, suggesting upside of 4.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 8.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.1, implying annual growth of 17.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.9, implying annual growth of 28.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANN  ANSELL LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

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Overnight Price: $34.76

Credit Suisse rates ANN as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse believes the increase in PPE demand, and single-use examination gloves in particular, is structural and will remain a focus post the pandemic.

The top five Malaysian glove suppliers, which make up 70% of the market share globally, are expanding manufacturing capacity by around 15% by the end of 2020.

The broker assesses demand growth will run in excess of this increase and shift the focus to Ansell's premium products. Still, given the company's products are already at a premium, it is unlikely to experience a benefit as much as peers.

Outperform rating maintained. Estimates are raised by around 2% for FY20 and around 9% for FY21. Target is raised to $36.50 from $32.00.

Target price is $36.50 Current Price is $34.76 Difference: $1.74
If ANN meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.21, suggesting downside of -10.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 72.52 cents and EPS of 172.57 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 177.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 78.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 81.82 cents and EPS of 187.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 186.7, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 81.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates ANN as Underperform (5) -

While Macquarie considers Ansell is positively attuned to the increased demand for PPE, the industrial end markets are subdued, with lower growth for higher-margin industrial products. There are also capacity constraints to consider.

The broker does not consider the risks are factored into current expectations and retains an Underperform rating. Target is raised to $30.40 from $27.50.

Target price is $30.40 Current Price is $34.76 Difference: minus $4.36 (current price is over target).
If ANN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $31.21, suggesting downside of -10.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 77.06 cents and EPS of 173.46 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 177.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 78.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 83.31 cents and EPS of 188.34 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 186.7, implying annual growth of 5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 81.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AQR  APN CONVENIENCE RETAIL REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $3.34

Morgans rates AQR as Add (1) -

APN Convenience Retail REIT announced two acquisitions with a total value of $10.2m along with the completion of four fund-through development projects worth $19.8m.

With the aforementioned developments, the portfolio valuation stands at $425m, notes Morgans.

FY20 guidance remains unchanged with funds from operations (FFO) of $0.215-$0.218 and dividends at $0.218.

Morgans retains its Add rating with target increased to $3.87 from $3.80.

Target price is $3.87 Current Price is $3.34 Difference: $0.53
If AQR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 21.80 cents and EPS of 21.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.39.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 22.50 cents and EPS of 23.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.27.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BKL  BLACKMORES LIMITED

Health & Nutrition

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Overnight Price: $81.42

Citi rates BKL as Neutral (3) -

Citi considers the capital raising sensible but would have preferred a larger amount in order to reduce gearing to a greater extent, and given the uncertainty around the long-term demand profile.

It would also provide more support for further geographical diversification outside of China. A portion of the capital raising has been earmarked to fund growth in Asia.

The broker also considers the pursuit of a Chinese partnership a positive, given the assistance the company needs to maximise the opportunity.

Neutral rating maintained. Target rises to $79.80 from $72.80.

Target price is $79.80 Current Price is $81.42 Difference: minus $1.62 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $72.47, suggesting downside of -11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 116.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 70.07.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.1, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 74.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 116.30 cents and EPS of 166.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of 73.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates BKL as Underperform (5) -

Blackmores has announced a $92m equity raising, to be used to retire debt and fund previously planned initiatives. FY20 net profit guidance has been reiterated.

Credit Suisse finds the plan to restore financial strength and business momentum promising, noting Australia is a market where price growth has historically been difficult because of the concentration of customers.

FY21 estimates are downgraded by -12% and FY22 by -7% as the broker reassesses the effects of temporary cost imposts relating to the acquired manufacturing facility.

Underperform rating retained on the basis of valuation. Dividends are expected to resume in FY21. Target is raised to $65 from $60.

Target price is $65.00 Current Price is $81.42 Difference: minus $16.42 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $72.47, suggesting downside of -11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 113.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 72.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.1, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 74.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 150.00 cents and EPS of 197.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of 73.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates BKL as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -

Blackmores has undertaken a capital raising, which Macquarie considers is logical given the uncertainty around trading patterns heading into the first half.

The broker takes a more positive view now concerns regarding the balance sheet are removed. The company is pushing ahead with growth plans in Southeast Asia and India, supported by a $40m investment in working capital and operating costs.

Macquarie upgrades to Neutral from Underperform. Target is raised to $73 from $64.

Target price is $73.00 Current Price is $81.42 Difference: minus $8.42 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $72.47, suggesting downside of -11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 112.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 72.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.1, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 74.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 105.00 cents and EPS of 175.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of 73.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates BKL as Equal-weight (3) -

While the equity raising does not change the earnings profile, Morgan Stanley acknowledges it shores up the balance sheet and is a prudent move.

The company is seeking to raise up to $115m and will use the proceeds to retire debt, invest in accelerating growth in Asia and improve efficiency.

Management has also pointed out the strength of equity markets was a factor in its decision to raise capital.

Equal-weight rating and Cautious industry view maintained. Target is raised to $67 from $66.

Target price is $67.00 Current Price is $81.42 Difference: minus $14.42 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $72.47, suggesting downside of -11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 107.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 76.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.1, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 74.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 162.00 cents and EPS of 217.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of 73.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates BKL as Hold (3) -

Blackmores has announced an equity raising to strengthen its balance sheet and fund growth, a development Morgans finds unsurprising.

The company is on track to deliver its FY20 guidance with net profit between $17-21m although except for the immunity product line, Morgans notes the business has been impacted by slow retail traffic. The broker believes guidance will be achieved mostly from extra cost savings.

The broker expects growth to resume from FY21 and considers this an opportune time to improve margins that currently lag behind peers.

The broker reiterates its Hold rating with target price increased to $75 from $70.

Target price is $75.00 Current Price is $81.42 Difference: minus $6.42 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $72.47, suggesting downside of -11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 109.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 74.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.1, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 74.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 142.00 cents and EPS of 203.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of 73.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates BKL as Hold (3) -

Blackmores has retained earnings guidance for an FY20 net profit of $17-21m, although Ord Minnett notes the make-up of the guidance is different to what was provided in February because of the impact of the pandemic.

The company has decided to raise equity to provide additional flexibility. The broker would have preferred this capital was raised through a Chinese partner to align interests in delivering on the strategy in China but acknowledges discussions are not yet ns an advanced stage.

Ord Minnett retains a Hold rating and raises the target to $75 from $72.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $75.00 Current Price is $81.42 Difference: minus $6.42 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $72.47, suggesting downside of -11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 103.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 79.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.1, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 74.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 191.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of 73.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 135.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BKW  BRICKWORKS LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $15.55

Macquarie rates BKW as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Market conditions are improving and Macquarie assesses the stock is trading at a -27% discount to the inferred value of the assets, underperforming peers in the recent recovery.

The broker suspects the market is yet to fully price in the strength of the property assets and upgrades to Outperform from Neutral. Target is raised to $16.30 from $15.25.

Target price is $16.30 Current Price is $15.55 Difference: $0.75
If BKW meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $14.69, suggesting downside of -5.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 58.00 cents and EPS of 80.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.8, implying annual growth of -9.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 57.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.6.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 59.00 cents and EPS of 44.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.7, implying annual growth of -45.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 58.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BPT  BEACH ENERGY LIMITED

Crude Oil

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Overnight Price: $1.60

Macquarie rates BPT as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Beach Energy shares are up 19% over the last week and Macquarie reviews the outlook for growth in expenditure, assessing there is more upside elsewhere in the sector.

The business retains solid fundamentals but the broker assesses prior cash flow outlook is at risk because of the downturn in oil and delays to projects. Rating is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform. Target is reduced by -5.8% to $1.60.

Target price is $1.60 Current Price is $1.60 Difference: $0
If BPT meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.69, suggesting upside of 5.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 19.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.7, implying annual growth of -22.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 18.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.7, implying annual growth of -25.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates BPT as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Morgans notes Beach Energy has outperformed the energy index over the last 30 days and beat the broker’s target of $1.66. However, volatility will persist, cautions the broker, with the market trying to find a balance.

Beach Energy has a number of high return brownfield projects along with greenfield options in the long run, reminds Morgans. The broker also expects the company to re-contract an offshore rig in the Otway basin in early FY21.

The share’s strong price performance coupled with a volatile market prompts a downgrade by the broker to Hold from Add with a target price of $1.66.

Target price is $1.66 Current Price is $1.60 Difference: $0.06
If BPT meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.69, suggesting upside of 5.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.7, implying annual growth of -22.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.7, implying annual growth of -25.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CCX  CITY CHIC COLLECTIVE LTD

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $2.85

Macquarie rates CCX as Outperform (1) -

Online sales in Australasia have exceeded expectations during the lockdown. However, Macquarie now takes a more conservative view of the ongoing operating leverage and cost base.

Estimates for earnings per share are reduced by -28% and -24% for FY20 and FY21, respectively. Outperform maintained. Target is reduced to $2.69 from $2.97.

Target price is $2.69 Current Price is $2.85 Difference: minus $0.16 (current price is over target).
If CCX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.76, suggesting downside of -3.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.1, implying annual growth of -2.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.2.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.5, implying annual growth of 29.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $287.51

Citi rates CSL as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

With the shares having underperformed the broader market by no less than -19% over the month past, including a noticeable drubbing in yesterday's session, Citi analysts have upgraded CSL to Buy from Neutral.

The analysts note the global race for a covid-19 vaccine is running in full force now. CSL may or may not get involved with a successful end product, but financial implications should be benign, in case a competitor wins the prize, concludes Citi.

Today's update also includes the following sentence: "The risk to earnings in the medium-term remains to the upside as the company should continue to take market share due to its superior plasma collection position".

Forecasts are unchanged. Price target remains intact at $334.

Target price is $334.00 Current Price is $287.51 Difference: $46.49
If CSL meets the Citi target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $314.81, suggesting upside of 9.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Citi forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 303.48 cents and EPS of 686.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.90.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 693.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 307.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.5.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 361.50 cents and EPS of 820.74 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 779.7, implying annual growth of 12.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 344.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GTN  GTN LIMITED

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $0.53

Macquarie rates GTN as Neutral (3) -

Third quarter trading was in line with Macquarie's expectations. The company has refinanced $60m in debt and deferred covenant testing to FY22.

April trading was below the broker's estimates and, despite restrictions easing, feedback signals a lag in advertising expenditure.

Macquarie retains a Neutral rating because of the uncertain timing of the recovery in advertising expenditure and the high degree of operating leverage inherent in the business. Target is raised to $0.53 from $0.47.

Target price is $0.53 Current Price is $0.53 Difference: $0
If GTN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 1.40 cents and EPS of 2.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.64%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.24.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 3.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.56.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHC  JAPARA HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

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Overnight Price: $0.57

UPDATED

Macquarie rates JHC as Neutral (3) -

The company signalled expectations for a non-cash impairment to assets in the range of -$270-300m.

Macquarie highlights the difficult times the aged care sector faces, but notes there are no residents in the company's business with coronavirus, which signals good levels of care.

The broker retains a Neutral rating and reduces the target to $0.68 from $0.90. Estimates for earnings per share are cut by -22.3% and -54.5% for FY20 and FY21, respectively.

Target price is $0.68 Current Price is $0.57 Difference: $0.11
If JHC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.75, suggesting upside of 32.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.80 cents and EPS of 2.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.1, implying annual growth of -49.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 2.30 cents and EPS of 2.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.7, implying annual growth of -12.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates JHC as Hold (3) -

Japara Healthcare has confirmed no residents have been infected with coronavirus despite an employee testing positive. Occupancy levels have fallen, however, leaving the company to write down the carrying value of its goodwill.

Ord Minnett increases earnings forecasts for FY20 but reduces FY21. The current year is being boosted by the government's one-off funding program but this will end in FY21 and earnings are expected to drop because of lower occupancy.

Hold rating maintained. Target is reduced to $0.55 from $0.65.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $0.55 Current Price is $0.57 Difference: minus $0.02 (current price is over target).
If JHC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $0.75, suggesting upside of 32.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.1, implying annual growth of -49.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 57.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.7, implying annual growth of -12.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NAB  NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $18.79

Morgan Stanley rates NAB as Overweight (1) -

National Australia Bank has raised $1.25bn in a share purchase plan, ahead of its original target of $500m. Morgan Stanley notes the bank's pro forma CET1 ratio is now around 11.2%.

The bank is the broker's preferred among the major banks, given a better revenue outlook in the near term, a strong focus on costs as well as reduced risk appetite over recent years.

Overweight. Target is $16.70. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $16.70 Current Price is $18.79 Difference: minus $2.09 (current price is over target).
If NAB meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $18.28, suggesting downside of -2.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 107.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 116.4, implying annual growth of -34.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 68.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 95.00 cents and EPS of 137.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 146.5, implying annual growth of 25.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 100.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NCZ  NEW CENTURY RESOURCES LIMITED

Zinc & Lead

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Overnight Price: $0.20

UPDATED

Credit Suisse rates NCZ as Outperform (1) -

The company has entered into a 60-day exclusivity agreement with Vale to acquire the Goro nickel & cobalt mine in New Caledonia. No fiscal terms, funding arrangements or targets have been disclosed.

While acknowledging the company's aspirations, Credit Suisse questions whether this significant deviation from tailings reprocessing is the best course of action.

However, the broker acknowledges a full assessment cannot be made until the details of the deal are clear. Outperform retained. Target is reduced to $0.50 from $0.97.

Target price is $0.50 Current Price is $0.20 Difference: $0.3
If NCZ meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 150% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.49 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 13.42.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.57 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NTD  NATIONAL TYRE & WHEEL LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $0.37

Morgans rates NTD as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Trade was better than expected for National Tyre and Wheel, notes Morgans, leading the group to increase its FY20 operating earnings guidance above the broker’s estimate by circa 15%.

This and a strong balance sheet prompted the company to restore dividends. Morgans expects a distribution yield of circa 7%.

Future strategy main themes are expected to be on volume, scale and diversification, feels the broker.

Rating upgraded to Add from Hold with target increased to $0.45 from $0.26.

Target price is $0.45 Current Price is $0.37 Difference: $0.08
If NTD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 2.70 cents and EPS of 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.40.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 2.70 cents and EPS of 5.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.40.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SHL  SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED

Healthcare services

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Overnight Price: $29.21

UBS rates SHL as Sell (5) -

Based on most recent data, UBS observes testing rates in Australia and Belgium appear to have peaked in early to mid May and have started to retreat. The UK and Switzerland remain largely flat.

Testing rates in the US continue to climb albeit at a declining rate. The broker expects the recovery in routine pathology work to be staged but a more rapid recovery in the company's diagnostic volumes across all regions appears feasible.

UBS adjusts modelling and upgrades FY20 and FY21 estimates for earnings per share by 10% and 26%, respectively. Sell rating retained. Target rises to $25.10 from $23.10.

Target price is $25.10 Current Price is $29.21 Difference: minus $4.11 (current price is over target).
If SHL meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $27.76, suggesting downside of -5.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 66.00 cents and EPS of 93.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 85.7, implying annual growth of -30.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.1.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 88.00 cents and EPS of 122.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 111.3, implying annual growth of 29.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 84.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TPM  TPG TELECOM LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $8.52

Ord Minnett rates TPM as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett believes there are a variety of revenue synergies the company can pursue as a result of the merger with Vodafone Australia.

TPG Telecom will be de-listed on June 29 to make room for the new listing and investors need to have acquired shares by then to be eligible for the special dividends and Singapore distribution.

Accumulate rating and $8.65 target maintained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $8.65 Current Price is $8.52 Difference: $0.13
If TPM meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.17, suggesting downside of -4.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY20:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY20 EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.4, implying annual growth of 57.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.0.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.3, implying annual growth of -13.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TWE  TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $9.97

UBS rates TWE as Buy (1) -

UBS assesses the near-term outlook for Treasury Wine is uncertain and there are risks to estimates for the second half of FY20 and first half of FY21. Nevertheless, the broker does not envisage balance sheet issues.

There are potential catalysts, moreover, via the restructure of the Americas commercial business and potential de-merger of Penfolds. Buy rating and $14.80 target maintained.

Target price is $14.80 Current Price is $9.97 Difference: $4.83
If TWE meets the UBS target it will return approximately 48% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $11.47, suggesting upside of 15.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY20:

UBS forecasts a full year FY20 dividend of 31.50 cents and EPS of 53.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.7, implying annual growth of -14.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.1.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 29.30 cents and EPS of 56.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.0, implying annual growth of 10.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ALQ ALS Limited $7.33 Citi 8.31 7.34 13.22%
Macquarie 7.78 7.03 10.67%
Morgans 8.28 6.90 20.00%
Ord Minnett 6.40 7.00 -8.57%
UBS 7.30 6.70 8.96%
ANN Ansell $34.76 Credit Suisse 36.50 32.00 14.06%
Macquarie 30.40 27.50 10.55%
AQR Apn Convenience Retail Reit $3.34 Morgans 3.87 3.80 1.84%
BKL Blackmores $81.42 Citi 79.80 72.80 9.62%
Credit Suisse 65.00 60.00 8.33%
Macquarie 73.00 64.00 14.06%
Morgan Stanley 67.00 66.00 1.52%
Morgans 75.00 70.00 7.14%
Ord Minnett 75.00 72.00 4.17%
BKW Brickworks $15.55 Macquarie 16.30 15.25 6.89%
BPT Beach Energy $1.60 Macquarie 1.60 1.70 -5.88%
CCX City Chic $2.85 Macquarie 2.69 2.97 -9.43%
GTN Gtn Ltd $0.53 Macquarie 0.53 0.47 12.77%
JHC Japara Healthcare $0.57 Macquarie 0.68 0.90 -24.44%
Ord Minnett 0.55 0.65 -15.38%
NCZ New Century Resources $0.20 Credit Suisse 0.50 2.10 -76.19%
NTD National Tyre & Wheel $0.37 Morgans 0.45 0.26 73.08%
SHL Sonic Healthcare $29.21 UBS 25.10 23.10 8.66%
Summaries
A2M a2 Milk Co Buy - UBS Overnight Price $17.55
ALQ ALS Limited Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $7.33
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $7.33
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $7.33
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $7.33
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $7.33
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $7.33
ANN Ansell Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $34.76
Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $34.76
AQR Apn Convenience Retail Reit Add - Morgans Overnight Price $3.34
BKL Blackmores Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $81.42
Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $81.42
Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $81.42
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $81.42
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $81.42
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $81.42
BKW Brickworks Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $15.55
BPT Beach Energy Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.60
Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.60
CCX City Chic Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.85
CSL CSL Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $287.51
GTN Gtn Ltd Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.53
JHC Japara Healthcare Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.57
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.57
NAB National Australia Bank Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $18.79
NCZ New Century Resources Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $0.20
NTD National Tyre & Wheel Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $0.37
SHL Sonic Healthcare Sell - UBS Overnight Price $29.21
TPM TPG Telecom Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $8.52
TWE Treasury Wine Estates Buy - UBS Overnight Price $9.97
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

13

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

13

5. Sell

3

Thursday 28 May 2020

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