Australian Broker Call

Produced and copyrighted by at www.fnarena.com

April 17, 2018

Access Broker Call Report Archives here

COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

Click on symbol for fast access.

The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1)

THIS REPORT WILL BE UPDATED SHORTLY

Last Updated: 11:06 AM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ING - INGHAMS GROUP Upgrade to Buy from Neutral Citi
PPT - PERPETUAL Upgrade to Hold from Lighten Ord Minnett
ASB  AUSTAL LIMITED

Commercial Services & Supplies

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $1.76

Ord Minnett rates ASB as Accumulate (2) -

The Australian government's 12-vessel offshore patrol program, in which Austal is likely to be involved in the construction of the 10 vessels to be built in Western Australia, is estimated to have a total construction phase contract worth $1.5bn.

While the overall revenue opportunity is immaterial to near-term prospects, Ord Minnett considers the main positive from the potential contract is the underwriting of base-line construction at the WA shipyard for the next 15 years.

Given shipbuilding is a high fixed-cost business, throughput is critical. The broker suggests the current pipeline of work is worth around $3.4bn and the outlook is robust as the large commercial ferry market remains buoyant.

Accumulate rating maintained and target is $2.05.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $2.05 Current Price is $1.76 Difference: $0.29
If ASB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.54.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.67.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BBN  BABY BUNTING GROUP LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $1.35

Morgan Stanley rates BBN as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley notes the company is the only specialty retailer of scale in its segment that is investing for growth. While near-term risk is elevated, the broker expects market share to increase and price leadership to be maintained.

The broker believes the company will take a significant proportion of the market share from the competitors who face challenges. Overweight and $2.00 target retained. Industry view: In Line.

Target price is $2.00 Current Price is $1.35 Difference: $0.65
If BBN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 48% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.55, suggesting upside of 14.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.0, implying annual growth of -7.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 8.80 cents and EPS of 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.52%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.8, implying annual growth of 8.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BOQ  BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED

Banks

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $10.59

UBS rates BOQ as Sell (5) -

In an initial response to today's H1 results release, UBS has placed valuation, price target and forecasts under review. The interim performance was weaker than expected, missing expectations by some -4% and UBS notes the disappointment was driven by weak revenues.

The analysts believe the earnings outlook is likely to remain challenged. Lower than forecast BDD charge in the result was a positive factor. Sell rating retained.

Target price is $12.00 Current Price is $10.59 Difference: $1.41
If BOQ meets the UBS target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.06, suggesting upside of 13.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in August.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 84.00 cents and EPS of 94.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.1, implying annual growth of -2.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 78.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 84.00 cents and EPS of 90.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.3, implying annual growth of 0.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 77.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CIM  CIMIC GROUP LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $43.76

Macquarie rates CIM as Outperform (1) -

First quarter net profit was up 7% and represents 22.1% of Macquarie's full year forecast. The company has reaffirmed full year profit guidance of $720-780m.

The growth rate in earnings per share of the next three years is considered attractive, coupled with options on acquisitions. Macquarie notes the share price is lagging the traditional earnings correlation post the recent pullback. Outperform maintained. Target is $51.41.

Target price is $51.41 Current Price is $43.76 Difference: $7.65
If CIM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.68, suggesting upside of 2.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 144.00 cents and EPS of 240.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 237.4, implying annual growth of 9.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 148.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.4.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 156.50 cents and EPS of 260.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 247.7, implying annual growth of 4.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 153.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CL1  CLASS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $2.15

Morgans rates CL1 as Add (1) -

March quarter account growth was in line with expectations. The company remains on track to meet Morgans' forecasts for FY18.

Short-term regulatory and competitive pressures may have slowed the rate of growth but the company should still deliver sustainable double-digit earnings and free cash flow growth, in the broker's opinion. Add rating and $3.25 target maintained.

Target price is $3.25 Current Price is $2.15 Difference: $1.1
If CL1 meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 51% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.20, suggesting upside of 48.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.3.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 5.40 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.1, implying annual growth of 28.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ECX  ECLIPX GROUP LIMITED

Vehicle Leasing & Salary Packaging

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $3.42

UBS rates ECX as Buy (1) -

The market has become concerned EclipX's funding costs are on the rise as the spread on domestic to international swap rates increases. The company sources some 60% of funding on a swap rate benchmark, the broker notes.

The broker notes, nonetheless, that EclipX hedges its exposure when new business is written and matches durations. Increases in funding costs are passed on to clients despite a competitive market. The ultimate impact of a rising spread is thus not as substantial as the market is fearing, the broker implies.

Buy and $4.55 target retained.

Target price is $4.55 Current Price is $3.42 Difference: $1.13
If ECX meets the UBS target it will return approximately 33% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.65, suggesting upside of 35.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 18.30 cents and EPS of 28.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.6, implying annual growth of 35.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 21.80 cents and EPS of 33.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.8, implying annual growth of 11.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FLN  FREELANCER LIMITED

IT & Support

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.50

UBS rates FLN as Neutral (3) -

Some positive signs emerged for Freelancer in the first half, the broker suggests, but changes made to memberships in the second half 2017 will continue to drag into the second half 2018. Acceleration is needed in growth from here if the broker's year-end forecasts are to be met.

If forecasts can be met, Freelancer looks cheap. But the magnitude of the turnaround required leaves the broker cautious, hence Neutral retained. Target rises to 52c from 48c.

Target price is $0.52 Current Price is $0.50 Difference: $0.02
If FLN meets the UBS target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 71.43.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GWA  GWA GROUP LIMITED

Furniture & Renovation

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $3.62

Macquarie rates GWA as Neutral (3) -

The company's investor briefing detailed future growth plans and cost guidance. Additional savings of $9-12m during FY19-21 have been flagged.

Macquarie considers the valuation undemanding, while the strong balance sheet and capital management options reduce downside risk. Neutral rating maintained. Target is raised to $3.31 from $2.86.

Target price is $3.31 Current Price is $3.62 Difference: minus $0.31 (current price is over target).
If GWA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.28, suggesting downside of -9.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 17.50 cents and EPS of 20.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.9, implying annual growth of 2.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 20.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.1, implying annual growth of 1.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ING  INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $3.58

ADDED

Citi rates ING as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

Citi has upgraded to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $3.90, up from $3.60. The analysts have come to the conclusion the domestic market backdrop has become more favourable with higher prices and limited competition from other proteins.

Earnings estimates have been lifted by 1-3%. There is also potential for additional support from a share buyback, suggests Citi.

Target price is $3.90 Current Price is $3.58 Difference: $0.32
If ING meets the Citi target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.93, suggesting upside of 9.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 29.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.5, implying annual growth of 74.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.1.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 21.50 cents and EPS of 30.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.3, implying annual growth of 6.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 21.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHG  JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC.

Wealth Management & Investments

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $40.33

Morgan Stanley rates JHG as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley expects a solid result in the first quarter and investors to be reassured of the benefits of the merged business. Material catalysts are likely to come later in FY18 although increasing market volatility presents a risk, in the broker's opinion.

The broker targets adjusted earnings of US$137m in the quarter. Overweight retained. Industry view is In-Line. Target is reduced to $57.00 from $64.50.

Target price is $57.00 Current Price is $40.33 Difference: $16.67
If JHG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $52.36, suggesting upside of 29.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 191.12 cents and EPS of 368.03 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 361.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 181.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 200.16 cents and EPS of 405.48 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 393.0, implying annual growth of 8.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 205.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NCM  NEWCREST MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $20.04

UPDATED

Citi rates NCM as Buy (1) -

Analysis by Citi suggests Newcrest Mining's high quality assets suffer from too much concentration risk, as shown by troubles at Cadia, but also that the gold and copper producer is already diversifying.

Citi finds the shares are trading at a -20% discount vis a vis global peers, while a sector premium is warranted. Buy rating retained, with a price target of $24 (unchanged).

Target price is $24.00 Current Price is $20.04 Difference: $3.96
If NCM meets the Citi target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.41, suggesting upside of 1.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 19.37 cents and EPS of 47.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.8.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 37.45 cents and EPS of 126.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 114.7, implying annual growth of 81.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

OZL  OZ MINERALS LIMITED

Copper

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $8.94

Macquarie rates OZL as Outperform (1) -

March quarter production was broadly in line with Macquarie's estimates. Guidance for the year has been maintained at 100-110,000t of copper and 120-130,000 ozs of gold.

Carrapateena remains on schedule, with $65m spent on mine site development during the quarter and a new power purchase agreement expected in the second half for both Carrapateena and Prominent Hill.

Outperform retained. Target is $11.40.

Target price is $11.40 Current Price is $8.94 Difference: $2.46
If OZL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.84, suggesting upside of 10.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 33.00 cents and EPS of 91.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 80.5, implying annual growth of 4.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.1.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 77.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.45%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 59.5, implying annual growth of -26.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PPS  PRAEMIUM LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.67

Morgans rates PPS as Hold (3) -

Strong net flows in the March quarter supported the business and for the 12 months to March funds on platform grew 37%.

Morgans observes the company is on track to meet full year revenue and earnings forecasts. Hold rating and $0.69 target maintained.

Target price is $0.69 Current Price is $0.67 Difference: $0.02
If PPS meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 83.75.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.22.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PPT  PERPETUAL LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $41.98

UPDATED

Citi rates PPT as Neutral (3) -

Citi notes the outflows recorded for Q3 FY18 are the largest seen since Q4 FY15. While the lower-margin institutional channel is entirely to blame, Australian equities take some of the blame as well, and they are a typically higher-margin asset class, point out the analysts.

Forecast EPS has been reduced by -3-8% for the years ahead. However, post the share price fall, Citi analysts now suggest the stock looks "reasonable value", despite a new CEO still somewhere on the horizon. Neutral. Price target $45 (was $53).

Target price is $45.00 Current Price is $41.98 Difference: $3.02
If PPT meets the Citi target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $46.62, suggesting upside of 11.0% (ex-dividends)

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 270.00 cents and EPS of 297.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.7, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 272.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 275.00 cents and EPS of 299.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.0, implying annual growth of -0.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 275.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates PPT as Neutral (3) -

Funds under management at the end of the March quarter were weaker than Credit Suisse expected. Outflows were predominantly driven from within the institutional channel. The broker notes there are still no signs of inflows into the Global Share Fund.

The stock offers some valuation appeal but the performance remains weak and Credit Suisse maintains a Neutral rating. Target is reduced to $46 from $49.

Target price is $46.00 Current Price is $41.98 Difference: $4.02
If PPT meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $46.62, suggesting upside of 11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 275.00 cents and EPS of 308.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.7, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 272.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 280.00 cents and EPS of 306.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.0, implying annual growth of -0.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 275.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates PPT as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley updates for the March quarter funds and flows. Earnings estimates and valuation are reduced by -10%.

The outlook on flows is less certain although trading multiples are not considered stretched. Global equities remain the growth option while business diversity is improving, in the broker's opinion.

Equal-weight rating. Target is reduced to $46 from $53. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $46.00 Current Price is $41.98 Difference: $4.02
If PPT meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $46.62, suggesting upside of 11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 267.00 cents and EPS of 298.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.7, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 272.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 268.00 cents and EPS of 295.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.0, implying annual growth of -0.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 275.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates PPT as Upgrade to Hold from Lighten (3) -

Net flows were a negative -$1.3bn in the March quarter, primarily Australian equities in the institutional channel. Ord Minnett observes a number of challenges in the near term, including market volatility, outflows and the replacement of the CEO.

However, the fall in the share price means the stock is trading on a forward PE multiple of less than 14x and a fully franked dividend yield of more than 6%.

The broker upgrades to Hold from Lighten, envisaging less downside risk to the current share price relative to other listed fund managers. Target is reduced to $45.00 from $49.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $45.00 Current Price is $41.98 Difference: $3.02
If PPT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $46.62, suggesting upside of 11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 270.00 cents and EPS of 301.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.7, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 272.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 270.00 cents and EPS of 304.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.0, implying annual growth of -0.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 275.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates PPT as Sell (5) -

Funds outflows continued for Perpetual in the March Q, leading assets under management to end the quarter -3.5% below the broker's forecast. Given underperformance in Australian funds the broker expects outflows to continue.

The broker believes the market is not pricing in the downside risk to consensus forecasts. Sell retained, target falls to $41.35 from $50.10.

Target price is $41.35 Current Price is $41.98 Difference: minus $0.63 (current price is over target).
If PPT meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $46.62, suggesting upside of 11.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 269.00 cents and EPS of 299.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.7, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 272.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 243.00 cents and EPS of 266.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.78.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 301.0, implying annual growth of -0.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 275.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PRU  PERSEUS MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.49

UPDATED

Citi rates PRU as Buy (1) -

Citi is concentrating on the positives in Perseus Mining's quarterly update, suggesting the maintenance of FY18 production guidance implies better times ahead. The recently started Sissingue has now reached commercial production, the analysts note.

Now it's all down to the June quarter, and the company needs to deliver to meet guidance, highlights Citi. Buy/High Risk rating retained. Price target 70c (was 69c).

Target price is $0.70 Current Price is $0.49 Difference: $0.21
If PRU meets the Citi target it will return approximately 43% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.57, suggesting upside of 17.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 70.0.

Forecast for FY19:

Citi forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.5, implying annual growth of 542.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates PRU as Outperform (1) -

March quarter production was largely in line with Credit Suisse estimates. Commercial production at Sissingue from April 1 is consistent with costs guidance and development has been completed on time and within budget, the broker notes.

The broker calculates, if Sissingue produces 20,000 ozs in the June quarter then Edikan needs to contribute 66,000 ozs to deliver the mid point of guidance.

Outperform rating and $0.69 target maintained.

Target price is $0.69 Current Price is $0.49 Difference: $0.2
If PRU meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 41% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.57, suggesting upside of 17.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.94 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 52.13.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 70.0.

Forecast for FY19:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 7.89 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.5, implying annual growth of 542.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates PRU as Neutral (3) -

The company's newly commissioned mine, Sissingue, has started strongly, Macquarie observes. Edikan was softer than forecast in the March quarter, although it reported positive operating cash flow.

The broker incorporates the quarterly results. Profit expectations fall -41% for FY18 and rise 31% for FY19.

Neutral rating maintained. Target rises to $0.52 from $0.48.

Target price is $0.52 Current Price is $0.49 Difference: $0.03
If PRU meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.57, suggesting upside of 17.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 70.0.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.27.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.5, implying annual growth of 542.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates PRU as Buy (1) -

Edikan posted a soft production performance in the March Q due to lower grades, but Perseus notes it was not aiming for higher grades in the quarter. Sissingue commenced production this month but there are no cost details as yet.

Perseus is pushing ahead with its plan to develop Yaoure, also in Cote D'Ivoire. With Edikan only now starting to perform in line with expectations, Sissingue yet to prove itself and Yaoure offering a new risk, the broker believes the market will be hesitant until the cash is actually flowing.

The broker is nevertheless confident and retains a Buy rating and 55c target.

Target price is $0.55 Current Price is $0.49 Difference: $0.06
If PRU meets the UBS target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.57, suggesting upside of 17.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 70.0.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.5, implying annual growth of 542.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RIC  RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED

Agriculture

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $1.27

Morgans rates RIC as Hold (3) -

The company has quantified the impact on its rendering operation from the loss of Red Lea Chickens, which has entered voluntary administration. In the short term this is a significant loss and Morgans makes material downgrades to forecasts.

The company expects the loss of raw material supply will result in a full year loss of -$6-7m in EBIT, of which around 30% was incurred in the first half. New initiatives for the Maroota site are not expected to provide a contribution in the current quarter.

Hold rating maintained and target is reduced to $1.34 from $1.43.

Target price is $1.34 Current Price is $1.27 Difference: $0.07
If RIC meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 4.30 cents and EPS of 7.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.39%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.40.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 4.50 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.88.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SEA  SUNDANCE ENERGY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.06

Morgans rates SEA as Add (1) -

Estimates have been updated to include the acquisition of the Pioneer acreage. Morgans suggests the stock can be re-rated post acquisition, without further gains in the oil price.

Management is expected to advance its development plan with its new acreage in the Eagle Ford. Add rating and $0.21 target.

Target price is $0.21 Current Price is $0.06 Difference: $0.15
If SEA meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 250% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.65 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.29.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.68 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.57.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SXY  SENEX ENERGY LIMITED

Crude Oil

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $0.43

Morgans rates SXY as Add (1) -

The company has an agreement with Beach Energy ((BPT)) to transfer $43m of free carry to the Senex Western Flank interests from the Cooper Basin unconventional gas project.

Morgans expects the deal will save Senex Energy the majority of its planned FY19 Cooper Basin expenditure. The company will retain its 60% interest and remain operator, and Beach will hold 40%. The interest already earned in the Cooper unconventional project will also revert fully to Senex Energy.

Morgans maintains an Add rating and raises the target to $0.51 from $0.48.

Target price is $0.51 Current Price is $0.43 Difference: $0.08
If SXY meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.42, suggesting downside of -3.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 215.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -2.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TCL  TRANSURBAN GROUP

Infrastructure & Utilities

More Research Tools In Stock Analysis - click HERE

Overnight Price: $11.35

Macquarie rates TCL as Outperform (1) -

The company reported March quarter traffic, with growth still affected by road works in Melbourne and Brisbane. Sydney traffic growth was a positive surprise for Macquarie. US roads were affected by weather.

The broker calculates FY18 growth in EBITDA of 10%, accelerating to 13% in FY19. Macquarie believes organic growth can mitigate the impact of any WestConnex acquisition.

Outperform rating and $12.44 target maintained.

Target price is $12.44 Current Price is $11.35 Difference: $1.09
If TCL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.06, suggesting upside of 15.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 56.00 cents and EPS of 57.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.64.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.9, implying annual growth of 129.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 62.00 cents and EPS of 60.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.3, implying annual growth of 20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates TCL as Equal-weight (3) -

The company reported mixed traffic growth for the March quarter, which Morgan Stanley suggests is acceptable in view of construction works and the impact of an early Easter.

All of the Australian roads benefited from a truck toll multiplier. The US roads do not currently accommodate heavy vehicles, except buses.

Equal-weight rating and Cautious industry view retained. Target is $13.

Target price is $13.00 Current Price is $11.35 Difference: $1.65
If TCL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.06, suggesting upside of 15.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 56.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 59.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.9, implying annual growth of 129.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 61.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.3, implying annual growth of 20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates TCL as Add (1) -

March quarter traffic growth was less than Morgans expected in Melbourne and Brisbane. Traffic growth exceeded forecasts in Sydney and the express lanes in Virginia were affected by weather.

The broker adjusts its assumptions, which results in slight downgrades to short-term forecasts. Target rises to $12.52 from $12.50. Add rating maintained.

Target price is $12.52 Current Price is $11.35 Difference: $1.17
If TCL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.06, suggesting upside of 15.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 56.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.9, implying annual growth of 129.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 60.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.29%.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.3, implying annual growth of 20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates TCL as Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett was generally pleased with the March quarter traffic numbers. Average daily traffic for the quarter increased 2.7%, despite an early Easter.

Importantly, the various developments are progressing either on time or a slightly ahead of schedule. Buy rating. Target is $14.50.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $14.50 Current Price is $11.35 Difference: $3.15
If TCL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.06, suggesting upside of 15.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 56.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.9, implying annual growth of 129.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.2.

Forecast for FY19:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 62.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 54.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.3, implying annual growth of 20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates TCL as Buy (1) -

Transurban has reported March quarter traffic growth of 2.7% on Australian toll roads, but no longer reports revenue on a quarterly basis. The broker nevertheless sees no reason to change its forecasts. Sydney roads saw 3.5% growth despite the M2 being disrupted by roadworks.

Truck traffic rose 5% compared to 3% for cars, the broker notes, providing an earnings boost. On traffic trends and the company's development pipeline, the broker expects high single-digit dividend growth to continue. Buy and $13.35 target retained.

Target price is $13.35 Current Price is $11.35 Difference: $2
If TCL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.06, suggesting upside of 15.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 56.00 cents and EPS of 17.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 65.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.9, implying annual growth of 129.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.2.

Forecast for FY19:

UBS forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 21.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 52.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 32.3, implying annual growth of 20.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Summaries
ASB AUSTAL Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.76
BBN BABY BUNTING Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.35
BOQ BANK OF QUEENSLAND Sell - UBS Overnight Price $10.59
CIM CIMIC GROUP Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $43.76
CL1 CLASS Add - Morgans Overnight Price $2.15
ECX ECLIPX GROUP Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.42
FLN FREELANCER Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $0.50
GWA GWA GROUP Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.62
ING INGHAMS GROUP Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.58
JHG JANUS HENDERSON GROUP Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $40.33
NCM NEWCREST MINING Buy - Citi Overnight Price $20.04
OZL OZ MINERALS Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $8.94
PPS PRAEMIUM Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $0.67
PPT PERPETUAL Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $41.98
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $41.98
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $41.98
Upgrade to Hold from Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $41.98
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $41.98
PRU PERSEUS MINING Buy - Citi Overnight Price $0.49
Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $0.49
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.49
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $0.49
RIC RIDLEY CORP Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.27
SEA SUNDANCE ENERGY Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.06
SXY SENEX ENERGY Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.43
TCL TRANSURBAN GROUP Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $11.35
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $11.35
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $11.35
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $11.35
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $11.35
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

17

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

10

5. Sell

2

Tuesday 17 April 2018

Access Broker Call Report Archives here

Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.