Australian Broker Call

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March 25, 2021

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
GNC - Graincorp Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Credit Suisse
PMV - Premier Investments Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
PNV - Polynovo Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
RSG - Resolute Mining Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
Downgrade to Underperform from Outperform Macquarie
BAP  BAPCOR LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $7.40

Citi rates BAP as Buy (1) -

Citi expects the acquisition of a 25% stake in Tye Soon for -$12m to provide the company a base to grow its Asian business and address gaps in its Specialist Wholesale portfolio.

The broker sees South Korea and Malaysia (43% of Tye Soon's revenue) as key rollout opportunities for Bapcor in Asia and the acquisition gives a base to expand into other Asian markets.

Buy rating is unchanged, target price increases to $9.35 from $9.30. Citi estimates South Korea and Malaysia could together represent a 460 store rollout opportunity for Bapcor over the medium to long-term.

Target price is $9.35 Current Price is $7.40 Difference: $1.95
If BAP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.93, suggesting upside of 20.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 19.00 cents and EPS of 35.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.61.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.0, implying annual growth of 26.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.9.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 22.20 cents and EPS of 36.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 38.5, implying annual growth of 13.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BHP  BHP GROUP

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $44.88

Citi rates BHP as Neutral (3) -

Despite being bullish on the nearer-term prospects for oil, CEO Mike Henry has confirmed that in the long-term oil probably does not have a place in the company’s portfolio. This is a result of an increasingly ESG-focused shareholder base.

Citi explains if there were a spin out of the Petroleum segment, BHP Group would need to provide 'Newco' with a substantial cash balance given potential capex were it to be unconstrained regarding Scarborough/Trion/T&T North. Neutral rating and $46 target are retained.

Target price is $46.00 Current Price is $44.88 Difference: $1.12
If BHP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $47.89, suggesting upside of 6.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 421.91 cents and EPS of 447.47 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 390.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 306.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.5.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 508.52 cents and EPS of 536.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 398.1, implying annual growth of 2.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 300.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BKL  BLACKMORES LIMITED

Health & Nutrition

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Overnight Price: $82.92

Citi rates BKL as Sell (5) -

Despite having better sales momentum than Swisse in A&NZ, competition could increase for Blackmores over 2021 as Swisse plans to invest in marketing and branding and expand its practitioner brand Nutra+, explains Citi. The $59.20 target and the Sell rating are retained.

The broker calculates the company is trading on high multiples and has concerns about the performance in Australia, just when competition is increasing and the company is reducing its investment in its salesforce.

Target price is $59.20 Current Price is $82.92 Difference: minus $23.72 (current price is over target).
If BKL meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $73.95, suggesting downside of -9.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 54.00 cents and EPS of 179.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 170.4, implying annual growth of 64.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 48.1.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 73.00 cents and EPS of 243.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.88%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 249.7, implying annual growth of 46.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 136.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BKW  BRICKWORKS LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $18.91

Citi rates BKW as Buy (1) -

Upon initial read of today's interim report release, Citi analysts saw a better-than-expected result, boosted by revaluations and sales of property.

Excluding property, the operational performance was actually below expectations, explain the analysts. The Australian building products business is singled out as the major culprit.

The broker does believe the outlook is improving. Buy rating retained with an unchanged target price of $22.70.

Target price is $22.70 Current Price is $18.91 Difference: $3.79
If BKW meets the Citi target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $21.75, suggesting upside of 10.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 59.00 cents and EPS of 56.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 57.0, implying annual growth of -71.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 60.00 cents and EPS of 95.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 88.5, implying annual growth of 55.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BSL  BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED

Steel & Scrap

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Overnight Price: $18.55

Morgan Stanley rates BSL as Equal-weight (3) -

Steel spreads have reached record highs. Morgan Stanley notes historically the correlation of steel spreads with BlueScope Steel's share price has been high. In the broker's view, there could be further upside for the stock price from here.

Equal-Weight rating with a target of $19.50. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $19.50 Current Price is $18.55 Difference: $0.95
If BSL meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.28, suggesting upside of 8.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 195.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 183.0, implying annual growth of 863.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 175.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 182.3, implying annual growth of -0.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CPU  COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $14.99

Citi rates CPU as Sell (5) -

Citi assesses the acquisition of Wells Fargo Corporate Trust Services (CTS) is of high quality and has the potential to add around 30% to EPS by FY25 or FY26. It's considered EPS accretion will only first appear in FY23, with it marginally dilutive in FY21 and FY22.

The broker feels investors may welcome the pivot towards US corporate trust which, despite significant initial capex, has the potential to generate recurring revenue and cash with relatively low capital intensity.

Sell rating. Target is raised to $13.90 from $13.20. Citi cautions that organic growth prospects seem relatively modest from the acquisition though the broker notes the company now has very material leverage to rises in shorter term interest rates.

Target price is $13.90 Current Price is $14.99 Difference: minus $1.09 (current price is over target).
If CPU meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $15.42, suggesting upside of 2.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 47.64 cents and EPS of 72.37 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 51.41 cents and EPS of 79.77 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.1, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates CPU as Outperform (1) -

Computershare will acquire the assets of Wells Fargo Corporate Trust Services for US$750m. The deal is expected to be at least 15% accretive on a pro forma FY21 basis.

To fund the acquisition the company will complete an underwritten renounceable entitlement offer worth $835m with the remainder of the purchase price funded by debt.

Macquarie notes accretion is heavily reliant on long-term synergies but does reduce reliance on the more capital intensive US Mortgage Servicing business, which is a positive.

Outperform rating. Target is raised to $21.00 from $16.45.

Target price is $21.00 Current Price is $14.99 Difference: $6.01
If CPU meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 40% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.42, suggesting upside of 2.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 49.46 cents and EPS of 71.11 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.08.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 41.07 cents and EPS of 82.29 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.22.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.1, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates CPU as Overweight (1) -

Computershare is buying Wells Fargo Corporate Trust. Morgan Stanley finds the 15% earnings accretion attractive although points out it will take five years for the company to achieve this.

The broker considers this deal to be substantial for Computershare and highlights the acquisition will increase the company's recurring revenues and increase exposure to US securitisation market.

Overweight rating with a target of $16.30. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $16.30 Current Price is $14.99 Difference: $1.31
If CPU meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.42, suggesting upside of 2.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 64.26 cents and EPS of 73.35 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 64.26 cents and EPS of 78.65 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.1, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CPU as Add (1) -

Morgans assesses the acquisition of Wells Fargo’s Corporate Trust Services (WFCT) business positively as it makes strategic sense and appears highly accretive. WFCT is a top four player in the US corporate trust market.

The analyst highlights the acquisition significantly increases leverage to rising interest rates (WFCT has US$61bn of client balances), with management believing clear opportunities exist to improve yields by applying Computershare’s treasury strategies.

The broker adjusts FY21-23 EPS forecasts by -5%, -1% and 7%, respectively, to reflect the initial dilution from the capital raising before acquisition accretion kicks in. Morgans raises the price target to $17.10 from $16.20. The Add rating is unchanged.

Target price is $17.10 Current Price is $14.99 Difference: $2.11
If CPU meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.42, suggesting upside of 2.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 57.98 cents and EPS of 68.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 58.40 cents and EPS of 79.21 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.1, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates CPU as Lighten (4) -

Computershare will acquire Wells Fargo Corporate Trust Services, a leading US provider of trust and agency services along with an equity raising to fund the acquisition.

The broker highlights the acquisition is broadly earnings-neutral in the near term but turns accretive if a value is assigned to synergies.

While management’s statement appears positive with respect to guidance, the broker can’t help feeling the second-half pick-up that implies a 27% operating improvement is a bit of a stretch. 

Ord Minnett maintains its Lighten recommendation with a target price of $10.75.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $10.75 Current Price is $14.99 Difference: minus $4.24 (current price is over target).
If CPU meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $15.42, suggesting upside of 2.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 44.71 cents and EPS of 71.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 44.71 cents and EPS of 75.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 74.1, implying annual growth of 9.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GNC  GRAINCORP LIMITED

Agriculture

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Overnight Price: $5.00

Credit Suisse rates GNC as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Credit Suisse has increased medium-term forecasts to align with the company's new guidance for through-the-cycle earnings. The broker also upgrades FY22 amid expectations of another above-average east coast crop.

The broker has frequently argued that the market has underrated cost reductions over recent years while noting the addition of capacity to the east coast grain industry peaked several years ago. This has created a stable competitive environment.

Credit Suisse upgrades to Outperform from Neutral and raises the target to $5.59 from $5.06.

Target price is $5.59 Current Price is $5.00 Difference: $0.59
If GNC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.09, suggesting upside of 19.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 20.10 cents and EPS of 34.56 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.5, implying annual growth of -77.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.83 cents and EPS of 28.45 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.5, implying annual growth of -14.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates GNC as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie is more confident regarding the earnings outlook after the investor briefing.

New operating initiatives are expected to generate an additional $25m in annualised operating earnings by 2023-24. International expansion is expected to contribute a further $15m by 2022.

Macquarie reiterates an Outperform rating, noting the benefits of strong seasonal conditions and a favourable outlook for the processing business. Target is raised to $6.01 from $5.80.

Target price is $6.01 Current Price is $5.00 Difference: $1.01
If GNC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 20% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.09, suggesting upside of 19.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 23.30 cents and EPS of 36.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.5, implying annual growth of -77.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.40 cents and EPS of 27.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.5, implying annual growth of -14.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates GNC as Add (1) -

Morgans upgrades forecasts after management revealed new operating initiatives to improve earnings (EBITDA) by another $25m. FY21 guidance was reiterated and the company noted that recent rainfall has been positive for the upcoming winter crop (planted April-June).

Add rating. The target increases to $6.15 from $5.52 as Morgans notes no other ASX-listed agribusiness has greater leverage to improved seasonal conditions on the east coast of Australia and a bumper grain crop.

Target price is $6.15 Current Price is $5.00 Difference: $1.15
If GNC meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.09, suggesting upside of 19.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 34.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.71.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.5, implying annual growth of -77.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 30.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.5, implying annual growth of -14.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates GNC as Buy (1) -

UBS assesses the update from the company should provide investors with better visibility regarding the medium-term strategy. The broker is also more confident in valuation assumptions.

FY23-24 operating earnings estimates are lifted by 32-38%. Material upside risk also exists for FY22 if the east coast experiences a second consecutive bumper crop.

While the stock has rallied substantially, UBS believes the valuation remains attractive and retains a Buy rating. Target is raised to $6.60 from $5.30.

Target price is $6.60 Current Price is $5.00 Difference: $1.6
If GNC meets the UBS target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.09, suggesting upside of 19.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 19.90 cents and EPS of 33.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.5, implying annual growth of -77.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 20.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.8.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 19.20 cents and EPS of 31.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.5, implying annual growth of -14.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KLL  KALIUM LAKES LIMITED

Mining

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Overnight Price: $0.24

Macquarie rates KLL as Outperform (1) -

Kalium Lakes has lifted its production scope for Beyondie to 100,000tpa. This is an 11% improvement on the feasibility study and Macquarie's expectations.

Importantly, the increased production can be achieved with no additional capital cost. Delivering the project on schedule and budget is key to realising the long-term value the broker believes the project offers. Outperform maintained. Target is $0.43.

Target price is $0.43 Current Price is $0.24 Difference: $0.19
If KLL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 79% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 18.46.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 240.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MQG  MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $151.51

Citi rates MQG as Sell (5) -

Citi's US gas trading team has suggested a variety of factors that drove Macquarie Group’s material profitability relative to peers from the extreme weather events in North America in February. 

The broker explains the group benefited from an outsized regional presence where activity was strongest. Volatility was considered exacerbated by constraints on traders to access markets (covid and holiday related) and specific energy regulation.

The grid was also considered unprepared for the winter conditions. Sell rating is maintained with a target of $125.

Target price is $125.00 Current Price is $151.51 Difference: minus $26.51 (current price is over target).
If MQG meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $149.22, suggesting downside of -2.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 385.00 cents and EPS of 795.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 768.2, implying annual growth of -2.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 469.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 490.00 cents and EPS of 746.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 818.0, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 567.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PMV  PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $23.84

Citi rates PMV as Neutral (3) -

In the wake of first half results, Citi expects margins to structurally reset 400 basis points higher, given rent savings and the shift to online. The company has started the 2H strongly in terms of like-for-like sales growth and gross margins, notes the analyst.

The broker highlights almost all of the uplift in profitability is driven by lower rent, which is expected to fall to 13.7% of sales in FY22 from 17.7% of sales in FY19.

The company has seen online increase to 20% from 10% over the past three years albeit accelerated by covid. The analyst expects this to increase to 30% over the next five years, as online continues to be margin accretive. Neutral rating and target lifts to $26 from $25.

Target price is $26.00 Current Price is $23.84 Difference: $2.16
If PMV meets the Citi target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.26, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 74.00 cents and EPS of 160.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 148.2, implying annual growth of 70.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 85.00 cents and EPS of 114.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.8, implying annual growth of -18.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 84.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates PMV as Neutral (3) -

First half retail earnings were ahead of guidance provided in January. Aside from government support and temporary rent reductions, Credit Suisse assesses the result still reflected the strength of the portfolio. Online sales increased 61.3%.

While Australian clothing retail has improved, Credit Suisse notes uncertainty regarding the recovery in the Smiggle sales performance, given the impact of the pandemic.

As Smiggle is a significant driver of valuation, the near-term uncertainty underpins the broker's Neutral rating. Target is raised to $25.05 from $23.09.

Target price is $25.05 Current Price is $23.84 Difference: $1.21
If PMV meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.26, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 89.07 cents and EPS of 153.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 148.2, implying annual growth of 70.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 87.02 cents and EPS of 131.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.20.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.8, implying annual growth of -18.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 84.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates PMV as Outperform (1) -

First half earnings were ahead of Macquarie's estimates. The broker notes the 30.3% margins were supported by online and rent/wages relief.

Earnings margins are expected to normalise but still exceed pre-pandemic levels amid long-term rent reductions and a shift to online.

Macquarie likes the exposure to a leading global retailer and retains an Outperform rating. Target is raised to $31 from $28.

Target price is $31.00 Current Price is $23.84 Difference: $7.16
If PMV meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 30% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.26, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 75.00 cents and EPS of 147.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 148.2, implying annual growth of 70.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 85.00 cents and EPS of 133.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.8, implying annual growth of -18.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 84.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates PMV as Equal-weight (3) -

Premier Investments delivered record profits in the first half, observes Morgan Stanley, reflecting strong consumer conditions and execution. Operating income was up 89% at $238m and higher than expected.

The broker expects this momentum to continue into the second half although admits earnings growth in FY22 is becoming increasingly challenging with the CEO transition adding further to the complexity.

Equal-weight rating with a target price of $24. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $24.00 Current Price is $23.84 Difference: $0.16
If PMV meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.26, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 96.00 cents and EPS of 141.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 148.2, implying annual growth of 70.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 82.00 cents and EPS of 113.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.8, implying annual growth of -18.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 84.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates PMV as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

Premier Investments reported a first-half FY21 net profit of $188.2m, above Ord Minnett’s forecast of $176m.

Premier Retail operating earnings at $237.8m came in above the broker's $230.4m estimate and guidance of $221–233m. An interim dividend of 34c was declared which was below Ord Minnett's 44c expectation.

In the broker's view, Premier Retail operating income margin expansion and Smiggle providing leverage to reopening following covid will position Premier Investments well to manage a difficult comparable period in some brands especially Peter Alexander from 2020.

Ord Minnett upgrades its rating to Accumulate from Hold with the target price rising to $27 from $24.

Target price is $27.00 Current Price is $23.84 Difference: $3.16
If PMV meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.26, suggesting upside of 5.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 EPS of 153.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 148.2, implying annual growth of 70.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 85.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 123.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.8, implying annual growth of -18.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 84.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PNV  POLYNOVO LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $2.87

Macquarie rates PNV as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Macquarie continues to believe Polynovo is well-positioned to increase its share within existing indications. Moreover, entry into new indications with sizeable markets, such as chronic wounds and hernia, should support growth over the medium to longer term.

There is a degree of short-term uncertainty related to the pandemic, the broker acknowledges. Rating is upgraded to Outperform from Neutral. Target is raised to $3.20 from $2.75.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $2.87 Difference: $0.33
If PNV meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 260.91.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RED  RED 5 LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $0.16

Morgans rates RED as Add (1) -

Red 5 disappointed Morgans by announcing a -$60m capital raise, given prior guidance. However, the raising in combination with a $175m combined debt and working capital facility is considered to ensure the King of the Hills project (Koth) is fully financed to completion.

Morgans moves to a Speculative Buy from Add and lowers the target price to $0.25 from $0.33 as the market is unlikely to fully value Koth until the project is constructed and commissioned by mid 2022.

Target price is $0.25 Current Price is $0.16 Difference: $0.09
If RED meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 56% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 22.86.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 32.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RSG  RESOLUTE MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $0.63

Citi rates RSG as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Citi cuts the rating to Neutral (high risk) from Buy (high risk) and reduces the target to $0.75 from $0.90 after news of the termination of the mining lease for Bibiani. The impact on the slated US$105m Bibiani divestment to Chifeng at this stage is unknown.

Activities at Bibiani (Ghana) are to cease after the termination. The analyst is disappointed, to say the least, especially when this news is coupled with recent industrial action at Syama and the contested circa US$66m in VAT and other tax balances in Mali.

The company is seeking legal advice regarding validity, appeal rights and any recourse. Citi still expects the company can meet its debt repayment obligations either way without the need for capital though the outlook could change on gold weakness or further geopolitical events.

Target price is $0.75 Current Price is $0.63 Difference: $0.12
If RSG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Citi forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.50.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.00.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates RSG as Downgrade to Underperform from Outperform (5) -

Resolute Mining has received notice from Ghana's minerals commission advising that its lease on the Bibiani gold mine has been terminated. The company has been advised to cease all activities.

Resolute Mining was in the process of selling Bibiani to Chifeng Jilong and close the deal this month. The termination of the lease is unexpected and the company is seeking clarification.

Macquarie suspects it is unlikely the sale will go ahead, at least in its current form. The sale is removed from the broker's estimates and the rating is downgraded to Underperform from Outperform. Target is reduced to $0.55 from $1.00.

Target price is $0.55 Current Price is $0.63 Difference: minus $0.08 (current price is over target).
If RSG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 22.50.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 6.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.84.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SPK  SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $4.05

UBS rates SPK as Neutral (3) -

Spark NZ has highlighted the depth and breadth of its offering in IT services, which accounted for 33% of FY20 revenue. UBS is less optimistic about the company's ability to offset the margin decline in the cloud.

If more customers migrate to the public cloud this could put pressure on pricing and margins and result in revenue growth towards the lower end of the aspirational range, the broker adds. Spark NZ is forecasting 6% growth in cloud revenues, below the market growth of 10-15%.

Forecasts are unchanged. The target price is NZ$4.60. Neutral retained.

Current Price is $4.05. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is N/A

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

UBS forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 23.37 cents and EPS of 18.88 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.45.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.5.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 23.37 cents and EPS of 21.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.2, implying annual growth of 12.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.2.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TPW  TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP

Furniture & Renovation

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Overnight Price: $9.86

Morgan Stanley rates TPW as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley believes Temple & Webster Group can generate marketing leverage as the brand increases awareness, interest and retention.

The broker notes the group's brand awareness rose to 55% from 30% around 12 months ago, driven by TV advertising while web traffic rose three times over last year. 

Overweight rating and $14 target retained. Industry view: In-Line.

Target price is $14.00 Current Price is $9.86 Difference: $4.14
If TPW meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 42% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY21:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 54.78.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 41.08.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

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Overnight Price: $24.19

Ord Minnett rates WBC as Hold (3) -

Westpac Bank is assessing the appropriate structure for its New Zealand businesses and whether a spin-off would be in the best interests of shareholders. The bank is in a very early stage of the assessment and has not come up with a decision.

In Ord Minnett’s view, the changes the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has made in recent years have made the spin-off of the New Zealand banking arms more palatable.

Also, the broker believes such a move would allow Westpac to focus more on driving better performance from its domestic business. What is not clear is whether the move would create value for shareholders given regulatory pressures, among other things.

Hold recommendation with a $25.30 target price.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $25.30 Current Price is $24.19 Difference: $1.11
If WBC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $25.84, suggesting upside of 7.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 120.00 cents and EPS of 167.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 174.4, implying annual growth of 140.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 122.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 130.00 cents and EPS of 164.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 175.0, implying annual growth of 0.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 128.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

XRO  XERO LIMITED

Accountancy

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Overnight Price: $123.47

Ord Minnett rates XRO as Lighten (4) -

Xero has acquired Tickstar which is a Sweden-based e-invoicing infrastructure business that lets people integrate with Pan-European Public Procurement Online (PEPPOL) infrastructure.

PEPPOL enables cross-border eProcurement, including e-invoicing, and is being adopted across Europe, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand.

Ord Minnett considers this a strategic move that will likely help Xero’s subscribers to become PEPPOL-compliant. Even so, the broker does not see the acquisition as a material growth or earnings contributor in the medium term.

Lighten rating retained with a target of $88.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $88.00 Current Price is $123.47 Difference: minus $35.47 (current price is over target).
If XRO meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $108.08, suggesting downside of -11.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 43.94 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 281.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 294.6.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 41.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 300.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 49.1, implying annual growth of 18.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 247.8.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
BAP Bapcor Limited $7.44 Citi 9.35 9.30 0.54%
CPU Computershare $14.99 Citi 13.90 13.20 5.30%
Macquarie 21.00 16.45 27.66%
Morgans 17.10 16.20 5.56%
GNC Graincorp $5.10 Credit Suisse 5.59 5.06 10.47%
Macquarie 6.01 5.80 3.62%
Morgans 6.15 5.52 11.41%
UBS 6.60 5.30 24.53%
KLL Kalium Lakes $0.23 Macquarie 0.43 0.40 7.50%
PMV Premier Investments $24.88 Citi 26.00 25.00 4.00%
Credit Suisse 25.05 23.09 8.49%
Macquarie 31.00 28.00 10.71%
Ord Minnett 27.00 24.00 12.50%
PNV Polynovo $3.00 Macquarie 3.20 2.75 16.36%
RED Red 5 Ltd $0.16 Morgans 0.25 0.33 -24.24%
RSG Resolute Mining $0.46 Citi 0.75 0.90 -16.67%
Macquarie 0.55 1.00 -45.00%
Summaries
BAP Bapcor Limited Buy - Citi Overnight Price $7.40
BHP BHP Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $44.88
BKL Blackmores Sell - Citi Overnight Price $82.92
BKW Brickworks Buy - Citi Overnight Price $18.91
BSL Bluescope Steel Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $18.55
CPU Computershare Sell - Citi Overnight Price $14.99
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $14.99
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $14.99
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $14.99
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $14.99
GNC Graincorp Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $5.00
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.00
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $5.00
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $5.00
KLL Kalium Lakes Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.24
MQG Macquarie Group Sell - Citi Overnight Price $151.51
PMV Premier Investments Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $23.84
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $23.84
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $23.84
Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $23.84
Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $23.84
PNV Polynovo Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.87
RED Red 5 Ltd Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.16
RSG Resolute Mining Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $0.63
Downgrade to Underperform from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.63
SPK Spark New Zealand Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $4.05
TPW Temple & Webster Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.86
WBC Westpac Banking Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $24.19
XRO Xero Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $123.47
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

14

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

8

4. Reduce

2

5. Sell

4

Thursday 25 March 2021

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