AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED (AEL)
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AEL

AEL - AMPLITUDE ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Crude Oil
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Energy
Debt/EBITDA: N/A
Index: ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$0.26

19 Aug
2025

-0.010

OPEN

$0.25

-3.70%

HIGH

$0.26

51,570,714

LOW

$0.25

TARGET
$0.298 14.4% upside
OTHER COMPANIES IN THE SAME SECTOR
ALD . BHP . BPT . BRU . CRD . CVN . FAR . HE8 . HZN . KAR . MAY . VEA .
FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
AEL: 1
Title FY24
Actual		 FY25
Actual		 FY26
Forecast		 FY27
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 1.6 2.5 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 0.0 0.0 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 9.9 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 0.0% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A N/A xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 0.00%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

 0.00

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

  %

Amount Invested

 $ 

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years
Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages
HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2025 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201920202021202220232024
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-4.3
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx0.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx219.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx15.8
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-99.8 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-52.09 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201920202021202220232024
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-24.95 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-17.27 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-8.01 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-24.95 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-2.93 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-151.2 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

Title 201920202021202220232024
Short-Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M
Long Term Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx254 M
Total Debt xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx255 M
Goodwill - Gross xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Cash & Equivalents - Generic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14 M
Price To Book Value xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1.42

Short-Term Debt

Long Term Debt

Total Debt

Goodwill - Gross

Cash & Equivalents - Generic

Price To Book Value

Title 201920202021202220232024
Capex xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx66.5 M
Capex % of Sales xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx30.35 %
Cost of Goods Sold xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx191 M
Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx47 M
Research & Development xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-
Investments - Total xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx1 M

Capex

Capex % of Sales

Cost of Goods Sold

Selling, General & Admin. Exp & Other

Research & Development

Investments - Total

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.8

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Morgans

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Bell Potter

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

17/07/2025

1

Outperform

$0.38

46.15%

Amplitude Energy reported better-than-expected 4Q25 results, as utilisation of its two Victorian gas plants rose, with Orbost running at over 98% utilisation. Average gas pricing was broadly in line with the previous quarter at $10.11 per gigajoule, Macquarie explains.

The board's renewal is progressing well, and the management team is viewed by the analyst as performing "strongly".

Macquarie trims FY25 EPS by -3%, with FY26 unchanged, and lifts the target price by 41% to 38 cents.

This includes a Petroleum Resource Rent Tax (PRRT) benefit from Patricia Baleen of 7 cents, Sole resource 5 cents, offset by a slight reduction in Otway production of -3c per share.

FORECAST
Macquarie forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.60 cents.

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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EXTRA COVERAGE
Display All Commentary

No. Of Recommendations

3

Please note: unlike Broker Call Report, BC Extra is not updated daily. The info you see might not be the latest. FNArena does its best to update ASAP.

BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Wilsons

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxx xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Jarden

20/08/2025

1

Buy

$0.29

11.54%

Amplitude Energy’s FY25 result showed continued operational improvement at Orbost and disciplined cost control, suggests Jarden, with underlying earnings (EBITDAX) of $172m, up 36% year-on-year.

Earnings were 1% ahead of the broker's forecast but -1% below consensus, while profit of $11.4m beat the broker but missed consensus.

Production rose 17% and sales revenue increased 22%, though operating cash flow of $89m was below both Jarden and consensus due to higher restoration costs.

FY26 production guidance of 69-74TJe/d is -3-4% below prior estimates, but the broker recalls FY25 guidance was also conservative and ultimately exceeded.

FY26 capex guidance of -$125-150m is lower than the analyst's $-195m estimate due to East Coast Supply Project spend shifting into later years.

Jarden expects market focus to remain on East Coast Supply Project progress, approvals to lift Orbost throughput, and exploration wells at Elanora and Isabella from December 2025.

The broker's 29c target and Buy rating are retained.

FORECAST
Jarden forecasts a full year FY26 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.30 cents.
Jarden forecasts a full year FY27 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.10 cents.

Canaccord Genuity

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Login above or Get a Free Trial
Access Extra Coverage Research History >

AEL STOCK CHART

FNArena News on AEL

1
Rudi’s View: Taking Stock Ahead Of August

Jul 30 2025 - Rudi's View
2
In Case You Missed It – BC Extra Upgrades & Downgrades – 25-07-25

Jul 25 2025 - Weekly Reports
3
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Jul 22, 2025

Jul 22 2025 - Daily Market Reports
4
Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition – Jul 21, 2025

Jul 21 2025 - Daily Market Reports
5
Rudi’s View: Aussie Broadband, oOh!media, Paladin Energy, Seek, Xero & More

Jul 17 2025 - Rudi's View

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