Australia | Nov 24 2020
In a much-anticipated acquisition, GUD Holdings has committed to the expansion of its automotive business with the purchase of ACAD from AMA Group, now considered a takeover target
-Additional investment by GUD Holdings required
-AMA Group to focus on panel repair
-AMA Group now a takeover target
By Eva Brocklehurst
GUD Holdings ((GUD)) is diversifying, obtaining exposure to a range of brands in the fast-growing vehicle fit-out category, comprising Custom Alloy, CSM Service Bodies and Barden Fabrications, to name a few.
The expansion stems from the purchase of the ACAD (Automotive Components & Accessories Division) business from AMA Group ((AMA)) for $70m. This is a bolt-on acquisition which the company expects will be accretive in FY21 in the mid single digits, before synergies.
GUD Holdings has diversified with the acquisition, obtaining exposure at a lower multiple from a distressed vendor, Credit Suisse assesses, and can add material value in terms of distribution and manufacturing know-how. Incorporating ACAD drives 4-5% earnings accretion to estimates and the broker upgrades to Outperform from Neutral.
GUD Holdings will fund the deal by an institutional placement of $55m and share purchase plan of $15m. UBS considers ACAD a strong strategic fit that provides benefits from diversity and a mid-high teens return profile over the medium term.
Ord Minnett considers the acquisition price reasonable but remains cautious about the near-term returns, anticipating additional investment will be required given AMA Group's financial stress.
Wilsons agrees with this assessment, noting the ACAD earnings margin of 11% indicates significant room for improvement, particularly with the smaller brands.
The broker suspects a fragmented nature of the different brands, locations and networks will require more management resources to execute effectively and capture synergies.
Wilsons, not one of the seven stockbrokers monitored daily on the FNArena database, has a Market Weight rating and $12.10 target for GUD Holdings. GUD has two Buy ratings and two Hold on the database. The consensus target is $12.95, signalling 6.5% upside to the last share price.
AMA Group will now use the proceeds to retire debt and focus on its panel repair opportunity. The sale excludes the ACM Parts and Fluiddrive businesses. UBS assesses the multiple received was on the low side but the transaction made sense nonetheless.
Bell Potter concludes the sale is a positive as it reduces net debt to below $200m. The company is now a pure operator in vehicle panel repair and this makes it more attractive from a takeover perspective.
Bell Potter updates AMA forecasts to account for the sale and reduces the relative discount applied as well as the weighted average cost of capital, given the strengthened balance sheet. A Buy rating and $1 target are the result.