article 3 months old

ASX200: Consolidation

Technicals | Nov 20 2017

By Craig Parker, asset manager, Moat Capital

Hanging in there. On the daily chart we are hitting up against the old resistance line although considering we have had a decent move clear of this line recently I wouldn’t pay a lot of attention to this level anymore. The 60-day moving average would be something that requires more attention as it needs to catch up to the recent sharp rise or the market needs to come back to the 60-day moving average. My guess is a combination of both will occur as the counter trend over the past week doesn’t look like it has been exhausted yet.

On the weekly chart I would be looking for it to consolidate around the highlighted area before a move higher into the low 6000’s in the coming month or two. A lot will depend on the US and the bearish divergence that is setting up on the daily RSI. Our Financial sector has again entered a bit of short term technical weakness with a break in the medium-term uptrend line and recent high and low lower than their previous high and low. This all points to a much-needed breather from the recent move up in our S&P/ASX 200 and hopefully a period of consolidation to flush out all the sellers before the buyers come in and fuel the next advancement.

ASX200 daily

ASX200 weekly

ASX200 financials ex-REITs daily

S&P500 daily

Authorised Representative Sentinel Private Wealth AFSL 344762

www.moatcapital.com.au

Important Information

This document and its contents are general in nature and do not constitute or convey personal advice.  It has been prepared without consideration of anyone's particular financial situation, needs or financial objectives.  Personal advice should be sought before acting on any of the areas discussed.  The authors and distributors of this document accept no liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of that person, or any other person, placing any reliance on the contents of this document.

Moat Capital has made every reasonable effort to ensure the information provided is correct, but Moat Capital makes no representation or any warranty as to whether the information is accurate, complete or up to date.  To the extent permitted by law, Moat Capital accepts no responsibility for any errors or misstatements, negligent or otherwise.  The information provided may be based on assumptions or market conditions and may change without notice.

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