ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED (ORG)
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ORG - ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

FNArena Sector : Infrastructure & Utilities
Year End: June
GICS Industry Group : Utilities
Index: ASX50 | ASX100 | ASX200 | ASX300 | ALL-ORDS

Origin Energy is an Australian natural gas and exploration company. It was formed in 2000 as a result of a de-merger from Boral. The company has a large exploration portfolio in Australia and is a major shareholder in the Australia Pacific LNG joint venture.

LAST PRICE CHANGE +/- CHANGE % VOLUME

$7.84

05 Dec
2022

-0.060

OPEN

$7.90

-0.76%

HIGH

$7.91

3,554,695

LOW

$7.83

TARGET
$7.348

-0.33 change from previous day

-6.3% downside
Franking for last dividend paid out: 75%
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FNARENA'S MARKET CONSENSUS FORECASTS
ORG: 1
Title FY21
Actual
FY22
Actual
FY23
Forecast
FY24
Forecast
EPS (cps) xxx - 81.5 31.3 xxx
DPS (cps) xxx 29.0 30.1 xxx
EPS Growth xxx N/A N/A xxx
DPS Growth xxx 45.0% 3.9% xxx
PE Ratio xxx N/A 25.0 xxx
Dividend Yield xxx N/A 3.8% xxx
Div Pay Ratio(%) xxx N/A 96.2% xxx

Dividend yield today if purchased 3 years ago: 3.38%

DIVIDEND YIELD CALCULATOR

Dividend Yield Today On Last Actual Payout :

3.67

Estimated Dividend Growth
(Average Of Past Three Years)

 %

Amount Invested

Tell Me The Dividend After This Many Years

Past performance is no guarantee for the future. Investors should take into account that heavy swings in share price or exceptional circumstances (a la 2009) can have a significant impact on short term calculations and averages

Last ex-div: 06/09 - ex-div 16.5c (franking 75%)

HISTORICAL DATA ARE ALL IN AUD
Copyright © 2022 FactSet UK Limited. All rights reserved
Title 201720182019202020212022
EPS Basic xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-81.5
DPS All xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx29.0
Sales/Revenue xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx14,384.0 M
Book Value Per Share xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx582.3
Net Operating Cash Flow xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,799.0 M
Net Profit Margin xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-9.93 %

EPS Basic

DPS All

Sales/Revenue

Book Value Per Share

Net Operating Cash Flow

Net Profit Margin

Title 201720182019202020212022
Return on Capital Employed xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-14.44 %
Return on Invested Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-10.95 %
Return on Assets xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-6.34 %
Return on Equity xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-14.44 %
Return on Total Capital xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx-2.67 %
Free Cash Flow ex dividends xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx2,324.0 M

Return on Capital Employed

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Assets

Return on Equity

Return on Total Capital

Free Cash Flow ex dividends

This is work in progress. Bear with us. It'll be amazing.

EXPERT VIEWS
Display All Commentary

Sentiment Indicator

0.3

No. Of Recommendations

4
BROKER DATE RATING RECOMMENDATION TARGET PRICE % TO REACH TARGET COMMENTARY

Ord Minnett

xx/xx/xxxx

-1

xx xxxxxx

xx.xx%

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Macquarie

xx/xx/xxxx

1

xxxxxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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UBS

xx/xx/xxxx

-1

xx xxxxxx

xx.xx%

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Morgans

11/11/2022

3

Hold

$8.11

3.44%

The board of Origin Energy will unanimously back the $9/share non-binding indicative takeover offer from a Brookfield and EIG consortium, following an eight week exclusive due diligence period.

Morgans sees some regulatory risk to deal completion from gaining FIRB and ACCC approvals, given currently tight energy markets, a view supported by Origin Energy’s share price, currently trading at a significant discount to the takeover price. 

As a result of this deal risk, the Hold rating is unchanged, while the target rises to $8.11 from $5.44.

The consortium will increase its offer by 3cps/month if implementation is not complete before May 15, 2023.

FORECAST
Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 22.00 cents and EPS of 40.00 cents.
Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.

Morgan Stanley

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxx-xxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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Credit Suisse

xx/xx/xxxx

3

xxxxxxx

$xx.xx

xx.xx%

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ORG STOCK CHART