Australian Broker Call

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February 07, 2022

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
DMP - Domino's Pizza Enterprises Upgrade to Buy from Neutral UBS
JHG - Janus Henderson Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Macquarie
LLC - Lendlease Group Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold Ord Minnett
AMP  AMP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $0.96

Ord Minnett rates AMP as Hold (3) -

In a review of AMP, Ord Minnett concludes there is some value in the company though not enough to change its Hold rating. The 
target price falls to $1.10 from $1.20 on a sum-of-the-parts valuation.

The analyst points out the extent of changes (two separate companies by June) and revised segment disclosures makes it
difficult to be certain about forecasts. However, it's felt current management offers the best chance of a turnaround.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $0.96 Difference: $0.14
If AMP meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.03, suggesting upside of 7.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.3, implying annual growth of 151.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.1, implying annual growth of 28.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANZ  AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $27.09

UPDATED

Citi rates ANZ as Neutral (3) -

On initial assessment, and while making some early assumptions and calculations, it appears today's quarterly market update from ANZ Bank missed Citi's forecast by quite the margin (circa -8%) but market consensus only by a smidgen (circa -1%), on Citi's quick assessment.

There has been a modest write-back of prior provisions for bad and doubtful debts, hence Citi analysts suggest the real miss would be more in the order of -10-13%.

The decline in net interest margin (NIM) was equally larger-than-forecast. The analysts anticipate earnings forecasts to decline post today's release.

Target $30.25. Neutral.

Target price is $30.25 Current Price is $27.09 Difference: $3.16
If ANZ meets the Citi target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $30.39, suggesting upside of 14.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 154.00 cents and EPS of 222.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 212.8, implying annual growth of -2.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 145.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 164.00 cents and EPS of 236.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 228.3, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 156.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


ADDED

Ord Minnett rates ANZ as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett, upon first glance over today's quarterly update, has concluded ANZ Bank's performance missed the mark on just about every single financial metric of importance.

Credit quality is described as "clean", similar to Westpac recently.

As far as this broker is concerned, today's update is consistent with banking being a highly competitive industry in Australia. The analyst suggests rate hikes are needed to drive at least margin stabilisation.

Accumulate and $31.50 target retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $31.50 Current Price is $27.09 Difference: $4.41
If ANZ meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $30.39, suggesting upside of 14.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 148.00 cents and EPS of 209.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 212.8, implying annual growth of -2.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 145.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 157.00 cents and EPS of 229.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 228.3, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 156.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates ANZ as Buy (1) -

Upon initial glance, UBS found today's quarterly update by ANZ Bank weaker-than-expected on the net interest margin, the operational income and cost control, while credit quality proved a positive surprise.

The broker suggests market expectations cannot be met after these numbers but also that the revenue picture looks softer too.

Price target $30. Buy. UBS's estimates are below market consensus.

Target price is $30.00 Current Price is $27.09 Difference: $2.91
If ANZ meets the UBS target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $30.39, suggesting upside of 14.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 208.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 212.8, implying annual growth of -2.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 145.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 220.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.31.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 228.3, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 156.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AX1  ACCENT GROUP LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $2.10

Citi rates AX1 as Neutral (3) -

Citi expects supply chain constraints to continue to impact on Accent Group's sales in the second half, but its Sketchers brand, which the broker estimates to contribute 25% of group sales, is optimistic that constraints will recede in the second half of the calendar year. 

While Sketchers reported some supply chain issue relief in December and January, Citi expects impacts could last into FY23. Despite this, the brand appears to remain strong, with fourth quarter sales up 7% on consensus despite a 130% increase of in-transit inventory. 

The Neutral rating and target price of $2.24 are retained. 

Target price is $2.24 Current Price is $2.10 Difference: $0.14
If AX1 meets the Citi target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.59, suggesting upside of 23.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 9.90 cents and EPS of 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.8, implying annual growth of -31.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 12.80 cents and EPS of 16.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.2, implying annual growth of 55.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BHP  BHP GROUP LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $46.81

UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates BHP as No Rating (-1) -

Ord Minnett has raised its 2022 iron ore price forecast to US$114/t from US$92/t due to more positive steel production estimates for China and stronger first-quarter prices. A reversion to US$100/t is expected by the 4Q of 2022 due to China property sector weakness.

The analyst expects 1H22 underlying earnings (excluding petroleum) of US$9.26bn versus the consensus estimate of US$8.96bn. An  interim dividend of $1.48cps is expected versus consensus for $1.24cps.

The broker is currently research restricted on BHP Group. No target price or rating are proffered.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Current Price is $46.81. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $45.32, suggesting downside of -4.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 335.03 cents and EPS of 447.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 487.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 339.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 320.29 cents and EPS of 411.42 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 392.4, implying annual growth of -19.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 269.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.1.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BRG  BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $28.86

Credit Suisse rates BRG as Neutral (3) -

Continuing strong demand for household goods, and recent positive sales results from competitors, are supportive of a solid first half sales result from Breville Group according to Credit Suisse.

The broker notes supply constraints, and associated elevated costs, continue to present risk and Credit Suisse updates full year earnings to account for expected margin compression. 

Looking ahead, the company plans to mitigate supply chain issues through inventory build in the second half, ahead of its peak sales period in FY23. The company is also set to expand into Italy and Mexico in the coming half. 

The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $29.86 from $30.98.

Target price is $29.86 Current Price is $28.86 Difference: $1
If BRG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.41, suggesting upside of 15.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 31.22 cents and EPS of 77.48 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.6, implying annual growth of 16.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.6.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 35.43 cents and EPS of 87.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 88.0, implying annual growth of 14.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BXB  BRAMBLES LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $9.55

UPDATED

Credit Suisse rates BXB as Outperform (1) -

Brambles is better insulated from US lumber pricing increases, which have seen prices double in the last two months, than its more exposed whitewood competitors. Credit Suisse expects Brambles will pass cost increases on to customers to offset short-term impact. 

Further, Brambles is likely to benefit from increased demand for its product as competitors weather pricing impacts. Credit Suisse noted that an -8% decline in Brambles' share price since December offers an attractive entry point for investors. 

The Outperform rating and target price of $13.25 are retained.

Target price is $13.25 Current Price is $9.55 Difference: $3.7
If BXB meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 39% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.15, suggesting upside of 29.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 39.91 cents and EPS of 51.49 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 56.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.6.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 43.29 cents and EPS of 55.67 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 61.5, implying annual growth of 8.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 35.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CBA  COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks

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Overnight Price: $94.10

Credit Suisse rates CBA as Underperform (5) -

Ahead of Commonwealth Bank's first half result release this week,Credit Suisse highlights it finds the market consensus suggestions of a one basis point net interest margins increase in the second quarter to be highly optimistic but looks to the result release for detail.

The broker expects higher costs given increased investment spend and staffing costs, noting its earnings estimate remains -6% below consensus. Also of interest to outlook confidence will be commentary around earnings sensitivity to potential interest rate changes.

The Underperform rating and target price of $92.50 are retained. 

Target price is $92.50 Current Price is $94.10 Difference: minus $1.6 (current price is over target).
If CBA meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $89.21, suggesting downside of -5.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 341.00 cents and EPS of 486.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 490.8, implying annual growth of -14.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 339.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 370.00 cents and EPS of 527.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 521.3, implying annual growth of 6.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 370.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CPU  COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $20.53

Macquarie rates CPU as Outperform (1) -

A 2Q22 US Mortgage Servicing market report has revealed Computershare's unpaid principal balance (UPB) experienced growth of 3.2% versus 2.1% in the prior period. Macquarie finds the return of growth (after five quarters of decline) is encouraging.

The broker makes no changes to its forecasts and leaves its Outperform rating and $22 target price unchanged.

Target price is $22.00 Current Price is $20.53 Difference: $1.47
If CPU meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.44, suggesting downside of -0.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 44.76 cents and EPS of 71.16 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 75.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 60.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 45.83 cents and EPS of 90.19 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 89.1, implying annual growth of 18.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 64.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.0.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $258.79

Macquarie rates CSL as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie tempers near-term plasma collection forecasts after noting foot traffic has moderated for more than 100 of CSL's US plasma collection centres.

Nonetheless, the broker retains its Outperform rating. There's considered to be potential for yield improvement (as part of the Terumo Blood and Cell Technologies collaboration), which presents upside risk for the CSL Behring gross profit/margin.

The target price falls to $325 from $338.

Target price is $325.00 Current Price is $258.79 Difference: $66.21
If CSL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $318.94, suggesting upside of 25.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 297.51 cents and EPS of 634.28 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 677.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 319.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 37.6.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 357.81 cents and EPS of 791.75 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 852.6, implying annual growth of 25.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 368.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DMP  DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $104.06

UBS rates DMP as Upgrade to Buy from Neutral (1) -

UBS has again downgraded earnings for Domino Pizza Enterprises, cutting the target price -20% to $120 from $150.

But it upgrades to Buy from Neutral to reflect the strident retreat in the share price from nearly $165 in September.

The share price slumped after AGM commentary guided to weaker-than-expected Japanese earnings (courtesy covid), and rising inflation.

UBS maintains Domino's growth prospects remain attractive despite headwinds, citing developed markets; same-store-sales growth; margin expansion; and new store growth. It also believes Domino's experience in home delivery positions it well for structural ESG trends and believes the company is better positioned than many to manage rising inflation challenges.

FY22 EPS forecasts fall -8% and FY23 forecasts fall -11%.

Target price is $120.00 Current Price is $104.06 Difference: $15.94
If DMP meets the UBS target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $121.88, suggesting upside of 17.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 216.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 48.18.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 228.9, implying annual growth of 7.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 185.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 45.3.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 275.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 280.9, implying annual growth of 22.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 227.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FMG  FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $21.34

Macquarie rates FMG as Outperform (1) -

In anticipation of Fortescue Metals Group's 1H result on 16 February, Macquarie forecasts an interim dividend of $0.91, revenue of US$8.3bn and underlying earnings (EBITDA) of US$4.7bn.

The broker feels the results are largely factored in as the recent 2Q update included both volumes and price realisation. The Outperform rating and $21 target price are maintained.

Target price is $21.00 Current Price is $21.34 Difference: minus $0.34 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $17.64, suggesting downside of -18.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 194.99 cents and EPS of 243.63 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 212.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 164.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 143.26 cents and EPS of 179.04 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.71%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 172.5, implying annual growth of -18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 149.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates FMG as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett has raised its 2022 iron ore price forecast to US$114/t from US$92/t due to more positive steel production estimates for China and stronger first-quarter prices. A reversion to US$100/t is expected by the 4Q of 2022 due to China property sector weakness.

The analyst raises the target price to $21 from $20 for Fortescue Metals Group and maintains the Hold rating.

For results due on 16 February, the broker forecasts 1H profit of US$2.77bn versus the consensus estimate of US$2.70bn.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $21.00 Current Price is $21.34 Difference: minus $0.34 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $17.64, suggesting downside of -18.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 113.91 cents and EPS of 162.16 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 212.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 164.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 139.37 cents and EPS of 111.23 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 172.5, implying annual growth of -18.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 149.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHG  JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $51.98

Credit Suisse rates JHG as Neutral (3) -

Although Janus Henderson Group delivered a 2% year-on-year earnings per share beat in the fourth quarter, Credit Suisse warns shareholders shouldn't expect a repeat given the company was cycling off a low comparable ratio that should normalise moving forward. 

Looking ahead, Credit Suisse is expecting a soft year for the company. Janus Henderson has guided to above-consensus expense growth in the low teens and a significant deterioration of Fulcrum fees, as well as an already US$2.2bn outflow from the Balanced Fund. 

The Neutral is retained and the target price decreases to $56.00 from $62.00.

Target price is $56.00 Current Price is $51.98 Difference: $4.02
If JHG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $56.33, suggesting upside of 12.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 214.42 cents and EPS of 509.25 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 653.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 225.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 225.14 cents and EPS of 529.35 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.82.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 666.3, implying annual growth of 1.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 276.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates JHG as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Macquarie downgrades its rating for Janus Henderson to Neutral from Outperform after a recent outperformance relative to peers and with the prospect of a weaker equity performance accelerating outflows.

This comes as the December quarter operating result beat the broker's forecast though non comp expense guidance was a material miss versus the flat growth forecast. The target price falls to $52 from $64.

Target price is $52.00 Current Price is $51.98 Difference: $0.02
If JHG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $56.33, suggesting upside of 12.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 214.42 cents and EPS of 490.49 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 653.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 225.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 299.65 cents and EPS of 499.46 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.76%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 666.3, implying annual growth of 1.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 276.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JHX  JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $47.64

Ord Minnett rates JHX as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett, in an initial response to today's Q3 release, sees James Hardie's performance as in-line with expectations, though Europe delivered a disappointment on higher energy costs.

But then company management has once again upgraded guidance for FY22 and it seems Ord Minnett's forecast for the year, currently positioned near the lower end of guidance, might have to be lifted.

The broker is anticipating market consensus to be upgraded by some 10% for FY22.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $54.00 Current Price is $47.64 Difference: $6.36
If JHX meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $56.95, suggesting upside of 17.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 97.83 cents and EPS of 176.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 189.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 112.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 25.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 124.63 cents and EPS of 207.72 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 233.5, implying annual growth of 23.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 141.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.7.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LLC  LENDLEASE GROUP

Infra & Property Developers

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Overnight Price: $10.16

Ord Minnett rates LLC as Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold (2) -

While Ord Minnett acknowledges a poor short-term outlook for Lendlease Group (and lowers its target price to $12.50 from $13, there's considered to be potential for significant medium-term upside. Thus, the rating rises to Accumulate from Hold.

The potential upside derives from a $114bn development pipeline and $40bn of funds under management (FUM), explains the analyst. The stock is expected to rerate as a more predictable earnings stream (in two or three years) is being delivered.

The broker feels the upcoming 1H result will be the low point for the company.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $12.50 Current Price is $10.16 Difference: $2.34
If LLC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.75, suggesting upside of 25.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 24.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 41.8, implying annual growth of 28.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 24.00 cents and EPS of 49.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.3, implying annual growth of 58.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MIN  MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $58.10

UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates MIN as Sell (5) -

Ord Minnett has raised its 2022 iron ore price forecast to US$114/t from US$92/t due to more positive steel production estimates for China and stronger first-quarter prices. A reversion to US$100/t is expected by the 4Q of 2022 due to China property sector weakness.

The analyst raises the target price for Mineral Resources to $46 from $45 and maintains the Sell rating.

For results due on 9 February, the broker forecasts 1H22 operating earnings (EBITDA) of $268m and a net profit of $53m, with an 8cps dividend.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $46.00 Current Price is $58.10 Difference: minus $12.1 (current price is over target).
If MIN meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $57.54, suggesting downside of -2.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 90.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.46%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 64.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 220.6, implying annual growth of -67.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 105.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 97.00 cents and EPS of 324.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 350.0, implying annual growth of 58.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 160.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NCK  NICK SCALI LIMITED

Furniture & Renovation

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Overnight Price: $14.86

UPDATED

Citi rates NCK as Buy (1) -

Having delivered a 22% first half profit beat to Citi's forecasts, Nick Scali's strong order book leaves it well placed for further solid performance in the second half. The broker updates earning per share 44% for FY22. 

Headwinds early in the second half, including a -6% sales decline in January given a covid-driven store traffic decrease and the impact of shipping costs on margins, present some risk. The effectiveness of a 5% price increase to offset costs will be considered shortly. 

The Buy rating is retained and the target price decreases to $17.60 from $17.70.

Target price is $17.60 Current Price is $14.86 Difference: $2.74
If NCK meets the Citi target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 75.00 cents and EPS of 115.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.05%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.92.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 76.50 cents and EPS of 95.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.54.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NEA  NEARMAP LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $1.31

UPDATED

Citi rates NEA as Buy (1) -

Nearmap is expected to launch a revamped version of its MapBrowser product in coming weeks, but Citi does not expect the update to provide any material impact on revenue growth.

A recent product demo demonstrated that MapBrowser tools at the centre of the company's legal dispute with competitor EagleView are largely used only by smaller clients, which could support smaller impact from the outcome of the case and allow for continued growth. 

The High Risk Buy rating and target price of $2.10 are retained.

Target price is $2.10 Current Price is $1.31 Difference: $0.79
If NEA meets the Citi target it will return approximately 60% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.50, suggesting upside of 79.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 30.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -4.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 56.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NWS  NEWS CORPORATION

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $33.38

Credit Suisse rates NWS as Outperform (1) -

A strong second quarter result from News Corporation was buffered by News Media's 68% year-on-year earnings growth. Credit Suisse notes News Media's growth reflects benefit in the Facebook and Google licensing deals. 

Confidence in the licensing deals see Credit Suisse issue a 29% upgrade to its full year earning forecast. Digital Real Estate expectations in the second quarter also decline to 13% year-on-year growth from 18%, given a slowing US housing market and tough comps. 

The Outperform rating and target price of $42.00 are retained. 

Target price is $42.00 Current Price is $33.38 Difference: $8.62
If NWS meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $39.88, suggesting upside of 23.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 32.16 cents and EPS of 112.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.96%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 111.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.0.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 37.52 cents and EPS of 134.13 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 137.0, implying annual growth of 22.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates NWS as Overweight (1) -

At first glance, News Corp's December-half earnings outpaced consensus by 5% , thanks to a 7% jump in Dow Jones and a 54% increase in News Media, with Google and Facebook licence fees proving the icing on the cake, notes Morgan Stanley.

Real Estate met the broker and Foxtel fell -5% shy of forecasts.

As usual, no guidance was provided but management expects growth to continue in the second half.

Overweight rating and $33 target price retained.

Target price is $33.00 Current Price is $33.38 Difference: minus $0.38 (current price is over target).
If NWS meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $39.88, suggesting upside of 23.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 26.80 cents and EPS of 86.44 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 111.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 29.0.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 26.80 cents and EPS of 86.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 137.0, implying annual growth of 22.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

REA  REA GROUP LIMITED

Real Estate

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Overnight Price: $143.45

Citi rates REA as Buy (1) -

While Citi expects REA Group to benefit from continued elevated listing volumes in the second half, the broker looks to other avenues to support growth from FY23 as an environment of rising rates and declining house prices may impact. 

Despite concerns, Citi still expects residential business to deliver 8% revenue growth in FY23 and notes that REA Group has managed to increase depth penetration during house price declines in FY12 and FY19. 

The Buy rating is retained and the target price decreases to $166.00 from $172.65.

Target price is $166.00 Current Price is $143.45 Difference: $22.55
If REA meets the Citi target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $162.84, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 165.30 cents and EPS of 312.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.5, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 186.40 cents and EPS of 355.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 367.1, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Credit Suisse rates REA as Neutral (3) -

REA Group's first half results were largely in line with Credit Suisse's expectations. Higher domestic costs did drive an earnings miss, and the company increased full year operating expenditure for higher revenue related costs, but the broker expects wage inflation may also impact. 

Given positive management commentary, the broker expects strong third quarter listing volume but expects fourth quarter volumes will be impacted by the election and touch comps. 

The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $157.10 from $166.50.

Target price is $157.10 Current Price is $143.45 Difference: $13.65
If REA meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $162.84, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 171.00 cents and EPS of 312.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.5, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 202.00 cents and EPS of 368.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 367.1, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates REA as Neutral (3) -

The 1H result for REA Group was better than Macquarie expected and the analyst is now slightly more positive on listings growth.

While Macquarie sees valuation support emerging after a share price pullback, the Neutral rating is maintained on downside risk to the consensus forecast in the medium term. The broker also points to a moderating residential market.

The target price eases to $158 from $162.

Target price is $158.00 Current Price is $143.45 Difference: $14.55
If REA meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $162.84, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 170.40 cents and EPS of 317.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.5, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 189.70 cents and EPS of 352.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 367.1, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UPDATED

Morgan Stanley rates REA as Overweight (1) -

At first glance, REA Group's December-half earnings (EBITDA) outpaced Morgan Stanley's estimates by 12%.

The broker believes the company continues to deliver good growth on a respectable risk-return basis, posting a three-year EBITDA compound annual growth rate of 17%.

Management expected the federal election could weigh on second-half listing growth but Morgan Stanley notes that growth does not need to be high to meet full-year consensus forecasts.

Overweight rating retained. Target price is $182.50.

Target price is $182.50 Current Price is $143.45 Difference: $39.05
If REA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 27% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $162.84, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 307.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.5, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 368.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 367.1, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates REA as Hold (3) -

REA Group's result was slightly ahead of Morgans' forecast across most metrics. But after a strong first half, volatility looms in the second half, the broker warns.

Listing remains buoyant but REA will cycle strong listings a year ago. Then we have a federal election, which typically subdues real estate activity, and the risk of regulatory intervention the curb rising house prices.

Target falls to $156.25 from $165.70, Hold retained.

Target price is $156.25 Current Price is $143.45 Difference: $12.8
If REA meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $162.84, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 158.00 cents and EPS of 319.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 44.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.5, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 203.00 cents and EPS of 374.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 367.1, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates REA as Buy (1) -

REA Group reported a strong 1H result, according to Ord Minnett, with beats delivered against the broker's forecasts for underlying net profit and revenue. The interim dividend of 75cps was lower than the 81.5cps expected.

The analyst feels expectations for the group remain lower than for Domain Holdings ((DHG)). With the slight possibility of listings growth in FY22, REA Group is estimated to be in a better position to surprise.

The Buy rating and $165 target price are unchanged.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $165.00 Current Price is $143.45 Difference: $21.55
If REA meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $162.84, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 314.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.5, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 368.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 367.1, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates REA as Neutral (3) -

REA Group's December-half result met UBS's estimates and outpaced consensus, thanks to an exceptional 37% rise in revenue - up 25% prior to acquisitions.

Management increased cost guidance to reflect an increase in revenue-related costs to low double digits from high single digits and was cautious as to the sustainability of growth into the second half given the looming federal election.

UBS cuts FY22, FY23 EPS estimates -1% and -3% to reflect the rise in costs.

Neutral rating and $155 target price retained.

Target price is $155.00 Current Price is $143.45 Difference: $11.55
If REA meets the UBS target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $162.84, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 163.00 cents and EPS of 326.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 44.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.5, implying annual growth of 29.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 165.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 198.00 cents and EPS of 385.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 367.1, implying annual growth of 16.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 195.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 38.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RIO  RIO TINTO LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $114.61

UPDATED

Ord Minnett rates RIO as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett has raised its 2022 iron ore price forecast to US$114/t from US$92/t due to more positive steel production estimates for China and stronger first-quarter prices. A reversion to US$100/t is expected by the 4Q of 2022 due to China property sector weakness.

The analyst raises the target price for Rio Tinto to $105 from $102 and maintains the Hold rating.

For results due on 23 February, the broker forecasts 2021 underlying earnings of US$21.82bn (consensus US$21.60bn), with a $4.48cps 2H dividend.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $105.00 Current Price is $114.61 Difference: minus $9.61 (current price is over target).
If RIO meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $108.71, suggesting downside of -5.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY21:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY21 dividend of 1352.18 cents and EPS of 1809.17 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1920.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1473.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 12.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.0.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 737.07 cents and EPS of 1053.34 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.43%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1238.4, implying annual growth of -35.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 874.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

S32  SOUTH32 LIMITED

Mining

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Overnight Price: $4.11

Macquarie rates S32 as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie expects a strong 1H result for South32 due to tailwinds from commodity prices and anticipates further capital management programs, given the strong balance sheet. The result is due on February 23.

The analyst is forecasting revenue of US$4,499m and underlying earnings (EBITDA) of US$1,740m.

The Outperform rating and $4.80 target price are maintained.

Target price is $4.80 Current Price is $4.11 Difference: $0.69
If S32 meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.90, suggesting upside of 17.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 25.60 cents and EPS of 53.07 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.6.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 20.10 cents and EPS of 41.81 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 50.9, implying annual growth of -19.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

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Overnight Price: $21.52

Macquarie rates WBC as Neutral (3) -

Westpac Bank's 1Q update was marginally ahead of expectations, according to Macquarie. However, it's thought expectations in FY23 and beyond remain elevated and the bank is not as cheap as implied by consensus expectations.

The broker lowers its FY23 and FY24 EPS forecasts and reduces its target price to $22.50 from $23. The Neutral rating is retained as the current valuation is considered undemanding.

Target price is $22.50 Current Price is $21.52 Difference: $0.98
If WBC meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $24.64, suggesting upside of 14.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 122.00 cents and EPS of 156.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 151.4, implying annual growth of 1.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 122.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 125.00 cents and EPS of 170.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 183.9, implying annual growth of 21.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 134.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ALL Aristocrat Leisure $40.69 Ord Minnett 49.00 51.00 -3.92%
ALX Atlas Arteria $6.85 Morgan Stanley 6.88 6.66 3.30%
AMC Amcor $16.32 Ord Minnett 18.40 18.00 2.22%
AMP AMP $0.96 Ord Minnett 1.10 1.20 -8.33%
ANZ ANZ Bank $26.61 Citi 30.25 29.25 3.42%
BRG Breville Group $28.82 Credit Suisse 29.86 30.98 -3.62%
CSL CSL $254.61 Macquarie 325.00 338.00 -3.85%
DMP Domino's Pizza Enterprises $103.72 UBS 120.00 150.00 -20.00%
FMG Fortescue Metals $21.53 Ord Minnett 21.00 20.00 5.00%
JHG Janus Henderson $50.18 Credit Suisse 56.00 57.00 -1.75%
Macquarie 52.00 64.00 -18.75%
LLC Lendlease Group $10.19 Ord Minnett 12.50 13.00 -3.85%
MIN Mineral Resources $58.99 Ord Minnett 46.00 45.00 2.22%
NCK Nick Scali $13.94 Citi 17.60 16.80 4.76%
QUB Qube Holdings $2.85 Morgan Stanley 3.28 3.20 2.50%
REA REA Group $139.57 Citi 166.00 172.65 -3.85%
Credit Suisse 157.10 166.50 -5.65%
Macquarie 158.00 162.00 -2.47%
Morgan Stanley 182.50 185.00 -1.35%
Morgans 156.25 165.70 -5.70%
RIO Rio Tinto $114.69 Ord Minnett 105.00 102.00 2.94%
Summaries
AMP AMP Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.96
ANZ ANZ Bank Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $27.09
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $27.09
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $27.09
AX1 Accent Group Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $2.10
BHP BHP Group No Rating - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $46.81
BRG Breville Group Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $28.86
BXB Brambles Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $9.55
CBA CommBank Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $94.10
CPU Computershare Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $20.53
CSL CSL Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $258.79
DMP Domino's Pizza Enterprises Upgrade to Buy from Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $104.06
FMG Fortescue Metals Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $21.34
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $21.34
JHG Janus Henderson Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $51.98
Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $51.98
JHX James Hardie Industries Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $47.64
LLC Lendlease Group Upgrade to Accumulate from Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $10.16
MIN Mineral Resources Sell - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $58.10
NCK Nick Scali Buy - Citi Overnight Price $14.86
NEA Nearmap Buy - Citi Overnight Price $1.31
NWS News Corp Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $33.38
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $33.38
REA REA Group Buy - Citi Overnight Price $143.45
Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $143.45
Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $143.45
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $143.45
Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $143.45
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $143.45
Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $143.45
RIO Rio Tinto Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $114.61
S32 South32 Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.11
WBC Westpac Banking Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $21.52
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

14

2. Accumulate

3

3. Hold

13

5. Sell

2

Monday 07 February 2022

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.