Australian Broker Call

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July 11, 2022

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
ALU - Altium Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy Ord Minnett
CGC - Costa Group Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
CPU - Computershare Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
IAG - Insurance Australia Group Upgrade to Add from Hold Morgans
LNK - Link Administration Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
MFG - Magellan Financial Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform Macquarie
MPL - Medibank Private Downgrade to Hold from Add Morgans
SBM - St. Barbara Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
SCG - Scentre Group Upgrade to Neutral from Sell Citi
SCP - Shopping Centres Australasia Property Upgrade to Buy from Sell Citi
SLC - Superloop Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate Ord Minnett
WTC - WiseTech Global Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate Ord Minnett
XRO - Xero Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy Ord Minnett
AKE  ALLKEM LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $10.46

Credit Suisse rates AKE as Neutral (3) -

Analysts at Credit Suisse are now seriously contemplating the prospect of economic recession ahead. A general sector update highlights near-term downside risks for iron ore and EV battery materials while spot prices for base metals have now fallen below the broker's forecasts.

All in all, Credit Suisse remains constructive on iron ore, coal and aluminium, but thinks copper has further to fall. For the miners, the broker is concerned about rising costs.

Credit Suisse is worried a recession might have a rather pronounced impact on the lithium price, and thus the sector. Target price for Allkem has been reduced to $11 from $14.70. Neutral.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $10.46 Difference: $0.54
If AKE meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $14.83, suggesting upside of 47.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 75.11 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.93.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 58.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 95.13 cents and EPS of 190.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.09%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.49.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 110.5, implying annual growth of 90.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALU  ALTIUM

Hardware & Equipment

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Overnight Price: $29.16

Ord Minnett rates ALU as Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy (2) -

The -10.3% decline across the Australian All Technology Index in June contributes to a year to date sector decline of -36.4%, with Ord Minnett noting its sector coverage underperformed the market in the last month. 

The broker highlights notable divergence between the share price performance of profitable and non-profitable companies, with nonprofitable stocks in particular being weighed by increasing interest rates and the impacts of inflation. 

For Altium, the rating is downgraded to Accumulate from Buy and the target price of $32.00 is retained.

Target price is $32.00 Current Price is $29.16 Difference: $2.84
If ALU meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.73, suggesting upside of 10.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 42.80 cents and EPS of 49.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 58.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 52.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 48.32 cents and EPS of 59.37 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 65.9, implying annual growth of 20.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 56.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 43.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASX  ASX LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $85.14

Morgans rates ASX as Reduce (5) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials sector.

For ASX, the broker lifts FY23 and FY24 EPS forecasts by 3% and 0.5%, respectively, in reaction to the latest monthly trading statistics. The target rises to $74.05 from $73.05, while the Reduce rating is unchanged.

Target price is $74.05 Current Price is $85.14 Difference: minus $11.09 (current price is over target).
If ASX meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $80.97, suggesting downside of -3.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 234.20 cents and EPS of 260.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.75%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 259.3, implying annual growth of 4.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 233.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 32.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 249.30 cents and EPS of 277.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 275.4, implying annual growth of 6.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 247.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.3.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BHP  BHP GROUP LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $39.22

Credit Suisse rates BHP as Neutral (3) -

Analysts at Credit Suisse are now seriously contemplating the prospect of economic recession ahead. A general sector update highlights near-term downside risks for iron ore and EV battery materials while spot prices for base metals have now fallen below the broker's forecasts.

All in all, Credit Suisse remains constructive on iron ore, coal and aluminium, but thinks copper has further to fall. For the miners, the broker is concerned about rising costs.

In case of a recession, Credit Suisse sees BHP Group as remaining more resilient than Rio Tinto. $40 target and Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $40.00 Current Price is $39.22 Difference: $0.78
If BHP meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $44.34, suggesting upside of 16.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 531.55 cents and EPS of 613.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 640.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 579.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.9.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 474.94 cents and EPS of 607.48 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 12.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 605.6, implying annual growth of -5.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 438.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CCX  CITY CHIC COLLECTIVE LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $2.16

Citi rates CCX as Buy (1) -

Citi cuts FY22 to FY24 EPS forecasts for City Chic Collective -5% to -13% to reflect poorer-than-forecast website visits in the June quarter, which is expected to continue into FY23.

Buy rating retained. Target price falls to $3 from $4.

Target price is $3.00 Current Price is $2.16 Difference: $0.84
If CCX meets the Citi target it will return approximately 39% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.90, suggesting upside of 42.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 12.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.85.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.8, implying annual growth of 23.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 13.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.0, implying annual growth of 10.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CGC  COSTA GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Agriculture

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Overnight Price: $2.88

Credit Suisse rates CGC as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

The citrus season is not living up to Credit Suisse's expectations to date, with lower quality and disease impacting on harvests in the southern states, as well as issues with freight capacity and costs, but the broker notes Costa Group appears to be navigating the situation better than competitors. 

The company's 2PH Farms acquisition means it has exposure to the currently better quality Queensland citrus. Elsewhere, avocado pricing has not recovered to the broker's estimates. Current pressures drive a -5% decrease to the broker's earnings estimate in FY22.

The rating is downgraded to Neutral from Outperform and the target price decreases to $2.80 from $3.70.

Target price is $2.80 Current Price is $2.88 Difference: minus $0.08 (current price is over target).
If CGC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.41, suggesting upside of 29.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 11.82 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.9, implying annual growth of 57.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 16.71 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.13%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.6, implying annual growth of 31.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CGF  CHALLENGER LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $6.97

Credit Suisse rates CGF as Neutral (3) -

With Challenger reporting -$27m in investment experience losses in the third quarter, Credit Suisse is estimating wider credit spreads and lower equity markets will see the company record a further -$180m loss in the fourth quarter. 

Despite this, the broker notes widening credit spreads and annuity rates pricing improvement could deliver as much as a 60 basis point improvement to Challenger's cost of equity margins. 

Improved margin trends are largely attributable for increases of 2-3% to the broker's forecast. The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $7.30 from $7.60.

Target price is $7.30 Current Price is $6.97 Difference: $0.33
If CGF meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.23, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 41.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.5, implying annual growth of -48.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 27.00 cents and EPS of 47.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.9, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates CGF as Add (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials category.

The analyst makes no changes to underlying earnings for Challenger and maintains the Add rating and $8.21 target price.

Target price is $8.21 Current Price is $6.97 Difference: $1.24
If CGF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $7.23, suggesting upside of 3.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 23.20 cents and EPS of 49.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.05.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 45.5, implying annual growth of -48.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 25.80 cents and EPS of 55.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.9, implying annual growth of 3.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CHN  CHALICE MINING LIMITED

Industrial Metals

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Overnight Price: $4.01

Macquarie rates CHN as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie says Chalice Mining's recent 70% upgrade for Gonneville's indicated resources demonstrates the world-class potential of the site.

The larger mining inventory extends Macquarie's mine life from FY54 to FY56. The broker expects a scoping study will be published within two months, which could prove a near-term catalyst.

Target price rises to $7.50 from $7.30. Outperform rating retained.

Target price is $7.50 Current Price is $4.01 Difference: $3.49
If CHN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 87% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 16.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 24.01.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 17.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 22.66.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CPU  COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED

Diversified Financials

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Overnight Price: $24.40

Morgans rates CPU as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials category.

The broker makes the largest changes in FY23  and FY24 for Computershare by raising EPS forecasts by around 18% on a lift to earnings from higher bond yields.

The rating is lifted to Add from Hold as there is now greater than 10% upside to the amended target price of $27.53, up from $23.97.

Target price is $27.53 Current Price is $24.40 Difference: $3.13
If CPU meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.98, suggesting upside of 11.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 71.79 cents and EPS of 56.61 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 78.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 68.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 92.50 cents and EPS of 88.91 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 121.6, implying annual growth of 54.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 88.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CQR  CHARTER HALL RETAIL REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $3.92

Citi rates CQR as Neutral (3) -

Charter Hall Retail proved the laggard in Citi's latest review of the Australian Real Estate/Property, in which the broker states convenience is more defensive when interest rates are rising. 

While peers generally receive the thumbs up, Citi is relatively neutral on Charter Hall, but the broker appreciates its stronger dividend yield and short-term valuation metrics.

Fundamentals are positive but the REIT has marginally higher gearing and shorter hedge terms than some peers.

EPS forecasts fall to 28c from 29c in FY22, and to 27c from 28c in FY23.

Neutral rating retained. Target price falls to $3.98 from $4.13.

Target price is $3.98 Current Price is $3.92 Difference: $0.06
If CQR meets the Citi target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.16, suggesting upside of 6.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 24.30 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.20%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.4, implying annual growth of -44.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 24.50 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.52.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 28.0, implying annual growth of -1.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DMP  DOMINO'S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $75.51

Citi rates DMP as Buy (1) -

Citi examines Domino's Pizza Enterprises prospects in response to rising inflation, labour shortages and growing competition.

While these are all expected to have negative implications, the broker retains a Buy rating to reflect potential mergers and acquisitions and the store rollout, which the broker expects will trigger a sales rebound late in 2022.

The broker's one proviso to this is if inflationary pressures force the company to reduce delivery areas to cut delivery costs.

Target price falls to $92.95 from $100.95.

Target price is $92.95 Current Price is $75.51 Difference: $17.44
If DMP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $90.76, suggesting upside of 28.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 152.90 cents and EPS of 185.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 204.4, implying annual growth of -3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 164.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.7.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 158.20 cents and EPS of 197.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 234.7, implying annual growth of 14.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 184.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FMG  FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $17.30

Credit Suisse rates FMG as Neutral (3) -

Analysts at Credit Suisse are now seriously contemplating the prospect of economic recession ahead. A general sector update highlights near-term downside risks for iron ore and EV battery materials while spot prices for base metals have now fallen below the broker's forecasts.

All in all, Credit Suisse remains constructive on iron ore, coal and aluminium, but thinks copper has further to fall. For the miners, the broker is concerned about rising costs.

Credit Suisse's target for Fortescue Metals has dropped to $17 from $20, Neutral rating retained.

Target price is $17.00 Current Price is $17.30 Difference: minus $0.3 (current price is over target).
If FMG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $17.11, suggesting upside of 1.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 212.62 cents and EPS of 281.65 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 12.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.14.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 315.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 231.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 13.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 245.76 cents and EPS of 328.59 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 14.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 287.2, implying annual growth of -9.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 216.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 12.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GDG  GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $1.30

Morgans rates GDG as Add (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials sector.

For Generation Development, the broker makes no changes to earnings forecasts and the Add rating and $1.69 target price are unchanged.

Target price is $1.69 Current Price is $1.30 Difference: $0.39
If GDG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 30% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 2.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 48.15.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.10 cents and EPS of 3.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 39.39.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IAG  INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $4.36

Morgans rates IAG as Upgrade to Add from Hold (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the General Insurers category.

For Insurance Australia Group, the broker downgrades its FY22 EPS estimate by -19% on negative mark-to-market investment impacts. The FY23 EPS forecast rises by 5-6% on the benefits of higher interest rates.

Morgans lifts its rating to Add from Hold and raises its target price to $5.09 from $4.99.

Target price is $5.09 Current Price is $4.36 Difference: $0.73
If IAG meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.01, suggesting upside of 14.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 17.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 29.00 cents and EPS of 32.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.8, implying annual growth of 81.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates IAG as Buy (1) -

Ahead of Insurance Australia Group's full year results release in August, Ord Minnett expects margins in the second half will have benefited from rising yields, although slightly offset by elevated inflation. 

Looking ahead, the broker notes margins will likely be pressured by headwinds in the coming year, including increased perils allowances and reinsurance costs. 

The company remains Ord Minnett's second stock preference in the sector, behind QBE Insurance ((QBE)).The Buy rating and target price of $5.50 are retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $5.50 Current Price is $4.36 Difference: $1.14
If IAG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.01, suggesting upside of 14.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 54.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 23.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.8, implying annual growth of 81.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KSL  KINA SECURITIES LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $0.85

Morgans rates KSL as Add (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials sector.

For Kina Securities, the broker makes no changes to earnings forecasts and the Add rating, though raises the target price to $1.29 from $1.20 on a valuation roll forward.

Target price is $1.29 Current Price is $0.85 Difference: $0.44
If KSL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 52% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 30.80 cents and EPS of 38.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 36.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.20.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 36.50 cents and EPS of 45.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 42.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 1.85.

This company reports in PGK. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LNK  LINK ADMINISTRATION HOLDINGS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $4.02

Morgans rates LNK as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials sector.

For Link Administration, the broker reduces EPS estimates across the forecast period by -4-8%. The rating is lowered to Hold from Add as the gap has closed to the unchanged $4.33 target price.

Target price is $4.33 Current Price is $4.02 Difference: $0.31
If LNK meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.96, suggesting upside of 23.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 8.60 cents and EPS of 19.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 12.10 cents and EPS of 23.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.01%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 25.1, implying annual growth of 32.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MFG  MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $11.90

Credit Suisse rates MFG as Neutral (3) -

A fourth quarter update from Magellan Financial confirmed large outflows have continued, to the tune of -$5.2bn in the quarter, and Credit Suisse notes a small funds under management beat by the company was offset by a larger net outflow profile into FY23.

The broker notes fund performance improvement is crucial to a more positive outlook.

The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $12.00 from $12.40.

Target price is $12.00 Current Price is $11.90 Difference: $0.1
If MFG meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $12.17, suggesting upside of 1.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 183.00 cents and EPS of 238.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 15.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 216.9, implying annual growth of 50.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 185.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 100.00 cents and EPS of 128.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.40%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 124.9, implying annual growth of -42.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 110.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.6.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates MFG as Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform (3) -

Magellan Financial's June-quarter net outflows hit -$5.2bn despite an improved performance, and funds under management (FUM) fell $3.5bn to $61.3bn due to foreign currency and market movements, observes Macquarie.

The main drain came from institutions and the broker expects outflows will continue in the September quarter.

EPS forecasts fall -2.1% in FY22; -10.2% in FY23; and -10% thereafter, to reflect lower forecast FUM and performance fees.

Target price falls to $11.50 from $13.25. Rating upgraded to Neutral from Underperform, Macquarie believing the de-rating is largely complete, pending market movements and performance.

Target price is $11.50 Current Price is $11.90 Difference: minus $0.4 (current price is over target).
If MFG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.17, suggesting upside of 1.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 188.00 cents and EPS of 206.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 15.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 216.9, implying annual growth of 50.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 185.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 104.40 cents and EPS of 114.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 124.9, implying annual growth of -42.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 110.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.6.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates MFG as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley notes investment performance improved in June for Magellan Financial, while longer-term performance is also starting to improve.

The June funds under management (FUM) update showed -$5.2bn in outflows for the quarter and the broker estimates -$1.5bn went out in June, with the majority coming from global equities.

Distributions are in-line with Morgan Stanley's expectations and the group didn't earn performance fees in the 2H.

The Underweight rating and $11.00 target are maintained. Industry View: Attractive.

Target price is $11.00 Current Price is $11.90 Difference: minus $0.9 (current price is over target).
If MFG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.17, suggesting upside of 1.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 218.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 216.9, implying annual growth of 50.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 185.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 124.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 124.9, implying annual growth of -42.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 110.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.6.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates MFG as Lighten (4) -

While Magellan Financial remained in a net outflow position in the June quarter with outflows of -$5.2bn, Ord Minnett notes this represents an improvement on the -$18.1bn outflows reported in the March quarter.

The broker has taken a more cautious view on flows moving into FY23, now assuming outflows of -$12bn in the coming year, up $5bn on previous estimates, but does expect stabilisation of funds under management into FY24.

The Lighten rating is retained and the target price decreases to $11.20 from $13.40.

Target price is $11.20 Current Price is $11.90 Difference: minus $0.7 (current price is over target).
If MFG meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $12.17, suggesting upside of 1.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 208.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 216.9, implying annual growth of 50.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 185.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 15.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 116.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.26.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 124.9, implying annual growth of -42.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 110.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.6.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MIN  MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $46.88

Credit Suisse rates MIN as Outperform (1) -

Analysts at Credit Suisse are now seriously contemplating the prospect of economic recession ahead. A general sector update highlights near-term downside risks for iron ore and EV battery materials while spot prices for base metals have now fallen below the broker's forecasts.

All in all, Credit Suisse remains constructive on iron ore, coal and aluminium, but thinks copper has further to fall. For the miners, the broker is concerned about rising costs.

The Outperform rating remains in place for Mineral Resources  while the target price drops to $71 from $73.

Target price is $71.00 Current Price is $46.88 Difference: $24.12
If MIN meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 51% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $72.94, suggesting upside of 57.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 86.37 cents and EPS of 269.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 239.6, implying annual growth of -64.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 89.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 450.39 cents and EPS of 1126.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.16.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 986.7, implying annual growth of 311.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 379.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.7.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MPL  MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $3.30

Morgans rates MPL as Downgrade to Hold from Add (3) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Health Insurers category.

For Medibank Private, the broker downgrades its FY22 EPS estimate by -18% on negative mark-to-market investment impacts. The FY23 EPS forecast rises by 3-4% on the benefits of higher interest rates.

Morgans downgrades its rating to Hold from Add as upside to the amended target price of $3.42, down from $3.43, has been reduced.

Target price is $3.43 Current Price is $3.30 Difference: $0.13
If MPL meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.48, suggesting upside of 6.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 12.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.03%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.2, implying annual growth of -5.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.60 cents and EPS of 16.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of 9.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NHF  NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $7.46

Morgans rates NHF as Hold (3) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Health Insurers category.

For nib Holdings, the broker downgrades its FY22 EPS estimate by -40% on negative mark-to-market investment impacts. The FY23 EPS forecast rises by -1-3% on slightly more conservative margin forecasts.

The Hold rating is maintained and the target price slips to $7.04 from $7.14.

Target price is $7.04 Current Price is $7.46 Difference: minus $0.42 (current price is over target).
If NHF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $6.96, suggesting downside of -6.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 11.10 cents and EPS of 18.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 40.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.8, implying annual growth of -9.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 19.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 21.80 cents and EPS of 34.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 33.5, implying annual growth of 5.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 22.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NVX  NOVONIX LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $2.46

Morgans rates NVX as Hold (3) -

Morgans dramatically reduces its target price for Novonix as commissioning of the Riverside anode facility has not progressed to ramp-up as quickly as expected. It's also felt the viability of the anode business with blue chip clients at scale remains unproven.

The broker reintroduces a higher cost of equity given rising interest rates and the current risk aversion around growth stocks. The Hold rating is unchanged as no meaningful short-term catalyst is considered likely. Target falls to $2.98 from $4.88.

Target price is $2.98 Current Price is $2.46 Difference: $0.52
If NVX meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 24.60.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 35.14.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PLS  PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $2.35

Credit Suisse rates PLS as Neutral (3) -

Analysts at Credit Suisse are now seriously contemplating the prospect of economic recession ahead. A general sector update highlights near-term downside risks for iron ore and EV battery materials while spot prices for base metals have now fallen below the broker's forecasts.

All in all, Credit Suisse remains constructive on iron ore, coal and aluminium, but thinks copper has further to fall. For the miners, the broker is concerned about rising costs.

In case of a recession, demand for EVs and thus for lithium is a worry for Credit Suisse. Target price for Pilbara Minerals has been pulled back to $2.40 from $3. Neutral.

Target price is $2.40 Current Price is $2.35 Difference: $0.05
If PLS meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.43, suggesting upside of 49.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 21.48 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 29.08 cents and EPS of 58.16 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 12.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 54.0, implying annual growth of 155.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 4.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

QBE  QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $11.79

Morgans rates QBE as Add (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the General Insurers category.

For QBE Insurance, the broker downgrades its FY22 EPS estimate by -11% on negative mark-to-market investment impacts. The FY23 EPS forecast rises by 2-4% on the benefits of higher interest rates.

The price target is increased to $14.76 from $14.45. The Add rating is unchanged. 

Target price is $14.76 Current Price is $11.79 Difference: $2.97
If QBE meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 25% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $15.59, suggesting upside of 30.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 41.42 cents and EPS of 82.15 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.35.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 95.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 57.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 66.27 cents and EPS of 126.47 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.62%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 145.9, implying annual growth of 53.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 95.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

QUB  QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $2.83

UBS rates QUB as Neutral (3) -

UBS decreases its earnings per share forecasts for Qube Holdings by -1%, -3% and -4% through to FY24, noting slowing port container volumes, higher landside charges at Patrick, lower expected crop volumes in FY23, and flat iron ore exports in FY22 as drivers. 

Grain in the first half was a surprise to the upside, with the broker noting this trend could continue moving into the second half, but UBS also highlighted the impact of new contracts and acquisitions were difficult to estimate. 

The Neutral rating is retained and the target price decreases to $3.10 from $3.30.

Target price is $3.10 Current Price is $2.83 Difference: $0.27
If QUB meets the UBS target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.30, suggesting upside of 18.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.8, implying annual growth of 102.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.4.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 12.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.4, implying annual growth of 16.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RIO  RIO TINTO LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $97.43

Credit Suisse rates RIO as Outperform (1) -

Analysts at Credit Suisse are now seriously contemplating the prospect of economic recession ahead. A general sector update highlights near-term downside risks for iron ore and EV battery materials while spot prices for base metals have now fallen below the broker's forecasts.

All in all, Credit Suisse remains constructive on iron ore, coal and aluminium, but thinks copper has further to fall. For the miners, the broker is concerned about rising costs.

The analysts are a bit cautious about Rio Tinto embarking on M&A in future facing commodities, but also acknowledge this could turn out well-timed if a recession is around the corner, in particular in lithium.

No changes made to $118 price target or Outperform rating.

Target price is $118.00 Current Price is $97.43 Difference: $20.57
If RIO meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $115.50, suggesting upside of 21.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 1353.03 cents and EPS of 1680.24 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 13.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1833.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1296.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 13.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 1226.01 cents and EPS of 1522.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 12.58%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1519.1, implying annual growth of -17.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1072.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.3.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SBM  ST. BARBARA LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $0.91

Macquarie rates SBM as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

St. Barbara's June-quarter result outpaced Macquarie, thanks to an 11% beat on production (up 40% quarter on quarter) which helped the company romp in to meet guidance.

Volumes rose across all operations and cash generation was admirable, the company closing the June quarter at $98m, a 35% beat on Macquarie's forecast.

EPS forecasts rise 27% for FY22; 14% for FY23 and 1% to 6% for FY24 and FY26.

Target price rises 10% to $1.10. Rating upgraded to Outperform from Neutral, the broker spying several catalysts such as the Simberi sale and consolidation in Leonora, and given the recent share price retreat.

Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $0.91 Difference: $0.19
If SBM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.26, suggesting upside of 38.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 101.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 2.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.7, implying annual growth of 250.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SCG  SCENTRE GROUP

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.72

Citi rates SCG as Upgrade to Neutral from Sell (3) -

Citi's latest review of the Australian Real Estate/Property favours convenience as more defensive position in a rising-rate environment.

The thesis is that convenience retailing faces less competition from online sales and Citi notes a larger percentage of food items are sold in grocer-anchored convenience stores as department stores lose wallet share.

The broker also prefers companies with defensive interest rate positions.

Cit notes Scentre Group is trading at a -38% discount to net tangible assets and is skewed to inflation-linked leases and stable financial positions and omni-channel retail platforms.

EPS forecasts ease 0.2% in FY22 and rise 7% in FY23, to reflect likely lower than expected covid costs.

Upgrade to Neutral from Sell. Target price rises to $2.81 from $2.55.

Target price is $2.81 Current Price is $2.72 Difference: $0.09
If SCG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.97, suggesting upside of 8.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.2, implying annual growth of 12.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.6, implying annual growth of 7.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SCP  SHOPPING CENTRES AUSTRALASIA PROPERTY GROUP RE LIMITED

REITs

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Overnight Price: $2.83

Citi rates SCP as Upgrade to Buy from Sell (1) -

Citi's latest review of the Australian Real Estate/Property favours convenience as more defensive in a rising-rate environment.

The thesis is that convenience retailing faces less competition from online sales and Citi notes a larger percentage of food items are sold in grocer-anchored convenience stores as department stores lose wallet share.

The broker also prefers defensive interest rate positions in this context.

Citi notes Shopping Centres Australasia Property is better positioned on both these fronts and considers it defensive against margin erosion given the strength of its tenant base.

EPS forecasts ease to 17c from 18c in FY22; and to 18c from 19c in FY23.

Shopping Centres enjoys a double upgrade to Buy from Sell. Target price rises to $3.14 from $2.56.

Target price is $3.14 Current Price is $2.83 Difference: $0.31
If SCP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.93, suggesting upside of 1.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 17.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 16.6, implying annual growth of -61.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.4, implying annual growth of 4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SLC  SUPERLOOP LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $0.74

Ord Minnett rates SLC as Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate (1) -

The -10.3% decline across the Australian All Technology Index in June contributes to a year to date sector decline of -36.4%, with Ord Minnett noting its sector coverage underperformed the market in the last month. 

The broker highlights notable divergence between the share price performance of profitable and non-profitable companies, with nonprofitable stocks in particular being weighed by increasing interest rates and the impacts of inflation. 

For Superloop, the rating is upgraded to Buy from Accumulate and the target price of $1.25 is retained.

Target price is $1.25 Current Price is $0.74 Difference: $0.51
If SLC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 69% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.26, suggesting upside of 72.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 18.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -2.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.00 cents.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -0.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SUN  SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $11.05

Morgans rates SUN as Add (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the General Insurers category.

For Suncorp Group, the broker downgrades its FY22 EPS estimate by -18% on negative mark-to-market investment impacts. The FY23 EPS forecast rises by 2-3% on the benefits of higher interest rates.

The price target is increased to $13.42 from $13.14. The Add rating is unchanged. 

Target price is $13.42 Current Price is $11.05 Difference: $2.37
If SUN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $13.53, suggesting upside of 20.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 42.40 cents and EPS of 56.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.66.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.0, implying annual growth of -20.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 53.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.6.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 70.30 cents and EPS of 88.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 88.6, implying annual growth of 38.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 70.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TYR  TYRO PAYMENTS LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $0.74

Morgans rates TYR as Add (1) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials sector.

For Tyro Payments, while the broker makes minor changes to EPS estimates, the target price falls to $1.62 from $2.68 to incorporate the derating of multiples for peers since the last research note. The Add rating is maintained.

Target price is $1.62 Current Price is $0.74 Difference: $0.88
If TYR meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 119% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.13, suggesting upside of 200.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 6.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 10.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -3.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 4.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 15.42.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -2.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

VCX  VICINITY CENTRES

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.88

Citi rates VCX as Neutral (3) -

Citi's latest review of the Australian Real Estate/Property favours convenience as more defensive in a rising-rate environment.

The thesis is that convenience retailing faces less competition from online sales and Citi notes a larger percentage of food items are sold in grocer-anchored convenience stores.

The broker also prefers defensive interest rate positions in this context and notes Vicinity Centres, while having a lower exposure to the convenience theme than some peers, should still benefit from rising interest rates given its lower gearing and cost of debt.

EPS forecasts rise to 13c from 12c in FY22; and 1c to 13c from 14c in FY23.

Neutral rating retained and target price inches up to $1.91 from $1.90.

Target price is $1.91 Current Price is $1.88 Difference: $0.03
If VCX meets the Citi target it will return approximately 2% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.90, suggesting upside of 0.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Citi forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 9.40 cents and EPS of 12.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 11.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 12.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.32%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of 5.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 10.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WTC  WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $41.97

Ord Minnett rates WTC as Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate (1) -

The -10.3% decline across the Australian All Technology Index in June contributes to a year to date sector decline of -36.4%, with Ord Minnett noting its sector coverage underperformed the market in the last month. 

The broker highlights notable divergence between the share price performance of profitable and non-profitable companies, with nonprofitable stocks in particular being weighed by increasing interest rates and the impacts of inflation. 

For WiseTech Global, the rating is upgraded to Buy from Accumulate and the target price of $52.00 is retained.

Target price is $52.00 Current Price is $41.97 Difference: $10.03
If WTC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 24% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $48.34, suggesting upside of 18.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 47.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.21%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 89.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.1, implying annual growth of 53.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 79.9.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 61.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 68.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 67.9, implying annual growth of 32.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 60.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

XRO  XERO LIMITED

Accountancy

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Overnight Price: $87.04

Ord Minnett rates XRO as Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy (2) -

The -10.3% decline across the Australian All Technology Index in June contributes to a year to date sector decline of -36.4%, with Ord Minnett noting its sector coverage underperformed the market in the last month. 

The broker highlights notable divergence between the share price performance of profitable and non-profitable companies, with nonprofitable stocks in particular being weighed by increasing interest rates and the impacts of inflation. 

For Xero, the rating is downgraded to Accumulate from Buy and the target price of $97.00 is retained.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $97.00 Current Price is $87.04 Difference: $9.96
If XRO meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $98.88, suggesting upside of 16.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in March.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 12.18 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 714.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 31.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 271.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 51.52 cents and EPS of 51.52 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 168.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 68.3, implying annual growth of 118.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 123.8.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Z1P  ZIP CO LIMITED

Business & Consumer Credit

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Overnight Price: $1.21

Morgans rates Z1P as Hold (3) -

Morgans reviews its earnings assumptions and marks-to-market earnings for stocks under its coverage in the Diversified Financials sector.

For Zip Co, while the broker makes no changes EPS estimates, the target price falls to $0.86 from $1.26 to incorporate the derating of multiples for peers since the last research note. The Hold rating is maintained.

Target price is $0.86 Current Price is $1.21 Difference: minus $0.35 (current price is over target).
If Z1P meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 29% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.24, suggesting upside of 2.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 201.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -44.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 605.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -26.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
AKE Allkem $10.03 Credit Suisse 11.00 14.70 -25.17%
ASX ASX $83.53 Morgans 74.05 73.05 1.37%
CCX City Chic Collective $2.04 Citi 3.00 4.00 -25.00%
CGC Costa Group $2.63 Credit Suisse 2.80 3.70 -24.32%
CGF Challenger $6.97 Credit Suisse 7.30 7.60 -3.95%
CHN Chalice Mining $3.84 Macquarie 7.50 7.30 2.74%
CPU Computershare $24.24 Morgans 27.53 23.97 14.85%
CQR Charter Hall Retail REIT $3.90 Citi 3.98 4.16 -4.33%
DMP Domino's Pizza Enterprises $70.84 Citi 92.95 100.95 -7.92%
FMG Fortescue Metals $16.90 Credit Suisse 17.00 20.00 -15.00%
IAG Insurance Australia Group $4.39 Morgans 5.09 4.99 2.00%
KSL Kina Securities $0.86 Morgans 1.29 1.20 7.50%
MFG Magellan Financial $11.99 Credit Suisse 12.00 12.40 -3.23%
Macquarie 11.50 13.25 -13.21%
Ord Minnett 11.20 13.40 -16.42%
MIN Mineral Resources $46.20 Credit Suisse 71.00 73.00 -2.74%
NHF nib Holdings $7.45 Morgans 7.04 7.14 -1.40%
NVX Novonix $2.19 Morgans 2.98 4.88 -38.93%
PLS Pilbara Minerals $2.29 Credit Suisse 2.40 3.00 -20.00%
QBE QBE Insurance $11.93 Morgans 14.76 14.45 2.15%
QUB Qube Holdings $2.78 UBS 3.10 3.30 -6.06%
SBM St. Barbara $0.91 Macquarie 1.10 1.00 10.00%
SCG Scentre Group $2.75 Citi 2.81 2.55 10.20%
SCP Shopping Centres Australasia Property $2.87 Citi 3.14 1.79 75.42%
SUN Suncorp Group $11.26 Morgans 13.42 13.14 2.13%
TYR Tyro Payments $0.71 Morgans 1.62 2.68 -39.55%
VCX Vicinity Centres $1.90 Citi 1.91 1.90 0.53%
Z1P Zip Co Morgans 0.86 1.26 -31.75%
Summaries
AKE Allkem Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $10.46
ALU Altium Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $29.16
ASX ASX Reduce - Morgans Overnight Price $85.14
BHP BHP Group Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $39.22
CCX City Chic Collective Buy - Citi Overnight Price $2.16
CGC Costa Group Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.88
CGF Challenger Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $6.97
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $6.97
CHN Chalice Mining Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.01
CPU Computershare Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $24.40
CQR Charter Hall Retail REIT Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $3.92
DMP Domino's Pizza Enterprises Buy - Citi Overnight Price $75.51
FMG Fortescue Metals Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $17.30
GDG Generation Development Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.30
IAG Insurance Australia Group Upgrade to Add from Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $4.36
Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.36
KSL Kina Securities Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.85
LNK Link Administration Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $4.02
MFG Magellan Financial Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $11.90
Upgrade to Neutral from Underperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $11.90
Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $11.90
Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $11.90
MIN Mineral Resources Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $46.88
MPL Medibank Private Downgrade to Hold from Add - Morgans Overnight Price $3.30
NHF nib Holdings Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $7.46
NVX Novonix Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $2.46
PLS Pilbara Minerals Neutral - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.35
QBE QBE Insurance Add - Morgans Overnight Price $11.79
QUB Qube Holdings Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.83
RIO Rio Tinto Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $97.43
SBM St. Barbara Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.91
SCG Scentre Group Upgrade to Neutral from Sell - Citi Overnight Price $2.72
SCP Shopping Centres Australasia Property Upgrade to Buy from Sell - Citi Overnight Price $2.83
SLC Superloop Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.74
SUN Suncorp Group Add - Morgans Overnight Price $11.05
TYR Tyro Payments Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.74
VCX Vicinity Centres Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $1.88
WTC WiseTech Global Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $41.97
XRO Xero Downgrade to Accumulate from Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $87.04
Z1P Zip Co Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.21
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

18

2. Accumulate

2

3. Hold

17

4. Reduce

1

5. Sell

2

Monday 11 July 2022

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.