Australian Broker Call

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June 16, 2022

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
CWY - Cleanaway Waste Management Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate Ord Minnett
ING - Inghams Group Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform Credit Suisse
KGN - Kogan.com Downgrade to Sell from Neutral UBS
PSI - PSC Insurance Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
TPW - Temple & Webster Downgrade to Neutral from Buy UBS
ABY  ADORE BEAUTY GROUP LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $0.99

UBS rates ABY as Buy (1) -

UBS believes it is too early to turn positive on the online retail sector as unit economics are generally worse now than before the pandemic and there is a tough macro outlook for discretionary expenditure. Moreover, supply chains remain challenging.

The broker cuts revenue estimates for Adore Beauty by -18-21% over FY23-24 yet considers the outlook less challenging compared with peers. The beauty category is expected to be more resilient in an economic downturn, as witnessed in the GFC.

Buy rating maintained. Target is reduced to $2.10 from $3.40.

Target price is $2.10 Current Price is $0.99 Difference: $1.11
If ABY meets the UBS target it will return approximately 112% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.50.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ALU  ALTIUM

Hardware & Equipment

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Overnight Price: $25.47

Ord Minnett rates ALU as Reinstate Coverage with Buy (1) -

Ord Minnett reinstates coverage of Altium  with a Buy rating and $32 target. The company is undergoing a transition to SaaS licensing and, while this is likely to take some time, the broker notes peers, in taking this path, have delivered valuation upside.

Growth is expected to stem from increased recurring revenue and a platform strategy that will increase the total addressable market as well as moving upmarket into the enterprise segment.

Target price is $32.00 Current Price is $25.47 Difference: $6.53
If ALU meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.73, suggesting upside of 24.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 49.42 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 51.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 53.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 52.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 47.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 59.03 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 43.15.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.7, implying annual growth of 20.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 58.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 39.5.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ASX  ASX LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $76.74

Morgan Stanley rates ASX as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley notes 2022 rate futures indicate just 4% growth on the first 10 trading days, below the 15-18% witnessed in April/May.

Yet, if rate futures volumes continue at around 15% year-on-year this implies around 3% upside risk to the broker's FY23 earnings.

The Underweight rating and target price of $74.00 are retained. Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $74.00 Current Price is $76.74 Difference: minus $2.74 (current price is over target).
If ASX meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $81.39, suggesting upside of 4.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 229.50 cents and EPS of 255.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 258.6, implying annual growth of 4.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 231.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 30.1.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 238.00 cents and EPS of 265.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 276.9, implying annual growth of 7.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 247.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CWY  CLEANAWAY WASTE MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

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Overnight Price: $2.65

Ord Minnett rates CWY as Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate (1) -

The strategy briefing from Cleanaway Waste Management presented no major surprises to Ord Minnett. As landfill levies rise and resources recovery becomes more economically attractive, the company, as the largest participant in the industry, is considered well-placed.

Industry returns continue to move further downstream where barriers to entry become increasingly higher and returns more "infrastructure-like", in the broker's view

Rating is upgraded to Buy from Accumulate and the target reduced to $3.20 from $3.30.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $2.65 Difference: $0.55
If CWY meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.10, suggesting upside of 16.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.2, implying annual growth of 2.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 5.00 cents and EPS of 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 29.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.5, implying annual growth of 31.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HUB  HUB24 LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $20.16

Credit Suisse rates HUB as Outperform (1) -

Hub24 has outlined a strategy to develop its platform and extent its leadership, helping advisers increase efficiency. Credit Suisse supports the strategy, which should further entrench the company in the advice business and drive market share gains.

Yet, macro factors are driving the share price at the moment and lead the broker to downgrade estimates. Outperform maintained. Target is reduced to $38 from $40.

Target price is $38.00 Current Price is $20.16 Difference: $17.84
If HUB meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 88% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $32.18, suggesting upside of 65.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 47.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.0, implying annual growth of 230.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 75.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.2, implying annual growth of 48.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.2.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates HUB as Outperform (1) -

Following Hub24's strategy and business update, Macquarie lowers its estimate for 4Q net flows, to align with (unchanged) funds under administration guidance. 

The broker makes further EPS forecast downgrades beyond FY22 due to weaker markets and lower net flow assumptions. These downgrades are partially offset by higher cash spreads, after management confirmed a shift to a higher cash spread product.

The Outperform rating is unchanged and the target falls to $32.20 from $32.60.

Target price is $32.20 Current Price is $20.16 Difference: $12.04
If HUB meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 60% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $32.18, suggesting upside of 65.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 45.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.89%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 44.60.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.0, implying annual growth of 230.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 27.50 cents and EPS of 67.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.2, implying annual growth of 48.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.2.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates HUB as Add (1) -

At its investor day, Hub24 revealed an unchanged FY24 funds under administration (FUA) target of $83-92bn in two years and confidence in the integration of acquisitions. Morgans still expects material and enduring structural growth.

Nonetheless, 4Q net inflows have been impacted by current market volatility and are expected to be flat on the previous corresponding period. This outcome is lower than consensus expectations, and the broker lowers its target price to $25.80 from $32.10. 

The Add rating is unchanged.

Target price is $25.80 Current Price is $20.16 Difference: $5.64
If HUB meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 28% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $32.18, suggesting upside of 65.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 17.00 cents and EPS of 41.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.17.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 42.0, implying annual growth of 230.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 46.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 21.00 cents and EPS of 55.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.2, implying annual growth of 48.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 31.2.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ING  INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $2.70

Credit Suisse rates ING as Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform (3) -

Rapid and material rises in input costs, particularly feed, mean Inghams Group needs to pass this through in meaningful price increases. Uncertainty over the timing and extent to which the company can achieve price increases warrants caution, Credit Suisse asserts.

Downside risks stemming from price rises being insufficient to fully offset these costs leads the broker to downgrade to Neutral from Outperform. Target is reduced to $2.90 from $4.05.

Target price is $2.90 Current Price is $2.70 Difference: $0.2
If ING meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.13, suggesting upside of 21.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 6.50 cents and EPS of 10.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.8, implying annual growth of -42.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 20.2.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 15.03 cents and EPS of 21.38 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.0, implying annual growth of 71.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

JIN  JUMBO INTERACTIVE LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $13.68

Morgan Stanley rates JIN as Overweight (1) -

Jumbo Interactive has highlighted exceptional unit economics in its retail business. As a result, Morgan Stanley assesses upside in co-marketing agreements of low-marginal cost products such as lottery tickets remains under appreciated.

Fast payback periods and cohort expansion signal to the broker that the company could spend harder on customer acquisition. Moreover, the bull case is not reliant on the US opportunity, which appears further into the future.

Target is $25.50. Overweight. Industry view: In-line.

Target price is $25.50 Current Price is $13.68 Difference: $11.82
If JIN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 86% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $20.45, suggesting upside of 47.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 40.00 cents and EPS of 53.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 51.8, implying annual growth of 20.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 55.70 cents and EPS of 74.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 66.3, implying annual growth of 28.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 49.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.0.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

KGN  KOGAN.COM LIMITED

Retailing

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Overnight Price: $2.94

UBS rates KGN as Downgrade to Sell from Neutral (5) -

UBS believes it is too early to turn positive on the online retail sector as unit economics are generally worse now than before the pandemic and there is a tough macro outlook for discretionary expenditure. Moreover, supply chains remain challenging.

Kogan.com could benefit from a "trade-down" effect, the broker suggests, but concerns exist around inventory levels which in turn will weigh on margins. Rating is downgraded to Sell from Neutral and the target reduced to $2.90 from $4.30.

Target price is $2.90 Current Price is $2.94 Difference: minus $0.04 (current price is over target).
If KGN meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of minus 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 98.00.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.00.

Market Sentiment: -1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NAB  NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $26.33

Ord Minnett rates NAB as Accumulate (2) -

Ord Minnett updates its modelling for National Australia Bank after the completion of the acquisition of Citigroup's Australian consumer business.

Cash net profit forecasts have increased by less than 1% for FY22 and 2% for FY23 and FY24. Accumulate rating and $34.50 target unchanged.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $34.50 Current Price is $26.33 Difference: $8.17
If NAB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.14, suggesting upside of 25.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 150.00 cents and EPS of 215.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.70%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 211.8, implying annual growth of 9.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 148.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 166.00 cents and EPS of 239.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.02.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 235.1, implying annual growth of 11.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 163.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NEC  NINE ENTERTAINMENT CO. HOLDINGS LIMITED

Print, Radio & TV

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Overnight Price: $1.85

Ord Minnett rates NEC as Buy (1) -

Current tightness in the cost of media is expected to relax a little although Ord Minnett suspects it is unlikely to deflate as substantially as in past periods of weakness such as the GFC or the peak of the pandemic.

Even under the worst-case scenario, the broker still envisages significant valuation support at current levels for Nine Entertainment.

The stock is now observed to be trading below the post Fairfax merger average and, excluding Domain ((DHG)), below the historical Seven/Nine average. Buy rating maintained. Target is reduced to $3.50 from $3.65.

This stock is not covered in-house by Ord Minnett. Instead, the broker whitelabels research by JP Morgan.

Target price is $3.50 Current Price is $1.85 Difference: $1.65
If NEC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 89% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.38, suggesting upside of 85.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.49%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.6, implying annual growth of 97.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.3.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 20.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 20.0, implying annual growth of 2.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NXT  NEXTDC LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $9.78

Macquarie rates NXT as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie's prior read on the potential demand for edge data centres did not factor-in industrial use cases. Hence, an increased total adressable market for NextDC is anticipated due to the build of an ecosystem of edge-based data centres in remote regions of Australia.

The Outperform rating and $13.90 target price are maintained.

Target price is $13.90 Current Price is $9.78 Difference: $4.12
If NXT meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 42% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $14.06, suggesting upside of 37.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 543.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 599.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 407.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.8, implying annual growth of 5.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 566.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.9

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ORG  ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $5.82

Macquarie rates ORG as Outperform (1) -

While the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has suspended the electricity market, Macquarie feels this may allow resumption of a normal market, contingent on coal capacity returning.

The analyst sees downside risk to Origin Energy's FY22 guidance (no management update as yet), given uncertainty in energy markets, and as high coal prices continue to weigh upon generation at the Eraring power station.

The broker upgrades Australia Pacific LNG income estimates to reflect strong oil futures pricing and retains its Outperform rating and $7.08 target price.

Target price is $7.08 Current Price is $5.82 Difference: $1.26
If ORG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.50, suggesting upside of 12.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 27.50 cents and EPS of 28.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.73%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 29.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 29.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 34.00 cents and EPS of 46.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 40.9, implying annual growth of 40.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 32.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PSI  PSC INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED

Insurance

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Overnight Price: $4.03

Macquarie rates PSI as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Macquarie resumes coverage of PSC Insurance with an Outperform rating, up from Neutral, due to the defensive characteristics of Insurance Brokers and upside from potential acquisitions. The $4.75 target price is unchanged.

The broker also sees potential upside from the non-binding Memorandum of Understanding to acquire a 50% stake in Tysers UK retail division.

Should the proposed joint venture be executed in the 1H of 2024, the analyst estimates sufficient capacity to secure the remaining 50%.

Target price is $4.75 Current Price is $4.03 Difference: $0.72
If PSI meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 10.80 cents and EPS of 17.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.68%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.64.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 19.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.88.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RBL  REDBUBBLE LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $0.86

UBS rates RBL as Neutral (3) -

UBS believes it is too early to turn positive on the online retail sector as unit economics are generally worse now than before the pandemic and there is a tough macro outlook for discretionary expenditure. Moreover, supply chains remain challenging.

Recent base price increases are likely to mean there is some gross margin support for Redbubble but the broker expects that further shipping and fulfil price increases will weigh on the margin outlook into FY23. Neutral rating and $1.45 target maintained.

Target price is $1.45 Current Price is $0.86 Difference: $0.59
If RBL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 69% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.60, suggesting upside of 86.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of minus 9.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 9.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -7.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of minus 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 10.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -4.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RIC  RIDLEY CORPORATION LIMITED

Agriculture

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Overnight Price: $1.64

Credit Suisse rates RIC as Outperform (1) -

Credit Suisse is increasingly convinced that Ridley Corp will generate strong growth for at least another 2-3 years. Growth is expected to be underpinned by market share gains and asset utilisation.

With minimal corporate debt, the broker considers acquisitions and/or capital management a possibility over the medium term. There are multiple earnings drivers such as initiatives to sell ingredients directly to dairy producers, new products in the packaged business and industry growth in aquaculture.

Outperform maintained. Target is raised to $1.95 from $1.70.

Target price is $1.95 Current Price is $1.64 Difference: $0.31
If RIC meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 19% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 7.02 cents and EPS of 10.85 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.12.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 7.33 cents and EPS of 12.35 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.28.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RIO  RIO TINTO LIMITED

Bulks

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Overnight Price: $110.96

Macquarie rates RIO as Outperform (1) -

Macquarie sees the production of first iron ore at the Gudai-Darri mine in WA as an important advancement for Rio Tinto's Pilbara business. Capacity at the mine is expected to largely replace depletion of some of the older Brockman mines.

The broker sees medium-term upgrade momentum from iron ore prices, with a spot price scenario generating 37% higher earnings in 2023 versus Macquarie's base case. The Outperform rating and $135 target price are unchanged.

Target price is $135.00 Current Price is $110.96 Difference: $24.04
If RIO meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $124.36, suggesting upside of 11.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 1282.09 cents and EPS of 1883.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 11.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.89.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1940.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1323.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 891.70 cents and EPS of 1320.11 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1460.8, implying annual growth of -24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1009.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates RIO as Overweight (1) -

Rio Tinto has delivered first iron ore from Gudai-Darri in the Pilbara. This is in line with expectations and Morgan Stanley points out the mine is important for the future of the Pilbara Blend production.

Ramp up of the mine is anticipated over the remainder of 2022 with full capacity in 2023. Capital costs are now estimated -US$3.1bn, a 19% increase on prior guidance. Iron ore shipment guidance has been maintained at 3220-335mt.

The Overweight rating and target price of $128.50 are retained. Industry view: Attractive.

Target price is $128.50 Current Price is $110.96 Difference: $17.54
If RIO meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $124.36, suggesting upside of 11.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 2000.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1940.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1323.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 11.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.8.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 1397.39 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.94.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1460.8, implying annual growth of -24.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1009.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 9.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RMD  RESMED INC

Medical Equipment & Devices

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Overnight Price: $29.01

Credit Suisse rates RMD as Outperform (1) -

ResMed is acquiring Medifox Dan for -US$1bn, a German provider of software solutions to out-of-hospital care. This expands the company's SaaS platform outside the US. Accretion is forecast to occur in FY24 and Credit Suisse expects 14% revenue growth.

Few synergies are expected with the sleep business but the broker expects the similarity with MatrixCare provides an opportunity for economies of scale in the design of software solutions and data analytics. Outperform rating and $38.50 target maintained.

Target price is $38.50 Current Price is $29.01 Difference: $9.49
If RMD meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 33% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.06, suggesting upside of 21.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 23.34 cents and EPS of 78.01 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.0.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 24.43 cents and EPS of 92.51 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 31.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 99.7, implying annual growth of 21.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates RMD as Outperform (1) -

In the absence of greater detail, Macquarie sees only modest EPS accretion from ResMed's acquisition of MediFox Dan for -US$1bn, though there is potential for synergy benefits.

Separately, the broker anticipates robust earnings growth over the medium-longer term and maintains its Outperform rating and $36.50 target price.

Target price is $36.50 Current Price is $29.01 Difference: $7.49
If RMD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 26% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.06, suggesting upside of 21.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 23.47 cents and EPS of 78.93 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.0.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 25.12 cents and EPS of 102.54 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.29.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 99.7, implying annual growth of 21.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgans rates RMD as Add (1) -

Morgans increases its FY23-24 earnings forecast for ResMed by up to 1% on incorporation of the -US$1bn Medifox Dan acquisition, though FY22 forecast earnings decline by -2.7% on ongoing supply chain pressures.

German-based Medifox Dan is an out-of-hospital software provider whose offering complements that of ResMed's, believes the analyst. The acquisition is expected to be EPS accretive and expands the company's footprint into the EU.

The target price falls to $37.95 from $39.23. Add.

Target price is $37.95 Current Price is $29.01 Difference: $8.94
If RMD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 31% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $35.06, suggesting upside of 21.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 22.65 cents and EPS of 78.38 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.01.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 82.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 24.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 35.0.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 24.85 cents and EPS of 103.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.86%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 99.7, implying annual growth of 21.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TGR  TASSAL GROUP LIMITED

Aquaculture

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Overnight Price: $3.45

Credit Suisse rates TGR as Outperform (1) -

Tassal Group is benefiting from rising salmon sales prices and improving cash flows. Credit Suisse points out meaningful price increases have already occurred which should be more than enough to offset input price pressures.

The broker makes positive revisions to estimates for earnings per share while slightly reducing volume estimates in anticipation of the company maximising the supply/demand price dynamics. Outperform retained. Target rises to $4.00 from $3.90.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.45 Difference: $0.55
If TGR meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 16.50 cents and EPS of 27.66 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.78%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.47.

Forecast for FY23:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 17.50 cents and EPS of 31.66 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.90.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TPW  TEMPLE & WEBSTER GROUP LIMITED

Furniture & Renovation

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Overnight Price: $3.47

UBS rates TPW as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

UBS believes it is too early to turn positive on the online retail sector as unit economics are generally worse now than before the pandemic and there is a tough macro outlook for discretionary expenditure. Moreover, supply chains remain challenging.

The broker envisages downside risk to medium-term earnings expectations for Temple & Webster and downgrades to Neutral from Buy. Target is reduced to $4.25 from $8.20.

Target price is $4.25 Current Price is $3.47 Difference: $0.78
If TPW meets the UBS target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $8.14, suggesting upside of 137.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 6.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 57.83.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 5.7, implying annual growth of -50.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 60.0.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 49.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.4, implying annual growth of 12.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 53.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

UNI  UNIVERSAL STORE HOLDINGS LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $3.37

Morgans rates UNI as Add (1) -

A trading update by Universal Store confirmed Morgans expectations though the broker adopts a cautious stance and reduces its FY23 earnings (EBIT) forecast by -13% due to lower sales growth and higher cost assumptions.

While the analyst sees a compelling growth strategy, the company is subject to sliding consumer confidence and ongoing cost pressures, like all discretionary retailers. The multiples-based target price falls to $5.60 from $8.50 and the Add rating is maintained.

Target price is $5.60 Current Price is $3.37 Difference: $2.23
If UNI meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 66% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.21, suggesting upside of 50.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 20.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.7, implying annual growth of -16.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.31%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.8, implying annual growth of 43.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates UNI as Buy (1) -

The trading update signalled second half sales to date were up 6.9%, with like-for-like down -2.8% and online up 27.3%.

FY22 sales guidance implies growth of 4.2-6.4% in the second half on the back of reduced covid-related restrictions and improved foot traffic.

The significant opportunity, UBS notes, is in the store roll-out, particularly NSW and Victoria. Buy rating retained. Target is reduced to $5.00 from $7.75.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $3.37 Difference: $1.63
If UNI meets the UBS target it will return approximately 48% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.21, suggesting upside of 50.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

UBS forecasts a full year FY22 EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 27.7, implying annual growth of -16.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.5.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 EPS of 35.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.63.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 39.8, implying annual growth of 43.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 27.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WDS  WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $31.97

Ord Minnett rates WDS as Resume Coverage with Buy (1) -

Woodside Energy's acquisition of BHP Petroleum assets provides a number of benefits, Ord Minnett observes, including materially increased scale and global relevance.

The broker resumes coverage with a Buy rating and $37 target, incorporating the new assets into its base case. The net result is an 83% increase in net profit estimates for 2022 and 92% for 2023.

The broker also notes Woodside has been the largest beneficiary of higher spot prices among Australian E&P companies, with 20-25% of LNG production sold into index prices.

Target price is $37.00 Current Price is $31.97 Difference: $5.03
If WDS meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $33.49, suggesting upside of 3.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY22:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 233.36 cents and EPS of 425.53 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 7.51.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 455.3, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 344.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.1.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 199.04 cents and EPS of 380.23 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.23%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 348.8, implying annual growth of -23.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 268.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.2.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WOW  WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

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Overnight Price: $33.30

Macquarie rates WOW as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie points out supermarkets often struggle to take margin during economic disruption and maintains its Neutral rating and $36.40 price target for Woolworths Group. 

The broker's view is supported by the company's announcement of a freeze on prices on everyday essentials till the end of 2022, and the recent announcement by the Fair Work Commission of a pending 5.2% minimum wage increase.

Target price is $36.40 Current Price is $33.30 Difference: $3.1
If WOW meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $37.82, suggesting upside of 14.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY22:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY22 dividend of 82.50 cents and EPS of 119.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 120.4, implying annual growth of -27.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 87.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.4.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 86.30 cents and EPS of 126.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 138.9, implying annual growth of 15.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 98.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 23.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ABY Adore Beauty $1.05 UBS 2.10 3.40 -38.24%
ALU Altium $25.54 Ord Minnett 32.00 31.15 2.73%
CWY Cleanaway Waste Management $2.65 Ord Minnett 3.20 3.30 -3.03%
HUB Hub24 $19.41 Credit Suisse 38.00 39.00 -2.56%
Macquarie 32.20 32.60 -1.23%
Morgans 25.80 32.85 -21.46%
ING Inghams Group $2.58 Credit Suisse 2.90 4.05 -28.40%
KGN Kogan.com $2.92 UBS 2.90 4.30 -32.56%
NEC Nine Entertainment $1.82 Ord Minnett 3.50 3.65 -4.11%
RIC Ridley Corp $1.79 Credit Suisse 1.95 1.70 14.71%
RMD ResMed $28.81 Macquarie 36.50 37.50 -2.67%
Morgans 37.95 39.23 -3.26%
TGR Tassal Group $3.46 Credit Suisse 4.00 3.90 2.56%
TPW Temple & Webster $3.42 UBS 4.25 8.20 -48.17%
UNI Universal Store $3.45 Morgans 5.60 8.50 -34.12%
UBS 5.00 7.75 -35.48%
WDS Woodside Energy $32.24 Ord Minnett 37.00 N/A -
WOW Woolworths Group $33.03 Macquarie 36.40 40.50 -10.12%
Summaries
ABY Adore Beauty Buy - UBS Overnight Price $0.99
ALU Altium Reinstate Coverage with Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $25.47
ASX ASX Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $76.74
CWY Cleanaway Waste Management Upgrade to Buy from Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $2.65
HUB Hub24 Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $20.16
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $20.16
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $20.16
ING Inghams Group Downgrade to Neutral from Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $2.70
JIN Jumbo Interactive Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $13.68
KGN Kogan.com Downgrade to Sell from Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $2.94
NAB National Australia Bank Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $26.33
NEC Nine Entertainment Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $1.85
NXT NextDC Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.78
ORG Origin Energy Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.82
PSI PSC Insurance Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $4.03
RBL Redbubble Neutral - UBS Overnight Price $0.86
RIC Ridley Corp Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $1.64
RIO Rio Tinto Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $110.96
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $110.96
RMD ResMed Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $29.01
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $29.01
Add - Morgans Overnight Price $29.01
TGR Tassal Group Outperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $3.45
TPW Temple & Webster Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.47
UNI Universal Store Add - Morgans Overnight Price $3.37
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $3.37
WDS Woodside Energy Resume Coverage with Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $31.97
WOW Woolworths Group Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $33.30
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

21

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

4

5. Sell

2

Thursday 16 June 2022

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.