Australian Broker Call

July 12, 2017

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1)

Last Updated: 10:45 AM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

AJD  ASIA PACIFIC DATA CENTRE GROUP

REITs

Overnight Price: $1.79

Morgans rates AJD as Hold (3) -

360 Capital, 19.9% owner of Asia Pacific, a data centre REIT with its sole tenant being NextDC ((NXT)), is seeking to re-internalise the REIT, pay a capital distribution of 45c and implement a growth strategy. Asia Pacific has revealed 360 is not the only suitor to have approached.

The broker retains Hold with potential M&A being a near term catalyst. Target rises to $1.66 from $1.54.

Target price is $1.66 Current Price is $1.79 Difference: minus $0.13 (current price is over target).
If AJD meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 9.70 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.90.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 9.90 cents and EPS of 10.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.53%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.90.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BEN  BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED

Banks

Overnight Price: $11.37

Deutsche Bank rates BEN as Hold (3) -

Deutsche Bank analysts have lifted forecasts for regional lenders following yet another round of mortgage repricing. While the regionals have larger exposures to home loans than the majors, the analysts highlight changes made to forecasts have remained modest as they also lowered credit growth assumptions.

The analysts continue to see challenges ahead for the regionals. Their preference remains with the Majors. Hold rating retained, price target lifts by 30c to $10.70.

Target price is $10.70 Current Price is $11.37 Difference: minus $0.67 (current price is over target).
If BEN meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 6% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $11.12, suggesting downside of -2.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 68.00 cents and EPS of 82.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 84.7, implying annual growth of -11.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 68.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 68.00 cents and EPS of 88.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 88.6, implying annual growth of 4.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 68.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.8.

Market Sentiment: -0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BGA  BEGA CHEESE LIMITED

Dairy

Overnight Price: $6.76

Morgans rates BGA as Hold (3) -

Having acquired Mondelez' grocery business, which includes Vegemite, Bonox and other products including peanut butter and processed cheese, along with a processing facility in Port Melbourne, Bega has diversified its offering with a highly accretive deal, the broker suggests.

The price is fairly full but the deal shifts some risk away from the volatile and competitive dairy-based market, provides greater earnings stability and cash flow upside, as well as enhancing corporate appeal, the broker believes.

Target rises to $6.15 from $4.90. Hold retained.

Target price is $6.15 Current Price is $6.76 Difference: minus $0.61 (current price is over target).
If BGA meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 10.00 cents and EPS of 19.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.48%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 35.58.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 29.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.22%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 23.31.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BOQ  BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED

Banks

Overnight Price: $11.95

Deutsche Bank rates BOQ as Hold (3) -

Deutsche Bank analysts have lifted forecasts for regional lenders following yet another round of mortgage repricing. While the regionals have larger exposures to home loans than the majors, the analysts highlight changes made to forecasts have remained modest as they also lowered credit growth assumptions.

The analysts continue to see challenges ahead for the regionals. Their preference remains with the Majors. Hold rating retained, price target lifts by 50c to $11.60.

Target price is $11.60 Current Price is $11.95 Difference: minus $0.35 (current price is over target).
If BOQ meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $11.66, suggesting downside of -2.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in August.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 88.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.58.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 90.0, implying annual growth of 4.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 75.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 76.00 cents and EPS of 92.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.36%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.99.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 93.1, implying annual growth of 3.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 75.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

Overnight Price: $132.46

UPDATED

Citi rates CSL as Buy (1) -

Competition in the flu vaccine market is heating up, suggest analysts at Citi. They note Sanofi, the leading flu vaccine manufacturer worldwide, has announced the acquisition of privately held vaccine company Protein Sciences. The deal will expand Sanofi's market positioning by adding an eggfree QIV to its portfolio, suggests Citi.

The analysts seem to have little doubt Sanofi will be able to leverage its commercial distribution network with the newly acquired "Flublok" from FY19 onwards.

In addition, the analysts note Sanofi's Fluzone QIV High-Dose (egg-based) is currently by far the best-selling "premium" flu vaccine. CSL's Fluad, in comparison, has had limited traction to date. Citi has only benign expectations for CSL's Seqirus, expecting the division to be loss-making in FY18 and to only contribute 1% to group profits by FY20.

With regards to the upcoming flu season, Citi reports supply estimates available from major suppliers indicate total supply to be in the range of 156-161m doses, higher than last year’s supply of 146m doses.

Target price is $148.00 Current Price is $132.46 Difference: $15.54
If CSL meets the Citi target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $139.03, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Citi forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 178.97 cents and EPS of 398.91 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 394.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.0.

Forecast for FY18:

Citi forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 188.63 cents and EPS of 514.21 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 466.8, implying annual growth of 18.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 209.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates CSL as Buy (1) -

There appears to be some confusion about the real rate of growth in the US plasma market, with UBS analysts pointing out there is very little plasma available on spot market with contracted volumes fully allocated.

In addition, the analysts note Shire in the USA has communicated it will pursue a less capital intense 'brand & price' strategy, rather than resume a volume based plasma strategy. This, the analysts point out, translates into long term structural advantage to the likes of CSL and Grifols.

All in all, it appears "tight supply, modest price gains" best summarises the situation for plasma fractionating at the moment. Buy rating and $145 price target retained.

Target price is $145.00 Current Price is $132.46 Difference: $12.54
If CSL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $139.03, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

UBS forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 171.02 cents and EPS of 408.33 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 32.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 394.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 179.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.0.

Forecast for FY18:

UBS forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 178.97 cents and EPS of 434.84 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 30.46.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 466.8, implying annual growth of 18.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 209.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EGH  EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

Overnight Price: $0.37

Morgans rates EGH as Add (1) -

Eureka has ended an otherwise underwhelming FY with the purchase of two villages in Qld last month. The broker notes the stock has been trading around book value over the last few months given delay in gaining DA approval for the Terranora project.

The slow pace of acquisitions has led the broker to decrease its assumed numbers, leading to a target price cut to 49c from 72c. Add retained.

Target price is $0.49 Current Price is $0.37 Difference: $0.125
If EGH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 34% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.59.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 3.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.14.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GDF  GARDA DIVERSIFIED PROPERTY FUND

REITs

Overnight Price: $1.15

Morgans rates GDF as Add (1) -

Garda has sold one asset and acquired two more, the result of which is an improvement of the fund's weighted averaged lease expiry (WALE) profile, the broker notes. Following a revaluation of the existing portfolio, net tangible assets rise to $1.21ps from $1.11.

Target rises to $1.23 from $1.17 and Add retained, the broker noting Garda offers exposure to east coast industrial property and an attractive yield, paid quarterly.

Target price is $1.23 Current Price is $1.15 Difference: $0.08
If GDF meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 9.40 cents and EPS of 10.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.27.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 9.40 cents and EPS of 9.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.73.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

GOZ  GROWTHPOINT PROPERTIES AUSTRALIA

Infra & Property Developers

Overnight Price: $3.15

Macquarie rates GOZ as Neutral (3) -

Growthpoint has acquired an 18.2% stake in Industria REIT from the 360 Capital Group, fulfilling the broker's expectations of M&A increasing in the sector given challenging conditions and little opportunity for organic growth. Growthpoint can go to 100% and stay within its gearing target, the broker notes.

The broker suspects it would nevertheless undertake a raising to maintain balance sheet flexibility. Given this risk the broker retains Neutral and a $3.05 target, noting that while Growthpoint is relatively defensive and high-yielding, it is also relatively expensive.

Target price is $3.05 Current Price is $3.15 Difference: minus $0.1 (current price is over target).
If GOZ meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 21.50 cents and EPS of 23.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.35.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 20.90 cents and EPS of 22.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.63%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.76.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IDR  INDUSTRIA REIT

REITs

Overnight Price: $2.26

Macquarie rates IDR as Neutral (3) -

Growthpoint has acquired an 18.2% stake in Industria REIT from the 360 Capital Group, fulfilling the broker's expectations of M&A increasing in the sector given challenging conditions and little opportunity for organic growth. Growthpoint can go to 100% and stay within its gearing target, the broker notes.

The broker suggests Growthpoint may need to pay a premium to go to full takeover. In the meantime, positive momentum on leasing is lifting Industria's asset valuations but with key expiries ahead, occupancy risk remains a concern. Neutral and $2.26 target retained.

Target price is $2.26 Current Price is $2.26 Difference: $0
If IDR meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.24, suggesting downside of -3.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 16.00 cents and EPS of 15.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.1, implying annual growth of -32.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.6.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 16.20 cents and EPS of 15.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.2, implying annual growth of 0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MLX  METALS X LIMITED

Tin

Overnight Price: $0.74

UPDATED

Macquarie rates MLX as Outperform (1) -

Test drilling at Nifty has confirmed extended mineralisation to the east and west and a new reserve estimate will be released in September. The broker had always assumed material reserve upside and has so far priced in a doubling for a 7-year mine life.

Further drilling success would provide for further upside, the broker notes. Outperform and $1 target retained for Metals X.

Target price is $1.00 Current Price is $0.74 Difference: $0.26
If MLX meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 35% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 82.22.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 5.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.35%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.23.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MTS  METCASH LIMITED

Food, Beverages & Tobacco

Overnight Price: $2.47

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates MTS as Hold (3) -

Metcash has found a new CEO, Jeff Adams. Deutsche Bank analysts note Adams had been a consultant since leaving Tesco in 2015. Before that he had a number of senior roles with Tesco for over 20 years.

Strictly taken, Metcash is a wholesaler and not a retailer, point out the analysts. But they add that in the increasingly competitive environment, an experienced leader with deep food retail experience is required, and Adams seems to fit the profile.

Two risks are pointed out by the analysts: the existing CEO of Supermarkets who has done a good job may become disenfranchised after being overlooked; plus there may be increased risk of incremental price investment which could impact on margins. Hold rating and $2.30 price target unchanged.

Target price is $2.30 Current Price is $2.47 Difference: minus $0.17 (current price is over target).
If MTS meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $2.39, suggesting downside of -2.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in April.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 21.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.76.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Forecast for FY19:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 22.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.5, implying annual growth of 6.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates MTS as Outperform (1) -

The broker applauds the appointment of a very experienced former Tesco executive as the new Metcash CEO from September.

The company has substantially turned the ship around, the broker notes, leaving a more simplified business, lower costs and a balance sheet in good shape. There is enough free cash flow to provide for debt reduction and capital management and/or investment opportunities, which will now be up to the new guy.

Outperform and $2.60 target retained.

Target price is $2.60 Current Price is $2.47 Difference: $0.13
If MTS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.39, suggesting downside of -2.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in April.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 21.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.26%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.1, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Forecast for FY19:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY19 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 23.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.67%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.5, implying annual growth of 6.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PTM  PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

Overnight Price: $5.20

UPDATED

Credit Suisse rates PTM as Underperform (5) -

Platinum had a solid June in terms of market outperformance, but while the pace of outflows seen in May slowed in June, the result were still outflows, the broker notes. Medium term fund performance remains weak.

Persistent outflows continue to present downside risk to the broker's earnings forecasts. The broker sees the recent share price rally as unjustified and retains Underperform and a $4.40 target.

Target price is $4.40 Current Price is $5.20 Difference: minus $0.8 (current price is over target).
If PTM meets the Credit Suisse target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $4.06, suggesting downside of -20.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 30.00 cents and EPS of 32.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 30.9, implying annual growth of -9.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 28.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.5.

Forecast for FY18:

Credit Suisse forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 28.00 cents and EPS of 28.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.38%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.4, implying annual growth of -14.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 25.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.3.

Market Sentiment: -1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

RSG  RESOLUTE MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

Overnight Price: $1.11

UPDATED

Macquarie rates RSG as Outperform (1) -

Results from test drilling at Resolute's Syama project in Mali continue to point to mine extensions, including the potential for mining underground and of nearby satellites.

The broker believes an extension to mine life is highly likely or, given various possibilities, a higher grade ore mix. No change to valuation as yet. Outperform and $1.80 target retained.

Target price is $1.80 Current Price is $1.11 Difference: $0.695
If RSG meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 63% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.87, suggesting upside of 62.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 1.70 cents and EPS of 19.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.79.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.1.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 1.40 cents and EPS of 13.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.6, implying annual growth of -14.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.9.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates RSG as Overweight (1) -

It appears analysts at Morgan Stanley are getting a little excited about drilling results reported by Resolute Mining. On their observation, increased exploration spend in FY17 is now delivering results in multiple locations.

Reported intercepts may allow satellite ore bodies to improve the head grade processed at Syama, suggest the analysts, adding this is a potential upside but they will need more data to gauge fully.

Also, Morgan Stanley believes the sub-3x EV/EBITDA the shares are currently trading at looks "compelling" for a company with a 12-year mine life. Overweight rating retained. Attractive sector view. Target unchanged at $1.90.

Target price is $1.90 Current Price is $1.11 Difference: $0.795
If RSG meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 72% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.87, suggesting upside of 62.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 26.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.90%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 22.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.1.

Forecast for FY18:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 23.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.81%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 4.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 19.6, implying annual growth of -14.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 5.9.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SPO  SPOTLESS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

Overnight Price: $1.15

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates SPO as Sell (5) -

Spotless has announced four contract wins and renewals for a yearly value of $250m in total. However, the analysts point out it's only one new contract win, really, as the other three are simply renewals or extensions.

As such, the announcement only represents a low level of new incremental revenue. The analysts point out achieving FY18 guidance will require new contracts to be won, real wins, not more extensions and renewals.

The analysts have made minor changes to their estimates, also adjusting working capital assumptions and lowering FY17 net debt forecast based on the company's market update provided. Target remains at 88c while the Sell rating remains unchanged as well.

Target price is $0.88 Current Price is $1.15 Difference: minus $0.27 (current price is over target).
If SPO meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $0.95, suggesting downside of -17.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 16.43.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -1.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 8.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.37.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 3.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.4.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

TPM  TPG TELECOM LIMITED

Telecommunication

Overnight Price: $5.55

Macquarie rates TPM as Neutral (3) -

Macquarie had been advising on TPG's spectrum deal but research restriction has now been lifted. The broker believes TPG's ambitions to become the fourth mobile operator could prove a value accretion strategy in the longer term but medium term, downside risk factors continue to weigh on the share price.

Until execution risk subsides and balance sheet demands become clearer, the broker is sticking to a prior Neutral rating. The cost of the move cuts into earnings forecasts, hence target falls to $6.15 from a previous $7.80 (March).

Target price is $6.15 Current Price is $5.55 Difference: $0.6
If TPM meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $6.82, suggesting upside of 23.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY17:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 15.70 cents and EPS of 46.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 46.8, implying annual growth of 19.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 15.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.8.

Forecast for FY18:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 38.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.34%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.53.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.3, implying annual growth of -20.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

VOC  VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED

Telecommunication

Overnight Price: $3.54

UPDATED

Deutsche Bank rates VOC as Hold (3) -

The battle is on with Affinity Equity Partners having matched KKR's non-binding take-over proposal at $3.50 per share for 100% of Vocus. The new suitor has been granted due diligence on a non-exclusive basis, similar to KKR.

Looking back at calculations and estimates made earlier, Deutsche Bank remains of the view both private equity suitors must be assuming higher than consensus forecasts and/or more asset divestments than just the data centres.

The analysts also point out, given both proposals are subject to numerous conditions, there is still a reasonable level of risk to an acceptable offer being made for Vocus. Hold rating and $3.50 price target retained.

Target price is $3.50 Current Price is $3.54 Difference: minus $0.04 (current price is over target).
If VOC meets the Deutsche Bank target it will return approximately minus 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.29, suggesting downside of -6.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY17:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY17 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 27.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 24.6, implying annual growth of 30.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.3.

Forecast for FY18:

Deutsche Bank forecasts a full year FY18 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 18.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.85%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.67.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 21.6, implying annual growth of -12.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.3.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Summaries
AJD - ASIA PACIFIC DATA CENTRE Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.79
BEN - BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $11.37
BGA - BEGA CHEESE Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $6.76
BOQ - BANK OF QUEENSLAND Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $11.95
CSL - CSL Buy - Citi Overnight Price $132.46
Buy - UBS Overnight Price $132.46
EGH - EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS Add - Morgans Overnight Price $0.37
GDF - GARDA DIV PROP FUND Add - Morgans Overnight Price $1.15
GOZ - GROWTHPOINT PROP Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.15
IDR - INDUSTRIA REIT Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.26
MLX - METALS X Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.74
MTS - METCASH Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $2.47
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.47
PTM - PLATINUM Underperform - Credit Suisse Overnight Price $5.20
RSG - RESOLUTE MINING Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.11
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $1.11
SPO - SPOTLESS Sell - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $1.15
TPM - TPG TELECOM Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $5.55
VOC - VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS Hold - Deutsche Bank Overnight Price $3.54
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

8

3. Hold

9

5. Sell

2

Wednesday 12 July 2017

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The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.