Australian Broker Call

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June 06, 2023

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
REA - REA Group Downgrade to Neutral from Buy Citi
A4N  ALPHA HPA LIMITED

Aluminium, Bauxite & Alumina

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Overnight Price: $1.02

Bell Potter rates A4N as Speculative Buy (1) -

Alpha HPA has a non-binding letter of intent for a larger-scale roll-out of Famatec's synthetic sapphire growth technology. Bell Potter notes the partnership could mean the initial 100 unit agreement is expanded by an additional 1000 units at an Australian-based facility.

The two companies will also work on research and market outreach activity. A successful roll-out to 1000 units could mean up to one third of Alpha HPA's production is dedicated to sapphire production with the potential for a significant lift in project margins, Bell Potter adds.

Speculative Buy rating maintained. Target price rises to $1.53 from $1.31.

Target price is $1.53 Current Price is $1.02 Difference: $0.51
If A4N meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 50% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 78.46.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 113.33.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ADA  ADACEL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $0.59

Bell Potter rates ADA as Buy (1) -

Adacel Technologies has gained two new contracts but has downgraded FY23 guidance as one of the contracts was awarded later than expected, and to reflect a delay in finalising a renewal.

Bell Potter reduces its FY23 pre-tax profit forecast by -53%, to be consistent with the top end of the revised guidance range. The broker also downgrades FY24 and FY25 forecasts by -12% and -13%, respectively, taking a conservative standpoint.

The company has indicated there is another five material contracts it had is tendered for that should be decided within a year. Buy rating maintained. Target price is reduced to $0.80 from $0.85.

Target price is $0.80 Current Price is $0.59 Difference: $0.21
If ADA meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 36% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 4.45 cents and EPS of 1.63 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.17.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 3.50 cents and EPS of 2.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 20.34.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AKE  ALLKEM LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $15.09

Morgans rates AKE as Hold (3) -

Unless demand growth accelerates rapidly, lithium prices will struggle and may soften further as production capacity increases in FY24, suggests Morgans. It's noted spot prices for lithium chemicals have stabilised after rebounding. 

Morgans expects prices will continue to progressively moderate downwards towards the broker's long-term price assumptions.

For Allkem, the analysts believe its merger will proceed and cost synergies will improve overall value. It's thought the application of the Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) technology to the company's assets may take time but offers promise.

Hold rating and $14.40 target price are unchanged.

Target price is $14.40 Current Price is $15.09 Difference: minus $0.69 (current price is over target).
If AKE meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $16.93, suggesting upside of 11.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 67.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 81.2, implying annual growth of 14.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 18.7.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 101.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 113.3, implying annual growth of 39.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ARB  ARB CORPORATION LIMITED

Automobiles & Components

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Overnight Price: $29.21

Ord Minnett rates ARB as Buy (1) -

The Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries reported new vehicle sales increased 12% in May. This represents the strongest month of sales so far in 2023 and follows a lacklustre period.

For ARB Corp, new vehicle sales in key segments (SUVs and LCVs) increased at double-digit rates and Ord Minnett believes this will be positive for the order book, albeit staff shortages in the national network continue to present challenges in meeting demand.

Buy rating and $34 target price maintained.

Target price is $34.00 Current Price is $29.21 Difference: $4.79
If ARB meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $31.64, suggesting upside of 11.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 63.50 cents and EPS of 119.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 118.1, implying annual growth of -21.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 63.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.1.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 67.00 cents and EPS of 138.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.04.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 130.8, implying annual growth of 10.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 69.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BGA  BEGA CHEESE LIMITED

Dairy

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Overnight Price: $3.59

Bell Potter rates BGA as Buy (1) -

Bell Potter reviews the opening farmgate agreements across all geographies. Bega Cheese has 12 farmgate agreements and the broker estimates that key regions have experienced a weighted average increase of 3% year-on-year in farmgate rates.

Forecasts are updated to reflect the changes to commodity prices although there are no material net changes, a reflection of the broker's expectations for lower export premiums.

Buy rating retained. Target price is $4.10.

Target price is $4.10 Current Price is $3.59 Difference: $0.51
If BGA meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.79, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 7.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.51%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 46.03.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.5, implying annual growth of 6.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 9.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 41.8.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 16.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.06%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.6, implying annual growth of 83.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 11.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BVS  BRAVURA SOLUTIONS LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $0.46

Macquarie rates BVS as Neutral (3) -

In February, Bravura Solutions received directions to pause work from two potential major clients, which was the main driver of a -$30m FY23 revenue guidance downgrade. Bravura was expecting an update 6-8 weeks post its result, but more than 12 weeks have passed.

Macquarie suggests it's unlikely these prospective new clients will be signing long-term contracts. Management previously confirmed it had additional cost levers at its disposal in the event these contracts didn't materialise.

The broker has returned from restriction with a Neutral rating, the company's improved balance sheet and cost-out program being offset by an uncertain revenue outlook. Target price 48c.

Target price is $0.48 Current Price is $0.46 Difference: $0.025
If BVS meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 6.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 6.59.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 35.00.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CNU  CHORUS LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $7.83

Ord Minnett rates CNU as Lighten (4) -

Chorus has unveiled a new operating model and, under the reorganisation, there will be a new infrastructure unit, established to leverage assets and generate new revenue. Ord Minnett presumes this business will begin with the legacy copper network.

Yet these earnings are on a structural decline and, as withdrawal from the copper network continues, management is likely to focus on leveraging fibre.

A third unit, named fibre frontier, will canvass ways to extend the fibre network into regional and rural areas. Ord Minnett retains a Lighten rating and $7 target price.

Target price is $7.00 Current Price is $7.83 Difference: minus $0.83 (current price is over target).
If CNU meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 39.00 cents and EPS of 5.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.98%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 137.37.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 43.60 cents and EPS of 11.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 66.92.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CSL  CSL LIMITED

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $310.73

UBS rates CSL as Buy (1) -

UBS expects a neutral to modestly positive share price reaction to news CSL has received FDA approval for an update to the US
label for high-dose IV iron product Injectafer, sold by American Regent.

The update now includes treatment of iron deficiency anemia in patients with NYHA class II/III heart failure.

The broker's Buy rating and $350 target price are retained.

Target price is $350.00 Current Price is $310.73 Difference: $39.27
If CSL meets the UBS target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $339.32, suggesting upside of 10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 361.70 cents and EPS of 843.46 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.16%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.84.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 833.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 380.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 36.9.

Forecast for FY24:

UBS forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 398.76 cents and EPS of 1107.32 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.06.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1064.0, implying annual growth of 27.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 477.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CVN  CARNARVON ENERGY LIMITED

Crude Oil

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Overnight Price: $0.13

Macquarie rates CVN as Neutral (3) -

Santos' decision to delay a final investment decision on Dorado last year, of which Carnarvon Energy owns 10%, was the right one in Macquarie's view, given the types of cost and supply chain risks it would have needed to take on.

The broker has delay its assumed Dorado final investment decision to the December quarter 2024, with Santos now less incentivised to accelerate the project.

A key change for Carnarvon is a reduction to FY26 forecast earnings from 2.99cps profit to -0.64cps loss, driven by a delay in the Dorado start-up to late-2027. Neutral rating retained, target price falls to 14c from 16c.

Target price is $0.14 Current Price is $0.13 Difference: $0.01
If CVN meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 8% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 32.50.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 0.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 21.67.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CXO  CORE LITHIUM LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $1.11

Morgans rates CXO as Hold (3) -

Unless demand growth accelerates rapidly, lithium prices will struggle for gains and may soften further as production capacity increases in FY24, suggests Morgans. It's noted spot prices for lithium chemicals have stabilised after rebounding. 

Morgans expects prices will continue to progressively moderate downwards towards the broker's long-term price assumptions.

For Core Lithium, the analysts believe the dispersed nature of its deposits will make it a higher-cost operation than its peers. The company is also considered an unlikely takeover target given its small resource.

Hold rating is unchanged. Target price climbs to $1.05 from $1.00.

Target price is $1.05 Current Price is $1.11 Difference: minus $0.055 (current price is over target).
If CXO meets the Morgans target it will return approximately minus 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.03, suggesting downside of -4.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 552.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 0.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 180.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 11.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 12.5, implying annual growth of 1983.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DHG  DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Real Estate

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Overnight Price: $3.55

Citi rates DHG as Buy (1) -

Clearance rates continue to be strong, house prices have returned to growth and lending commitments experienced a month-on-month improvement in April, observes Citi.

Despite these improvements, the broker perceives downside risk to FY23 margin guidance for Domain Holdings Australia, though concedes consensus has already adjusted for this outcome.

The broker expects yield growth will be the key driver of Residential depth revenue, and forecasts 19% year-on-year growth for the company.

While the analysts perceive risk to the listings outlook in 2023 from additional interest rate rises, the company has options to reduce the cost base which could offset any revenue headwinds in FY24.

Buy rating and $4 target price are retained on an attractive valuation.

Target price is $4.00 Current Price is $3.55 Difference: $0.45
If DHG meets the Citi target it will return approximately 13% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.38, suggesting upside of 0.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 5.10 cents and EPS of 6.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 55.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.6, implying annual growth of 11.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 50.8.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 6.30 cents and EPS of 10.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.77%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 33.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.9, implying annual growth of 50.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 5.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 33.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EVN  EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $3.64

Citi rates EVN as Sell (5) -

Shares of Evolution Mining outperformed the Gold Index by 4% yesterday following the company's investor day. Citi believes mine life extensions at Ernest Henry and Mungari outweighed negative sentiment regarding medium-term production downgrades.

Management's FY24 outlook was broadly in line with expectations, note the analysts. Guidance is for 770kozpa at an all-in sustaining cost (ASIC) of $1370/oz with about 50ktpa copper assuming $12,500/t.

Sustaining capex expectations of roughly $190-$230m were unchanged.

Sell rating and $3.10 target price are retained. Management will continue to focus on margin over volumes, and its strategy of buying unloved assets, observes Citi.

Target price is $3.10 Current Price is $3.64 Difference: minus $0.54 (current price is over target).
If EVN meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.23, suggesting downside of -7.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 13.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.38.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.4, implying annual growth of -18.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 28.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.86.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.6, implying annual growth of 84.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Morgan Stanley rates EVN as Overweight (1) -

Morgan Stanley notes Evolution Mining's update on the Mungari expansion is within its bull case scenario. The company has confirmed a capital investment of $250m and has restructured its debt, providing flexibility.

The pre-feasibility on Ernest Henry has also outlined an increase in the mine's gold reserve ounces and its mine life to 2040, pegging capital expenditure of roughly $450-500m, the majority of which will fall in FY27-28.

Target price is $3.75. Overweight rating is unchanged. Industry view: Attractive. 

Target price is $3.75 Current Price is $3.64 Difference: $0.11
If EVN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.23, suggesting downside of -7.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.55%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.4, implying annual growth of -18.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 39.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.33.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.6, implying annual growth of 84.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


UBS rates EVN as Sell (5) -

Evolution Mining's investor day update provided better all-in sustaining cost (AISC) outcomes than UBS was expecting.

Ernest Henry's reserves rose more than 100%, which resulted in mine-life extensions to FY40, which compares to the broker's FY35 forecast. While total capex for the extension was higher than expected, the majority will not be required until FY27/28.

Overall, FY24 guidance of about 770koz at $1,370/oz was marginally below UBS's previous expectations.

Based on recent China feedback, the analysts are cautious about the short-term outlook for copper. Sell rating. Target price rises to $3.30 from $3.25.

Target price is $3.30 Current Price is $3.64 Difference: minus $0.34 (current price is over target).
If EVN meets the UBS target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.23, suggesting downside of -7.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 13.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.10%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 28.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.4, implying annual growth of -18.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.3.

Forecast for FY24:

UBS forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 35.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.65%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.6, implying annual growth of 84.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FDV  FRONTIER DIGITAL VENTURES LIMITED

Online media & mobile platforms

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Overnight Price: $0.35

Bell Potter rates FDV as Speculative Buy (1) -

Frontier Digital Ventures has announced an amended subscription agreement for rights-holders to earn-outs regarding the acquisition of e24 and InfoCasas. Equity in its LATAM business unit is being substituted for listed shares in the ASX vehicle.

The potential for this amendment had previously been flagged. The net impact, Bell Potter assesses, is a downgrade to 2023-25 estimates for EPS. The broker also adjusts revenue multiples to better reflect the global macro environment.

Speculative Buy rating unchanged. Target price is reduced to $0.89 from $1.05.

Target price is $0.89 Current Price is $0.35 Difference: $0.54
If FDV meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 154% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 25.00.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 50.00.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

FLT  FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $21.58

Ord Minnett rates FLT as Lighten (4) -

Flight Centre Travel shares have strengthened recently which suggests to Ord Minnett the market has locked in pre-tax profit guidance for FY25, despite uncertainty around commissions, over-riders and GDS rebates in Australia.

The bulk of earnings have historically come from the sale of leisure travel to Australian consumers, and the broker estimates that for every 1% change in the revenue margin for the leisure division this has a $150m impact in either direction on group pre-tax profit.

Ord Minnett upgrades estimates by 28% for FY23 and 19% for FY24 to reflect higher TTV, lower revenue margins and lower costs. The stock is currently trading at an equivalent multiple of 18.8x PE and, as a result, a Lighten rating is maintained. Target price is raised to $19.71 from $17.39.

Target price is $19.71 Current Price is $21.58 Difference: minus $1.87 (current price is over target).
If FLT meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $21.52, suggesting downside of -0.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 35.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 60.96.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 34.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 62.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 18.80 cents and EPS of 97.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.87%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 99.7, implying annual growth of 188.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 36.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HCW  HEALTHCO HEALTHCARE & WELLNESS REIT

REITs

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Overnight Price: $1.41

Macquarie rates HCW as Outperform (1) -

GenesisCare declared bankruptcy in the US last week and plans to split the business in two parts. GenesisCare comprises about 6% of HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT 's portfolio by value but less than 5% of Macquarie's FY24 forecast revenue.

The REIT indicated the Australian operations of GenesisCare are profitable and continue to operate normally, with the group satisfying all lease obligations. But if things change, the tenancy should be readily "back-filled" with other operators.

Macquarie notes GenesisCare seems to be performing better here than in the US, but is confident that other operators will step up if need be. Outperform rating and $1.64 target price retained.

Target price is $1.64 Current Price is $1.41 Difference: $0.23
If HCW meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.69, suggesting upside of 18.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 7.40 cents and EPS of 6.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.25%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.3, implying annual growth of -57.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 22.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 7.90 cents and EPS of 8.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.41.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.1, implying annual growth of 28.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.5.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

IEL  IDP EDUCATION LIMITED

Education & Tuition

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Overnight Price: $22.55

Ord Minnett rates IEL as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett suspects recent changes to Canada's regulations will lead to a loss in market share for IDP Education, although this does not materially change its investment thesis.

Moreover, the regulatory changes were not a major surprise as the company had flagged the risk at its interim result.

Earnings from the student placement division are largely unaffected by regulatory changes and will still contribute the majority of earnings over the next decade. Ord Minnett retains a Hold rating and $22.50 target price.

Target price is $22.50 Current Price is $22.55 Difference: minus $0.05 (current price is over target).
If IEL meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 0% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $26.99, suggesting upside of 22.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 43.00 cents and EPS of 60.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.91%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 37.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 55.3, implying annual growth of 50.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 40.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 45.00 cents and EPS of 64.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 34.80.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.7, implying annual growth of 17.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 46.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 34.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MIN  MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED

Iron Ore

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Overnight Price: $70.30

Morgans rates MIN as Add (1) -

Unless demand growth accelerates rapidly, lithium prices will struggle for gains and may soften further as production capacity increases in FY24, suggests Morgans. It's noted spot prices for lithium chemicals have stabilised after rebounding. 

Morgans expects prices will continue to progressively moderate downwards towards the broker's long-term price assumptions.

Mineral Resources has the largest upside in valuation across Morgans coverage of the Lithium sector. It's thought many in the market are ignoring the potentially high growth from management's continuing investment in the company's lithium and gas businesses.

Add rating and $93 target price are unchanged.

Target price is $93.00 Current Price is $70.30 Difference: $22.7
If MIN meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 32% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $89.71, suggesting upside of 29.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 181.00 cents and EPS of 326.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.57%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.56.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 445.0, implying annual growth of 140.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 253.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 15.6.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 230.00 cents and EPS of 574.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 912.8, implying annual growth of 105.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 346.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

MYR  MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED

Household & Personal Products

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Overnight Price: $0.67

Ord Minnett rates MYR as Hold (3) -

Ord Minnett expects improvements made in the underlying business performance of Myer by current CEO John King will remain after his departure in 2024.

The broker observes the "customer-first" strategy introduced in 2018 was highly effective in turning around the department store and building a stronger online channel, offering more sought-after brands exclusive to Myer.

While continuing to expect earnings will moderate in the near term as consumer spending slows, Ord Minnett believes the shares are slightly undervalued and retains a Hold rating. Target price is steady at $0.75.

Target price is $0.75 Current Price is $0.67 Difference: $0.08
If MYR meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 12% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in July.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 6.90 cents and EPS of 11.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 10.30%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 5.98.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 3.60 cents and EPS of 5.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.55.

Market Sentiment: 0.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PLS  PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED

New Battery Elements

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Overnight Price: $4.56

Morgans rates PLS as Add (1) -

Unless demand growth accelerates rapidly, lithium prices will struggle for gains and may soften further as production capacity increases in FY24, suggests Morgans. It's noted spot prices for lithium chemicals have stabilised after rebounding. 

Morgans expects prices will continue to progressively moderate downwards towards the broker's long-term price assumptions.

The broker's $5 target price is maintained. Add rating is retained on valuation grounds and to reflect the potential for capital management. The analysts also allow for a buy back of 10% of outstanding shares.

Target price is $5.00 Current Price is $4.56 Difference: $0.44
If PLS meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 10% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $4.99, suggesting upside of 7.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 74.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.10.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 76.5, implying annual growth of 303.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 23.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 6.1.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 68.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.97%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.69.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 62.9, implying annual growth of -17.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.9%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 7.4.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

REA  REA GROUP LIMITED

Real Estate

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Overnight Price: $138.08

Citi rates REA as Downgrade to Neutral from Buy (3) -

Clearance rates continue to be strong, house prices have returned to growth and lending commitments saw a month-on-month improvement in April, observes Citi.

Despite these improvements, Citi downgrades its rating for REA Group to Neutral from Buy on valuation. Target price rises to $145.20 from $141.30.

The broker expects yield growth will be the key driver of Residential depth revenue, and forecasts 18% year-on-year growth for the company.

While the analysts perceive risk to the listings outlook in 2023 from additional interest rate rises, the company has options to reduce the cost base which could offset any revenue headwinds in FY24.

Target price is $145.20 Current Price is $138.08 Difference: $7.12
If REA meets the Citi target it will return approximately 5% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $125.06, suggesting downside of -8.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 159.10 cents and EPS of 274.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 50.34.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 275.0, implying annual growth of -5.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 152.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 49.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 196.40 cents and EPS of 357.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.42%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 38.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 338.8, implying annual growth of 23.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 187.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 40.1.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SGR  STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED

Gaming

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Overnight Price: $1.19

UBS rates SGR as Buy (1) -

Labour shortages and supply chain challenges have delayed the Queen's Wharf opening by roughly four months to April, 2024. 

UBS believes this delay by Star Entertainment may be partly motivated by the need to 'de-risk' the new asset's performance over the critical summer holiday period. By the 2024-25 summer, Queen's Wharf will have had more than six months to ramp up.

The broker retains its Buy rating and $1.59 target price.

Target price is $1.59 Current Price is $1.19 Difference: $0.4
If SGR meets the UBS target it will return approximately 34% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.58, suggesting upside of 37.4% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

UBS forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 59.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 1.7, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 67.6.

Forecast for FY24:

UBS forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 1.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.84%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 4.0, implying annual growth of 135.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 28.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SLH  SILK LOGISTICS HOLDINGS LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $2.10

Morgans rates SLH as Add (1) -

Morgans trims its Port Logistics revenue forecast for Silk Logistics by about -4% to align with the mid-point of management guidance.

The broker makes this change after total aggregate container throughput across Australia’s four major capital city ports fell by -6.4% year-on-year to the end of April this year.

The broker also adjusts its margin assumptions to reflect a modest step-up in employee costs.

Target price falls to $3.45 from $3.80 and the broker holds an Add rating. Investors are reminded the company's shares continue to trade at a discount to listed peers.

Target price is $3.45 Current Price is $2.10 Difference: $1.35
If SLH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 64% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 9.00 cents and EPS of 21.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.29%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.95.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 23.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.01.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SND  SAUNDERS INTERNATIONAL LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

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Overnight Price: $1.11

Shaw and Partners rates SND as Buy (1) -

Saunders International has secured a $42m contract with the BP Kwinana renewable fuels project. The scope involves 25 tanks at the energy hub being repurposed for feedstock or biofuels.

Shaw and Partners continues to forecast FY23 revenue of $190.5m and an EBIT margin of 6.8%. The broker remains impressed with the company which is well-placed to continue winning contracts and increase its return on invested capital.

Buy rating and $1.35 target price are unchanged.

Target price is $1.35 Current Price is $1.11 Difference: $0.24
If SND meets the Shaw and Partners target it will return approximately 22% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 3.50 cents and EPS of 8.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.54.

Forecast for FY24:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 3.50 cents and EPS of 8.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.15%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.21.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SRG  SRG GLOBAL LIMITED

Mining Sector Contracting

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Overnight Price: $0.67

Shaw and Partners rates SRG as Buy (1) -

Shaw and Partners observes the share price of SRG Global has fallen by about -10% over the past two weeks which coincides with the announcement on May 23 that the managing director sold 2.5m shares to fund personal tax liabilities and a property purchase.

The broker finds nothing alarming in the announcement, as management of a small company is likely to have a large portion of personal wealth tied up, which can sometimes be needed for cash flow.

Hence, there is now a major buying opportunity, Shaw and Partners asserts, as the company has upgraded FY23 guidance twice and asset care is performing ahead of expectations. Moreover, contracts won in the year to date exceed $1bn.

Buy rating and $1.10 target price retained.

Target price is $1.10 Current Price is $0.67 Difference: $0.435
If SRG meets the Shaw and Partners target it will return approximately 65% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 7.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.02%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.50.

Forecast for FY24:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 4.60 cents and EPS of 7.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.92%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.64.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $7.52

Macquarie rates STO as Outperform (1) -

Value in Santos shares should be better recognised through the second half of 2023, Macquarie suggests. The PNG selldown (August 2023) and resumption of Barossa drilling (second half 2023) should be re-rating events, and buybacks should also expand in the second half.

The decision to delay a final investment decision on Dorado last year was prudent in the broker's view, given the unique cost and supply chain risks it would have needed to take on at that time. The deferral of the Dorado oil start-up is offset largely by the inclusion of a major Dorado gas phase.

Outperform retained. Target price rises to $10.10 from $10.05.

Target price is $10.10 Current Price is $7.52 Difference: $2.58
If STO meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 34% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.35, suggesting upside of 25.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 45.95 cents and EPS of 80.34 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.11%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.36.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 90.8, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 26.09 cents and EPS of 56.92 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.47%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 77.9, implying annual growth of -14.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 31.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

URW  UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE

REITs

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Overnight Price: $3.63

Ord Minnett rates URW as Buy (1) -

Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield continues to sell assets near book value. Ord Minnett believes it does not make sense for the stock to trade at such a big discount unless it is forced into a dilutive equity raising, and its base case suggests this will not be required.

Catalysts for a re-rating could include an exit from the US and a focus on Europe along with a re-start of distributions in 2024 and debt reduction.

Ord Minnett expects such developments could put the business on the radar of REIT investors that abandoned the group in 2020 because of risks to the balance sheet, cancelled dividends and an uncertain strategy.

Ord Minnett retains a Buy rating and $7.80 target price.

Target price is $7.80 Current Price is $3.63 Difference: $4.17
If URW meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 115% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 121.55 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 2.99.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 65.12 cents and EPS of 92.87 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 17.94%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 3.91.

This company reports in EUR. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WTC  WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED

Cloud services

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Overnight Price: $76.06

Ord Minnett rates WTC as Accumulate (2) -

WiseTech Global shares continue to screen undervalued despite a recent rally, Ord Minnett asserts. The broker believes the market is underestimating just how much CargoWise, its core product, helps customers outperform competition.

In comparing the share price performance of long-term CargoWise customers compared with the peer group, the broker has found that every customer of CargoWise outperformed.

Ord Minnett expects increased adoption of the broader product suite as network effects strengthen and maintains an Accumulate rating. Target price is $90.

Target price is $90.00 Current Price is $76.06 Difference: $13.94
If WTC meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $73.54, suggesting downside of -2.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 68.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 110.39.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 71.8, implying annual growth of 20.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 105.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 14.00 cents and EPS of 73.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.18%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 102.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 96.0, implying annual growth of 33.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 18.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 78.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
A4N Alpha HPA $1.12 Bell Potter 1.53 1.31 16.79%
ADA Adacel Technologies $0.57 Bell Potter 0.80 0.85 -5.88%
BVS Bravura Solutions $0.46 Macquarie 0.48 N/A -
CNU Chorus $7.75 Ord Minnett 7.00 6.90 1.45%
CSL CSL $307.72 UBS 350.00 330.00 6.06%
CVN Carnarvon Energy $0.14 Macquarie 0.14 0.16 -12.50%
CXO Core Lithium $1.08 Morgans 1.05 1.00 5.00%
EVN Evolution Mining $3.50 Citi 3.10 3.10 0.00%
UBS 3.30 3.25 1.54%
FDV Frontier Digital Ventures $0.36 Bell Potter 0.89 1.05 -15.24%
FLT Flight Centre Travel $21.55 Ord Minnett 19.71 17.39 13.34%
REA REA Group $135.99 Citi 145.20 141.30 2.76%
SLH Silk Logistics $2.10 Morgans 3.45 3.80 -9.21%
STO Santos $7.47 Macquarie 10.10 10.05 0.50%
Summaries
A4N Alpha HPA Speculative Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $1.02
ADA Adacel Technologies Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $0.59
AKE Allkem Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $15.09
ARB ARB Corp Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $29.21
BGA Bega Cheese Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $3.59
BVS Bravura Solutions Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.46
CNU Chorus Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $7.83
CSL CSL Buy - UBS Overnight Price $310.73
CVN Carnarvon Energy Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.13
CXO Core Lithium Hold - Morgans Overnight Price $1.11
DHG Domain Holdings Australia Buy - Citi Overnight Price $3.55
EVN Evolution Mining Sell - Citi Overnight Price $3.64
Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $3.64
Sell - UBS Overnight Price $3.64
FDV Frontier Digital Ventures Speculative Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $0.35
FLT Flight Centre Travel Lighten - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $21.58
HCW HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $1.41
IEL IDP Education Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $22.55
MIN Mineral Resources Add - Morgans Overnight Price $70.30
MYR Myer Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.67
PLS Pilbara Minerals Add - Morgans Overnight Price $4.56
REA REA Group Downgrade to Neutral from Buy - Citi Overnight Price $138.08
SGR Star Entertainment Buy - UBS Overnight Price $1.19
SLH Silk Logistics Add - Morgans Overnight Price $2.10
SND Saunders International Buy - Shaw and Partners Overnight Price $1.11
SRG SRG Global Buy - Shaw and Partners Overnight Price $0.67
STO Santos Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $7.52
URW Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.63
WTC WiseTech Global Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $76.06
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

17

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

7

4. Reduce

2

5. Sell

2

Tuesday 06 June 2023

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