Australian Broker Call

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June 09, 2023

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COMPANIES DISCUSSED IN THIS ISSUE

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The number next to the symbol represents the number of brokers covering it for this report -(if more than 1).

Last Updated: 05:00 PM

Your daily news report on the latest recommendation, valuation, forecast and opinion changes.

This report includes concise but limited reviews of research recently published by Stockbrokers, which should be considered as information concerning likely market behaviour rather than advice on the securities mentioned. Do not act on the contents of this Report without first reading the important information included at the end.

For more info about the different terms used by stockbrokers, as well as the different methodologies behind similar sounding ratings, download our guide HERE

Today's Upgrades and Downgrades
AIA - Auckland International Airport Upgrade to Neutral from Sell Citi
BLD - Boral Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral Macquarie
ABB  AUSSIE BROADBAND LIMITED

Telecommunication

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Overnight Price: $2.74

Shaw and Partners rates ABB as Buy (1) -

Shaw and Partners remains bullish on Aussie Broadband's growth prospects and believes the softness in the share price is a buying opportunity.

The stock has underperformed its peers, likely  because of NBN changes and a potential AVC change not providing the same level of material savings for the company, the analyst suggests.

Yet, the broker's points out this ignores the core margin result in the first half while Aussie Broadband has guided to strong margins in the second half amid synergies from OTW. Taking out the OTW contribution in the first half, operating earnings were up 86%.

The Buy rating is maintained. Target is $5.50.

Target price is $5.50 Current Price is $2.74 Difference: $2.76
If ABB meets the Shaw and Partners target it will return approximately 101% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.82, suggesting upside of 36.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 20.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.30.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.1, implying annual growth of 490.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 19.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 2.70 cents and EPS of 26.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.99%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 18.8, implying annual growth of 33.3%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 0.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 14.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AD8  AUDINATE GROUP LIMITED

Hardware & Equipment

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Overnight Price: $9.21

Morgan Stanley rates AD8 as Overweight (1) -

In discussion with management of Audinate Group at a recent industry gathering, Morgan Stanley determined the company is fortunate that original equipment manufactures (OEM) shoulder the burden of sales and marketing spending.

With the assistance of these OEMs, the company believes it can achieve long-term earnings (EBITDA) margins of 40-50%.

The broker anticipates Audinate could be close to achieving breakeven, or reach that point in the second half of FY23. The broker is comfortable with around 23-25% revenue growth (US dollars) in the medium-term.

The Overweight rating and $10 target are unchanged. Industry view is In-Line.

Target price is $10.00 Current Price is $9.21 Difference: $0.79
If AD8 meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $10.53, suggesting upside of 15.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 3.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 307.00.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -2.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 460.50.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 3.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 303.0.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AGL  AGL ENERGY LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $9.90

Macquarie rates AGL as Outperform (1) -

Ahead of the investor briefing on June 16, Macquarie assesses AGL Energy is in a strong position relative to the past three years amid elevated power prices and a generation fleet that is returning to normal.

This will bode well for the outlook for FY24 and beyond. Macquarie also expects further momentum through FY27-28 amid capacity additions.

The broker envisages the payout may be less than many expect, forecasting 40% as opposed to consensus at 60%, suspecting the company may err on the side of conservatism given working capital requirements for the energy transition.

Outperform retained. Target is steady at $9.61.

Target price is $9.61 Current Price is $9.90 Difference: minus $0.29 (current price is over target).
If AGL meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.56, suggesting downside of -3.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 18.00 cents and EPS of 35.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.82%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.65.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 37.9, implying annual growth of -71.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 26.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 37.00 cents and EPS of 90.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 85.1, implying annual growth of 124.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 54.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AIA  AUCKLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LIMITED

Infrastructure & Utilities

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Overnight Price: $7.71

Citi rates AIA as Upgrade to Neutral from Sell (3) -

As a result of the PSE4 regulatory pricing outcome, Auckland International Airport's revenue forecasts are significantly ahead of Citi's expectations.

While the airport expects substantial capital expenditure over the next decade, a commitment to the current credit rating should mean gearing remains "comfortable", the broker adds.

Rating is upgraded to Neutral from Sell and the target increases to NZ$8.78 from NZ$7.82.

Current Price is $7.71. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $7.05, suggesting downside of -10.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 8.24 cents and EPS of 8.42 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.07%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 91.57.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 87.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 12.81 cents and EPS of 18.31 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.66%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 42.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.9, implying annual growth of 98.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Macquarie rates AIA as Outperform (1) -

Auckland International Airport has released PSE4 pricing, targeting an internal rate of return of 8.73% over the five-year period. Passenger volume forecasts are broadly consistent with Macquarie's estimates with a recovery to pre-pandemic levels in FY26.

The pricing will be reviewed by the NZ Commerce Commission, with the broker noting the market is concerned about any significant variance in the cost of capital and how this may translate to PSE4 pricing adjustments.

Outperform maintained. Target rises to NZ$9.56 from NZ$9.23.

Current Price is $7.71. Target price not assessed.

Current consensus price target is $7.05, suggesting downside of -10.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 8.60 cents and EPS of 8.79 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.12%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 87.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.0, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 87.9.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 18.31 cents and EPS of 17.21 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.37%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 44.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 17.9, implying annual growth of 98.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 16.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 44.2.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AIZ  AIR NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Transportation & Logistics

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Overnight Price: $0.71

Macquarie rates AIZ as Outperform (1) -

Air New Zealand has lifted its pre-tax profit guidance for FY23 to no less than NZ$580m, which Macquarie notes will be the second best result on record if it eventuates. Demand has been strong through the off-peak season and into the first half of FY24.

Airfares are expected to moderate from current peaks while the net impact to pre-tax profit may be offset by potentially lower fuel prices.

The main risk, Macquarie assesses, is economic conditions, although current multiples appear to reflect this to a "reasonable degree". Outperform and NZ90c target retained.

Current Price is $0.71. Target price not assessed.

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 1.83 cents and EPS of 11.62 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 6.07.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 3.66 cents and EPS of 8.42 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.19%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.37.

This company reports in NZD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AMP  AMP LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $1.12

Citi rates AMP as Neutral (3) -

Citi observes AMP no longer has the appetite for the investment SuperConcepts requires. Hence, despite the small loss on sale to Pemba Capital Partners, the broker believes this is a small positive for both strategy and underlying earnings.

Citi allows for a small amount of stranded costs but still lifts FY23-25 estimates for EPS by 1%. Attention will be now on cost reduction plans to be announced at the first half results. Neutral rating and $1.15 target.

Target price is $1.15 Current Price is $1.12 Difference: $0.035
If AMP meets the Citi target it will return approximately 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $1.20, suggesting upside of 8.1% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 5.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.69%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.91.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.5, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 17.1.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 5.50 cents and EPS of 8.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 8.2, implying annual growth of 26.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

ANZ  ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $22.68

Morgan Stanley rates ANZ as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley maintains its negative stance on the major Australian banks and sees potential for a further PE multiple de-rating due to an increased chance of the RBA cash rate exceeding 4.5%.

The broker holds this view despite some incremental support for banks' net interest margins if the cash rate increases from the current 4.10% level.

The Equal-weight rating and $25.20 target are unchanged for ANZ Bank. Industry View: In-Line.

Target price is $25.20 Current Price is $22.68 Difference: $2.52
If ANZ meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 11% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $26.41, suggesting upside of 15.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 162.00 cents and EPS of 235.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.62.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 240.3, implying annual growth of -3.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 162.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.5.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 162.00 cents and EPS of 196.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.14%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 226.8, implying annual growth of -5.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 163.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.1.

Market Sentiment: 0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AVH  AVITA MEDICAL INC

Pharmaceuticals & Biotech/Lifesciences

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Overnight Price: $4.75

Morgans rates AVH as Add (1) -

In a major positive, according to Morgans, Avita Medical will expand into the soft tissue repair market, five times the current opportunity in burns, following premarket approval (PMA) from the FDA for use of its Recell system.

The announcement was largely expected by the broker as Avita has more than doubled its sales force in anticipation of a positive outcome, hence, the $5.53 target and Add rating are maintained.

Further catalysts include FDA approvals for the Recell System for vitiligo indications, expected on June 17, and submission of PMA application for the automated device, Recell Go, outlines the analyst.

Target price is $5.53 Current Price is $4.75 Difference: $0.78
If AVH meets the Morgans target it will return approximately 16% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.78, suggesting upside of 19.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 16.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 28.11.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -75.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgans forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 9.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 48.97.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -26.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates AVH as Accumulate (2) -

The US Food and Drug Administration has approved the use of Recell for the treatment of soft tissue repair. Ord Minnett credits sales for the product from the second half of 2023.

The broker considers the shares of Avita Medical remain undervalued while the market under appreciates the strength of the product pipeline and high gross margins.

Still, a short-term transition to profitability is unlikely and the broker does not expect positive cash flow before 2026. Accumulate rating and $5.60 target maintained.

Target price is $5.60 Current Price is $4.75 Difference: $0.85
If AVH meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 18% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $5.78, suggesting upside of 19.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 37.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 12.77.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -75.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 18.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 25.68.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is -26.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is N/A, implying a prospective dividend yield of N/A.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is N/A.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

AX1  ACCENT GROUP LIMITED

Apparel & Footwear

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Overnight Price: $1.65

Bell Potter rates AX1 as Buy (1) -

Store traffic trends in Australia and the US have seen a sharper decline more recently, and Bell Potter expects ongoing weaker trends for the rest of year.

While the broker remains constructive on the investment thesis for Buy-rated Accent Group, the recently announced wage review decision on the industry award rates in Australia will also weigh on the outlook.

The analysts's FY23 earnings forecast remains unchanged though downgrades occur for FY24/25 estimates. The target falls to $2.50 from $2.80.

Target price is $2.50 Current Price is $1.65 Difference: $0.855
If AX1 meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 52% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $2.23, suggesting upside of 31.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 16.10 cents and EPS of 15.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 9.79%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 10.54.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 15.4, implying annual growth of 165.1%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 17.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 10.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.80 cents and EPS of 14.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.19.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.5, implying annual growth of -5.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 12.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.7.

Market Sentiment: 0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BLD  BORAL LIMITED

Building Products & Services

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Overnight Price: $3.94

Macquarie rates BLD as Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral (1) -

Boral has upgraded second half guidance, expecting EBIT will exceed the first half. Macquarie finds the rate of change in the business tangible, with management intent on delivering double-digit EBIT margins.

While market conditions could hamper the speed at which this occurs, the broker assesses the potential to unlock profitability is meaningful. Operating improvements appear to be gaining pace with a focus on commercial outcomes.

The completion of the chlorine bypass upgrade at Berrima will enable 60% alternative fuel use in time. Macquarie upgrades to Outperform from Neutral and raises the target to $4.50 from $4.05.

Target price is $4.50 Current Price is $3.94 Difference: $0.56
If BLD meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 14% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.58, suggesting downside of -10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 10.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 36.48.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 16.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.47.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.4, implying annual growth of 53.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources


Ord Minnett rates BLD as Hold (3) -

Boral has provided details of several initiatives to improve the profitability of its operations, targeting double-digit EBIT margins in construction materials, although Ord Minnett points out the timing is open.

Initiatives include optimising logistics and ensuring concrete, cement, quarry and assets are repriced for profitability. The broker considers the initiatives a positive step towards raising the long-term profitability of the business.

Guidance has also been upgraded, with second half EBIT now expected to be ahead of the first half. The broker retains a Hold rating with a $3.60 target.

Target price is $3.60 Current Price is $3.94 Difference: minus $0.34 (current price is over target).
If BLD meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately minus 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $3.58, suggesting downside of -10.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 8.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 45.81.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 9.4, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 0.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 42.4.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 7.10 cents and EPS of 14.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 1.80%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 27.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.4, implying annual growth of 53.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.2

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

BMT  BEAMTREE HOLDINGS LIMITED

Software & Services

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Overnight Price: $0.28

Shaw and Partners rates BMT as Buy (1) -

Beamtree Holdings has its first major contract in North America, valued at $500,000 and to be realised in FY24. Canada's hospital system is roughly the same size as Australia's and management has described the opportunity in the country, and the US in future, as significant.

The broker also updates forecasts to allow for the recent capital raising, with additional funds increasing management's confidence in delivering and potentially exceeding its target of $60m in annual recurring revenue by 2026.

Shaw and Partners reiterates a Buy rating and $0.70 target.

Target price is $0.70 Current Price is $0.28 Difference: $0.42
If BMT meets the Shaw and Partners target it will return approximately 150% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 2.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 14.00.

Forecast for FY24:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of minus 1.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is minus 16.47.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

CBA  COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks

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Overnight Price: $96.56

Morgan Stanley rates CBA as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley maintains its negative stance on the major Australian banks and sees potential for a further PE multiple de-rating due to an increased chance of the RBA cash rate exceeding 4.5%.

The broker holds this view despite some incremental support for banks' net interest margins if the cash rate increases from the current 4.10% level.

The Underweight rating and $82 target are maintained for CommBank. Industry View: In-Line.

Target price is $82.00 Current Price is $96.56 Difference: minus $14.56 (current price is over target).
If CBA meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately minus 15% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $89.18, suggesting downside of -7.0% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 445.00 cents and EPS of 607.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.88.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 597.6, implying annual growth of -4.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 433.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 445.00 cents and EPS of 532.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.61%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 18.12.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 573.8, implying annual growth of -4.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 440.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 16.7.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

DXS  DEXUS

REITs

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Overnight Price: $8.27

Citi rates DXS as Neutral (3) -

Media reports suggest Dexus and its main wholesale entity will put the NBN headquarters in North Sydney up for sale, with an expected sale price of more than $800m.

Citi has been following deal activity across asset classes in order to assess the market, and is still awaiting confirmatory evidence of those deals that are specific to the premium grade office market.

There remains a risk that some deals may be delayed if the underlying buyer demand is lower than seller expectations.

There are several office transactions in the market at the moment and the share price discounts to NTA of the stocks are historically high because of cautious investor sentiment.

Neutral and $8.00 target retained.

Target price is $8.00 Current Price is $8.27 Difference: minus $0.27 (current price is over target).
If DXS meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 3% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $9.11, suggesting upside of 11.9% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 51.00 cents and EPS of 67.10 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.32.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 64.0, implying annual growth of -57.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 51.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.7.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 51.00 cents and EPS of 67.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.25.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 63.6, implying annual growth of -0.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 50.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.8.

Market Sentiment: 0.1

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EGL  ENVIRONMENTAL GROUP LIMITED

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Overnight Price: $0.20

Bell Potter rates EGL as Buy (1) -

Bell Potter has no trouble justifying the current share price for Environmental Group on its core business alone, which the broker believes provides investors with a cheap option over the substantial polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) opportunity.

Providing validation for recent trial data, according to the broker, the company has announced the sale of its first commercial PFAS separation unit to its commercial trial partner. Commercial terms are also being reached for a second plant with the same buyer.

The target rises to 32c form 31c and the Buy rating is maintained.

As is the case in the US, the analyst sees longer-term potential for Australian State EPAs and/or Water Authorities to begin regulating treatment of certain types of PFAS discharge, prior to its release into waterways.

Target price is $0.32 Current Price is $0.20 Difference: $0.12
If EGL meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 60% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 0.88 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 22.73.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 0.00 cents and EPS of 1.17 cents.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 17.09.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EHE  ESTIA HEALTH LIMITED

Aged Care & Seniors

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Overnight Price: $2.94

Macquarie rates EHE as Outperform (1) -

Bain Capital has increased its offer for Estia Health to $3.20 a share cash, less future dividends. The board has now allowed due diligence to enable a binding proposal and, if this eventuates, intends to unanimously recommended the transaction.

Macquarie assesses completion of the transaction is highly likely, retaining an Outperform rating and raising the target to $3.20 from $2.75.

Target price is $3.20 Current Price is $2.94 Difference: $0.26
If EHE meets the Macquarie target it will return approximately 9% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 12.00 cents and EPS of 11.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.08%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.13.

Forecast for FY24:

Macquarie forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 15.90 cents and EPS of 14.80 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.41%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.86.

Market Sentiment: 1.0

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

EVN  EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED

Gold & Silver

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Overnight Price: $3.39

Morgan Stanley rates EVN as Overweight (1) -

Following site visits, Morgan Stanley notes the underground ramp-up at the gold operation of Cowal remains on track, as is the restart at Ernest Henry's copper mine.

Large stockpiles at Cowal alleviate any concerns for the Open Pit Continuation (OPC) Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) approval time lines, explains the analyst.

Target price is $3.95. Overweight rating is unchanged. Industry view: Attractive. 

Target price is $3.95 Current Price is $3.39 Difference: $0.56
If EVN meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 17% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.27, suggesting downside of -5.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 2.00 cents and EPS of 14.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 0.59%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 24.21.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.4, implying annual growth of -18.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 4.1, implying a prospective dividend yield of 1.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 24.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 11.00 cents and EPS of 38.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.24%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.92.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 26.5, implying annual growth of 84.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 8.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.4%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.0.

Market Sentiment: -0.5

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

HLO  HELLOWORLD TRAVEL LIMITED

Travel, Leisure & Tourism

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Overnight Price: $2.76

Shaw and Partners rates HLO as Buy (1) -

Shaw and Partners notes positive data points for the travel industry from IATA and Air New Zealand ((AIZ)). The latter has upgraded EBIT earnings guidance while IATA has announced a strengthening of airline industry profitability in an upgrade of its outlook for 2023.

This ties in with the recent upgrades to guidance by Helloworld Travel and the broker suspects there is potential for another upgrade, with the key catalyst being the removal of travel restrictions to most destinations and a shift towards longer trips and longer lead times to overcome supply constraints.

The Buy rating and $3.40 target are unchanged.

Target price is $3.40 Current Price is $2.76 Difference: $0.64
If HLO meets the Shaw and Partners target it will return approximately 23% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $3.16, suggesting upside of 10.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 6.00 cents and EPS of 11.00 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.17%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 25.09.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 10.6, implying annual growth of -81.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 6.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 27.0.

Forecast for FY24:

Shaw and Partners forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 7.00 cents and EPS of 14.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 2.54%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 19.44.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.5, implying annual growth of 27.4%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 7.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

LOV  LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED

Retailing

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Overnight Price: $18.77

Bell Potter rates LOV as Buy (1) -

Store traffic trends in Australia and the US have seen a sharper decline more recently, and Bell Potter expects ongoing weaker trends for the rest of year.

While the broker remains constructive on the investment thesis for Buy-rated Lovisa Holdings, the recently announced wage review decision on the industry award rates in Australia will also weigh on the outlook.

The analysts's FY23 earnings forecast remains unchanged though downgrades occur for FY24/25 estimates. The target falls to $30.50 from $32.50.

Target price is $30.50 Current Price is $18.77 Difference: $11.73
If LOV meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately 62% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $27.92, suggesting upside of 53.6% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 61.40 cents and EPS of 70.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 26.55.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 69.1, implying annual growth of 27.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 62.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 26.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 61.60 cents and EPS of 86.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 3.28%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 21.70.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 85.8, implying annual growth of 24.2%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 72.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 21.2.

Market Sentiment: 0.6

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

NAB  NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED

Banks

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Overnight Price: $25.16

Morgan Stanley rates NAB as Underweight (5) -

Morgan Stanley maintains its negative stance on the major Australian banks and sees potential for a further PE multiple de-rating due to an increased chance of the RBA cash rate exceeding 4.5%.

The broker holds this view despite some incremental support for banks' net interest margins if the cash rate increases from the current 4.10% level.

The Underweight rating and $25.30 target are maintained for National Australia Bank. Industry View: In-Line.

Target price is $25.30 Current Price is $25.16 Difference: $0.14
If NAB meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 1% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $27.30, suggesting upside of 8.2% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 166.00 cents and EPS of 223.90 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.24.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 236.6, implying annual growth of 10.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 167.2, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.7.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 166.00 cents and EPS of 185.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.60%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 13.59.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 220.1, implying annual growth of -7.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 167.3, implying a prospective dividend yield of 6.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.5.

Market Sentiment: -0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

PTM  PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Wealth Management & Investments

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Overnight Price: $1.68

Bell Potter rates PTM as Hold (3) -

Bell Potter lowers its FY23-25 EPS forecasts for Platinum Asset Management and reduces its target to $1.56 from $1.66. Full-year results are expected to show ongoing downward pressure for revenues, along with inflationary pressure on the cost base.

This view comes as the fund manager reported a -2.6% fall in funds under management (FUM) over May. Outflows were -1.8% of the opening balance while the investment performance was -0.8% of opening FUM.

While FY23 has been better than FY22, the analyst points out Platinum is yet to turnaround the pattern of outflows. With no improvement in sight a Hold rating is kept.

Target price is $1.56 Current Price is $1.68 Difference: minus $0.12 (current price is over target).
If PTM meets the Bell Potter target it will return approximately minus 7% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $1.77, suggesting upside of 6.3% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 15.00 cents and EPS of 13.20 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 8.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 12.73.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 14.3, implying annual growth of -18.5%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 14.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.7%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 11.6.

Forecast for FY24:

Bell Potter forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 13.00 cents and EPS of 11.40 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 7.74%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.74.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 13.6, implying annual growth of -4.9%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 13.6, implying a prospective dividend yield of 8.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.2.

Market Sentiment: -0.4

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

SSM  SERVICE STREAM LIMITED

Industrial Sector Contractors & Engineers

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Overnight Price: $0.75

Ord Minnett rates SSM as Buy (1) -

Service Stream has obtained a $50.2m tax refund  from the Australian Taxation Office, which provides a liquidity buffer in a rising interest-rate environment, Ord Minnett observes. The proceeds can be immediately applied to reducing net debt.

Future interest cost savings translate to a 3% upgrade to estimates for earnings per share in FY24. The company has guided to underlying EBITDA in FY23 of above $110m.

The broker also expects upside in utilities margins as project mix improves, with positive momentum in the telco sector likely to carry to FY24. Buy rating maintained. Target rises to 91c from 88c.

Target price is $0.91 Current Price is $0.75 Difference: $0.16
If SSM meets the Ord Minnett target it will return approximately 21% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $0.80, suggesting upside of 6.7% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in June.

Forecast for FY23:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 3.00 cents and EPS of 6.30 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.00%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.90.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 6.2, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 1.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 2.3%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.1.

Forecast for FY24:

Ord Minnett forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 4.00 cents and EPS of 7.60 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.33%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.87.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 7.6, implying annual growth of 22.6%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 2.7, implying a prospective dividend yield of 3.6%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.9.

Market Sentiment: 0.7

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

STO  SANTOS LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $7.44

Citi rates STO as Neutral (3) -

Citi has downgraded its oil and gas price forecasts. The broker expects oil to range between US$72-90/bbl and forecasts -50% downside to spot LNG by the third quarter.

This view stems from European storage forecasts reaching capacity by the late summer and soft industrial demand in Europe and China.

The broker updates models and reduces Santos' 2023 and 2024 forecasts by -9% and -10%, respectively, on lower JKM (spot price for LNG delivered ex-ship to Japan and Korea).

The Neutral rating is maintained. Target is steady at $7.75.

Target price is $7.75 Current Price is $7.44 Difference: $0.31
If STO meets the Citi target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $9.35, suggesting upside of 26.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 44.96 cents and EPS of 83.09 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.04%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 8.95.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 89.6, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 42.5, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.8%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 8.2.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 35.91 cents and EPS of 65.28 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 4.83%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.40.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 77.2, implying annual growth of -13.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 30.9, implying a prospective dividend yield of 4.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.6.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.8

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WBC  WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION

Banks

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Overnight Price: $20.19

Morgan Stanley rates WBC as Equal-weight (3) -

Morgan Stanley maintains its negative stance on the major Australian banks and sees potential for a further PE multiple de-rating due to an increased chance of the RBA cash rate exceeding 4.5%.

The broker holds this view despite some incremental support for banks' net interest margins if the cash rate increases from the current 4.10% level.

The Equal-weight rating and $21 target are unchanged. Industry View: In-Line.

Target price is $21.00 Current Price is $20.19 Difference: $0.81
If WBC meets the Morgan Stanley target it will return approximately 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges).

Current consensus price target is $23.45, suggesting upside of 15.8% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in September.

Forecast for FY23:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 140.00 cents and EPS of 207.70 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 9.72.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 207.5, implying annual growth of 29.8%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 142.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.0%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 9.8.

Forecast for FY24:

Morgan Stanley forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 140.00 cents and EPS of 168.50 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 6.93%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 11.98.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 191.5, implying annual growth of -7.7%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 144.4, implying a prospective dividend yield of 7.1%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 10.6.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

WDS  WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LIMITED

NatGas

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Overnight Price: $34.79

Citi rates WDS as Neutral (3) -

Citi has downgraded its oil and gas price forecasts. The broker expects oil to range between US$72-90/bbl and forecasts -50% downside to spot LNG by the third quarter.

This view stems from European storage forecasts reaching capacity by the late summer and soft industrial demand in Europe and China.

The broker updates models and reduces Woodside Energy's 2023 and 2024 forecasts by -13% and -17%, respectively, as, despite hedging, it is most exposed to the lower JKM (spot price for LNG delivered ex-ship to Japan and Korea).

The Neutral rating is maintained. Target is raised to $33.50 from $32.00.

Target price is $33.50 Current Price is $34.79 Difference: minus $1.29 (current price is over target).
If WDS meets the Citi target it will return approximately minus 4% (excluding dividends, fees and charges - negative figures indicate an expected loss).

Current consensus price target is $36.93, suggesting upside of 6.5% (ex-dividends)

The company's fiscal year ends in December.

Forecast for FY23:

Citi forecasts a full year FY23 dividend of 183.23 cents and EPS of 228.49 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.27%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 15.23.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 260.9, implying annual growth of N/A.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 182.0, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.2%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 13.3.

Forecast for FY24:

Citi forecasts a full year FY24 dividend of 189.17 cents and EPS of 235.91 cents.
At the last closing share price the estimated dividend yield is 5.44%.
At the last closing share price the stock's estimated Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) is 14.75.

How do these forecasts compare to market consensus projections?

Current consensus EPS estimate is 268.7, implying annual growth of 3.0%.

Current consensus DPS estimate is 189.8, implying a prospective dividend yield of 5.5%.

Current consensus EPS estimate suggests the PER is 12.9.

This company reports in USD. All estimates have been converted into AUD by FNArena at present FX values.

Market Sentiment: 0.3

All consensus data are updated until yesterday. FNArena's consensus calculations require a minimum of three sources

Today's Price Target Changes
Company Last Price Broker New Target Prev Target Change
ABB Aussie Broadband $2.80 Shaw and Partners 5.50 5.41 1.66%
AX1 Accent Group $1.69 Bell Potter 2.50 2.80 -10.71%
BLD Boral $3.99 Macquarie 4.50 4.05 11.11%
EGL Environmental Group $0.20 Bell Potter 0.32 0.31 3.23%
EHE Estia Health $2.93 Macquarie 3.20 2.75 16.36%
EVN Evolution Mining $3.45 Morgan Stanley 3.95 3.75 5.33%
LOV Lovisa Holdings $18.18 Bell Potter 30.50 32.50 -6.15%
PTM Platinum Asset Management $1.66 Bell Potter 1.56 1.66 -6.02%
SSM Service Stream $0.75 Ord Minnett 0.91 0.88 3.41%
WDS Woodside Energy $34.68 Citi 33.50 32.00 4.69%
Summaries
ABB Aussie Broadband Buy - Shaw and Partners Overnight Price $2.74
AD8 Audinate Group Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $9.21
AGL AGL Energy Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $9.90
AIA Auckland International Airport Upgrade to Neutral from Sell - Citi Overnight Price $7.71
Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $7.71
AIZ Air New Zealand Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $0.71
AMP AMP Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $1.12
ANZ ANZ Bank Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $22.68
AVH Avita Medical Add - Morgans Overnight Price $4.75
Accumulate - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $4.75
AX1 Accent Group Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $1.65
BLD Boral Upgrade to Outperform from Neutral - Macquarie Overnight Price $3.94
Hold - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $3.94
BMT Beamtree Holdings Buy - Shaw and Partners Overnight Price $0.28
CBA CommBank Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $96.56
DXS Dexus Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $8.27
EGL Environmental Group Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $0.20
EHE Estia Health Outperform - Macquarie Overnight Price $2.94
EVN Evolution Mining Overweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $3.39
HLO Helloworld Travel Buy - Shaw and Partners Overnight Price $2.76
LOV Lovisa Holdings Buy - Bell Potter Overnight Price $18.77
NAB National Australia Bank Underweight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $25.16
PTM Platinum Asset Management Hold - Bell Potter Overnight Price $1.68
SSM Service Stream Buy - Ord Minnett Overnight Price $0.75
STO Santos Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $7.44
WBC Westpac Equal-weight - Morgan Stanley Overnight Price $20.19
WDS Woodside Energy Neutral - Citi Overnight Price $34.79
RATING SUMMARY
Rating No. Of Recommendations
1. Buy

15

2. Accumulate

1

3. Hold

9

5. Sell

2

Friday 09 June 2023

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Disclaimer:
The content of this information does in no way reflect the opinions of FNArena, or of its journalists. In fact we don't have any opinion about the stock market, its value, future direction or individual shares. FNArena solely reports about what the main experts in the market note, believe and comment on. By doing so we believe we provide intelligent investors with a valuable tool that helps them in making up their own minds, reading market trends and getting a feel for what is happening beneath the surface. This document is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. FNArena employs very experienced journalists who base their work on information believed to be reliable and accurate, though no guarantee is given that the daily report is accurate or complete. Investors should contact their personal adviser before making any investment decision.